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Coal India to close 23 lossmaking mines

  • Market: Coal
  • 24/09/20

State-controlled Coal India (CIL) plans close 23 underground mines with combined capacity of around 1.1mn t/yr in the April 2020 to March 2021 financial year after the operations became financially unviable.

The mines have become "unproductive" with average production at each mine of about 50,000 t/yr or even lower, making it difficult for them to cover the cost of employee wages, a CIL official said. The closures could help the company save 6bn rupees/yr ($81mn/yr), even if it continues to pay mine workers' wages.

The decision comes after CIL's net profit fell by 55.1pc from a year earlier to Rs20.78bn in April-June, prompting the firm to look at ways to cut costs. The company produced 602mn t of coal in 2019-20.

Of the 23 identified mines, 10 are in the eastern state of West Bengal and operated by CIL's subsidiary Eastern Coalfields. Another eight mines are operated by another subsidiary, Bharat Coking Coal, in the eastern state of Jharkhand, while the rest are operated by South Eastern Coalfields in the central state of Chhattisgarh.

Many of the mines have been in operation since the 1940s. "These underground mines still have large coal reserves, but they require heavy investments," the official said.

Once the 23 mines are shut, CIL will draw up a list of other mines with output of 100,000 t/yr or lower that it also plans to close in the current fiscal year. The company aims to offset the output loss from the closures by expanding production at other mines. CIL has closed 82 lossmaking mines in the last four years.

Underground mines typically employ many more workers than open-cast mines, but with much lower productivity. CIL's underground mines produced 30mn t of coal in 2019-20 with a workforce of 117,000, while open-cast mines produced 572mn t with 155,000 workers. Employee productivity at underground mines was 257t per person in 2019-20 compared with 3,690t at opencast mines.

CIL recently identified 12 abandoned underground coal mines where it aims to restore production, as part of its strategy to boost domestic output and slash imports.

These mines were abandoned about 20 years ago because of difficult geological mining conditions, questions around their economic viability and a lack of suitable technology to extract deeper reserves. The 12 identified blocks — eight potentially containing mid- to high-grade thermal coal and four with coking coal reserves — have an estimated mineable reserve of about 1.06bn t.

By Ajay Modi


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31/12/24

Viewpoint: US coal supply may tighten

Viewpoint: US coal supply may tighten

Houston, 31 December (Argus) — More US coal production cuts may be on the horizon, setting up thermal coal supply to potentially be lower than demand starting in late 2025. US coal producers have been scaling back mining operations since at least mid-2023 in response to lackluster demand. Market participants are continuing to contend with elevated power plant inventories following relatively mild winters and more competitive natural gas prices. Some producers are signaling more production cuts are coming in the next few months. As a result, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) recently forecast the country's coal output in 2025 would fall by 7.2pc from this year to 472.3mn short tons (428.5mn metric tonnes), the lowest level in agency data going back to 1949. But US coal-fired generation and coal consumption is expected to grow modestly next year, to 643.7bn kWh and 409.4mn st, respectively, from 641.6bn kWh and 406mn st in 2024, because of greater electricity and industrial demand. Coal consumption for the electric power sector alone is expected to rise to 371.5mn st from an estimated 369.4mn st in 2024, EIA data show. Generators are expected to draw from their existing coal inventories for the majority of the year to meet the slightly higher electricity demand, potentially bringing power plant stockpiles down to more normal levels. Coal producers also are expected to have less inventory at mines and loadout facilities as volumes that had been deferred to 2025 are delivered. If the inventory withdrawals and expected slight increase in domestic consumption are coupled with higher export market prices and demand, "there could be an impetus for a slight ramp-up in domestic production, but currently, that prospect does not appear to be visibly on the horizon", EIA chief economist Jonathan Church said. For example, Argus assessments for calendar year 2025 API 2 coal swaps averaged $112.85/t from 1-24 December, compared with $104.19/t for all of December last year. The response from coal producers to any improvement in demand could be uneven, which could constrict competition and boost prices. While larger producers with longwall mining equipment, primarily in northern Appalachia and the Illinois basin, can somewhat efficiently resume or increase production, other companies may struggle to ramp up operations. Producers also may not have the financial support to increase coal output. A number of market participants expect smaller producers with higher-cost operations to be forced out of business as major banks continue to pull back on lending money to coal mining companies. In the nearer term, recent or planned coal mine closures could further limit supply. Alliance Resource Partners said in November that it intends to retire its central Appalachian coal-producing MC Mining complex in Kentucky, and the company has already cut operations to two of its four production units. Earlier in 2024, American Consolidated Natural Resources closed its Pride Mine in western Kentucky and Hallador Energy idled two small Indiana mines in February. Other producers have scaled back operations but kept mines open. Coal miners worked an average 45.5 hours/wk in October when not adjusted for seasonal factors, preliminary figures from the US Labor Department show. A year earlier, coal miners averaged 48.3 hours/wk. Producers also have to contend with an uncertain outlook beyond 2025, including an expected shift in environmental policies under president-elect Donald Trump, how new data centers will affect electricity demand, and timelines for installing new generation and transmission upgrades. Alliant Energy, Vistra Energy, Duke Energy and Louisville Gas & Electric and Kentucky Utilities are among utilities that recently announced plans to potentially delay retiring coal-fired generating units or plans to remodel coal units to co-fired natural gas and coal to try to meet load growth projections for the next few years. This could keep coal-fired generation and demand at least somewhat stable, but it may not provid long-term support. "To have increased coal demand, you would have to have load growth outpacing new supply," said Robert Godby, associate professor in the economics department at the University of Wyoming. He and others expect new renewable generation and transmission projects to eventually accommodate projected electricity demand growth. Increased load growth will be "at best just a reprieve from the ongoing downward trend in coal production and coal demand", Godby said. As such, producers may continue to try to limit output in 2025, which could partially raise domestic prices from current levels that straddle the line of profitability for many coal mining companies. But the increases will likely be modest as alternative energy sources are expected to continue to suppress demand for coal generation. By Anna Harmon Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Viewpoint: US Supreme Court tees up more energy cases


31/12/24
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31/12/24

Viewpoint: US Supreme Court tees up more energy cases

Washington, 31 December (Argus) — The US Supreme Court is on track for another term that could significantly affect the energy sector, with rulings anticipated in the new year that could narrow environmental reviews and challenge California's authority to set its own tailpipe standards. The Supreme Court earlier this month held arguments in Seven County Infrastructure Coalition v Eagle County, Colorado , a case in which the justices are being asked to decide whether federal rail regulators adequately studied the environmental effects of a proposed 88-mile railway that would transport 80,000 b/d of crude. A lower court last year found the review, prepared under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA), should have analyzed how building the project would affect drilling and refining. Business groups want the Supreme Court to issue an expansive ruling that would limit NEPA reviews only to "proximate" effects, such as how rail traffic could affect nearby wildlife, rather than reviewing distance effects. The court recently agreed to hear a separate case that could restrict California's unique authority under the Clean Air Act to issue its own greenhouse gas regulations for newly sold cars and pickup trucks that are more stringent than federal standards. Oil refiners and biofuel producers in that case, Diamond Alternative Energy v EPA , say they should have "standing" to advance a lawsuit challenging those standards — even though they could now show prevailing in the case would change fuel demand — based on the alleged "coercive and predictable effects of regulation on third parties". These two cases, likely to be decided by the end of June, follow on the heels of the court's blockbuster decision in June overturning the decades-old "Chevron deference", a foundation for administration law that had given federal agencies greater flexibility when writing regulations. Last term, the court also limited agency enforcement powers and halted a rule targeting cross-state air pollution sources. This term's cases are unlikely to have as far-reaching consequences for the energy sector as overturning Chevron. But industry officials hope the two pending cases will provide clarity on issues that have been problematic for developers, including the scope of federal environmental reviews and the ability of industry to win legal "standing" to bring lawsuits. Two other cases could have significant effects for the oil sector, if the court agrees to consider them at a conference set for 10 January. Utah has a pending complaint before the court designed to force the US to dispose of 18.5mn acres of "unappropriated" federal land in the state, including oil-producing acreage. Utah argues that indefinitely retaining the land — which covers about a third of Utah — is unconstitutional. In another pending case, Sunoco and other oil companies have asked for a ruling that could halt a series of lawsuits filed against them in state courts for alleged damages from greenhouse gas emissions. President-elect Donald Trump's re-election could create complications for cases pending before the Supreme Court, if the incoming administration adopts new legal positions. Trump plans to nominate John Sauer, who successfully represented Trump in his presidential immunity case, as his solicitor general before the Supreme Court. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Viewpoint: US gas market poised for more volatility


26/12/24
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26/12/24

Viewpoint: US gas market poised for more volatility

New York, 26 December (Argus) — US natural gas markets may be subjected to more dramatic price swings in 2025 as growing LNG exports and increasingly price-sensitive producers place greater pressure on the US' stagnant gas storage capacity. Those price swings could pose challenges for consumers without ample access to gas supplies, as well as producers interested in keeping some output unhedged to capture potentially higher prices without taking on excessive financial risk. But volatility may also present opportunities for traders looking to exploit unstable price spreads, and for producers that can adapt their operations to fit a more unpredictable pricing environment. Calm before the storm High storage levels and low spot prices this year — averaging $2.11/mmBtu through November this year at the US benchmark Henry Hub — triggered by an unusually warm 2023-24 winter, may have obscured some of the structural factors pushing the US gas market into a more volatile future. But those structural factors remain and loom increasingly large for prices. The US has moved from a roughly 60 Bcf/d (1.7bn m³/d) market eight years ago to a more than 100 Bcf/d market today, "and we haven't grown our storage capacity at all", Rich Brockmeyer, head of North American gas and power at commodity trading house Gunvor, said earlier this year. As supply and demand for US gas grow, the country's roughly 4.7-Tcf storage capacity becomes ever less effective in stemming demand shocks, such as extreme winter weather events, which can more rapidly draw down inventories than in years past. Additionally, a growing share of US gas is being consumed by LNG export terminals being built and expanded on the US Gulf coast. When those facilities encounter unexpected problems and cease operations — as has happened numerous times at the 2 Bcf/d Freeport LNG terminal in Texas in recent years — volumes that were previously being liquefied and sent overseas were instead backed up into the domestic market, crushing prices. More LNG exports may mean more opportunities for such supply shocks. US LNG exports are expected to increase by 15pc to almost 14 Bcf/d in 2025 as operations begin at Venture Global's planned 27.2mn t/yr Plaquemines facility in Louisiana and Cheniere's 11.5mn t/yr Corpus Christi, Texas, stage 3 expansion, US Energy Information Administration data show. Spot price volatility will be most acutely felt in regions like New England that lack underground gas storage. "In areas like the Gulf coast, where you have a lot of storage, it won't be a problem," Alan Armstrong, chief executive of Williams, the largest US gas pipeline company, told Argus in an interview. Producers' trade-off Volatile gas markets are a mixed bag for producers, many of whom profit from volatility while also struggling to plan and budget based on uncertain revenues for unhedged volumes. Though insufficient gas storage deprives the market of stability, "from the standpoint of a marketing and trading guy that's trying to manage my gas supply to customers and my trading book, I love volatility",said Dennis Price, vice president of marketing and trading at Expand Energy, the largest US gas producer by volume. BP chief financial officer Sinead Gorman in November 2023 specifically named Freeport LNG's eight-month-long shutdown in 2022-23 from a fire as a driver of volatility in the global gas market. The supermajor was able to exploit the "incredibly fragile" gas market, she said, which was a key factor driving the success of its integrated gas business. "Those opportunities are what we typically seek and enjoy," Gorman said. Increasingly, producers have also been adapting to a more volatile market by switching production on and off in response to prices, but often without revealing the price at which a supply response will occur. Expand Energy, for instance, told investors in October that it was amassing drilled but uncompleted wells and wells that had yet to be brought on line, which it could activate relatively quickly when prices rise. It declined to name the price at which that would occur. Market participants, attempting to price in this phenomenon by anticipating producers' next moves may respond more dramatically to supply signals than in the past, when production was steadier. Producers' increased responsiveness to prices could help to balance the market somewhat, though more aggressive intervention into operations could take a toll on well performance and pipelines, FactSet senior energy analyst Connor McLean said. Producers are "treating the reservoir itself like a storage facility", Price said. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Japan’s Chugoku restarts Shimane nuclear reactor early


23/12/24
News
23/12/24

Japan’s Chugoku restarts Shimane nuclear reactor early

Osaka, 23 December (Argus) — Japanese utility Chugoku Electric Power restarted the 820MW Shimane No.2 nuclear reactor for test operations on 23 December, two days earlier than originally planned. The No.2 reactor at Shimane in west Japan's Shimane prefecture was reconnected to the country's power grids for the first time in nearly 13 years, after the reactor shut down in January 2012 for stricter safety inspections following the 2011 Fukushima nuclear meltdown disaster. Chugoku reactivated the Shimane No.2 reactor on 7 December, aiming to resume power generation on 25 December. But the target date for commercial operations remained unchanged on 10 January, despite the earlier than expected restart. The Shimane No.2 reactor will be a vital power source as the sole nuclear fleet in the Chugoku area, to help enhance the resilience of the power supply structure, stabilise retail electricity prices and reduce CO2 emissions, said Japan Atomic Industrial Forum's president Hideki Masui on 23 December. The Shimane No.2 reactor is the second boiling water reactor (BWR) to be restarted after the Fukushima disaster, following the 825MW Onagawa No.2 BWR unit that resumed test generation on 15 November, with normal operations scheduled to restart on 26 December. The BWR is the same type as that involved in the meltdown at the Fukushima Daiichi plant. The restart of the two BWRs would pave the way for Japan's nuclear restoration, as 15 BWRs — including advanced BWRs — are still closed in the wake of the Fukushima disaster. Japan has restored 14 reactors as of 23 December, including the Shimane and Onagaw reactors, of which 12 are installed with a pressurised water reactor (PWR) design. Nuclear power's share The Japanese government last week set a target of 20pc for nuclear power's share in the country's draft power mix for the April 2040-March 2041 fiscal year, under the triennial review for the country's Strategic Energy Plan (SEP). Tokyo is seeking to restart all existing reactors to achieve the 20pc goal, adding that replacement reactors would also be possible. The draft SEP allows nuclear power operators that had decommissioned reactors to build next-generation reactors at their nuclear sites, not limited to the same site. The previous SEP did not mention building new reactors or replacements. Japan's Federation of Electric Power Companies (FEPC) has applauded this progress, but FEPC chairman Kingo Hayashi noted that it was disappointing the SEP did not mention a nuclear capacity target which the FEPC had requested. It also did not include building new reactors or the expansion of existing nuclear plants, Hayashi added. By Motoko Hasegawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US government agencies set to shut down


20/12/24
News
20/12/24

US government agencies set to shut down

Washington, 20 December (Argus) — US federal agencies would have to furlough millions of workers and curtail permitting and regulatory services if no agreement is reached by Friday at 11:59pm ET to extend funding for the government. US president-elect Donald Trump and his allies — including Tesla chief executive Elon Musk — on 18 December upended a spending deal US House of Representatives speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) had negotiated with Democratic lawmakers in the House and the Senate. Trump endorsed an alternative proposal that Johnson put together, but that measure failed in a 174-235 vote late on Thursday, with 38 Republicans and nearly every Democrat voting against it. Trump via social media today indicated he would not push for a new funding bill. "If there is going to be a shutdown of government, let it begin now, under the Biden Administration, not after January 20th, under 'TRUMP,'" he wrote. There was little to indicate as of Friday morning that Trump, Republican congressional leadership and lawmakers were negotiating in earnest to avert a shutdown. The House Republican conference is due to meet in the afternoon to weigh its next steps. President Joe Biden said he would support the first funding deal that Johnson negotiated with the Democratic lawmakers. "Republicans are doing the bidding of their billionaire benefactors at the expense of hardworking Americans," the White House said. Any agreement on funding the government will have to secure the approval of the House Republican leadership and all factions of the Republican majority in the House, who appear to be looking for cues from Trump and Musk on how to proceed. Any deal would then require the support of at least 60 House Democrats to clear the procedural barriers, before it reaches the Senate where the Democrats hold a majority. The same factors will be in play even if the shutdown extends into early 2025. The Republicans are set to take the majority in the Senate when new Congress meets on 3 January. But their House majority will be even slimmer, at 219-215, requiring cooperation of Democratic lawmakers and the Biden administration. What happens when the government shuts down? Some agencies are able to continue operations in the event of a funding lapse. Air travel is unlikely to face immediate interruptions because key federal workers are considered "essential," but some work on permits, agricultural and import data, and regulations could be curtailed. The US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has funding to get through a "short-term" shutdown but could be affected by a longer shutdown, chairman Willie Phillips said. The US Department of Energy, which includes the Energy Information Administration and its critical energy data provision services, expects "no disruptions" if funding lapses for 1-5 days, according to its shutdown plan. The US Environmental Protection Agency would furlough about 90pc of its nearly 17,000 staff in the event of a shutdown, according to a plan it updated earlier this year. The Interior Department's shutdown contingency plan calls for the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) to furlough 4,900 out of its nearly 10,000 employees. BLM, which is responsible for permitting oil, gas and coal activities on the US federal land, would cease nearly all functions other than law enforcement and emergency response. Interior's Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement, which oversees offshore leases, would continue permitting activities but would furlough 60pc of its staff after its funding lapses. The US Bureau of Ocean Energy Management will keep processing some oil and gas exploration plans with an on-call group of 40 exempted personnel, such as time-sensitive actions related to ongoing work. The shutdown also affects multiple other regulatory and permitting functions across other government agencies, including the Departments of Agriculture, Transportation and Treasury. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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