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Maduro claims Venezuelan presidency, sanctions build

  • : Crude oil
  • 25/01/10

Nicolas Maduro took the oath of office for a third term as Venezuela's president today in a small ceremony, prompting more condemnation from countries that reject his claim to the title.

Cuban president Miguel Diaz-Canel arrived in Venezuela ahead of the 45-minute ceremony, held in a side room at the national assembly. Maduro promised a "term of peace" in brief comments. Only state media was allowed to film the event, which was much smaller than his past two inaugurations.

Opposition leader Edmundo Gonzalez, who has international support for his claim that he won the July presidential election, had said he would try to enter Venezuela from forced exile to claim the office.

The outgoing administration of President Joe Biden marked Maduro's inauguration by upping the bounty on him to $25mn, related to a criminal case filed by US federal prosecutors for the Venezuelan leader's alleged involved in drug trafficking.

"It is clear to the Venezuelan people, the United States and most of the world that Edmundo Gonzalez should be sworn in today as Venezuela's next president," a senior US official said.

But the Biden administration will not formally recognize Gonzalez as his country's legitimate leader — a decision that could have given him a say in managing some of Venezuela's foreign assets, including in the US.

"At this juncture, the US currently recognizes the democratically elected 2015 National Assembly as a legitimate government of Venezuela," the US official said.

The US also imposed sanctions on PdV president Hector Andres Obregon — another complication for PdV's foreign partners.

To constrain foreign revenue sources for Maduro's government, the US administration would continue to approve requests to seize Venezuelan sovereign assets in foreign countries to satisfy Caracas' debts, the US official said.

The most prominent of those cases is moving through a US federal court in Delaware, where Venezuela's creditors are close to finalizing the sale of PdV-owned US refiner Citgo.

But the Biden administration is not looking to revoke a license it granted in 2022, allowing Chevron to import into the US cargoes of oil produced in its joint venture with PdV — some 200,000 b/d last year.

Chevron's authorization "is a policy that we have been reviewing here at the highest levels for some time," the US official said. "One of the things that has driven our policy all along is a commitment to use strategic pressure on Maduro and his authorities when that is appropriate and will have proportionate impact."

The Biden team has held discussions with the incoming administration of president-elect Donald Trump on Venezuela, the official said. "Depending on the events that we see unfold in the next 10 days, we are ready to make a set of recommendations to the incoming administration with respect to the future of" licenses granted to Chevron and for some other foreign companies to operate in Venezuela.

Terms of peace

The inauguration drew other international actions.

Israel recognized Gonzalez as president of Venezuela today, describing Maduro as an "ally of Iran", adding its name to the long list of countries that do not recognize Maduro as president.

The EU also announced it was sanctioning another 15 Venezuelan nationals, including supreme court head magistrate Caryslia Rodriguez, who attended the ceremony today. There are now 70 Venezuelans, including military and civilian, present and former officials, under EU sanction.

Venezuela's response to the condemnation has been to increase military and policy control in Caracas, arrest protesters and threaten to "neutralize" any aircraft carrying Gonzalez in its airspace.

Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado was also briefly held on Thursday after emerging from several months of hiding to lead an anti-Maduro rally, her allies said.


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25/01/10

Next Canadian PM to be chosen on 9 March

Next Canadian PM to be chosen on 9 March

Calgary, 10 January (Argus) — Canada's next prime minister will be chosen on 9 March after a leadership race among the governing Liberals, the party announced late 9 January. Prime minister Justin Trudeau announced on 6 January that he would resign from his roles as head of the federal government and party but stay on until a successor was found. Canada's governor general, at Trudeau's request, delayed a return to Parliament by two months, buying his party time before elected officials return to session, now scheduled for 24 March. Opposition parties have vowed to bring down the government and trigger a general election at first opportunity, prompting the Liberals to expedite the leadership race. With the process now set, candidates will need to declare their participation by 23 January. At least two high profile Liberal cabinet members have said they are not planning to run for the top job. Minister of foreign affairs Mélanie Joly and minister of finance and intergovernmental affairs Dominic LeBlanc both said the threat of tariffs and economic pressures from US president-elect Donald Trump require their full attention at their current posts. Recent polls indicate the centre-right Conservatives would win a majority of seats in the House of Commons if an election were held today, ending the Liberal's reign that began in 2015. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has focused efforts on criticising potential Liberal leadership candidates, leaning into their connection to Trudeau, the state of immigration and the Canadian economy, and the carbon tax. This includes Trudeau's former finance minister Chrystia Freeland; the Liberal's chair of economic growth Mark Carney who is a former governor of both the Bank of Canada and Bank of England; and former British Columbia premier Christy Clark. "They're all Justin Trudeau. They're all just like Justin," said Poilievre on 9 January. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Venezuela opposition leader held, Gonzalez warned


25/01/09
25/01/09

Venezuela opposition leader held, Gonzalez warned

Caracas, 9 January (Argus) — Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado was detained for several hours today after leaving a rally to protest President Nicolas Maduro's disputed swearing-in on Friday, her allies said. Machado and her party members hold that their candidate, Edmundo Gonzalez, won a July presidential election, a claim supported by the US and many Latin American and other countries. The US kept in place broad sanctions against Venezuela's crude and energy industry in the wake of the contested election. Multiple black SUVs intercepted Machado while she traveled on motorcycle after the rally and forcibly took her while drones circled overhead, her allies confirmed. She was later released, they said, but she had not made a public appearance as of late Thursday afternoon. The Maduro government did not confirm Machado's detention. US representative Maria Elvira Salazar (R-Florida) vowed a response. "Our message to the Maduro regime is clear: If you attack Maria Corina Machado, we, the United States, will attack you", Salazar posted on social media. Venezuelan interior minister Diosdado Cabello has in turn threatened to "neutralize" any aircraft in national airspace carrying Gonzalez, who has said he will try to enter Venezuela on Friday to take the oath of office instead of Maduro. Gonzalez has been visiting multiple leaders in the region in the run-up to Maduro's ceremony, meeting with US president Joe Biden and president-elect Donald Trump's designated White House national security adviser Mike Waltz in Washington earlier this week. He has most recently visited the Dominican Republic and met with President Luis Abinader and other dignitaries there. Sources in Caracas say low turnout at pro-Maduro counter demonstrations today may have triggered the decision to arrest Machado. Trump's advisers have not disclosed whether they plan to tighten the US' sanctions against Venezuela, including whether they would remove exemptions allowing Chevron, Eni and Repsol to lift cargoes of oil produced in their joint ventures with state-owned PdV. Senate Foreign Relations Committee chairman Jim Risch (R-Idaho) unveiled a bill today that would condition a future removal of sanctions against Venezuela on the establishment of a democratically elected government in Caracas. But the bill, which enjoys backing of key Democrats on his committee, does not directly address Chevron's upstream exemption. By Carlos Camacho and Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico inflation ends 2024 near 4-year low


25/01/09
25/01/09

Mexico inflation ends 2024 near 4-year low

Mexico City, 9 January (Argus) — Mexico's consumer price index (CPI) eased to an annual 4.21pc in December, the lowest in nearly four years, as slowing agricultural prices offset increases in energy, consumer goods and services. This marks the lowest annual inflation since February 2021 and a significant slowdown from July's annual peak of 5.57pc, which was driven by weather-impacted food prices. Inflation slowed from 4.55pc in November, marking four months of declines in the past five months. It closed 2024 below the December 2023 reading of 4.66pc, as CPI continues to cool from its peak of 8.7pc in August/September 2022at the height of the global inflation crisis. The December headline rate slightly exceeded Mexican bank Banorte's 4.15pc forecast but aligned with its consensus estimate. Following the results, Banorte revised its end-2025 inflation projection to 4pc from 4.4pc and its core inflation estimate to 3.6pc from 3.7pc. The bank suggested that the data supports the possibility of earlier cuts in 2025 in the central bank's target rate, currently at 10pc. Citi Mexico's January survey of 32 analysts estimated a target rate of 8.50pc by the end of 2025, with the next cut of 25 basis points expected at the next central bank policy meeting on 25 February. The central bank is targeting annual CPI of 2-4pc. Core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy prices, accelerated to 3.65pc in December from 3.58pc in November, marking the first uptick after 22 consecutive months of deceleration, according to Mexico's statistics agency (Inegi). Services inflation sped up to 4.94pc from 4.9pc, while consumer goods inflation ticked up to 2.47pc from 2.4pc. Agricultural inflation moved to 6.57pc from 10.74pc in November, supported by favorable weather conditions. Banorte noted that the developing La Nina phenomenon could significantly impact meat prices in the coming months. Meanwhile, energy inflation accelerated to 5.73pc in December from 5.25pc the previous month, driven by higher LPG prices. The industrial association Coparmex called for a review of Mexico's LPG pricing model, citing risks to supply and distribution. Electricity inflation decelerated sharply to 2.65pc from 22pc in November, reflecting the end of seasonal summer subsidies, while natural gas prices fell 5.67pc year over year. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump wants policy of 'no windmills' being built


25/01/07
25/01/07

Trump wants policy of 'no windmills' being built

Washington, 7 January (Argus) — President-elect Donald Trump wants to pursue a policy to stop the construction of wind turbines, a move that could limit the growth of a resource projected to soon overtake coal and nuclear as the largest source of power in the the US. Trump has spent years attacking the development of wind, which accounted for 10pc of electricity production in the US in 2023, often by citing misleading complaints about its cost, harm to wildlife and health threats. In a press conference today, Trump reiterated some of those concerns and said he wants the government to halt new development. "It's the most expensive energy there is. It's many, many times more expensive than clean natural gas," Trump said. "So we're going to try and have a policy where no windmills are being built." The US is on track to add more than 90GW of wind capacity by 2028, a nearly 60pc increase compared to 2024, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in latest Annual Energy Outlook report. If that growth materializes, wind will become the second largest source of electricity in the US at the end of of Trump's term, overtaking coal and nuclear in 2027 and 2028, respectively, according to the EIA forecast. Trump did not offer specifics on the policy, which he did not run on during his campaign. But the vast majority of wind capacity in the US is built on private land such as farms — largely in rural districts represented by Republicans — limiting the federal government's role. Trump could still threaten wind development by blocking projects on federal land, such as offshore wind projects, and working to repeal federal tax credits that subsidize wind. Democratic lawmakers said blocking wind development will raise costs for consumers and reduce energy production. "Trump is against wind energy because he doesn't understand our country's energy needs and dislikes the sight of turbines near his private country clubs," said US Senate Finance Committee ranking member Ron Wyden (D-Oregon), who helped expand federal tax credits for wind through the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act. Wind energy industry officials also raised concerns with the policy, which they said conflicted with an all-of-the-above energy strategy. "American presidents shouldn't be taking American resources away from the American people," American Clean Power chief executive Jason Grumet said. 'Gulf of America' Trump today separately reiterated his vow to "immediately" reverse Biden's withdrawal of more than 625mn acres of waters for offshore drilling, and also said he would rename the Gulf of Mexico as the "Gulf of America", which he said was a "beautiful name". In addition to expanding oil and gas production offshore, Trump said he will seek to drill in "a lot of other locations" as a way to lower prices. "The energy costs are going to come way down," Trump said. "They'll be brought down to a very low level, and that's going to bring everything else down." US consumers paid an average of $3.02/USG for regular grade gasoline in December, the lowest monthly price in more than three years. Henry Hub spot natural gas prices dropped to $2.19/mmBtu in 2024, the lowest price in four years. During his campaign, Trump said he would cut the price of energy in half within 12 months of taking office. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Libyan oil exports resilient in 2024


25/01/07
25/01/07

Libyan oil exports resilient in 2024

London, 7 January (Argus) — Libyan crude exports dipped by just 2pc last year despite several months of politically-motivated blockades at ports and oil fields. The country exported 973,000 b/d across its 12 crude grades in 2024, according to Argus tracking data, only marginally down on 2023 when 989,000 b/d was loaded, the second-highest year for exports since the civil war in 2011. Exports averaged more than 1mn b/d in six out of the 12 months last year and hit 1.15mn b/d in December — the highest monthly average since February 2021. A rise in upstream activity over the past year has enabled Libya to boost its oil production to 1.4mn b/d in recent months — the highest in over a decade — and this has helped to offset the impact of disruptions to loadings earlier in 2024. Libya's largest oil field, El Sharara, was shut by protestors on 2-21 January last year and again on 3 August . The field feeds into the light sweet Esharara stream which is exported from the Zawia terminal. Esharara loadings fell to just 41,000 b/d in January 2024, sharply below the grade's average exports of 135,000 b/d in 2023. Exports of the grade plunged to just 20,000 b/d in August and ground to a complete halt in September for the first time since May 2022. A leadership crisis at Libya's central bank then led to a blockade at ports and fields by Libya's eastern-based administration on 26 August which lasted until 3 October . The blockade pushed total crude loadings to a near four-year low of 507,000 b/d in September. before recovering to 843,000 b/d in October, 1.09mn b/d in November and 1.15mn b/d in December. Demand for Libyan crude from European buyers remained strong last year despite the disruptions. Europe accounted for 84pc of Libyan crude exports in 2024, up from an 80pc share in 2023. By Kuganiga Kuganeswaran Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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