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Gas concerns risk watering down Cop 26 pledge: report

  • : Coal, Crude oil, Natural gas
  • 22/06/29

A pledge made at the UN climate conference Cop 26 to end international public financing for unabated fossil fuel projects by the end of this year risks being watered down by exemptions for gas on the back of energy security concerns, while lacking concrete strategies to boost support for clean energy, a report released by civil society organisations (CSOs) Oil Change International (OCI), International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) and Tearfund shows.

A total of 39 countries — including G7 nations the UK, US, Canada, Germany, Italy and France — pledged in November last year to end new direct international public financing for unabated fossil fuels by the end of 2022. Although it came with caveats — investments in fossil fuels could still be made in limited and clearly defined circumstances consistent with a 1.5°C warming limit and the goals of the Paris Agreement — the commitment was the first directly aimed at phasing out public finance for oil and gas.

The CSOs found that most of the signatories have yet to publish updated, or new, fossil fuel exclusion policies, and warned that loopholes allowing the financing of gas projects must be avoided. "While most governments and institutions have ruled out financing for coal projects, stringent gas finance restrictions are generally absent from pre-existing policies," the CSOs said.

The risk of signatories continuing to support large-scale gas projects abroad has increased following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and because of energy supply concerns, the CSOs said. Germany has already indicated it would pursue gas projects in Senegal.

A similar public financing commitment made by the G7's climate and environment ministers in May, which includes Japan, was weakened earlier this week. The leaders of the group added the caveat that gas investments can receive public support to reduce dependency on Russian gas.

Countries party to the Cop 26 pledge could want to add similar exemptions to their policies, although the UK, which launched the initiative in Glasgow, wants to ensure participants stick with the original commitment, OCI global public finance co-manager Laurie van der Burg said.

"Rather than a reason to backslide on previous commitments, the current energy security and price crises, and the war in Ukraine should provide an additional incentive for signatories to reduce their dependence on coal, oil and gas," the CSOs said.

Only a handful of Development Finance Institutions (DFIs) and governments — including France's Agence Francaise de Development, Sweden's Swedfund, the Netherlands' FMO, the European Investment Bank, Denmark and the UK — have adopted policies compatible with the pledge so far. These enforce a nearly complete or full ban on new support for fossil fuel projects, including for gas-fired power plants. Export Credit Agencies (ECAs), apart for Denmark and the UK, have yet to publish updated policies compatible with the pledge, with some still allowing full or partial support for gas exploration.

The report suggests countries and institutions must come up with strict definitions of "limited and clearly defined exceptions" and "unabated" to avoid loopholes and "fossil fuel lock-in", including for gas. The most common and substantial gaps identified by the CSOs in the institution's pre-existing policies relate to exemptions and gas-exclusion policies. The report also recommends they publish updated policies by the next UN climate conference Cop 27.

They found that if DFIs, ECAs and governments party to the pledge redirected their $28bn a year in public finance for oil and gas, they would more than double their clean energy financing, from $18bn/yr currently. But most high-income signatories lack publicly available, concrete targets and strategies to scale up clean energy, the report said, and more needs to be done to support "a just energy transition" and collaborations with low and middle-income countries.


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25/01/10

Finnish and Baltic gas consumption up by 9pc in 2024

Finnish and Baltic gas consumption up by 9pc in 2024

London, 10 January (Argus) — Combined Finnish and Baltic gas consumption rose by 9pc on the year in 2024, with demand higher in all four countries and Lithuania leading the increase. Consumption across Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia and Finland totalled roughly 43.6TWh in 2024, up from 40TWh in both 2022 and 2023 but still well below the 2019-21 average of 67.2 TWh/yr ( see combined consumption graph, data and download ). Demand increased across all four countries, but Lithuanian consumption rose the most in both absolute and percentage terms, jumping by 14pc on the year to nearly 17.1TWh. This was mostly driven by higher demand from fertiliser producer Achema and gas-fired power generators, transmission system operator Amber Grid's commercial director, Justas Cerniauskas, said. Achema, the region's single largest gas user, increased its consumption by roughly 1TWh on the year, while power-sector gas demand rose by around 600GWh, Cerniauskas said. Large consumers with direct connections to the grid consumed 9.8TWh last year, according to Amber Grid data, up from 8.4TWh a year earlier, while demand from the local distribution zone increased by a more moderate 600GWh. Lithuanian gas-fired power generation totalled around 820GWh, compared with 640GWh in 2023, data from Fraunhofer ISE show. In Finland, gas-fired power production fell to 1.2TWh from 1.8TWh in 2023, as much stronger renewable output reduced gas' share of the generation mix. Renewable generation rose to 40.8TWh from 34.6TWh, with onshore wind accounting for almost the entire increase. Total Finnish gas demand rose by nearly 5pc on the year to just over 14TWh, despite the fall in gas-fired generation. Given that household demand accounts for a small part of overall consumption owing to the predominance of electric and district heating in Finland, this suggests that industrial demand continued its recovery. The paper and paper products sector is Finland's most gas-intensive, and appears to have performed better than in 2023 — output on a 2021 basis of 100 averaged 87.5 in January-October compared with 82.6 in all of 2023, data from Eurostat show. In Latvia, the main demand driver is the power sector, particularly state-owned utility Latvenergo's large combined heat and power plants. Latvian gas-fired power generation rose by nearly 19pc on the year to 1.6TWh, as weaker hydro generation left more room in the mix for gas. In Estonia, the region's smallest consumer, gas demand rose by more than 8pc on the year to 3.7TWh. Total gas-fired power generation across the four countries fell to 3.68TWh from 3.84TWh in 2023 ( see table ). Combined sendout from the Inkoo, Hamina and Klaipeda LNG terminals totalled 43.4TWh last year, compared with 47TWh in 2023 and 32.4TWh in 2022 ( see data and download ). A six week dry-docking period for the Klaipeda floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) weighed on sendout in Lithuania, which was down by around 8TWh. Conversely, a long shutdown on the Balticconnector increased the call on Finland's Inkoo terminal to fill the supply shortfall in the first quarter. Sendout from Inkoo rose to 19.3TWh last year from 14.3TWh in 2023. This pattern is likely to flip in 2025, with Inkoo's Exemplar FSRU due to undergo its own six week dry-docking, which in combination with extensive maintenance on the Balticconnector has left only slightly more than half the year's slots booked . This is likely to increase the usage of Klaipeda, where slots for 2025 are nearly fully booked . There were net withdrawals from Latvia's Incukalns storage facility of 1.54TWh in the 2024 calendar year, flipped from net injections of 6.6TWh in 2023, and compared with 776GWh of withdrawals in 2022. Nearly 4.4TWh of gas was rolled over from the 2023-24 storage year into the next. By Brendan A'Hearn Total annual gas-fired power generation GWh 2021 2022 2023 2024 Finland 4,170 1,790 1,810 1,230 Lithuania 1,110 500 640 820 Latvia 1,820 1,100 1,350 1,600 Estonia 20 30 40 30 Total 7,120 3,420 3,840 3,680 — Fraunhofer ISE Numbers rounded to nearest 10 Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Next Canadian PM to be chosen on 9 March


25/01/10
25/01/10

Next Canadian PM to be chosen on 9 March

Calgary, 10 January (Argus) — Canada's next prime minister will be chosen on 9 March after a leadership race among the governing Liberals, the party announced late 9 January. Prime minister Justin Trudeau announced on 6 January that he would resign from his roles as head of the federal government and party but stay on until a successor was found. Canada's governor general, at Trudeau's request, delayed a return to Parliament by two months, buying his party time before elected officials return to session, now scheduled for 24 March. Opposition parties have vowed to bring down the government and trigger a general election at first opportunity, prompting the Liberals to expedite the leadership race. With the process now set, candidates will need to declare their participation by 23 January. At least two high profile Liberal cabinet members have said they are not planning to run for the top job. Minister of foreign affairs Mélanie Joly and minister of finance and intergovernmental affairs Dominic LeBlanc both said the threat of tariffs and economic pressures from US president-elect Donald Trump require their full attention at their current posts. Recent polls indicate the centre-right Conservatives would win a majority of seats in the House of Commons if an election were held today, ending the Liberal's reign that began in 2015. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has focused efforts on criticising potential Liberal leadership candidates, leaning into their connection to Trudeau, the state of immigration and the Canadian economy, and the carbon tax. This includes Trudeau's former finance minister Chrystia Freeland; the Liberal's chair of economic growth Mark Carney who is a former governor of both the Bank of Canada and Bank of England; and former British Columbia premier Christy Clark. "They're all Justin Trudeau. They're all just like Justin," said Poilievre on 9 January. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Maduro claims Venezuelan presidency, sanctions build


25/01/10
25/01/10

Maduro claims Venezuelan presidency, sanctions build

Caracas, 10 January (Argus) — Nicolas Maduro took the oath of office for a third term as Venezuela's president today in a small ceremony, prompting more condemnation from countries that reject his claim to the title. Cuban president Miguel Diaz-Canel arrived in Venezuela ahead of the 45-minute ceremony, held in a side room at the national assembly. Maduro promised a "term of peace" in brief comments. Only state media was allowed to film the event, which was much smaller than his past two inaugurations. Opposition leader Edmundo Gonzalez, who has international support for his claim that he won the July presidential election, had said he would try to enter Venezuela from forced exile to claim the office. The outgoing administration of President Joe Biden marked Maduro's inauguration by upping the bounty on him to $25mn, related to a criminal case filed by US federal prosecutors for the Venezuelan leader's alleged involved in drug trafficking. "It is clear to the Venezuelan people, the United States and most of the world that Edmundo Gonzalez should be sworn in today as Venezuela's next president," a senior US official said. But the Biden administration will not formally recognize Gonzalez as his country's legitimate leader — a decision that could have given him a say in managing some of Venezuela's foreign assets, including in the US. "At this juncture, the US currently recognizes the democratically elected 2015 National Assembly as a legitimate government of Venezuela," the US official said. The US also imposed sanctions on PdV president Hector Andres Obregon — another complication for PdV's foreign partners. To constrain foreign revenue sources for Maduro's government, the US administration would continue to approve requests to seize Venezuelan sovereign assets in foreign countries to satisfy Caracas' debts, the US official said. The most prominent of those cases is moving through a US federal court in Delaware, where Venezuela's creditors are close to finalizing the sale of PdV-owned US refiner Citgo. But the Biden administration is not looking to revoke a license it granted in 2022, allowing Chevron to import into the US cargoes of oil produced in its joint venture with PdV — some 200,000 b/d last year. Chevron's authorization "is a policy that we have been reviewing here at the highest levels for some time," the US official said. "One of the things that has driven our policy all along is a commitment to use strategic pressure on Maduro and his authorities when that is appropriate and will have proportionate impact." The Biden team has held discussions with the incoming administration of president-elect Donald Trump on Venezuela, the official said. "Depending on the events that we see unfold in the next 10 days, we are ready to make a set of recommendations to the incoming administration with respect to the future of" licenses granted to Chevron and for some other foreign companies to operate in Venezuela. Terms of peace The inauguration drew other international actions. Israel recognized Gonzalez as president of Venezuela today, describing Maduro as an "ally of Iran", adding its name to the long list of countries that do not recognize Maduro as president. The EU also announced it was sanctioning another 15 Venezuelan nationals, including supreme court head magistrate Caryslia Rodriguez, who attended the ceremony today. There are now 70 Venezuelans, including military and civilian, present and former officials, under EU sanction. Venezuela's response to the condemnation has been to increase military and policy control in Caracas, arrest protesters and threaten to "neutralize" any aircraft carrying Gonzalez in its airspace. Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado was also briefly held on Thursday after emerging from several months of hiding to lead an anti-Maduro rally, her allies said. By Carlos Camacho and Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US added 256,000 jobs in December


25/01/10
25/01/10

US added 256,000 jobs in December

Houston, 10 January (Argus) — The US added 256,000 nonfarm jobs in December, reflecting a robust labor market that may prompt the Federal Reserve to keep borrowing costs higher for longer. Analysts had expected gains of about 160,000 jobs for December. The gains last month followed 212,000 more jobs in November, which were downwardly revised by 15,000, the Labor Department said Friday. Job gains in October were revised up by 7,000 to 43,000 jobs. The CME's FedWatch tool today showed 97.3pc probability Fed policy makers will keep the target lending rate unchanged at 4.25-4.5pc at the next Fed meeting at the end of the month, up from 93.6pc on Thursday. FedWatch shows nearly 60pc probability of no change through the May meeting, up from about 45pc Thursday. Unemployment edged down to 4.1pc in December from 4.2pc the prior month. Payroll employment gains averaged 186,000/month in 2024, for total gains of 2.2mn jobs. That was down from 251,000 jobs/month in 2023, for total gains of 3mn jobs that year. Health care added 46,000 jobs in December, retail trade added 43,000 jobs, government jobs rose by 33,000, social assistance increased by 23,000, and leisure and hospitality added 43,000 jobs. Construction added 8,000 jobs in December. Manufacturing lost 13,000 jobs and mining and logging lost 3,000 jobs. Transportation and warehousing jobs grew by 9,600. Average hourly earnings grew by an annual 3.9pc following 4pc growth in November. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia's ACCC sees gas surplus for eastern states


25/01/10
25/01/10

Australia's ACCC sees gas surplus for eastern states

Sydney, 10 January (Argus) — Tight gas supply eased in Australia's eastern states during 2024, with a surplus higher than previously anticipated likely this year, according to the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC). The ACCC's Gas Inquiry December 2024 interim report anticipates a 77-112PJ (2.1bn-3bn m³) surplus, driven by larger than expected supply from Queensland state's coal-bed methane projects. The projections show a surplus in each quarter of 2025, including in the peak-demand winter months, if LNG projects export all their available uncontracted gas. This compared with the ACCC's September report which showed a possible July-September shortfall. But a 16PJ supply gap is predicted for the southern states of South Australia, Victoria and New South Wales (NSW), which will need to be managed with careful usage of storage. But this does not account for the 2,880MW Eraring coal-fired generator's lifetime extension , which will reduce gas-fired power demand in 2025, the report said. The ACCC is predicting a supply of 1,982PJ in 2025, higher than 1,946PJ in its July report, with demand at 1,871PJ compared to 1,836PJ previously. The exact surplus figure depends on the export quantities from the LNG projects based at Gladstone, with 77PJ of surplus if projects export all their presently uncontracted gas. Gas will need to be transported south from Queensland as usual in the winter months, the ACCC said, with about 9pc of customer demand to be unmet. The 26PJ Iona gas storage site in Victoria held 16.06PJ on 2 January, up from 15.11PJ a week earlier on 26 December, with the ACCC recommending at least 25PJ to be stored before May to maximise levels ahead of winter. The improved outlook reflects Australia's growing coalbed methane output, with production reaching a new monthly high of 3.57bn m³ in August, according to Australian Petroleum Statistics. An average of 3.49bn m³/month was supplied in the first 10 months of 2024, or 26pc of Australia's total average monthly gas production of 13.51bn m³. This compared to 25pc of the total in 2023 and 24pc in 2022. Domestic gas prices have softened, the report said, because of higher supply and lower global prices but remain above historical levels. Offers from producers for 2025 supply fell by 1.8pc from the previous six months to A$14.77/GJ ($9.15/GJ) in the first half of 2024, while bids fell by 6.6pc to A$13.48/GJ. By Tom Major Australian gas prices (A$/GJ) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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