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Tighter supplies lift Singapore trucked bitumen prices

  • : Oil products
  • 24/08/19

Singapore trucked bitumen prices have inched up this month because of tighter supplies in the city-state, despite relatively moderate consumption by key consumer Malaysia.

Singapore-origin bitumen on tanker trucks were sold to Malaysia at around $485-497/t ex-refinery during the week of 16 August, up by $20/t at the high end from $475-477/t ex-refinery during the first two weeks of July.

Malaysian bitumen demand has been supported by several post-Hari Raya Puasa projects in full swing in this year's second quarter and pent-up demand from the previous year's incomplete projects. But market participants described demand as moderate as many road projects were affected by intermittent rainy weather in some regions, including Johor Bahru and Kuala Lumpur, and because of a change in a diesel subsidy policy in June.

Bitumen-related businesses, like tanker truck transportation and premix operations, no longer get diesel subsidiesaccording to the new regulations, dealers told Argus, adding that many contractors took to the market sidelines or slowed operations because of the additional costs. Diesel is heavily used in premix operations, a key step before laying the road, where bitumen is blended with gravel, sand and other aggregates.

Overall bitumen availability in Malaysia is tight as a major refinery in the region cut production and halted bitumen sales since June. This pushed dealers to seek more Singapore-origin tanker truck cargoes but production cuts at refineries in the city-state limited availability.

Limited supplies from Singapore and the prospect of a demand recovery in southeast Asia for this year's second half have continued to support seaborne prices. Argus assessed weekly fob Singapore ABX 1 prices at $440/t on 16 August, up from $426/t fob Singapore for the same period last month.

Singapore tanker truck bitumen cargo prices are typically at a $10-15/t premium to the ABX 1 but trucked prices are about $50-60/t above the ABX 1 in August, widening the price gap. The weekly Singapore tanker truck prices were assessed by Argus at $491/t ex-refinery on 16 August.

Malaysian tanker truck traders are expecting Singapore equivalent prices to fall in the coming weeks on expectations that production will increase. Singapore refiners are likely boosting production as the gap between seaborne bitumen prices and high-sulphur fuel oil prices is narrowing, indicating better margins for bitumen, market participants said.

Refiners informed truck cargo buyers that they will soon be able to purchase at least 5-6 loads a day, up from 1-2 loads a day so far, a few dealers told Argus.


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24/08/20

Thin exports could add to US jet fuel surplus

Thin exports could add to US jet fuel surplus

Houston, 20 August (Argus) — US jet fuel stockpiles that are already at a 14-year high for August could build even further if exports continue to lag. Waterborne jet fuel loadings from the US Gulf coast are on pace for the lowest monthly average since March 2021 at 32,800 b/d through the first 20 days of August, according to oil analytics firm Vortexa. Departures are down by 31pc from the same period last year and lag behind average daily July volumes by 71pc. This month's drop in export loadings follows a July in which Gulf coast jet fuel discharged in other countries trailed year-earlier levels by 25pc. US Gulf coast jet fuel discharged in Mexico last month was down by 7.6pc from July 2023, while arrivals in Mexico through the first 20 days of August are so far little changed from August 2023. US Gulf coast jet fuel deliveries in Canada this month are down by 25pc on the year, Vortexa data shows. The dip in Gulf coast exports could add to US supplies at a time when domestic jet fuel demand may taper as the summer travel season nears its end. Passenger screenings at US airports fell to an 11-week low last week, according to US Transportation Security Administration data. Falling demand and building inventories helped sink US jet fuel prices to multi-month lows on Monday as front-month Nymex diesel futures fell by 2.8pc. Colonial Pipeline jet fuel at the Gulf coast fell on Monday by 7.45¢/USG to $2.12/US and Buckeye jet fuel prices at the New York Harbor shed 7.27¢/USG to $2.17/USG, both the lowest since May 2023. Jet fuel stocks swell in August Total US jet fuel stocks during the week ended 9 August swelled by 12pc to 46.24mn bl, the highest for any August week since 2010, according to the latest estimates from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Still, US inventories have eased by nearly 2pc since peaking in late July at 47.18mn bl, the highest for any week since October 2018. Inventories have climbed across much of the US, with stocks in the Atlantic coast, Gulf coast, and west coasts notching multi-year highs for August weeks. Atlantic coast jet fuel inventories in the week ended 2 August were the highest for August since 1990 at 13.13mn bl, while Gulf coast stocks in the following week reached a three-year high for August at 14.26mn bl. In the US west coast, jet fuel stocks were the highest for any August week in at least 34 years at 11.82mn bl the week ended 9 August, EIA data show. The US midcontinent is the lone US region where inventories are down on the year, as refinery issues have stunted production in the Chicago, Illinois, area. ExxonMobil's 252,000 b/d Joliet refinery in Channahon, Illinois, reported a process unit upset from 17-18 August, extending weeks of issues stemming from a power outage in mid-July. This has prompted viable arbitrage economics between the US Gulf coast and Chicago since 25 July, with Chicago prices averaging a 16.91¢/USG premium to the Gulf coast during that stretch. The arbitrage opportunity for sending Gulf coast jet fuel to the New York Harbor has been closed on paper since 13 August. By Jared Ainsworth Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Bulk carriers mostly score low CII in 2023


24/08/20
24/08/20

Bulk carriers mostly score low CII in 2023

New York, 20 August (Argus) — More than half of bulk carriers scored carbon intensity indicator (CII) grades of C or lower on an A-E scale in 2023, according to International Maritime Organization (IMO) data. About 61pc, or 9,127 of all bulk carriers sized 5,000 gross tonnes (gt) and over that reported their energy efficiency, scored C, D or E on the CII scale in 2023, according to the IMO data. IMO's CII regulation, which came into force in January 2023, requires vessels over 5,000 gt to report their carbon intensity, which is then scored from A to E. A and B vessel scores are regarded as superior energy efficiency, while C, D and E are considered moderate to inferior scores. The scoring levels are lowered yearly by about 2pc, so even a vessel with no change in CII could drop from from C to D in one year. If a vessel receives a D score three years in a row or E score in the previous year, the vessel owner must submit a corrective actions plan. To improve its CII score, a ship owner could reduce its speed and burn low-carbon fuels, among other solutions. Global marine fuel demand from vessels of 5,000 gt and above dropped by 1pc to 211.1mn t in 2023, down from 213.4mn t in 2022, according to the latest IMO data. The drop could be attributed to the global economic slow-down in 2023, as well as vessels employing slow steaming to reduce marine fuel consumption. Residual fuel oil bunker demand was down by 2pc to 170.9mn t in 2023 from the previous year, according to IMO data. The IMO does not report separately high-sulphur and low-sulphur fuel oil demand. Global marine gasoil (MGO) demand fell by 6pc to 26.6mn t. An increase in methanol and LNG for bunkering demand offset some of the conventional marine fuel declines. LNG for bunkering demand rose by 18pc to 12.9mn t and methanol increased by 2.6 times to 93,876t. In 2023, container ships, bulk carriers and tankers accounted for 31pc, 30pc and 21pc, respectively, of global residual fuel oil bunker demand. Containers ships and bulk carriers accounted for the majority of the MGO demand, 18pc and 15pc, respectively. Tankers accounted for 93pc, or 87,319t, of total methanol demand and LNG carriers accounted for 89pc of LNG for bunkering demand, or 11.5mn t. By Stefka Wechsler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Nigeria sees significant gasoline output by November


24/08/20
24/08/20

Nigeria sees significant gasoline output by November

Lagos, 20 August (Argus) — Nigeria's government said "significant production increases" of gasoline from the 210,000 b/d Port Harcourt and 650,000 b/d Dangote refineries are "expected from November", which would have ramifications for balances in the region and in northwest Europe. First gasoline from Dangote is expected in September, said the office of Nigeria's co-ordinating minister of the economy. Industry sources told Argus that Dangote obtained regulatory approval to start its 247,000 b/d fluid catalytic cracker and 27,000 b/d alkylation units in April and May, respectively, but that the refiner seems to have deliberately delayed start-up of these secondary units. This is because it plans to sell much of its gasoline to the domestic market, where government intervention through state-owned NNPC continues to curtail prices. Sources at Port Harcourt told Argus that the restart of a 60,000 b/d section that has been delayed several times since April 2023 is on course to happen by 31 August. The refinery received 450,000 bl of domestic Bonny Light crude in the first half of July, the second supply of feedstock after 475,000 bl arrived between 28 December and 18 January. Nigeria's downstream regulator approved the movement of the crude from tank to refinery at the end of July, sources said. NNPC's trading subsidiary applied last week for permits to sell Port Harcourt kerosine and diesel domestically and permits to export naphtha and fuel oil, according to industry sources. The catalytic reformer and the reformer feed unit for the 60,000 b/d section will start early in October for upgrading of naphtha, sources said. Italian engineering firm Maire Tecnimont won a $1.5bn contract in April 2021 to restore Port Harcourt to 90pc of its nameplate capacity. It said in June that the project was 84.6pc complete, with procurement at 99pc, engineering at 98pc and construction at 73pc. The co-ordinating minister's office also said a programme for NNPC to sell crude to Dangote in the local naira currency will start on 1 October. NNPC has supplied Dangote with crude since the refinery started up in December 2023, but payments have so far been in dollars. The government said the programme will offer a "lifeline to Dangote refinery", which has complained about the dollar prices and available volumes of Nigerian crude grades it has been able to buy. Sources told Argus that NNPC sold Dangote more than 3.6mn bl of crude in July, including a 720,000 bl cargo of Brass River — the first of that grade. A government source told Argus today that details of the NNPC-Dangote programme will not be disclosed until after its implementation in September. But it could be structured as a crude-for-gasoline swap, denominated in US dollars and reflecting international market prices but settled in the equivalent naira amounts. This would allay Dangote's concerns about dollar expenditure, guarantee sales and ensure market value for gasoline sold domestically. It would also remove NNPC's need to import gasoline, with Dangote's capacity alone exceeding Nigeria's domestic demand. NNPC has been Nigeria's sole importer of gasoline since 2017, with the exception of about eight cargoes received by independents in 2023. After years of crude-for-gasoline swap deals, NNPC has been importing on a cash basis since November 2023, mainly from the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) hub in northwest Europe. Nigeria is the largest consumer of gasoline in west Africa, and a key outlet for excess European production. By Adebiyi Olusolape Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US housing construction softens in July, flux steady


24/08/19
24/08/19

US housing construction softens in July, flux steady

Houston, 19 August (Argus) — Housing permits and starts both fell in July to four-year lows as persistently high borrowing costs continued to weigh on the housing market, and roofing flux prices remained unchanged. Total housing starts fell by 6.8pc to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.238mn in July from June's revised numbers, according to the US Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is down 16pc from July 2023, the month the Federal Reserve hiked its target lending rate to its current level, the highest in 23 years. It represents the lowest rate of housing starts since 1.053mn in May 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic closed down much of the US economy. Railed roofing flux prices remained unchanged in July even as production costs strengthened over June. WTI crude futures rose from $73.25/bl in early June to $83.88/bl on 3 July. Gulf coast flux values were flat at $495/st in July from June as were midcontinent flux prices at $477.50/st. Permits were issued at a rate of 1.396mn in July. This is down 4pc from June and 7pc down from July 2023. This was the lowest rate of permit issuance since June 2020. High borrowing costs appear to have a more acutely negative impact on the housing market the longer they remain elevated. Starts and permits were both at their lowest rate since the middle of 2020 when Covid-19 paralyzed a large portion of the US housing market and the economy was just emerging from a brief, sharp recession. Single-family starts extended their decline into a fifth month, down 14pc to a rate of 851,000 in July from the prior month and off by 15pc from July 2023. Starts on multifamily structures of five or more units climbed 12pc to 363,000 units started in July from the prior month but were down by 24pc from a year earlier Single-family housing permits were issued at a rate of 938,000 units in June, down 0.1pc from June marking the sixth straight month of decreases. This was 1.6pc lower than July 2023. Multifamily permits fell by 12.4pc on the month. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to start lowering borrowing costs at its policy meeting next month after holding its target rate at a 23-year high of 5.25-5.5pc since July of last year. Consumer inflation eased to an annual 2.9pc in July, the lowest in three years. The labor market has also shown signs of weakening among other softer data, including recent slides in stock prices, that triggered recession concerns. This has all led futures markets to give near certain odds of rate cuts beginning next month. They will be too late to shore up the housing market this year, but a sustained pace of rate cuts into 2025 may boost construction and sales next year. Construction industry expectations Construction materials companies noted mixed outlooks in second quarter earnings calls as housing starts and permits reached four-year lows. Owens Corning expects new construction to grow in the long-term as borrowing costs ease but sees near-term weakness. CRH expects new-build residential construction to remain weak on affordability constraints. Martin Marietta noted stronger single-family housing markets in the Carolinas and Georgia and expects recent inflation and employment data to support lower interest rates. By Aaron May and Cobin Eggers Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Massive Canadian rail disruptions move closer


24/08/19
24/08/19

Massive Canadian rail disruptions move closer

Washington, 19 August (Argus) — A Canadian rail workers union and two major Canadian railroads moved closer to a disruptive nationwide strike on 22 August, with the union issuing on Sunday a 3-day strike notice to Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) and fellow railroad Canadian National (CN) telling the union it will lock employees out that same day. A strike by workers from the Teamsters Canada Rail Conference would cause widespread disruptions to commodity deliveries across North America. The major carriers last week began to embargo shipments of hazardous materials between the US and Canada. Canadian National expects to issue new embargoes today. Its shutdown plan began last Monday. "Unfortunately, we have no choice but to keep moving forward with this plan which means that by Thursday morning, no goods will be moving on the railroad," the railroad said. CPKC similarly began to implement shutdown plans last week. Tomorrow it will begin embargoing all shipments originating in Canada and all US shipments headed to Canada. Contracts between the Teamsters and each railroad expired at the end of last year. Employees have continued to work under those agreements but that is nearing an end as the parties remain far apart on many issues including pay and work hours. The union and railroads' strategies differ. The Teamsters so far have only issued a strike notice at one carrier. Contract negotiations are occurring separately with each railroad. "The only reason we served strike notice at [Canadian Pacific Kansas City] is because the company was set to cancel our expired collective agreements," the union said. "This would have created a situation where our members had no rights or protections at work." The union claimed CPKC is pressuring it for concession that would make it " harder for workers to predict when they might be called for work, creating a fatigue-related safety risk." The union also said the carrier was trying to change work rules related to being held away from home, and undermining Canada Labour Code provisions. CPKC in turn told the Teamsters it will lock out employees on 22 August unless the two parties are able to come to either a negotiated agreement or agree to binding arbitration. The Teamsters said late Sunday that, at that time, it did not intend to issue a strike against Canadian National. But Canadian National said it will lock employees out "unless an agreement or binding arbitration is achieved" before before 12:01am ET on 22 August. "Despite negotiations over the weekend, no meaningful progress has occurred, and the parties remain very far apart," Canadian National said. By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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