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Australian resource investment rises in 2021

  • : Coal, Coking coal, Hydrogen, Metals, Natural gas
  • 21/12/19

Investment in committed resource and energy projects in Australia rose in the 12 months to the end of October from a year earlier, led by increased investment in iron ore and upstream oil and gas that reflect a catch-up on projects deferred from 2020 because of the impact of the initial spread of the Covid-19 pandemic.

The value of committed projects rose to A$54bn ($38.7bn) for the period from [A$39bn] (https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/2162301) a year earlier, according to Australia's Office of the Chief Economist (OCE).

The outlook for resources and energy investment suggests that 2021 represented significant growth in the resources investment cycle. The rise in resource investment was driven by iron ore, upstream and battery metals projects.

More than A$11bn had been committed to oil and gas/LNG projects in the 12 months to 31 October. Most of this is attributed to two projects that reached a final investment decision in 2021, the Barossa backfill gas project and the Jansz-lo compression project for the 15.6mn t/yr Gorgon LNG offshore Western Australia (WA).

The report does not include the largest upstream venture to be sanctioned in Australia in around a decade, the $12bn Scarborough gas project, as it was given the go-ahead after the OCE report was concluded.

The value of projects completed in the 12 months to 31 October rose to A$10.1bn from A$2.3bn a year earlier. A total of 15 resource and energy major projects were completed in the period with completed iron ore projects dominating. This was because of the completion of the A$4.6bn South Flank iron ore mine, the Eliwana iron ore mine and the commissioning of the

West Angelas Deposits C & D expansion project.

The investment report now includes hydrogen, ammonia and carbon capture and storage projects, which account for A$185bn worth of investment, which are largely at the publicly announced phase of the investment cycle and not in the feasibility or committed stage. The inclusion of hydrogen has pushed the total value of potential resource and energy projects to more than A$536bn at the end of October from A$372bn 12 months earlier.

Developments in battery technology and expectations of growing electric vehicle manufacturing, continue to spur investment in Australia's nickel, cobalt, rare earths and lithium resources with 60 possible projects with a combined value of around A$29bn,. A number of development projects are investing in processing facilities to produce battery cathode precursors in the form of lithium hydroxide.

Around 20pc of projects at the feasible stage are driven by demand for commodities used in rechargeable batteries, the OCE said. The largest proportion of projects at the feasibility stage are in WA, including a number of prospective nickel-cobalt projects.

Australia resource/energy investment plans at 31 October 2021(A$bn)
No. of projectsValue A$bnProjects in feasibilityValue A$bnCommitted projectsValue A$bnCompleted projectsValue A$bnTotal projectsValue A$bn
Coal2321-25+3745-51+83.712.06972-82+
Hydrogen11127-133+66-52+10.521135-185+
Iron ore128-10+1216-22+611.046.43441-50+
LNG, gas, petroleum1426-29+1565-71+1323.030.745115-123+
Critical minerals102.6-5.3+196-10+94.420.34013-20+
Total113203-229+160163-243+7954.01510.1367434-536+
Investment plans at 31 October 2020
Coal2117-204557-6563.410.97277-89
iron ore1514-181219-2547.510.13241-51
LNG, gas, petroleum1433-481977-831020.010.844130-152
Total10688-119168175-2115439.082.2335300-372

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25/04/14

IMO GHG pricing not yet Paris deal-aligned: EU

IMO GHG pricing not yet Paris deal-aligned: EU

Brussels, 14 April (Argus) — The International Maritime Organisation's (IMO) global greenhouse gas (GHG) pricing mechanism "does not yet ensure the sector's full contribution to achieving the Paris Agreement goals", the European Commission has said. "Does it have everything for everybody? For sure, it doesn't," said Anna-Kaisa Itkonen, the commission's climate and energy spokesperson said. "This is often the case as an outcome from international negotiations, that not everybody gets the most optimal outcome." The IMO agreement reached last week will need to be confirmed by the organisation in October, the EU noted, even if it is a "strong foundation" and "meaningful step" towards net zero GHG emissions in global shipping by 2050. The commission will have 18 months following the IMO mechanism's formal approval to review the directive governing the bloc's emissions trading system (ETS), which currently includes maritime emissions for intra-EU voyages and those entering or leaving the bloc. By EU law, the commission will also have to report on possible "articulation or alignment" of the bloc's FuelEU Maritime regulation with the IMO, including the need to "avoid duplicating regulation of GHG emissions from maritime transport" at EU and international levels. That report should be presented, "without delay", following formal adoption of an IMO global GHG fuel standard or global GHG intensity limit. Finland's head representative at the IMO delegation talks, Anita Irmeli, told Argus that the EU's consideration of whether the approved Marpol amendments are ambitious enough won't be until "well after October". Commenting on the IMO agreement, the European Biodiesel Board (EBB) pointed to the "neutral" approach to feedstocks, including first generation biofuels. "The EBB welcomes this agreement, where all feedstocks and pathways have a role to play," EBB secretary general Xavier Noyon said. Faig Abbasov, shipping director at non-governmental organisation Transport and Environment, called for better incentives for green hydrogen. "The IMO deal creates a momentum for alternative marine fuels. But unfortunately it is the forest-destroying first generation biofuels that will get the biggest push for the next decade," he said. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Shale patch on edge after tariff drama


25/04/14
25/04/14

Shale patch on edge after tariff drama

New York, 14 April (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's back and forth over tariffs that sent oil prices tumbling to a four-year low last week has sparked jitters across the shale patch, although most producers are likely to take their time to respond. The oil and gas industry, one of Trump's biggest cheerleaders and donors during his election campaign, has been taken aback by the speed and scale of the president's escalating trade wars and executives are signalling growing impatience. Meanwhile, Trump's "Drill, baby, drill" mantra is even less likely to become a reality now, after oil slid below the $65/bl level that executives surveyed by the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank last month warned was needed to profitably sink a new well. Trump's imposition of punitive tariffs on nearly every major US trading partner led to a sell-off in stock, bonds and commodity markets until he announced a 90-day pause for most nations — except China — on 9 April. While it may be too early for talk about dropping rigs and curtailing production, companies will face tough questions from analysts about their contingency plans when first-quarter results start coming through later this month. One key difference from previous downturns in 2014 and 2020 is that exploration and production (E&P) firms are in a better position this time, with less debt on their balance sheets and more modest growth plans, which may help limit the initial fallout. But higher costs owing to tariffs on steel imports could offset the efficiency savings that have kept production going in an era of restrained spending. "E&Ps are likely to mostly take a wait-and-see approach — with a high level of uncertainty about future policy — and not prematurely lay down rigs," consultancy Enverus principal analyst Andrew Dittmar says. "If prices are weak headed into 2026, that is where you are likely to see a more material reduction in drilling budgets. Feeling dominated The shale industry has welcomed Trump's "energy dominance" agenda and his promise of a permitting overhaul. But cracks are appearing in that relationship because of his stop-start policy on tariffs. "This administration better have a plan," Diamondback Energy president Kaes Van't Hof said in a social media post, in a direct appeal to energy secretary Chris Wright. Shale is the "only industry that actually built itself in the US, manufactures in the US, grew jobs in the US and improved the trade deficit — and by proxy GDP — in the US over the past decade", Van't Hof, who is due to become Diamondback chief executive later this year, said. His company became the largest pure-play producer in the prolific Permian basin of west Texas and southeast New Mexico following its $26bn takeover of Endeavor Energy Resources last year. While few public producers were planning any kind of meaningful growth this year as higher dividends and buy-backs continue to be the priority, even that could eventually find itself on the chopping block. "The corporate reality for public players means that already modest growth could be at risk if prices remain near $60/bl," Rystad Energy vice-president for North American oil and gas Matthew Bernstein says. Little in the way of growth was forecast outside the core Permian this year even before Trump rolled out his tariffs. A prolonged period of lower prices could spur a downturn in the top-performing US basin. A combination of short-term activity levels, investor distributions and production could be sacrificed in order to defend margins, according to Rystad. And producers in the Delaware sub-basin could be especially vulnerable, given the region's steep initial decline rates, high well costs and large capital return requirements, the consultancy says. By Stephen Cunningham WTI breakeven price Nymex WTI futures month 1 Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Semiconductors alter minor metal demand/supply balances


25/04/14
25/04/14

Semiconductors alter minor metal demand/supply balances

London, 14 April (Argus) — Evolving semiconductor technologies and growing chip consumption across a range of applications are changing demand and supply dynamics in several minor metal markets, delegates heard at the Minor Metals Trade Association's annual conference in Lisbon last week. In the hafnium market, demand from the semiconductor industry could surpass that of super-alloys for the largest share of demand in the next five years, metal and alloy producer Nanoscale Powders president Andrew Matheson said. Semiconductor demand for hafnium could climb to 64 t/yr by 2030, up by 24pc from 40 t/yr in 2024, outpacing 5pc growth in nickel super-alloy demand to 60 t/yr from 45 t/yr. This would also outpace 3pc growth in critical nuclear uses to 18 t/yr. It is unclear whether there is sufficient room to expand hafnium supply to meet the projected demand growth, Matheson said. Global production totalled about 138t in 2024, well below estimated nameplate capacity of 245t. Hafnium and compounds including hafnium oxide (HfO2) have several uses in semiconductor manufacturing, including as a gate insulator in field-effect transistors; in dynamic random-access memory capacitors to enhance capacitance, reduce power leakage and act as a protective barrier layer; and in filaments, electrodes and ultra-thin films in semiconductor fabrication. HfO2 can retain data even without power, providing potential for new types of non-volatile memory. As a result, general growth in semiconductor demand in a range of electronics, telecommunications, automotive and industrial applications is set to boost hafnium demand in semiconductor manufacturing. In addition, growing demand for memory capacity for artificial intelligence (AI), as well as new storage technologies, could drive hafnium demand further. At the same time, growing demand for standalone power generation to serve AI data centres also could lift demand for hafnium in super-alloys, Matheson said. In the indium market, the use of indium phosphide-based fibre optics to replace copper interconnects to meet the requirements of high-speed AI data transfer is creating a new source of demand. Indium-based compounds such as indium arsenide, indium gallium arsenide and indium gallium nitride are used in integrated circuits, lasers and light-emitting diodes (LEDs) for electronic and electro-optical applications. Indium alloys also are used as thermal interface materials to improve heat dissipation in electronic devices. Semiconductor applications account for about 10pc of global indium consumption, and as the liquid crystal display display market has matured, chip demand will be one of the drivers of the indium market's 2-3pc annual growth rate, according to Brian O'Neill, indium business unit manager at AIM Products. Semiconductor demand has contributed to a larger structural change in the global gallium market. Total gallium production capacity has more than tripled since 2016 from about 300 t/yr to more than 1,100 t/yr, driven by expansion in China, according to Jan Giese, senior manager for minor metals and rare earths at German trading firm Tradium. Gallium exports from China have steadily decreased since 2018, dropping further in 2023 when the Chinese government introduced export controls. This has resulted in a contraction of the share of exports in Chinese production to just 7pc in 2024 from 52pc in 2018. China is no longer dependent on exports of gallium metal, as the capacity expansion is required to support China's drive towards full downstream integration into the semiconductor value chain, Giese said. Gallium is used as a dopant in silicon-based semiconductors, as well as in compound semiconductor materials, in the form of gallium arsenide (GaAs) and gallium nitride (GaN). GaAs is critical in high-frequency devices and LEDs, while GaN is used in high-power, high-frequency devices and LEDs. Adoption of GaN is growing in new AI and automotive applications, with Chinese device manufacturers and automakers leading the way in bringing GaN-on-silicon devices into automotive power electronics. China previously imported semiconductors to supply its electronics industry. But US restrictions on exports of advanced semiconductors and manufacturing equipment to China since 2022, supported by the Netherlands and Japan, have prompted China to rapidly establish its own domestic semiconductor production and advance its technological development. The state-backed National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund closed a third round last year of 344bn yuan ($47.5bn), more than double the value of the previous two rounds combined, in addition to growing private-sector investment. The scale of Chinese investment in expanding semiconductor manufacturing is absorbing much of the expansion in gallium capacity and supporting the long-term competitiveness of the Chinese downstream sector, Giese said. But as US tariffs have reduced dependency on imports of Chinese gallium, along with the export controls, they have reduced the competitiveness of the US downstream sector. Some customers have relocated, cutting US gallium demand and in turn failing to spur new primary gallium production. By Nicole Willing Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

H2 groups, environmentalists disappointed by IMO deal


25/04/14
25/04/14

H2 groups, environmentalists disappointed by IMO deal

Hamburg, 14 April (Argus) — The International Maritime Organization's (IMO) global greenhouse gas (GHG) pricing mechanism may be insufficient to stimulate short-term uptake of clean hydrogen-based marine fuels and threatens decarbonisation targets, hydrogen industry associations and environmental groups said. Delegates approved a proposed mechanism at the IMO's 83rd Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC) meeting on 11 April. The proposal will be put to an adoption vote at the next MEPC in October after which the rules could enter into force in 2027. The IMO said its "net-zero framework is the first in the world to combine mandatory emissions limits and GHG pricing across an entire sector". But the agreement does not go far enough to drive extensive uptake of clean hydrogen and derivatives, such as ammonia and e-methanol, as the mechanism's design will encourage use of LNG and biofuels instead, at least in the short-term, according to industry participants and environmental bodies. "Delegates have agreed a measure that may lock in the use of environmentally destructive biofuels and LNG" instead of providing the incentives necessary "to jump start the transition" to e-fuels based on renewable hydrogen, said the Skies and Seas Hydrogen-fuels Accelerator Coalition's (Sasha) founder Aoife O'Leary. Brussels-based environmental group Transport & Environment (T&E) took a similar stance. While the IMO's agreement "creates a momentum for alternative marine fuels… it is the forest-destroying first generation biofuels that will get the biggest push for the next decade," the group's shipping director Faig Abbasov said. "Without better incentives for sustainable e-fuels from green hydrogen, it is impossible to decarbonise this heavy polluting industry." The criticism is directed primarily at the CO2 prices set under the two-tier system. The tier 2 price of $380/t of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) could encourage a shift away from diesel or other "high-emission fuels", but this would likely be to "relatively affordable biofuels" rather than "significantly cleaner alternatives such as green hydrogen-derived fuels", T&E said. Industry body the Green Hydrogen Organisation (GH2) noted that reducing the penalties to $100/t CO2e price for vessels that meet "base" targets could encourage companies using "LNG and more carbon intensive fuels" to "pay to pollute rather than comply over the next few years". The group criticised the lack of "a universal levy with a meaningful carbon price". It will be key to ensure that all emissions, including methane leakage, are comprehensively accounted for and that "direct and indirect land-use change from biofuels" is factored in, GH2 said. But despite the criticism, GH2 said the agreement "sends an important signal to green fuels producers to go forward with their projects". "The greenest fuels will be able to generate credits… which they can sell," the group said, adding that the IMO will agree "a mechanism to reward zero or near-zero emission ships by March 2027". This could drive an increase in orders for dual-fuel vessels that could eventually transition to hydrogen-based fuels, it said. Off target Some groups, including T&E, the Clean Shipping Coalition and the Global Maritime Forum, argue that the shipping industry will fail to meet emissions reduction targets with the proposed framework. The measures will "at best" provide emissions reductions of 10pc by 2030 and 60pc by 2040, far below the IMO's 2023 commitments to 30pc and 80pc, respectively, T&E said. The failure to send stronger signals for uptake of hydrogen-based fuels puts at risk a target of reaching 5pc fuel use that is zero- or near-zero emission by 2030 and the industry's entire 2050 net-zero goal, the Global Maritime Forum said. Other International shipping organisations, such as the International Chamber of Shipping and the European Community Shipowners Association, voiced support for the agreement although they acknowledged that it is "not perfect". By Stefan Krumpelmann Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Треть заявок направлением на запад не обеспечены грузом


25/04/14
25/04/14

Треть заявок направлением на запад не обеспечены грузом

Moscow, 14 April (Argus) — Около 30% согласованных заявок на экспортные перевозки угля через южные и северо-западные порты в I квартале были инфлированными — не были обеспечены грузовой базой, сообщил заместитель генерального директора — начальник центральной дирекции управления движением РЖД Михаил Глазков на брифинге начале апреля. В прошлом году доля таких заявок не превышала 2%. Ослабление интереса к западным маршрутам со стороны угольщиков объясняется снижением мировых цен на твердое топливо и укреплением курса рубля к доллару США. Между тем РЖД зарезервировала локомотивы и локомотивные бригады под заявленные объемы угля, был заадресован также порожний подвижной состав, который отправился из портов, но не доехал до станции погрузки из-за отсутствия груза. Из-за инфлированных заявок на западном направлении в марте мы теряли более 150 тыс. т угля ежесуточно, или 4,5 млн т в абсолютном исчислении. В апреле эта проблема сохраняется. Каждый день на Северо-Кавказскую, Октябрьскую и Западно-Сибирскую железную дорогу [Запсиб] не предъявляется к погрузке порядка 1,6 тыс. вагонов, что проводит к потерям 100 тыс. т груза ежедневно, — заявил Глазков. Кроме того, 72 тыс. порожних полувагонов, заадресованных на Запсиб, не были востребованы для перевозки. Этот подвижной состав остается на путях общего пользования и ухудшает эксплуатационную обстановку на сети. За простой парка платит отправитель, который заявил к перевозке груз, но не предъявил его впоследствии. В то же время РЖД удалось компенсировать выпадающую погрузку на северо-западном направлении привлечением дополнительного объема черных металлов и минеральных удобрений, сообщил Глазков. Госкомпания предлагает повысить штраф за инфлированную заявку в 24 раза, до 240 руб./т не погруженного груза. Штрафы предлагается сделать поступательными в зависимости от времени отказа перевозки до запрошенной даты. Ранее эта инициатива уже предлагалась, но не была поддержана в Совете Федерации. Мы со своей стороны готовы нести взаимную ответственность за невывоз согласованных к перевозке грузов, — заверил Глазков. Сергей Маруев ___________________ Больше ценовой информации и аналитических материалов о рынке транспортировки навалочных, генеральных грузов и контейнеров — в ежемесячном отчете Argus Логистика сухих грузов . Подписаться на аналитический дайджест Вы можете присылать комментарии по адресу или запросить дополнительную информацию feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Группа Argus Media . Все права защищены.

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