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EV battery market to recover from 2H 2024: Samsung SDI

  • Market: Battery materials, Metals
  • 01/02/24

South Korean battery firm Samsung SDI expects the electric vehicle (EV) battery market to gradually recover from the second half of 2024 after weak sales and operating profits in October-December.

Samsung SDI's fourth-quarter battery revenue fell by 6.4pc both from a quarter and a year earlier to around 5 trillion won ($3.8bn). Its battery segment's operating profit tumbled by 45pc on the quarter and 37pc on the year to W226bn. Battery sales for EVs were supported because of a sustained expansion, while energy storage system (ESS) battery sales fell owing to declining utility sales, said the firm. Sharp falls in operating profit were because of the "tentative profitability effect by raw materials price decrease".

Its total revenue in 2023 came in 13pc higher at W22.7 trillion, with battery segment revenue 16pc higher at W20.4 trillion. But operating profit was down by 9.7pc to around W1.6 trillion.

Fellow battery maker LG Energy Solution (LGES) similarly booked lower sales of W8 trillion in October-December, down by 6.3pc on the year and 2.7pc on the quarter. Declining prices of battery metals and EV makers' conservative inventory management dragged down sales, said LGES' parent company LG Chem. Operating profit rose by 43pc on the year to W338bn, but fell by more than 50pc on the quarter.

An environment of prolonged elevated interest rates and global recession is expected to weigh on the EV battery market this year, estimated to be a $185bn market in 2024, said Samsung SDI in its latest quarterly activities report. But a gradual recovery will likely kick in during the second half of the year, when benefits from lower interest rates start being realised. The EV battery market will still dwarf the ESS market, estimated at $26bn this year, with the latter propped up by continued growth from the North America, EU and China markets alongside new demand from South Korea and South America.

The US Federal Reserve kept its target interest rate unchanged at 5.25-5.5pc this week, a 23-year high, and said a shift to rate cutting requires "greater confidence" that inflation is on a sustainable course of slowing. Chances of the Fed maintaining the current rate at the next meeting on 20 March is much larger at 64.5pc than an estimated 35.5pc of a rate cut, with 91.6pc chance of rate cuts happening at the subsequent meeting on 1 May, according to CME's FedWatch tool, which tracks Fed funds futures trading.

Bank of Korea (BoK) held its interest rates steady at 3.5pc in January for the eighth consecutive time, despite improving domestic economic growth, because of persistent high inflation and a shaky outlook. BoK's board on 11 January said it will maintain a restrictive policy stance for a sufficiently long period of time until it is confident of inflation converging to the target level.


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28/03/25

UK steel importers oppose other countries' caps

UK steel importers oppose other countries' caps

London, 28 March (Argus) — Steel importers in the UK suggest the imposition of a cap on any other countries' quotas could effectively stop trade, given the small volume of the quotas. In a recent submission to the Trade Remedies Authority, UK Steel said 15pc caps should be introduced on other countries quotas for hot-dip galvanised, plate and rebar. But in its submission to the TRA, trading firm Salzgitter Mannesmann argues that any cap based on a percentage of the quota "will ultimately most likely remove rather than reduce imports as shipments from many third countries, notably the far east, require a certain base volume to ship economically to the UK". Other trading firms and service centres told Argus they share the same view. Salzgitter Mannesmann also suggested a new country quotas for individual importers be added to the safeguard based on their imports over the past two or three years. The only local producer of hot-dip galvanised coil, Tata Steel, would be likely to argue against this as volumes from some countries, notably Vietnam, have increased dramatically in recent years. Salzgitter Mannesmann also suggests Tata Steel cannot produce hot-rolled coil over 1.85m wide, for which the UK has to totally rely on imports. Traders have for some time argued that there should be no import constraints on material, such as 2m wide, as there can be no injury to the producer on grades it cannot produce. Service centre Sebden Steel said the current measures make it "impossible" for the UK to be flooded with cheap foreign imports, and that people are "misinformed by mainstream media and UK Steel". "The UK producer is in a safe place already and any additional measures will only serve to cause injury to independent steel service centres, independent steel stockholders and the UK manufacturing base, which will all be faced with a further tightening of the supply chain and increased costs," it said. Importers, unsurprisingly, question why Tata Steel, now a re-roller until its electric arc furnaces are installed, can import on much more favourable terms than others. Tata has a much bigger quota than the rest of the market, at around 2.3mn t, but the main problem for importers is that the company has fewer constraints on where it can source, with only a 40pc cap on any given country within that quota. Independent service centres, which all compete with Tata Distribution, can only import much smaller quantities from different locations, given the fragmented composition of quotas; the other countries quota for 1A, for example, is less than 100,000 t/yr. EU mills have far and away the largest quota to sell 1A HRC into the UK, but given their higher costs compared with Asian producers, they struggle to compete; Tata's imports come from all over the world, as well as some from its sister mill in IJmuiden, the Netherlands. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Australia's Aurelia Metals to boost Cu, Zn processing


28/03/25
News
28/03/25

Australia's Aurelia Metals to boost Cu, Zn processing

Perth, 28 March (Argus) — Australian metal producer Aurelia Metals is set to triple mixed metal ore processing capacity of ore from its Federation mine, after authorities in New South Wales state approved a project consent change. Aurelia produces mixed metal ore at its 600,000 t/yr Federation mine. It then hauls ore to its nearby Peak processing centre to produce a range of base and precious metals, including zinc, copper, lead, and gold. The company has been allowed to move only 200,000 t/yr of ore between its two NSW sites since Federation opened in mid-2024, because of consent restrictions. But the latest change allows it to move 600,000 t/yr of ore to Peak, the company announced on 28 March. Aurelia's updated consent comes as it continues to ramp up production at Federation. The company only processed 16,500t of Federation ore in October-December 2024, recovering 55t of copper, 626t of lead, 1,263t of zinc, and 502oz of gold. Aurelia is increasing its base metal production capacity, despite other Australian producers doing the opposite. Australian metal firm IGO paused its Forrestania nickel project in July-September 2024, and will close its Nova copper and nickel mine in 2027. But this phenomenon is not unique to Australia. Global metal producer Glencore cut its total copper output by 6pc in 2024, following planned production declines in Chile and Peru, and unplanned disruptions in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Copper prices have been quite volatile over the last year. The London Metal Exchange's (LME) copper cash price stood at $8,696/t on 27 March 2024, before bouncing between a high of $10,857/t and a low of $8,620/t over the next 12 months. LME's copper price stood at $9,787/t on 27 March. By Avinash Govind Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Recent deep-sea and short-sea cfr Turkey scrap deals


27/03/25
News
27/03/25

Recent deep-sea and short-sea cfr Turkey scrap deals

London, 27 March (Argus) — A summary of the most recent deep-sea and short-sea cfr Turkey ferrous scrap deals seen by Argus. Ferrous scrap deep-sea trades (average composition price, cfr Turkey) Date Volume, t Price, $ Shipment Buyer Seller Composition Index relevant 21-Mar 40,000 383 (80:20) April Izmir USA HMS 1/2 85:15, shred, bonus Y 18-Mar 30,000 376 (80:20) April Iskenderun Cont. Europe HMS 1/2 80:20, shred, bonus Y 18-Mar 40,000 381 (80:20) April Iskenderun USA HMS 1/2 80:20, shred, bonus Y 18-Mar 40,000 380 (80:20) April Marmara Baltics/Scan HMS 1/2 80:20, shred, bonus Y 17-Mar 30,000 375 (80:20) April Iskenderun Cont. Europe HMS 1/2 80:20, shred, bonus Y 14-Mar 30,000 380 (80:20) April Marmara USA HMS 1/2 80:20, shred, bonus Y 13-Mar 30,000 382 (80:20) April Iskenderun USA HMS 1/2 95:5, shred Y 13-Mar 30,000 380 (80:20) April Izmir USA HMS 1/2 80:20, shred Y 13-Mar 30,000 375 (80:20) April Izmir Cont. Europe/UK HMS 1/2 80:20, shred Y 13-Mar 30,000 380 (80:20) March Iskenderun USA HMS 1/2 80:20, shred Y Ferrous scrap short-sea trades (average composition price, cif Marmara) Date Volume, t Price, $ Shipment Buyer Seller Composition Index relevant 24-Mar 3,000 353 April Izmir Romania HMS 1/2 80:20 Y 24-Mar 3,000 351 April Bartin Romania HMS 1/2 80:20 Y 21-Mar 5,000 370 April Izmir Greece HMS 1/2 80:20 Y 21-Mar 6,000 369 April Marmara Italy HMS 1/2 80:20, bonus Y Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU February EV sales rise on CO2 targets


27/03/25
News
27/03/25

EU February EV sales rise on CO2 targets

London, 27 March (Argus) — Sales of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) rose by 17pc as EU legislation forced carmakers to increase the electric portion of their fleets, according to industry association ACEA. Germany retained its spot as the largest market for BEVs and PHEVs with 31pc growth on the year earlier (see graph) , followed by 35pc growth in the UK. EV sales of Chinese brands BYD and Xpeng — as well as Chinese-owned brands Volvo, Polestar and MG— also rose last month, while sales of Tesla fell 44pc, according to consultancy Jato Dynamics (see graph) . Only France and Belgium registered falls in year-on-year EV sales at 15pc and 9pc respectively. Both registered upticks in sales of hybrid EVs, with sales in France rising in particular, up 51pc to 62,000 units. The continent's next largest HEV markets were Italy at 61,000 and Germany at 58,000 units. Overall car sales in the continent edged down 3pc on the year last month as petrol and diesel car sales slipped 24pc and 28pc respectively. Carmakers' push EU to delay CO2 targets The latest sales data comes as carmakers place increasing pressure on the EU Commission to relax legislation enforcing that carmakers electrify an increasing portion of their fleet. The commission requires carmaker sales to average around 93.6g of CO2 emissions per km, depending on the size of its fleet. For every 1g/km each firm falls over the required target this year, it must pay a €95 fine: missing the target by 10g/km while selling 100,000 units in 2025 would incur a €95mn fine. "While year-on-year BEV sales growth over the last two months has been positive, it masks the fact that car registrations have declined by 3pc and that were currently at 17pc market share for BEVs in Europe, when we would ideally be around 25pc", an ACEA spokesperson told Argus . BEV market share hit 16.9pc in Europe across January-February this year, up from 12.9pc on the year (see graph) . Charging infrastructure, high energy prices and weak tax and purchasing incentives have all contributed to a slower EV buildout than otherwise possible, the spokesperson said. "You need to look at what may be influencing this consumer behaviour", the spokesperson added, on the question of EU carmakers prioritising sales of more profitable internal combustion engine SUVs. "Are they perceived as safer vehicles, more carrying capacity, living in the countryside, etc? Currently, there is no information on why consumers are buying more SUVs." But when questioned on carmakers' lobbying against the Commission to delay CO2 targets, the spokesperson was reluctant to comment. "The key point of all of this is that it should all lead to higher investments." One consequence of the targets could be that carmakers simply sell fewer petrol-powered units to meet electric quotas. Other market participants have been more vocal . "We are seeing the early impacts from manufacturer plans to meet the EU's scheduled CO2 limits, embedding this into production lines", said Chris Heron, secretary general of advocacy group E-Mobility. "It is critical that European governments now help boost this early sales momentum across 2025, even with this month's concession to weaken those targets." "European manufacturers have risen to the challenge of the UK's ZEV mandate, with the likes of BMW and Mercedes exceeding their EV sales targets", said Colin Walker of the Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit, a think-tank, "There is every reason to believe they can replicate this success across the continent." The EU Commission on 24 March added its latest tweak to its CO2 standards for cars and vans , which allow carmakers to meet CO2 targets across a three-year period, rather than over single year, starting this year. And on 25 March, the bloc selected 47 strategic raw materials projects — including 22 lithium, 12 nickel and 10 cobalt projects — for which it estimates €22.5bn ($24.3bn) of capital investment will be required. By Chris Welch Europe new car sales by power source (pc).pdf Europe February plug-in EV sales by country.pdf Europe BEV sales in February by brand.pdf Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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AM/NS India to set up first scrap processing unit


27/03/25
News
27/03/25

AM/NS India to set up first scrap processing unit

Mumbai, 27 March (Argus) — Indian steelmaker ArcelorMittal Nippon Steel (AM/NS) commissioned its first scrap processing facility at Khopoli in western India's Maharashtra state. The 120,000 t/yr facility is the first of four scrap processing units planned by AM/NS to increase supply of domestic scrap. The unit is expected to be operational this year. AM/NS, which has a crude steel capacity of 9mn t/yr, has targeted increasing the scrap mix in its steelmaking from 3-5pc at present to over 10pc by 2030. The company said it can reduce conversion and logistics costs by processing scrap at its own units, instead of procuring it through a complex supply chain where scrap moves from local collectors to scrapyards to consumers. The Indian government has been pushing for higher domestic scrap production to reduce reliance on imports and aid decarbonisation efforts. A vehicle scrappage policy is currently in place, while the government in its financial year 2025-26 budget also outlined measures to boost scrap production through shipbreaking. Still, scrap production has been falling short of the industry's requirements and domestic scrap availability needs to increase, according to market sources. India's scrap imports fell last year as demand faltered and fluctuated and government spending failed to meet expectations. Scrap imports in the south Asian country stood at 8mn t in 2024, falling by just over 20pc from 10.2mn t the previous year, according to customs data. Earlier this year, the rupee's decline to a record low against the US dollar also made imported scrap unviable for many customers, including secondary scrap-based steelmaking units. AM/NS has set aside 3.5bn rupees ($40.8mn) towards a scrap production scheme. About 65pc of the company's steelmaking capacity uses the gas-based direct reduced iron-electric arc furnace (DRI-EAF) route, it said. By Amruta Khandekar Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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