Overview

The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service is your reliable and proven source of unbiased, independent short-term urea price forecasts and actionable market intelligence on regional market dynamics, including supply, demand and trade.

We empower market participants to make informed business decisions. Use the service to:

  • Inform your business plans: Get accurate, reliable and actionable insight on short- and medium-term developments.
  • Mitigate risk to your business: Stay up to date with potential regulations, policy changes and challenges.
  • Access comprehensive market data: Examine extensive raw data to assist your research and planning.
  • Find your next big opportunity: Our independent market data and expert insight help you identify future opportunities.

Key features

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Urea price forecasts

Urea prices are forecasted for the next three months and the next three quarters (covering Baltic Sea (prilled) fob, Middle East fob, China (prilled) fob, North Africa fob, US Gulf coast fob st)

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Global trade balance analysis and forecast

The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service provides a rolling global trade balance in each monthly issue, covering the next three months and next three quarters

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Supply and demand balance

The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service includes analysis of the supply and demand balance for major markets

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Country/regional analysis and outlook

The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service includes country and region focused analysis, covering the Baltic Sea, Middle East, China, Egypt and US gulf

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New capacity analysis

The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service incudes analysis of new capacity (planned/under-construction) for the year ahead, listing company, location, expected date and capacity alongside additional insights and notes

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Related market analysis

The service includes analysis of the impact of related markets such as agriculture (crop fundamentals and prices), freight and crude oil

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Production costs analysis

The Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service includes production cost analysis, covering feedstock costs (US Henry hub, Dutch TTF, Northeast Asia LNG), variable costs, fixed costs and transport costs

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Macroeconomic outlook

The Argus Monthly Outlook service provides analysis of the macroeconomic outlook, including the GDP growth forecast for major fertilizer-consuming countries and regions

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Enhanced graphics and visualisation

The Argus Monthly Outlook service incorporates insightful visuals to highlight and bring key data to life, such as net trade and supply surplus/deficits

Customers that benefit

Anyone with exposure to the global urea market will find the Argus Monthly Urea Outlook service essential.

Below are examples of clients that use this service:
  • Producers and suppliers  

  • Traders 

  • Energy and utilities companies

  • Shipping and port authorities

  • Procurement teams 

     
  • Industry analysts 

  • Governments 

  • Financial institutions including bankers and investors 

  • Wholesalers 

  • Co-ops and retailers