Nigeria sees significant gasoline output by November

: Oil products
24/08/20

Nigeria's government said "significant production increases" of gasoline from the 210,000 b/d Port Harcourt and 650,000 b/d Dangote refineries are "expected from November", which would have ramifications for balances in the region and in northwest Europe.

First gasoline from Dangote is expected in September, said the office of Nigeria's co-ordinating minister of the economy.

Industry sources told Argus that Dangote obtained regulatory approval to start its 247,000 b/d fluid catalytic cracker and 27,000 b/d alkylation units in April and May, respectively, but that the refiner seems to have deliberately delayed start-up of these secondary units. This is because it plans to sell much of its gasoline to the domestic market, where government intervention through state-owned NNPC continues to curtail prices.

Sources at Port Harcourt told Argus that the restart of a 60,000 b/d section that has been delayed several times since April 2023 is on course to happen by 31 August. The refinery received 450,000 bl of domestic Bonny Light crude in the first half of July, the second supply of feedstock after 475,000 bl arrived between 28 December and 18 January.

Nigeria's downstream regulator approved the movement of the crude from tank to refinery at the end of July, sources said.

NNPC's trading subsidiary applied last week for permits to sell Port Harcourt kerosine and diesel domestically and permits to export naphtha and fuel oil, according to industry sources. The catalytic reformer and the reformer feed unit for the 60,000 b/d section will start early in October for upgrading of naphtha, sources said.

Italian engineering firm Maire Tecnimont won a $1.5bn contract in April 2021 to restore Port Harcourt to 90pc of its nameplate capacity. It said in June that the project was 84.6pc complete, with procurement at 99pc, engineering at 98pc and construction at 73pc.

The co-ordinating minister's office also said a programme for NNPC to sell crude to Dangote in the local naira currency will start on 1 October. NNPC has supplied Dangote with crude since the refinery started up in December 2023, but payments have so far been in dollars. The government said the programme will offer a "lifeline to Dangote refinery", which has complained about the dollar prices and available volumes of Nigerian crude grades it has been able to buy.

Sources told Argus that NNPC sold Dangote more than 3.6mn bl of crude in July, including a 720,000 bl cargo of Brass River — the first of that grade.

A government source told Argus today that details of the NNPC-Dangote programme will not be disclosed until after its implementation in September. But it could be structured as a crude-for-gasoline swap, denominated in US dollars and reflecting international market prices but settled in the equivalent naira amounts. This would allay Dangote's concerns about dollar expenditure, guarantee sales and ensure market value for gasoline sold domestically. It would also remove NNPC's need to import gasoline, with Dangote's capacity alone exceeding Nigeria's domestic demand.

NNPC has been Nigeria's sole importer of gasoline since 2017, with the exception of about eight cargoes received by independents in 2023. After years of crude-for-gasoline swap deals, NNPC has been importing on a cash basis since November 2023, mainly from the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) hub in northwest Europe. Nigeria is the largest consumer of gasoline in west Africa, and a key outlet for excess European production.

By Adebiyi Olusolape

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25/04/08

Keystone oil pipeline shut down after ND spill: Update

Adds latest pricing for US, Canadian sour crudes. Calgary, 8 April (Argus) — North American sour crude prices rose relative to their benchmarks today after the 622,000 b/d Keystone pipeline carrying Canadian crude was shut down following a spill in North Dakota. Canadian crude prices on either side of the spill diverged in Tuesday's trading, with Western Canadian Select (WCS) at Hardisty, Alberta, trading between a $9.15-11/bl discount to the CMA Nymex, with the midpoint representing a widening of about $1/bl day-over-day. WCS at the Texas Gulf coast was up by about 45¢/bl from its prior assessment, trading at a $2.60/bl discount to CMA Nymex. Fellow Canadian heavy sour Cold Lake meanwhile was up by a similar level, trading between $2.25-$2.65/bl discounts against CMA Nymex. The Keystone system is a major route for Canadian heavy crude destined for both the US midcontinent and the Gulf coast. Pipeline operator South Bow initiated a shutdown at 8:42am ET Tuesday after the leak occurred about 6 miles south of Kathryn, North Dakota, according to North Dakota environmental quality program manager Bill Suess. A pipeline employee working on a pump station along the route heard what he described as a "mechanical bang" prompting him to shut down the pipeline, which took about two minutes, Suess said. Crude was then seen surfacing in an agricultural field about 300 yards south of the pump station, where it was contained. Suess said there is no impact to a nearby stream. South Bow estimates about 3,500 bl was released. No restart timeline The company and government officials did not have an estimate for when the pipeline would restart. Next steps involve assessing the area for other utilities before excavating down to the 30-inch pipeline to make repairs. The US Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA) said it has dispatched personnel to the scene to conduct a failure investigation. Today's upset is the latest of several incidents to disrupt the market since it was commissioned in 2010. The pipeline halted flows for more than three weeks in December 2022 after it spilled about 12,937 bl of oil in Washington County, Kansas. A crack in a flawed weld was determined to be the cause. Once fixed, PHMSA allowed the line to operate again, but at a reduced pressure. Only last month did PMHSA give South Bow the green light to increase pressure again . Other US prices affected Louisiana-delivered Mars and Thunder Horse widened their premiums over the Domestic Sweet (DSW) benchmark by over 30¢/bl, trading at 80¢-$1/bl premiums and $1.80-$1.90/bl premiums to the basis, respectively. Texas-delivered Southern Green Canyon (SGC) traded as strong as a 60¢/bl discount against the Cushing basis Tuesday morning, after trading at $1/bl discount for the prior two sessions. April DSW was exchanged for May in the Cushing physical spot market at premiums as high 60-70¢/bl, from roughly 45¢/bl on the final day of the April trade month on 25 March. In the futures market, May Nymex WTI has moved up to end the session at a 48¢/bl premium to June, rising from a 26¢/bl premium at settlement in the prior session. DSW is the assumed grade for delivery into the Nymex contract. It is blended to specifications in Cushing and is comprised of various crudes, including Canadian grades. The appreciating differentials came despite pressure from weak export demand from the US Gulf coast. By Brett Holmes, Mykah Briscoe and Amanda Smith Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US faults EU carbon fee during tariff fight

25/04/08

US faults EU carbon fee during tariff fight

Washington, 8 April (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration is citing the EU's upcoming tariff on carbon-intensive imports as one of the "unfair trade practices" that justified a tariff response. Trump has said a 20pc tariff on most EU goods and a higher tariff on many other key trading partners — set to take effect after midnight — are "reciprocal" to other countries' tariffs and non-tariff barriers, even though those tariffs are calculated based on each country's trade deficits and imports with the US. Trump has yet to even identify which trade policies he wants other countries to change before he would withdraw tariffs his administration expects will raise $600bn/yr in new revenue. But the US Trade Representative's office, in a social media post on Monday made in "honor" of Trump's tariffs, identified the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) — which will collect a carbon-based levy on imports such as steel, cement and fertilizer — as one of the examples of what it sees as an unfair trading practice. The Trump administration estimates $4.7bn/yr of US exports would be affected by the CBAM, which is set to take effect in 2026. "These EU regulations undermine fair competition, penalizing US companies while providing advantages to EU-based competitors," the US Trade Representative's office wrote in a series of posts on Tuesday that also criticized India and Thailand for imposing import restrictions on ethanol produced in the US. White House officials say more than 70 countries have approached the administration seeking deals on the tariffs since they were announced nearly a week ago. But with just hours before the tariffs take effect, Trump has yet to announce any definitive agreements to withdraw the tariffs. Instead, he has rejected offers from countries to zero out some of their tariffs. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen on Monday said the EU was "ready to negotiate" on tariffs, and would zero out its tariffs on industrial imports if the US agreed to do the same. But Trump on Monday said that offer was not enough. "We have a deficit with the European Union of $350bn, and it's gonna disappear fast," Trump said. "One of the ways that that can disappear easily and quickly is they're gonna have to buy our energy from us." Today, Trump said he had a "great call" with South Korea's acting president Han Duck-soo that created the "probability of a great DEAL for both countries." Trump cited a potential agreement that might include large-scale purchases of US LNG and investments tied to the 20mn t/yr Alaska LNG export project. Trump and his cabinet believe the tariffs will align with a goal to achieve "energy dominance" and increase the amount of US energy exported abroad. "At the end of the day, we're going to have growing American exports and reindustrialize the country," US energy secretary Chris Wright said today during an interview on CNBC. Trump's tariffs have already caused a selloff in equities and, according to many analysts on Wall Street, a higher likelihood of a recession. Oil prices have dropped because of a "sudden change in the economic outlook, whereas everyone just honestly 10 days ago was expecting modest but steady positive growth in the US", non-profit group Center for Strategic and International Studies' senior fellow Clayton Seigle said today. Republicans have largely backed Trump in his imposition of tariffs, with the hope the tariffs will be lifted as part of trade negotiations. But some Republicans have started criticizing the rationale for the tariff policy. "Whose throat do I get to choke if this proves to be wrong?" US senator Thom Tillis (R-North Carolina) said in a hearing today with the US trade representative Jamieson Greer. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexican peso weakens on US tariff fears

25/04/08

Mexican peso weakens on US tariff fears

Mexico City, 8 April (Argus) — The Mexican peso has weakened in recent days amid growing fears that US president Donald Trump's new wave of tariffs could derail the US economy and, in turn, slash Mexico's economic growth, financial analysts said. After Trump announced a series of new import tariffs on what he dubbed "Liberation Day" on 2 April, the peso initially reacted positively, as Mexico was largely spared from the measures, thanks to protections under the US-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) free trade agreement. The current tariff structure largely remains in place, which means zero tariffs on products under the USMCA agreement, except for steel, aluminum and finalized// assembled automobiles. Auto parts under USMCA still face zero tariffs. These exceptions, and other non-USMCA-compliant products, maintain 25pc tariffs on non-US content, analysts Barclays said. The peso appreciated more than 3.2pc to Ps19.97/$1 on 3 April from Ps20.4/$1 on 2 April, according to data from Mexico's central bank (Banxico). The exemptions could make Mexico more attractive in the medium- and long-term to manufacturers aiming to avoid US tariffs, Barclays said. Yet, investors are now concerned about the broader economic fallout of the escalating US-China trade conflict. "The Mexican peso is one of the most depreciated currencies [as of 7 April], because even though Mexico has not been hit with reciprocal tariffs and benefits from USMCA, the economic impact of tariffs on the US economy could significantly affect Mexico," said Gabriela Siller, chief economist at Mexican bank Banco Base. The peso weakened to Ps20.50/$1 on 4 April, from Ps19.97/$1 on 3 April, and continued weakening, closing at Ps20.69/$1 on 7 April, a 2.3pc depreciation over the last week. Year over year, the peso has tanked 21pc, affected by multiple reforms diminishing Mexico's business environment that passed in late 2024, Trump's electoral victory in November, and now by Trump's tariffs. Mexico's GDP is expected to grow by 0.2pc this year, according to a new Citi survey of 32 bank analysts, with nine forecasting zero or negative growth because of the potential fallout from US trade policy. On 1 April, Mexico's finance ministry lowered its 2025 GDP forecast to 1.5–2.3pc, down from 2–3pc. That's still more optimistic than the central bank and private analysts, who expect growth of only 0.7pc , citing uncertainty over US policy and tariff threats. By Édgar Sígler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Italy's Augusta refinery begins restart operations

25/04/08

Italy's Augusta refinery begins restart operations

Barcelona, 8 April (Argus) — Algerian state-owned Sonatrach has begun restarting units at its 198,000 b/d refinery at Augusta, Sicily, following planned maintenance. The refinery has been having a full five-year turnaround, its first since spring 2019, closely following the purchase of the plant from ExxonMobil at the end of 2018. Sonatrach progressively shut units from around the turn of January-February and said it is restarting them in the same manner. The resumption of operations is underway, it said. The firm is aiming to restart a string of units by 15 April including a propane-butane splitter and LPG Merox unit, a fuels vacuum distillation unit (VDU), a crude distillation unit (CDU), a desulphuriser, a de-waxing unit and a pair of reformers. The firm said there would be flaring and noise during the process. The remaining CDU, the refinery's catalytic cracker (FCC), propylene splitter, lubricants VDU and other units will be restarted between 15-30 April. Market participants have said they expect the first oil products cargoes to be available from Augusta around the middle of the month. By Adam Porter Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Flooding on US rivers mires barge transit

25/04/07

Flooding on US rivers mires barge transit

Houston, 7 April (Argus) — Barge transit slowed across the Arkansas, Ohio and lower Mississippi rivers over the weekend because of flooding, which prompted the US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) to close locks and issue transit restrictions along the waterways. The Corps advised all small craft to limit or halt transit on the McClellan-Kerr Arkansas River Navigation System (MCKARNS) in Arkansas because flows reached above 200,000 cubic feet per second (cfs), nearly three times the high-water flow. The heavy flow is expected to persist throughout the week, posing risks to those transiting the river system, said the Corps. Some barges have halted movement on the river, temporarily miring fertilizer resupply efforts in Arkansas and Oklahoma in the middle of the urea application season. The Corps forecasts high flows to continue into Friday, and the National Weather Service predicts several locations along the MCKARNS will maintain a moderate to minor flood stage into Friday as well. Both the Arthur V Ormond Lock and the Toad Suck Ferry Lock, upriver from Little Rock, Arkansas, shut on 6 April because of the high flows. Flows along the Little Rock Corps district reached 271,600cfs on 7 April. The Corps forecasts high flows to continue into Friday. Ohio and lower Mississippi rivers The Corps restricted barge transit between Cincinnati, Ohio, and Cairo, Illinois, on the Ohio River to mitigate barge transportation risks, with the Corps closing two locks on the Ohio River on 6 April and potentially four more in the coming days. Major barge carrier American Commercial Barge Line (ACBL) anticipates dock and fleeting operations will be suspended at certain locations along the Mississippi and Ohio rivers as a result of the flooding. NWS forecasters anticipate major flooding levels to persist through the following week. Barge carriers also expect a backlog of up to two weeks in the region. To alleviate flooding at Cairo, Illinois, where the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers meet, the Corps increased water releases at the Barkley Dam on the Cumberland River and the Kentucky Dam on the Tennessee River. The Markland Lock, downriver from Cincinnati, Ohio, and the Newburgh lock near Owensboro, Kentucky, closed on 6 April. The Corps expects the full closure to remain until each location reaches its crest of nearly 57ft, which could occur on 8 or 9 April, according to the National Weather Service (NWS). Around 50 vessels or more are waiting to transit each lock, according to the Lock Status Report published by the Corps on 7 April. The Corps also shut a chamber at both Cannelton and McAlpine locks. The John T Myers and Smithland locks may close on 7 April as well, the Corps said. The Olmsted Lock, the final lock before the Ohio and Mississippi rivers, will require a 3mph limit for any traffic passing through. The NWS expects roughly 10-15 inches of precipitation fell along the Ohio and Mississippi River valleys earlier this month, inducing severe flooding across the Ohio and Mississippi River valleys. A preliminary estimate from AccuWeather stated an estimated loss of $80-90bn in damages from the extreme flooding. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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