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UK parliament approves SAF mandate from 2025

  • : Biofuels, E-fuels, Electricity, Hydrogen, Oil products
  • 24/11/06

The UK parliament has approved the proposed sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) mandate that will come into effect on 1 January, 2025.

Obligated suppliers will have to deliver a 2pc share of SAF in 2025, increasing to 10pc in 2030, 15pc in 2035 and 22pc in 2040. The obligation will remain at 22pc from 2040 "until there is greater certainty regarding SAF supply".

The obligation arises at the point at which a supplier's jet fuel can be supplied only to UK aviation.

Hydrotreated esters and fatty acids (HEFA) SAF can be used to meet 100pc of SAF demand in 2025 and 2026, but will be capped at 71pc in 2030 and 35pc in 2040. An obligation for Power-to-Liquid (PtL) SAF will be introduced from 2028 at 0.2pc of total jet fuel demand, rising to 0.5pc in 2030 and 3.5pc in 2040.

Buy-out mechanisms will be set at the equivalent of £4.70/l ($6.10/l) and £5.00/l ($6.50/l) for the main and PtL obligations, respectively.

"It is projected that, between 2025 and 2040, the SAF mandate could deliver up to 25mn t of SAF, securing a saving of up to 54mn t of carbon dioxide", said transport minister John Hendy.

The UK confirmed on 17 July it will introduce the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (Revenue Support Mechanism) bill to support SAF production. The government previously said it aims to introduce the mechanism, which will be industry funded, by the end of 2026.

"Together with the SAF mandate, [the mechanism] will give the investment community confidence to invest in these novel and innovative technologies", Hendy said.


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25/02/15

EU may trigger clause to boost defense spending

EU may trigger clause to boost defense spending

Munich, 15 February (Argus) — European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen wants to trigger an emergency clause that would allow member EU countries to significantly increase their spending on defense. She also warned that "unjust" tariffs on the EU will not go unanswered. Speaking at the Munich Security Conference on Friday, Von der Leyen said she "will propose to activate the escape clause for defense investments". Such a move would "allow member states to substantially increase their defense expenditure", she said. Von der Leyen's proposal would exempt defense from EU limits on government spending. Highly indebted EU members such as Italy and Greece have voiced support for the move, arguing that activating the escape clause would enable them to increase defense spending while avoiding other budget cuts. Fiscally conservative EU countries, including Germany, could push back against the idea. Von der Leyen's proposal comes at a sensitive time for the EU, with US president Donald Trump pressuring Europe to finance more of its own defense. Trump wants EU members of Nato to more than double military expenditure to protect themselves from potential aggression rather than leaning on Washington's support. Trump is also pushing to end the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. "Let there be no room for any doubt. I believe when it comes to European security, Europe has to do more. Europe must bring more to the table," Von der Leyen said, adding that the EU needs to increase its military spending from just below 2pc of GDP to above 3pc. The increase "will mean hundreds of billions of euros of more investment every year", she said. Tariffs will be answered Von der Leyen also reemphasized the EU's position on the recent US tariff decision, noting that tariffs act like a tax and drive inflation. "But as I've already made clear, unjustified tariffs on the European Union will not go unanswered," she said. "And let me speak plainly, we are one of the world's largest markets. We will use our tools to safeguard our economic security and interests, and we will protect our workers, our businesses and consumers at every turn," she added. Trump on 11 February imposed a 25pc tariff on all US imports of steel and aluminum effective on 12 March, although he said he would consider making an exemption for imports from Australia. US 25pc tariffs on steel and aluminum imports could result in a 3.7mn t/yr decrease in European steel exports, as the US is the second-largest export market for the bloc, European steel association Eurofer said. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Lack of tariff details worry US energy markets


25/02/14
25/02/14

Lack of tariff details worry US energy markets

Washington, 14 February (Argus) — Uncertainty over potential tariffs on US imports from Canada and Mexico is already roiling North American energy trade, as trading desks struggle to understand how tariffs would be assessed and some buyers are unwilling to commit to taking March cargoes without more details. US president Donald Trump's planned 10pc tariff on energy commodity imports from Canada and a 25pc import tax on Mexican energy was originally set for 4 February but he postponed implementation until 4 March. The three governments are negotiating to avert a full-blown trade war, and many market participants are hoping that Trump would again delay their implementation after winning some concessions, as he did earlier this month. But even without tariffs in place, vast segments of the energy industry — oil and gas producers, refiners, pipeline operators, traders — are bracing for them. Energy trade across North America has been tariff-free for decades. Trump during his first term terminated the 1994 North America Free Trade Agreement, but replaced it with the US-Mexico-Canada trade agreement in 2020 that kept the energy trade terms unchanged. The sudden imposition of tariffs after decades of free trade could create legal uncertainty in contractual obligations related to the payment of tariffs and reporting requirements, law firm Vinson & Elkins partner Jason Fleischer told Argus . "It's been a long time since oil and gas pipelines have really had to deal with anything quite like this." At least one large Canadian refiner attempted to pass along the tariff to gasoline cargo buyers in the US ahead of the original 4 February start date, leading a few buyers to threaten to pull out of their contracts, market sources told Argus . Complicating the matter is the approach taken by the Trump administration to impose import taxes differs greatly from current trade terms. The regular US customs duties on crude, for example, are currently set in volumetric terms, at 5.25¢/bl and 10.5¢/bl depending on crude quality. In practice, nearly every source of US crude imports is exempt from tariffs at present. But the import tax set out in Trump's executive orders is to be imposed on the value of the commodity — without specifying how that will be calculated and at what specific point during the transportation process. Likewise, guidance on the new tariffs from the US Customs and Border Patrol (CBP), given just before the original 4 February deadline, did not address the specific issues relating to the energy commodities. CBP and the Treasury Department will have to issue regulations spelling out specific details on how tariffs are to be assessed and collected, Vinson & Elkins partner Jeff Jakubiak said. "The advice we're giving to companies is to collect information and get ready to provide it to the government at some point in the future," Jakubiak said. If tariffs go into effect, "there is likely to be a combination of reporting obligations by the transporter as well as the owner of the commodity. And in both cases, my advice is, figure out how you can accurately count and assign volumes that are moving across the border and figure out how you would price those." Market effects also uncertain The uncertainty over the timing and details of implementation of tariffs have left the affected market participants having to guess who will carry the burden of new taxes. The discount for Western Canadian Select (WCS) crude at Hardisty, Alberta, to the CMA Nymex WTI contract widened on the eve of the initial 4 February deadline of tariffs, suggesting that market participants expected Canadian producers to bear the brunt of tariffs. But over time, that burden likely will shift depending on individual market power of buyers and sellers. This could hit refiners in the US midcontinent that currently rely on WCS and have few alternatives to taking Canadian crude. They could, in turn, pass on the additional costs to consumers at the pump. US independent refiner PBF Energy said this week that tariffs would likely cut US midcon refinery runs , even if those refiners could find alternatives to Canadian crudes. Most Mexico-sourced crude markets are seaborne, giving producers in that country an alternative to US markets. "For this scenario, we anticipate [US Gulf coast] refiners will reduce consumption to the lower limit of their contractual obligations but will continue to purchase Mexican crude and pay the tariff via reduced refining margins," investment bank Macquarie said in a recent note to clients. Canadian producers also expressed concern about the uncertain impact of tariffs on crude volumes trans-shipped through the US, either for exports to third country destinations from Gulf coast ports or transported on US pipelines to destinations in eastern Canada. Without guidance from the US customs authorities, it is not clear if such flows would be subject to new US tariffs. Integrated oil sands producer Suncor's refineries on the Canadian east coast rely on crude flows from Enbridge's 540,000 b/d Line 5 or 500,000 b/d Line 78 that cross into the US in Michigan before crossing back into Canada. "I would say that I don't know that anyone on the planet knows exactly what's going to happen on tariffs," chief executive Rich Kruger said. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil’s offshore wind gains momentum


25/02/14
25/02/14

Brazil’s offshore wind gains momentum

New York, 14 February (Argus) — Brazil is preparing for its first offshore wind projects following the approval of legislation that establishes a regulatory framework for investments in the sector. Industry leaders anticipate that this legal foundation will accelerate development, with the first auction for offshore wind areas expected soon. The move comes as Brazil seeks to leverage its vast wind resources and address slowing growth in its onshore wind sector. "The offshore wind law was approved at the right moment," said Elbia Gannoum, president of Brazilian wind association Abeeolica. "Brazil has one of the largest wind generation potentials, and without this law, the country risked missing investment opportunities." The new legislation comes as onshore wind expansion slows. After nearly 5GW of new wind capacity was added in 2023, investment declined, with capacity expanding by just 3.3GW last year, according to Abeeolica. A lack of demand from power distributors in energy auctions and an oversupply of power generation capacity have contributed to the slowdown. With limited demand for new projects, equipment suppliers have scaled back operations, and in some cases, suspended activities in Brazil. With the offshore wind law in place, the sector is optimistic that the government will hold its first auction for offshore wind areas this year or in early 2026. Awarding these areas would pave the way for Brazil's first offshore wind projects to begin operations by 2031 or 2032. Before the auction, the government must finalize regulations for the sector, which Gannoum expects will be complete this year. Companies have already begun preparing for the auction, conducting assessments of wind speeds, power transmission infrastructure and supply chains, according to Ricardo de Luca, Brazil country director for UK offshore wind developer Corio Generation. Once the areas are awarded, project development could take up to four years, followed by an auction for power purchase agreements in 2028, de Luca estimates. Corio plans to develop five offshore wind projects in Brazil, totaling 5GW of installed capacity. Wind developers warn that Brazil must also prepare its power transmission infrastructure for future offshore wind projects. "Even though areas haven't been awarded, the mines and energy ministry must start planning transmission infrastructure in regions with significant offshore wind potential," said Fernando Elias, regulatory director at Casa dos Ventos. "Without long-term planning, infrastructure bottlenecks could prevent projects from moving forward." While transmission constraints could pose challenges, Brazil has an advantage in developing offshore wind thanks to its established offshore oil and gas industry, said Renato Machado dos Santos, regional director of renewable energy at RES. "There is significant overlap in the supply chains for offshore wind and oil, which will not only accelerate investment but also make Brazil a more attractive destination for investors." Opportunities ahead? Despite potential hurdles, offshore wind developers remain cautiously optimistic. US president Donald Trump's 20 January executive order suspending offshore wind leasing and permitting could shift more investor interest toward Brazil. "Trump's policies have redirected attention to Brazil," de Luca said, adding that the Brazilian government has demonstrated a long-term commitment to renewable energy development. Beyond the offshore wind law, other recent legislation is expected to bolster demand for power from future offshore wind projects. This includes the approval of the low-carbon hydrogen law, which will drive demand for green fertilizer production. Additionally, the expansion of data centers for artificial intelligence and growing electricity demand from electric vehicle adoption will contribute to future power consumption in Brazil, a share of which will come from offshore wind projects, Gannoum said. Brazil’s onshore wind capacity GW Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Serbia aims to couple its electricity market in 4Q26


25/02/14
25/02/14

Serbia aims to couple its electricity market in 4Q26

London, 14 February (Argus) — Serbia aims to couple its day-ahead power market with the European market through its borders with Hungary and Bulgaria by the fourth quarter of 2026, but whether it will receive an exemption from the EU's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) remains unclear, market operations specialist at Serbian electricity exchange Seepex Milos Mosurovic has told Argus . The fourth quarter of 2026 is the first available time slot for EU-led regulatory body Energy Community constituent states to join the EU's single day-ahead coupling scheme and was assigned by the market coupling steering committee, Mosurovic said. But market coupling is a prerequisite for exemption from the CBAM, which is planned to go into effect on 1 January 2026. Energy Community members previously agreed to the 2022 Electricity Integration Package, which would provide an exemption from the CBAM until 2030 if they coupled with the European market and met other requirements by 2026. But Energy Community Secretariat director Artur Lorkowski recently said in an interview with Argus that Energy Community constituent states probably will not receive a CBAM exemption , as they have not achieved market coupling, which is a precondition for exemption. But Lorkowski did acknowledge that "greater clarity is needed" on specific criteria to determine when a third country may be considered to have ''an electricity market that is integrated with the union". This lack of clarity, along with the procedural meetings, have created market uncertainty surrounding whether and how the CBAM could be applied to Energy Community constituent states. "All relevant participants in the energy sector are aware that [Energy Community] countries will not couple until [after] 1 January 2026," Mosurovic said. "This is why we do not know what to expect regarding the CBAM." If the CBAM was applied to electricity flows, an EU emissions trading system (ETS) equivalent would be applied to Serbian electricity flows beginning on 1 January 2026. The implementation of an EU ETS equivalent was deemed to be the most expensive of four models that could be introduced into the Energy Community region, as it would lead to an increase of 13-29pc more than the baseline scenario calculated on the electricity market as of July last year, an Energy Community ministerial council report published in December shows. The four proposed models are a regional ETS, a fixed-price ETS, a carbon tax and integration into the existing EU ETS. The final option was ranked the lowest for feasibility from a legal and technical standpoint. And the method of the application of the CBAM to electricity flows has not been revealed. According to an Energy Community report from October , it is not possible to separate electricity exports from transit flows based on currently available data, and therefore it is possible that both export and transit volumes will be subject to the CBAM, as transactions for electricity entering the EU from contracting parties were declared solely as imports regardless of origin. Thermal power plants among community contracting parties have benefited from access to the EU's integrated electricity market, but have not been subject to the EU ETS, despite all coal and lignite-fired thermal power plants in the region considered to be in breach of the requirements of the EU's large combustion plant directive. But thermal capacity remains key in the Balkans, despite more renewables entering the power mix. Coal-fired generation accounts for about 40pc of annual domestic generation in the region. By Annemarie Pettinato Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Biomethanol-methanol diff widens, UK demand ticks up


25/02/14
25/02/14

Biomethanol-methanol diff widens, UK demand ticks up

London, 14 February (Argus) — The spread between biomethanol and conventional methanol is the highest in more than nine months, at $734/t. This is partly driven by falling European methanol prices, with the methanol fob Rotterdam barge quote hitting $348.97/t on 12 February, the lowest since 7 August. Increased imports from the US, and the restart of a 900,000 t/yr capacity European plant have put downward pressure on prices. Biomethanol values ticked higher in recent sessions, tracking gains in the wider biofuels complex after record low values for renewable fuel tickets — tradeable credits generated primarily by the sale of biofuel-blended fuels — in major European demand centres in 2024. European demand for biofuels in 2025 could be supported by a combination of higher mandates for the use of renewables in transport, and by changes to regulations on the carryover of renewable fuels tickets in Germany and in the Netherlands . UK biomethanol prices and demand rise In the UK, the Argus cif biomethanol price has averaged $1,110/t so far in February, a $22/t increase from January and a $60/t rise from the September 2024 average, when prices hit a record low. The price averaged around $1,094/t in February last year. Prices have been in part supported by stronger renewable fuel ticket prices (RTFCs) in the UK recently, according to market participants. UK 2025 non-crop RTFCs averaged 25.45p in the first quarter of 2025 so far, an increase of 1.88p when compared with the previous quarter. Demand picked up in the UK and the wider European market, including from voluntary sectors, at the beginning of the year, participants said. Biomethanol is used as a gasoline blending component in the UK. Consumption in the country in 2024 rose by 45pc on the year but was lower by 7.9pc than in 2022 at 58mn litres, according to the third provisional release of the 2024 Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation statistics. The Argus biomethanol fob Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) netback quote was $1,083/t on 12 February. FuelEU fuels demand The January rollout of the FuelEU Maritime regulations could increase demand for biomethanol in shipping. Ship operators traveling in to, out of and within EU territorial waters must reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity on a lifecycle basis by 2pc. The reduction rises to 6pc from 2030 and gradually reaches 80pc by 2050. Shipping companies can choose from a range of alternative marine fuels to reduce their emissions. Only dedicated ships can run on methanol alone, but many companies, including Maersk , have ordered dual-fuel vessels that can run on methanol and traditional bunker fuels, along with biofuel blends like B24 — a mix of very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) and used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome) biodiesel. International offtake agreements for renewable methanol are also on the rise. Maersk has signed several letters of intent for procurement of biomethanol and e-methanol from producers including Equinor , Proman and OCI Global , and has an agreement with Danish shipping and logistics company Goldwind for 500,000 t/yr from 2024. Biomethanol and e-methanol are likely to be the most competitive and scalable pathways to decarbonisation this decade, Maersk said . While relatively small, Maersk's 'green marine' fuel consumption, which includes biomethanol, increased by 38pc in 2024 to 3,034 GWh. Singaporean container shipping group X-Press Feeders said it will buy biomethanol from OCI's Texas plant starting from 2024. Biomethanol bunker sales in the port of Rotterdam dropped by more than half in the fourth quarter of 2024 compared with the third quarter, to 930t, but sales were 86pc higher than those in the fourth quarter of 2023, according to Port of Rotterdam data . UDB risk to biomethanol imports The European Commission's proposal to exclude automatic certification of biomethane and biomethane-based fuels from the Union Database for Biofuels, if relying on natural gas that has been transported through grids outside the EU, has been slowing some negotiations for 2025 biomethanol imports — particularly from the US — according to market participants. Industry bodies have expressed concerns about implementation of the database, particularly that it will impede the bloc's biomethane development. Burdensome fees, overly strict deadlines, risk of double counting, and a significantly increased number of participants required to enter data will slow market growth, said the European Compost Network and the European Waste Management Association. They recommend mandatory use of the UDB be postponed until 1 January 2026 "at the earliest". By Evelina Lungu Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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