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US indicts Maduro as virus crisis deepens

  • Market: Crude oil, Oil products
  • 26/03/20

The US Justice Department has indicted Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro and 14 high-level associates for allegedly trafficking drugs, harboring Colombian militants and laundering money in the US financial system.

The move is the latest step in a US-led campaign to oust Maduro in favor of opposition leader Juan Guaido, whom Washington and more than 50 other Western nations have recognized as Venezuela's legitimate interim president since January 2019.

Maduro was indicted along with defense minister Vladimir Padrino, National Constituent Assembly president Diosdado Cabello, retired general and former head of military intelligence service Hugo Carvajal, former army major general Cliver Alcala, industry and national production minister Tareck El Aissami, former electricity minister Luis Motta, the former head of the National Guard and anti-drugs unit Nestor Reverol, among others.

Most if not all were already subject to targeted individual sanctions by the US, the EU and Canada. The US is now offering $15mn for information leading to Maduro's capture, and $10mn for other key figures.

Notably excluded from the indictment roster are executive vice president Delcy Rodriguez and her brother, communications minister Jorge Rodriguez, as well as foreign minister Jorge Arreaza. The trio are key members of Maduro's inner circle.

The legal offensive against Maduro and his associates is reminiscent of the 1988 indictments of late Panamanian president Manuel Noriega. The US invaded Panama a year later, capturing Noriega, who was tried, convicted and imprisoned in the US. He died in 2017.

Pandemic and sanctions

The legal offensive comes amid a global pandemic that is driving calls for the US to ease sanctions on Venezuela and facilitate cooperation with the Maduro government to help the country combat the spread of the new coronavirus.

The US has had financial sanctions on Venezuela since 2017, and oil sanctions since January 2019, after Guaido declared his interim presidency. The sanctions have accelerated the decline of Venezuela's national oil industry, which in turn has contributed to an acute fuel shortage, impeding food and aid distribution. Looting has broken out in several cities.

Following years of failed social programs, Venezuela is considered abjectly ill-equipped to cope with the rapidly spreading coronavirus. But the new indictments suggest that the White House is not considering a sanctions pause for collective virus action, and remains committed to removing Maduro to make way for elections.

In unveiling the indictments today, US attorney general William Barr said the best way to help Venezuelans is to remove the government that has betrayed them. Regarding a possible designation of Venezuela as a state sponsor of terrorism, Barr said the US would take "one step at a time."

With US support, Guaido is maneuvering to funnel in aid from international organizations, independent of government institutions controlled by Maduro. But aid groups have been reluctant to participate with Guaido in the past, for fear of politicizing desperately needed food and medicine.

UN secretary-general Antonio Guterres is calling for sanctions waivers for Venezuela, Iran and other countries to help their governments better cope with the coronavirus pandemic. "This is the time for solidarity not exclusion," Guterres wrote in a 23 March letter to G20 member countries.

Members of Guaido's coalition and allies of Colombia's conservative government, including former president Andres Pastrana, are urging the parties to set aside their political difference and jointly engage to confront the virus threat.

Colombia has long accused Venezuela of harboring anti-government rebels, especially dissidents of the former Farc militant group that repudiated a 2016 peace deal with the government last year.

Maduro routinely decries US policy as a war aimed at taking over the country's natural resources, and today he accused the US and Colombia of conspiring to destabilize Venezuela. "As head of state I am obliged to defend the country's peace and stability, under any circumstances," Maduro said on Twitter.

Communications minister Rodriguez accused Bogota and Washington of planning to assassinate Venezuela's leaders.


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26/09/24

Eastern US ports, railroads prepare for possible strike

Eastern US ports, railroads prepare for possible strike

Cheyenne, 26 September (Argus) — Ports in the eastern half of the US and railroads CSX and Norfolk Southern are starting to act on contingency plans as the deadline for a potential port worker labor strike nears. Port authorities in New York, New Jersey, Virginia, New Orleans, Louisiana, and Houston, Texas, have told customers at least some operations will stop effective 30 September if the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) and US Maritime Alliance (USMX) cannot come to a new collective bargaining agreement. Union members have threatened to walk off the job as soon as 1 October, potentially bringing container cargo traffic to a halt in many regions. Other port authorities have been more circumspect on plans. The Maryland Port Authority, which oversees the Port of Baltimore, has said so far that it is "closely monitoring" the situation and that a strike "could impact" some operations. At the moment, ILA and USMX do not appear to be close to an agreement on a master labor contract. USMX today filed an unfair labor practice charge against ILA with the National Labor Relations Board, accusing the union of "repeated refusal" to negotiate. The union earlier this week said the two sides have talked "multiple times" and blamed the impasse on USMX continually offering "an unacceptable wage increase package." Container cargoes at greatest risk The potential port strike is expected to have the greatest impact on products carried on container ships. Movements of dry bulk cargo, such as coal and grains, are expected to be less affected by a potential work stoppage, though there could be side effects from the congestion of other products being rerouted to ports not affected by the strike. Some ports that have announced contingency plans expect to stop work on 30 September in stages. The Port of Virginia — including Norfolk International Terminals, Virginia International Gateway and Newport News Marine Terminal — would stop train deliveries at 8am ET on 30 September and require all vessels at the port to leave by 1pm. Container operations at Norfolk International Terminals and Virginia International Gateway would stop by 6pm ET that day, the port said. The New Orleans Terminal at the Port of New Orleans would stop receiving refrigerated exports at 5pm ET on 27 September and halt container vessel operations at 1pm ET on 30 September. It would also halt rail operations at 5pm ET on 30 September. Eastern railroads CSX and Norfolk Southern (NS) already have started curtailing some operations. CSX required temperature-controlled refrigerated equipment headed to East coast ports to be at CSX loadouts by 25 September and set deadlines for other export intermodal shipments to be at CSX loadouts by 25 September-5 October. NS required some eastern export shipments be at the railroad's loadout locations between 23-25 September and wants most of the rest of the container exports to be at its facilities by 5pm on 29 September. "We are proactively implementing measures to minimize potential operational impacts across our network, including at our Intermodal facilities," NS said on 23 September. The railroad also "strongly" recommended that customers not ship hazardous, high-value and refrigerated products by rail to export terminals "to avoid unexpected delays upon reaching the port destinations." By Courtney Schlisserman Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US Gulf oil shut-ins drop as Helene nears landfall


26/09/24
News
26/09/24

US Gulf oil shut-ins drop as Helene nears landfall

New York, 26 September (Argus) — US Gulf of Mexico oil production shut-in levels fell today as Hurricane Helene bore down on Florida's west coast as a category 3 storm, bringing the threat of dangerous storm surge and winds. Around 441,923 b/d of US offshore oil output, or 25pc, was off line as of 12:30pm ET, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). That is down from 29pc on Wednesday as the eastern Gulf path of the storm took it farther away from most offshore production facilities. About 363.39mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 20pc of the region's output, was also off line today, up from 17pc on Wednesday. Operators have evacuated workers from 27 offshore platforms. Helene was last about 145 miles west-southwest of Tampa, Florida, packing maximum winds of 120mph, according to a 4pm ET advisory from the US National Hurricane Center. Further intensification is likely and Helene could approach the coast at category 4 strength, with winds of at least 130mph. Landfall is expected near Port Leon on Apalachee Bay Thursday evening before Helene is forecast to turn northwestward and slow down over the Tennessee Valley on Friday and into the weekend. Earlier this week, offshore operators including BP, Equinor and Chevron took the precaution of suspending some operations and evacuating workers from offshore facilities in advance of the hurricane. Some facilities have since started back up as the hurricane's track shifted away from the main oil and gas hub in the region. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Opec+, Saudis have no target oil price: sources


26/09/24
News
26/09/24

Opec+, Saudis have no target oil price: sources

Dubai, 26 September (Argus) — Neither Saudi Arabia nor the wider Opec+ group have any specific target for oil prices, and no member of the producers' alliance is about to abandon output discipline in favour of chasing market share, multiple Opec+ sources have told Argus . Oil prices fell earlier on Thursday following unconfirmed press reports that Saudi Arabia may be willing to tolerate lower oil prices as part of a plan to increase crude output to regain market share. Sources within Opec+ have since dismissed those assertions outright, insisting that the basis for the group's collective decision-making will always be market fundamentals, and in particular the five-year average of crude inventories, rather than targeting any particular oil price. "Neither Opec+, Opec nor the Saudis have any price target, let alone $100/bl," one source said, in response to a Financial Times report that stated Saudi Arabia is ready to "abandon its unofficial price target of $100/bl". A second source said the $100/bl figure being reported is not a target but is more likely to refer to a recent estimate issued by banks and other financial institutions of Saudi Arabia's "so-called break-even oil price" — that is, the price the kingdom needs to cover its spending plans. In April, the IMF estimated Saudi Arabia's breakeven oil price at $96.20 for 2024, almost 20pc above the previous year and around a third higher than current Ice Brent futures. "The breakeven is, at best, indicative, but does not tell the full story," the source said. Focusing on it "is totally devoid of the idea that a government has a host of other tools to manage an economy — issuing bonds, borrowing, adjusting one's budget". Eight Opec+ producers, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, were due to begin a phased return of around 2.2mn b/d of "voluntary" output cuts from the start of next month. But mounting concerns over the strength of the global economy, and in turn oil demand, prompted the group to defer the plan by two months to December. With worries around oil demand not going away, and the market looking likely to flip into a surplus from the start of next year, some observers are questioning whether there will be any need for an increase in Opec+ supply from December. And if the eight members go ahead with unwinding the cuts regardless, whether that would signal a shift in the group's focus to chasing market share. But a third source rejected that view, as the group would "only be reversing what we have cut". "As a group, we have said time and time again that these cuts were both voluntary and temporary, and always stressed that they could be paused or reversed," the source said. "And earlier this month, that's exactly what we did with the two-month deferral to December." December or bust? The rationale to delay the increase in production to December was twofold, according to Opec+ sources. It not only reflected the uncertainty around the global economy, the US and Chinese economies, interest rates and demand. But more importantly, the decision was made to allow Opec+ members that have overproduced this year ꟷ namely Iraq, Kazakhstan and Russia ꟷ more time to show they are serious about compensating for exceeding their output targets. "There is so much uncertainty today which we, as Opec+, have no control over," one of the sources said. "But what we do control is our own affairs." Iraq and Kazakhstan have been under intense pressure in recent months to not only adhere to their pledged targets, but also compensate for past overproduction. While Kazakhstan did manage to produce below its target in August, Iraq continued to struggle. All eyes will be on how these countries do in September. "The overproduction is impacting our credibility, and we need to tackle that. Discipline is paramount," the source said. Reports that Saudi Arabia is committed to start unwinding cuts from December, come what may, are wide of the mark for several reasons, another source said. "First, this is not a decision for Saudi Arabia to make. It is for all eight to decide," he said. The group also still has several weeks before it has to decide whether to proceed with the plan, or defer again, the source added. A decision is due in the first week of November, by which time the group should have better visibility on market fundamentals and Iraqi and Kazakh compensation efforts. "How could we make a decision now when we don't even have September production figures?" the source said. By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Hurricane Helene shuts in 29pc of US Gulf oil


25/09/24
News
25/09/24

Hurricane Helene shuts in 29pc of US Gulf oil

New York, 25 September (Argus) — Hurricane Helene, which is forecast to intensify as it heads for a late Thursday landfall in Florida, has shut in about 29pc of US Gulf of Mexico oil output. Around 511,000 b/d of US offshore oil output was off line as of 12:30pm ET, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE), while 313mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 17pc of the region's output, was also off line. Operators have so far evacuated workers from 17 offshore platforms. Helene was last about 110 miles north-northeast of Cozumel, Mexico, according to a 2pm ET advisory from the US National Hurricane Center, with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. Helene is expected to be a major hurricane, with winds of at least 111mph, when it reaches the eastern Florida coast on Thursday evening. "A turn toward the north and north-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today through Thursday, bringing the center of Helene across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and to the Florida Big Bend coast by Thursday evening," the center said. Shell restarting some production Although the hurricane will largely pass to the east of most offshore oil and gas production areas, companies have taken precautionary measures. Given a shift in the forecast track, Shell said late Tuesday that it had started to ramp up production at the Appomattox platform to normal levels, and was in the process of restoring output at the Stones facility, both off the coast of Louisiana. It paused some drilling operations. Chevron said earlier it was shutting in production at company-operated facilities in the Gulf of Mexico, and evacuating all workers. Equinor said it was shutting down the Titan oil platform. BP had earlier this week started to shut in production at its Na Kika and Thunder Horse platforms, southeast of New Orleans, and was curtailing output from its Argos and Atlantis facilities, as well as removing non-essential staff. US offshore production was disrupted earlier this month when Hurricane Francine made landfall, with up to 42pc of production was offline at one point. The offshore Gulf of Mexico accounts for around 15pc of total US crude output and 5pc of US natural gas production. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US trucking index at 18-month high in August: ATA


25/09/24
News
25/09/24

US trucking index at 18-month high in August: ATA

Houston, 25 September (Argus) — US trucking freight volumes rose in August to the highest level since February 2023, the American Trucking Association (ATA) said. The ATA's seasonally adjusted Truck Tonnage Index (TTI) rose in August by 1.8pc from a month earlier and by 0.7pc from a year earlier. The index has increased on a monthly and yearly basis only twice in the past 18 months, last doing so in May 2024 . August's "robust gain" indicates freight levels are rebounding from a bottom, according to ATA economist Bob Costello. The TTI's month-to-month movement so far this year also shows the freight market is "at an inflection point," Costello said. The US trucking industry contracted in 2023 and initially got off to a slow start this year. Last week, the Federal Reserve cut its target lending rates for the first time in four years , suggesting the worst inflationary pressures may be over. The TTI is calculated monthly using a survey of ATA membership to estimate seasonally-adjusted trends in the value of US truck freight. Trucking comprises roughly three-quarters of tonnage carried by all modes of transportation in the US, and so can serve as an indicator of the health of the transportation sector and the economy at large. By Gordon Pollock Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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