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Australian mineral exploration expense hits record high

  • : Battery materials, Coal, Coking coal, Metals
  • 22/12/05

Australia's spending on non-petroleum mineral exploration hit a record high of A$1.08bn ($739mn) in July-September, as firms continued to look for iron ore, base metals, battery minerals and coal, despite flooding along the east coast, and continuously rising costs.

Total spending on non-petroleum minerals across Australia during July-September was A$1.08bn, up from A$1.06bn in April-June and A$997.6mn in July-September 2021, according to the latest release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Exploration spending rose to A$3bn in January-September from A$2.64bn a year earlier and from A$1.02bn in the first nine months of 2016.

Exploration on what the ABS calls "other deposits" rose to a record A$140.7mn in July-September from A$103mn in April-June and from A$83mn in July-September 2021. This category includes spending on exploration for lithium and other battery metals, which has increased markedly in the past five years as part of the push for increased electrification to reduce emissions.

Base metal exploration spending also hit a record high of A$267mn in July-September, up from A$241.2mn in April-June and A$236.8mn in July-September 2021, driven by higher spending on copper, nickel, cobalt and zinc deposits. Spending on base metal exploration has been trending upwards and is double of what it was two years ago and more than quadruple of what it was in 2016.

Iron ore exploration eased to A$200.1mn from a nine-year record high of A$201mn in April-June but was up from A$174.5mn in July-September last year. Iron ore prices fell through July-September, but firms are increasingly looking for ore types that might lend themselves to green steelmaking, and large mining firms are still making significant margins, which are used for exploration to maintain production.

Firms spent A$64.1mn on coal exploration in July-September, up from A$61.7mn in April-June, but down from A$66.5mn in July-September 2021. The flat spending reflects difficult operating conditions because of flooding, particularly in New South Wales. Coal mining firms are also attempting to manage near term gains from record-breaking coal prices and an uncertain medium- to long-term outlook as the world looks to decarbonise.

The Australian dollar eased from US$0.69 on 1 July to US$0.63 on 30 September, increasing the cost of imported goods for exploration, such as diesel and explosives. Exploration costs are also rising more broadly across Australia as a skills shortage pushes up wages and the sector faces economy-wide inflation that is being felt more intensely in the remote areas that it largely operates in.


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25/01/13

Cliffs still seeks US Steel, pledges no closures

Cliffs still seeks US Steel, pledges no closures

Houston, 13 January (Argus) — Cleveland-Cliffs chief executive Lourenco Goncalves said today that he remains open to buying US Steel, promising to keep all of the acquired assets open. Goncalves said Ohio-based Cliffs still wants to buy Pennsylvania-based US Steel and would invest in the company's assets. "Of course, we are going to keep [US Steel mills] open," Goncalves told reporters on Monday. "We are going to make them bigger, we are going to make them better, we are going to produce more." His comments come 10 days after President Joe Biden blocked Japan-based Nippon Steel's agreement to buy US Steel for $15bn, citing national security concerns. Nippon had committed to invest $1.3bn in US Steel's mills and to not cut any of US Steel's production for 10 years without government approval. Cliffs tried to buy US Steel for $54/share with half paid in cash and half in company stock before US Steel agreed to go with Nippon's $55/share all-cash offer. Goncalves promise to not close any acquired assets comes as the US steel market remains oversupplied , according to market sources. Goncalves said he cannot make a bid for US Steel until the company and Nippon cancel their merger agreement. He also dismissed antitrust concerns over Cliffs owning all US iron ore mines and all US blast furnace capacity. A combined company would have Cliffs running the mining side of the business and US Steel running the steelmaking operations, he said. A US Steel-Cliffs merger would have 32.1mn short tons (st)/yr of flat rolled raw steel capacity, in addition to plate making and seamless tube production. Goncalves did not say how he would finance such a purchase. Cliffs had $3.8bn in liquidity as of 30 September, including $39mn of cash, according to a third-quarter presentation. US Steel had $4.05bn in liquidity in the same period, of which $1.77bn was cash. Nippon is trying to buy US Steel. Both companies have sued Biden and others in the government over the denial, and filed a separate lawsuit against Cliffs, Goncalves and United Steelworkers (USW) International president David McCall, who endorsed a takeover by Cliffs. By Rye Druzchetta Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November


25/01/13
25/01/13

Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November

Mexico City, 13 January (Argus) — Mexico's industrial production edged up 0.1pc in November, as gains in autos and other manufacturing offset weaker construction, national statistics agency Inegi said. Mexican bank Banorte described the monthly increase as "rather small," noting it followed a 1.1pc decline in October and was largely driven by base comparison effects. The bank added that the overall industrial outlook remained "fragile." Manufacturing, which represents 63pc of Inegi's seasonally adjusted industrial activity indicator (IMAI), increased by 0.7pc in November, though it failed to fully recover from a 1.7pc drop in October. Transportation manufacturing, a key subsector accounting for 12pc of the sector, rose by 3.8pc after a steep 4.3pc decline the prior month. Despite recent volatility, Mexico's auto sector achieved record annual light vehicle production in 2024, reaching 3.99mn units. Yet, automaker association AMIA warned of potential challenges in 2025 because of economic uncertainty, which could affect investment and demand. Mining, which makes up 12pc of the IMAI, increased by 0.1pc in November following a 1.1pc decline in October. Growth was driven by a 41.4pc jump in mining-related services, while oil and gas output fell by 2.4pc, marking a fifth consecutive monthly decline for hydrocarbons. Construction, representing 19pc of the IMAI, contracted by 1.8pc in November after modest gains of 0.2pc in October and 1.1pc in September. As industry eyes potential policy shifts under US president-elect Donald Trump, Banorte projected a weak start to 2025 for Mexico's industrial output. But it expects momentum to build as government spending on priority infrastructure projects "moves more decisively." By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Lithium prices unlikely to recover in 2025


25/01/13
25/01/13

Lithium prices unlikely to recover in 2025

London, 13 January (Argus) — Prices for lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) are unlikely to recover this year, according to market participants, owing to high inventories and Chinese overcapacity. While the vast majority of firms have either suspended or trimmed production at costs above Argus -assessed prices (see graph) , a number of other factors have weighed on price rises, including redundant Chinese lithium refining capacity, inventories of low and mid-grade concentrate and end-of-life LFP batteries. Chinese lepidolite, African low-grade ores and Brazilian tailings are "not immune" to low prices, according to supply chain consultantcy SC Insights. Prices are currently far below highs of $80,000/t in late 2022, although not at record lows by historical standards. "We have put our lithium plant in Zimbabwe on ice for now, margins are just too tight," a southern Africa-based producer said. The market could start to recover in the second half of 2026 as carmakers turn increasingly towards lower-cost lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, SC Insights said. Between 2025 and 2026, major carmakers will start "socialising the intensions of using more LFP and LFMP [lithium iron manganese phosphate]", with it especially vital that LFMP producers "react early and offer a cost-competitive solution in CAM/LIB [cathode active material/lithium-ion battery] spaces". SC Insights forecasts that global annual LCE production will tip over 2.5mn t of LCE by 2030 (see graph) , from just over 1mn t last year, based on the adoption of these newer battery chemistries. Buildout of this supply will depend, SC Insights said, on the proposed restriction of CAM/LIB technology by China. The buildout of Argentinian lithium production could be a key factor in 2025, according to SC Insights, after global mining giant Rio Tinto announced last October that it would buy Arcadium Lithium. Argentinian president Javier Milei and Rio Tinto held a meeting in December 2024 and although it is unclear what the results of that meeting were, the relationship between Rio Tinto and the Argentinian government could be important for the lithium market this year. Argentina holds the third-largest reserves of lithium at 3.6mn t behind Chile and Australia, and the second-largest pool of resources at 23mn t, behind Bolivia, according to the US Geological Survey in January. By Chris Welch Cost of production, lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) Lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) production t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India's coal output hits all-time high in 2024


25/01/13
25/01/13

India's coal output hits all-time high in 2024

Singapore, 13 January (Argus) — India's coal production hit an all-time high last year, led by an uptick in utility demand and a broader government push to boost domestic output. Combined coal output from domestic sources such as state-controlled Coal India (CIL), Singareni Collieries (SCCL) and captive blocks reached 1.04bn t in calendar year 2024, up by 7pc or 70.4mn t from a year earlier, according to Argus calculations based on coal ministry data. This supported overall supplies, including supplies to utilities and the non-power sector, which reached 1.01bn t, from 950.2mn t in 2023. The steady increase in domestic coal output and supplies was also led by demand from utilities, as the country's coal-fired generation rose last year, and generators continued to replenish stocks to meet the rising power demand. The strong output also followed India's broader goal to raise local coal production, with an aim to trim imports and meet its broader energy security objective. Delhi has been pushing CIL to ramp up its output, while also seeking higher production from blocks allocated to utilities and the non-power sector. The growth in production and supplies likely weighed on thermal coal imports in 2024, with seaborne receipts estimated to have dropped last year, a first annual decline since 2021. The dip in India's demand for seaborne cargoes in a well-supplied market was reflected in recent prices, with the GAR 4,200 kcal/kg market for geared Supramaxes falling to a 44-month low of $49.43/t fob Kalimantan on 27 December, the last assessment of 2024. The market eased further to $49.25/t fob Kalimantan on 10 January. Output mix Production at state-controlled CIL stood at 785.2mn t in calendar year 2024, up from 756.1mn t a year earlier, while its supplies totalled 757.4mn t in the 12-month period, up from 738.6mn t in 2023, according to Argus calculations based on the company's monthly output data. State-owned SCCL produced 67.12mn t in 2024, down by 4pc or 2.5mn t in 2023, the coal ministry data showed. But this was more than offset by steady growth in coal production at captive coal blocks allocated to industrial coal consumers, state-government mining companies and some utilities. Coal output from the captive blocks rose to about 187mn t last year, up from 143.3mn t in 2023, the data showed. The higher captive coal production followed an increase in production from coal blocks allocated to state-controlled utility NTPC , which aims to become one of India's biggest coal producers in coming years. India's policy to auction coal mines for commercial mining by private companies is also beginning to support the overall captive coal output. Supply mix Combined domestic coal supplies to utilities from CIL, SCCL and captive blocks reached 831.44mn t, up by 6pc from a year earlier, the coal ministry data showed. India's coal-fired generation — which meets most of its power requirements — reached 1,293.19TWh last year, up by 5pc from a year earlier, the Central Electricity Authority (CEA) data show. Overall domestic coal supplies to non-power consumers such as steel and cement totalled about 179mn t last year, up by 13pc from 2023, according to the coal ministry data. Supplies to captive power units fall under non-power sector as per the data. By Saurabh Chaturvedi India's coal suppy mix (mn t) India's coal output mix (mn t) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US issues 45Z tax guidance for low-carbon fuels


25/01/10
25/01/10

US issues 45Z tax guidance for low-carbon fuels

Washington, 10 January (Argus) — US producers of low-carbon fuels can start claiming the "45Z" tax credit providing up to $1/USG for road use and $1.75/USG for aviation, following the US Treasury Department's release today of proposed guidance for the credit. The guidance includes proposed regulations and other tools to determine the eligibility of fuels for the 45Z tax credit, which was created by the Inflation Reduction Act to replace a suite of incentives for biofuels that expired at the end of last year. Biofuel producers have been clamoring for guidance from the US Treasury Department so they can start claiming the tax credit, which is available for fuels produced from 1 January 2025 through the end of 2027. "This guidance will help put America on the cutting-edge of future innovation in aviation and renewable fuel while also lowering transportation costs for consumers," US deputy treasury secretary Wally Adeymo said. "Decarbonizing transportation and lowering costs is a win-win for America." The creation of the 45Z tax credit has already prompted a change in US biofuels markets by shifting federal subsidies from blenders to producers. Because the value of tax credit increases for fuels with the lowest lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, it could encourage refiners to source more waste feedstocks such as used cooking oil, rather than conventional crop-based feedstocks. While the guidance is still just a proposal, taxpayers are able to "immediately" use the guidance to claim the 45Z tax credit, until Treasury issues additional guidance, an administration official said. The guidance on 45Z released today affirms that only the producer for the fuel is eligible to claim the credit, not blenders. To be eligible for the tax credit, the fuel must have a "practical or commercial fitness for use in a highway vehicle or aircraft" by itself or when blended into a mixture, Treasury said. Marine diesel and methanol suitable for highway or aircraft use are also eligible for 45Z, as is renewable natural gas that can be used as a transportation fuel. Treasury also released an "annual emissions rate table" offering providers a methodology for determining the lifecycle GHG of fuel. Treasury said a key emissions model from the US Department of Energy, called 45ZCF-GREET, used to calculate the value of the 45Z tax credit is anticipated to be released today, although industry officials said it may be delayed until next week. Treasury said it intends to propose regulations at "a future date" for calculating the GHG emissions benefits of "climate smart agriculture" practices for "cultivating domestic corn, soybeans, and sorghum as feedstocks" for fuel. Those regulations could lower the calculated lifecycle emissions of fuel from those crop-based feedstocks and increase the relative 45Z tax credit. US biofuel producers said they are still awaiting key details on the 45Z tax credit, including the update to the GREET model. Among the outstanding questions is if the guidance released today provides "enough certainty to negotiate feedstock and fuel offtake agreements going forward", said the Clean Fuels America Alliance, an industry group that represents the biodiesel, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel industries. It is unclear how president-elect Donald Trump intends to approach this proposed approach for the 45Z credit, which will be subject to a 90-day public comment period. Trump has promised to "rescind all unspent funds" from the Inflation Reduction Act. But outright repealing 45Z would leave biofuels producers and farmers without a subsidy they say is needed to sustain growth, after the expiration last year of a $1/USG blender tax credit and a tax credit of up to $1.75/USG for sustainable aviation fuel. Biofuel and soybean groups were unsuccessful in a push last year to extend the expiring biofuel tax credits. The 45Z credit is likely to be debated in Congress this year, as Republicans consider repealing parts of the Inflation Reduction Act. House Republicans have already asked for input on revisions to the 45Z credit, signaling they could modify the incentive. In a tightly divided Congress, farm-state lawmakers may hold enough leverage to ensure some type of biofuel incentive — and potentially one friendlier to agricultural producers than 45Z — survives. By Chris Knight and Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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