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Stelco CEO warns of US steel strike risks

  • : Coking coal, Metals
  • 22/08/25

Labor negotiations at integrated US steelmakers could break down and lead to strikes as inflationand a tight labor market bolster union negotiating power, the chief executive of Canada's Stelco warned yesterday.

Integrated steelmaker Stelco's chief executive Alan Kestenbaum did not mince words when talking to a large steel industry group at the SMU Steel Summit in Atlanta, himself fresh from last-minute negotiations with the United Steelworkers (USW) that led to a new contract and avoided a strike.

Kestenbaum does not think many steelmakers understand that they need to address everyday problems such as inflation costs and rising interest rates that employees are having to bear.

"I'm not sure that everybody gets that in this industry," Kestenbaum said. "There's a lot of proud people on both sides of the table and I wouldn't be surprised if you see a couple work stoppages here or there and there's no question that the labor forces have received a lot of negotiating power and we need to respect that."

In the US, integrated steelmakers Cleveland-Cliffs and US Steel are in the midst of negotiations with the USW over contracts that expire at the end of August.

At Cleveland-Cliffs, the USW said approximately 12,000 members are covered by the contracts that apply to the former ArcelorMittal USA assets that Cleveland-Cliffs acquired in December 2020, including its integrated mills in Burns Harbor and Indiana Harbor, Indiana, and Cleveland, Ohio. At US Steel, the negotiations cover approximately 11,500 USW members at 10 sites, including all of its integrated steelmaking operations and its iron ore mines in Minnesota, according to the company.

Kestenbaum had to personally intervene last week to save his own company from a work stoppage, coming to an agreement with his hourly unionized workforce just days away from when they could have launched a strike.

"If you're spending $100 on a single tank of gas, it matters. These people that work for us, they're pretty well paid, but they're not making hundreds of thousands of dollars a year so they really are impacted by inflation," Kestenbaum said. "You have to have the human understanding of where their anger comes from. They're seeing companies making billions of dollars in profits, and these guys are struggling to make ends meet with rising mortgage rates, rising gasoline expenditures and so forth."

In 2021, the four publicly traded steelmakers in the US and two in Canada combined made more than $19bn, compared to a combined loss of more than $300mn in 2020.

He added that a strike, while eventually resolved, could exacerbate the issue of labor shortages.

"They have choices. If you're an electrician, if you're an electrical engineer, your skills are in massive short supply," Kestenbaum said. "The skills that we need in our facilities, they are in short supply. They can go work in construction, and they can go work for an oil company, and they can do all kinds of things that don't involve a steel mill."

"If they go on strike, you might not have workers," he said.


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25/04/09

Delta pulls full-year forecast amid US tariffs: Update

Delta pulls full-year forecast amid US tariffs: Update

Adds details from earnings call throughout. Houston, 9 April (Argus) — Delta Air Lines pulled its full-year 2025 financial guidance today, citing US tariff-related uncertainty. "Given the lack of economic clarity, it is premature at this time to provide an updated full-year outlook," the airline said Wednesday in an earnings call. Delta said it hoped the growing US tariff war with the world would be resolved through trade negotiations, but that it also told its main aircraft manufacturer, Airbus, that it would not purchase any aircraft that includes a tariff fee. "If you start to put a 20pc incremental cost on top of an aircraft, it gets very difficult to make that math work," chief executive Ed Bastion said in an earnings call today. In the meantime, Delta is protecting margins and cash flow by focusing on what it can control, including reducing planned capacity growth in the second half of the year to flat compared to last year, while also managing costs and capital expenses, Bastion said. Delta expects revenue in the second quarter of 2025 to be either 2pc higher or 2pc lower from the year earlier period with continued resilience in premium, loyalty and international bookings offsetting softness in domestic and standard flights. Punitive taxes on imports from key US trading partners were implemented on Wednesday despite President Donald Trump's claims of multiple trade deals in the making. Trump's 10pc baseline tariff on imports from nearly every country already went into effect on 5 April. The higher, "reciprocal" taxes went into effect today, although at midday Wednesday he announced a 90-day pause on most of the higher tariffs, while increasing tariffs on Chinese imports even higher. The company reported a profit of $240mn in the first quarter of 2025, up from $37mn in the first quarter of 2024. Confidence craters in 1Q Corporate travel started the year with momentum, but a reduction in corporate confidence stalled growth in February and March, Delta said. For the first quarter, corporate sales were up by low-single digits compared to the prior year, with strength led by the banking and technology sectors. The company's fuel expenses were down by 7pc in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the prior year period. The average price Delta paid for jet fuel was $2.45/USG, down by 11pc to the prior year period. Delta said it has seen "a significant drop off in bookings" out of Canada amid the trade disputes with that country which started earlier than the broader US tariffs. Meanwhile, Mexico is "a mixed bag," the company said. Delta is considering reducing capacity levels in Mexico and Canada in the future. The company reported a profit of $240mn in the first quarter of 2025, up from $37mn in the first quarter of 2024. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Delta pulls full-year forecast on tariff uncertainty


25/04/09
25/04/09

Delta pulls full-year forecast on tariff uncertainty

Houston, 9 April (Argus) — Delta Air Lines pulled its full-year 2025 financial guidance today, citing US tariff-related uncertainty. "Given the lack of economic clarity, it is premature at this time to provide an updated full-year outlook," the airline said Wednesday in an earnings call. Delta said it hoped the growing tariff war woudl be resolved through trade negotiations, but that it also told its main aircraft manufacturer, Airbus, that it would not purchase any aircraft that includes a tariff fee. In the meantime, Delta is protecting margins and cash flow by focusing on what it can control, including reducing planned capacity growth in the second half of the year to flat compared to last year, while also managing costs and capital expenses, chief executive Ed Bastion said. The company reported a profit of $298mn in the first quarter of 2025, up slightly from $288mn in the first quarter of 2024. The company's fuel expenses were down by 7pc in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the prior year period. The average price Delta paid for jet fuel was $2.45/USG, down by 11pc to the prior year period. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

S Korea unveils auto industry support after US tariffs


25/04/09
25/04/09

S Korea unveils auto industry support after US tariffs

Singapore, 9 April (Argus) — South Korea has unveiled planned emergency measures to support its automobile industry given the sweeping US tariffs, turning towards its domestic market and outwards to the "global south" to generate demand. South Korea exported nearly $127.8bn of goods to the US in 2024,accounting for about 18.7pc of its total exports. About almost $34.7bn were from passenger automotives. It will provide around 3 trillion South Korean won ($2bn) of new emergency liquidity support, expand its policy finance by W2 trillion to a total of W15 trillion and hand out more car export support. South Korea will also extend the electric vehicle (EV) corporate discount subsidy policy until the end of the year, and it will now support between 30-80pc of EVs' price, up from previously 20-40pc. A focus on the domestic market will help respond to lower export volumes given the US' tariffs, said the country's trade and industry ministry (Motie). The country will cut the special consumption tax on new car purchases from 5pc to 3.5pc until June, while not ruling out any other necessary additional support. It will also push its public sector, public institutions and local governments to buy "business vehicles" within the first half of 2025, which will likely buoy eco-friendly vehicle sales. Eco-friendly vehicles in South Korea refer to hybrids, battery EVs, plug-in hybrids and hydrogen-fuelled vehicles. Eco-friendly vehicle domestic sales surged by 50pc on the year to about 60,350 units in February, while exports rose by 32pc to almost 69,000 units. It is also turning to new "global south" markets by offering an extra budget on export vouchers and trade insurance support until the end of 2025, citing its agreements and negotiations with countries such as the UAE, Mexico, the Philippines and Ecuador. The combined market share of three South Korean battery firms — LG Energy Solution (LGES), SK On and Samsung SDI — on global EV battery installations in has further declined in January-February, according to the latest data from South Korean market intelligence firm SNE Research. They now take up 17.7pc of the global market share, down by almost 5.5 percentage points compared to a year earlier. "It has become also important for K-trio to come up with strategic measures to increase their local production in North America and diversify raw material suppliers," said SNE, citing the US tariffs. LGES last year said it is looking to produce energy storage system cells in the US through its subsidiary LGES Vertech from 2025. SK On earlier this week told Argus that the tariffs will have "limited" potential impact on its business, with its manufacturing facility in the US state of Georgia, SK Battery America, supplying batteries for its US sales volumes . By Joseph Ho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Peabody reviews Anglo's Australian coal assets buyout


25/04/09
25/04/09

Peabody reviews Anglo's Australian coal assets buyout

Sydney, 9 April (Argus) — US coal producer Peabody Energy is reviewing its decision to buy UK-South African mining firm Anglo American's coking coal assets in Australia, following a blast at Anglo's Moranbah North mine, the company said today. Peabody Energy agreed to buy four of Anglo American's mines — Moranbah North, Grosvenor, Aquila, and Capcoal — in a $3.8bn deal signed in November 2024 . The Moranbah North blast could trigger an adverse event clause in the acquisition contract, allowing Peabody to withdraw from the deal at a minimal cost, market participants told Argus on 9 April. This has not been confirmed by Peabody. The company said it remains in conversation with Anglo American to better understand the impacts of the event. Two of Anglo American's Australian coking coal mines, Grosvenor and Moranbah North, are currently non-operational because of safety issues. Resources Safety and Health Queensland (RSHQ) — one of Australia's mining regulators — shut Moranbah North after a suspected carbon monoxide explosion on 31 March. Anglo American declared force majeure on coking coal from Moranbah North on 3 April in a notice backdated to the day of the blast. Anglo American's 5mn t/yr Grosvenor mine has also been non-operational since July 2024, when a fire severely damaged the underground site. The company did not disclose a reopening timeline for the site in its 2025 production guidance released in February. The firm previously shut the Grosvenor site over March-May 2022 after a fatal accident. Anglo American is not the only coking coal miner currently dealing with safety challenges. Australian producer GM³ halted production at its 3mn-3.5mn t/yr Appin mine in New South Wales on 6 April, following a blast that injured four workers. The company and state regulators are investigating the incident, with Appin closed until further notice. Argus ' metallurgical coal premium hard low-vol fob Australia has been falling over the past month, dropping from $183/t on 10 March to $174/t on 8 April. But the price rose from $166/t on 3 April to $174/t on 4 April after Anglo American declared force majeure on Moranbah North shipments. By Avinash Govind Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexican peso weakens on US tariff fears


25/04/08
25/04/08

Mexican peso weakens on US tariff fears

Mexico City, 8 April (Argus) — The Mexican peso has weakened in recent days amid growing fears that US president Donald Trump's new wave of tariffs could derail the US economy and, in turn, slash Mexico's economic growth, financial analysts said. After Trump announced a series of new import tariffs on what he dubbed "Liberation Day" on 2 April, the peso initially reacted positively, as Mexico was largely spared from the measures, thanks to protections under the US-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) free trade agreement. The current tariff structure largely remains in place, which means zero tariffs on products under the USMCA agreement, except for steel, aluminum and finalized// assembled automobiles. Auto parts under USMCA still face zero tariffs. These exceptions, and other non-USMCA-compliant products, maintain 25pc tariffs on non-US content, analysts Barclays said. The peso appreciated more than 3.2pc to Ps19.97/$1 on 3 April from Ps20.4/$1 on 2 April, according to data from Mexico's central bank (Banxico). The exemptions could make Mexico more attractive in the medium- and long-term to manufacturers aiming to avoid US tariffs, Barclays said. Yet, investors are now concerned about the broader economic fallout of the escalating US-China trade conflict. "The Mexican peso is one of the most depreciated currencies [as of 7 April], because even though Mexico has not been hit with reciprocal tariffs and benefits from USMCA, the economic impact of tariffs on the US economy could significantly affect Mexico," said Gabriela Siller, chief economist at Mexican bank Banco Base. The peso weakened to Ps20.50/$1 on 4 April, from Ps19.97/$1 on 3 April, and continued weakening, closing at Ps20.69/$1 on 7 April, a 2.3pc depreciation over the last week. Year over year, the peso has tanked 21pc, affected by multiple reforms diminishing Mexico's business environment that passed in late 2024, Trump's electoral victory in November, and now by Trump's tariffs. Mexico's GDP is expected to grow by 0.2pc this year, according to a new Citi survey of 32 bank analysts, with nine forecasting zero or negative growth because of the potential fallout from US trade policy. On 1 April, Mexico's finance ministry lowered its 2025 GDP forecast to 1.5–2.3pc, down from 2–3pc. That's still more optimistic than the central bank and private analysts, who expect growth of only 0.7pc , citing uncertainty over US policy and tariff threats. By Édgar Sígler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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