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Biden to halt most federal oil, gas leasing

  • Market: Crude oil, Emissions, Natural gas
  • 27/01/21

President Joe Biden today will order his administration to wind down new oil and gas leasing on federal land, as part of a sweeping series of executive orders focused on climate change.

The orders will direct the US Interior Department to pause oil and gas leasing "to the extent possible" and launch a review of all existing fossil fuel leasing and permitting practices on federal land. Biden will also instruct federal agencies to find ways to remove fossil fuel "subsidies," to procure carbon-free electricity and buy zero-emission vehicles, a policy Biden previewed last week.

"These executive orders follow through on President Biden's promise to take aggressive action to tackle climate change," the White House said.

Oil and gas industry groups have raised alarm at the prospect of a federal leasing ban, which they say would destroy jobs and curb output on lands and waters that in 2019 produced 2.7mn b/d of crude.

It remains unclear if the "pause" on leasing would eventually be lifted, and how much leasing might still go forward because of legal requirements to regularly hold lease sales. The White House has yet to release the full text of the order, which would not apply to tribal lands.

The federal leasing ban could have the most pronounced long-term effect on offshore development, although it would not affect existing operations or drilling permits that are acquired years in advance. The government controls the entire US Gulf of Mexico beyond state waters close to the shoreline, meaning the offshore sector's alternative option for new leasing would be to relocate overseas.

"If a ban goes on too long, and those investments go overseas, then we start seeing immediate drying up of service company partners," Louisiana Association of Business and Industry president Stephen Waguespack said.

Industry groups say a leasing ban will disrupt economic activity and create billion-dollar budget gaps in states like New Mexico, Colorado and Wyoming, where federal production has boomed over the last decade. Even a temporary leasing ban might have long-term effects, as operators shift investment budgets or lose the advance time necessary to acquire drilling permits.

"It is not like renting a car. There is a lot of work that goes in ahead of time," Independent Petroleum Association of America government relations senior vice president Dan Naatz said.

The moves align with Biden's campaign promise to ban federal fossil fuel leasing and, instead, use the government's massive land holdings to support renewable energy. Biden, through the order today, will also ask his administration to identify steps to double offshore wind output by 2030 and find new ways to spur innovation of clean energy technology and infrastructure.

But the orders curtailing oil and gas development risk undercutting Biden's attempts to revive the economy, particularly blue-collar jobs common in pipeline construction and oil production. Biden today will also create a working group to assist communities that depend on fossil fuel production, including a push to remediate existing and abandoned wells and mining sites.

Environmentalists were jubilant at the orders, which came after years of trying to make action on climate change a core focus of the government. They say continuing federal leasing would effectively lock in decades of production, making it impossible for the US to reach ambitious goals on reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Industry groups have promised a massive legal fight if the leasing moratorium goes forward. They intend to argue that while the executive branch has some discretion on leasing, trying to pause all leasing would conflict with laws like the Mineral Leasing Act, under which the US Congress sought to encourage energy development on federal lands through quarterly lease sales.


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03/12/24

Williams to sue Energy Transfer over gasline fight

Williams to sue Energy Transfer over gasline fight

New York, 3 December (Argus) — US natural gas pipeline company Williams plans to bring a "very large lawsuit" against its US midstream rival Energy Transfer after a legal dispute between the companies delayed construction of a project by Williams, Williams chief executive Alan Armstrong told Argus in an interview today. Armstrong said Energy Transfer is the only company in "pipeline history" to have defied industry norms over pipeline crossings in a bid to block competitors' projects . The market "was always very honorable" before that, he said. Armstrong said he hopes the lawsuit Williams intends to bring against Energy Transfer will undercut the "very bad precedent" set by Energy Transfer's alleged legal strategy and "stop the industry from spiraling into that kind of behavior." Energy Transfer did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Energy Transfer throughout 2023-24 tried to block Williams and other rival pipeline companies from building new gas pipelines across its own Tiger pipeline in northern Louisiana, located in the Haynesville shale near a cluster of planned LNG export terminals on the US Gulf coast. Energy Transfer argued that Williams and other pipeline companies' projects proposed an excessive number of crossings under and over its own pipelines, while its opponents argued it was merely interested in controlling market share. Beyond trying to block Williams from crossing the Tiger pipeline, Energy Transfer also prevailed upon federal regulators to review Williams' proposed 1.8 Bcf/d (51mn m³/d) Louisiana Energy Gateway (LEG) pipeline as an interstate transmission line, rather than a gathering line, as Williams claimed. This would have subjected LEG to more regulatory oversight. But the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission in September denied the request . The broad legal strategy by Energy Transfer provoked ire from industry groups and now-Louisiana governor Jeff Landry (R), who warned it could threaten production growth out of the Haynesville and the coming US LNG export boom. Energy Transfer lost case after case to Williams in lawsuits spanning parishes across Louisiana, but the litigation pushed back the in-service date of LEG from late 2024 to the second half of 2025. The Tiger-LEG pipeline dispute was not the first time Williams and Energy Transfer had seen each other in court. After agreeing to merge in 2015, Energy Transfer in 2016 terminated the merger because of a tax issue that arose before closing. This led a Delaware judge in 2021 to make Energy Transfer pay Williams a $410mn breakup fee for deciding to pull out of its proposed $33bn merger. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Treasury eyes 45Z guidance before Biden exit


03/12/24
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03/12/24

Treasury eyes 45Z guidance before Biden exit

New York, 3 December (Argus) — The US Department of Treasury said it still plans to issue guidance before president Joe Biden leaves office next year clarifying how refiners can qualify for a new tax credit for clean fuels. The agency "anticipates issuing guidance" around the Inflation Reduction Act's 45Z credit before 20 January to "enable producers to claim the 45Z credit for 2025", disputing a report today that the Biden administration planned on punting implementation to president-elect Donald Trump. The credit, set to kick off regardless on 1 January, will differ from some prior federal incentives by offering greater subsidies to fuels that produce fewer greenhouse gas emissions. Treasury did not commit to any definitive timeline for releasing guidance, and it did not immediately clarify how thorough any eventual rule would be. Companies in the biofuel supply chain say the current lack of clarity from Treasury — particularly on how it will calculate carbon intensities for various fuels and feedstocks — has slowed first quarter dealmaking. Government guidance could make or break the economics of certain plants, particularly for relatively higher-carbon fuels like soy biodiesel or jet fuel derived from corn ethanol. The US Department of Agriculture's timing for releasing a complementary rule to quantify the climate benefits of certain agricultural practices, envisioned as a way to reward refineries sourcing feedstocks from farms taking steps to reduce their emissions, is unclear. The agency said today that a "rulemaking process" in response to its request for information on climate-smart farm practices is "under consideration" but did not elaborate. Agriculture secretary Tom Vilsack had insisted earlier this year that his department would release some package before the end of Biden's term. Some industry groups remain pessimistic that the Biden administration will answer all of the thorny questions still lingering around the 45Z credit, especially given signals earlier this year that other Inflation Reduction Act programs would take priority. The Renewable Fuels Association, which represents ethanol producers, says final regulations around 45Z "seem highly unlikely" before the end of Biden's term but that it hopes Treasury releases at least some "basic information" or safe harbor provisions. Delays getting credit guidance could prod Congress to extend expiring biofuel incentives for another year, including a $1/USG credit for blenders of biomass-based diesel. Some formerly skeptical lobbying groups have recently come on board in support of an extension, fearing that biofuel production could slump next year given the lack of 45Z guidance and uncertainty about how Trump will implement clean energy tax credits. But four lobbyists speaking on background told Argus today that the proposal still faces long odds. Congress has various other priorities for its relatively brief lame duck session, including government funding and disaster aid, that take precedence over biofuels. A staffer with the Democratic-controlled US Senate Finance Committee said last month that Republicans have been reluctant to negotiate tax policy in a divided Congress this year when they are planning a far-reaching tax package under unified Republican control next year. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Argentina streamlines energy efficiency program


03/12/24
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03/12/24

Argentina streamlines energy efficiency program

Montevideo, 3 December (Argus) — Argentina's government continues to fine-tune its energy efficiency program, eliminating red tape that slowed the import of appliances and machinery into the country. President Javier Milei's administration launched a new program in August to provide households and businesses with low-interest loans for energy efficiency. It has expanded the program to include more products and incentives. In late November, it announced a regulatory change for importing energy-efficient products, eliminating the need for performance testing, audits and other bureaucratic steps. Companies importing products now only have to provide an efficiency certification. The measure covers products from televisions for households to motors and pumps for businesses. The change is part of the government's efforts to deregulate the economy. It is juxtaposed to the president's skepticism for climate change. Milei eliminated the environment ministry and Argentina's delegation to the recent UN Cop 29 climate talks abruptly left the meeting. The change is part of the government's efforts to deregulate the economy to encourage investment and use of new technology. The government created in July the ministry of deregulation and state transformation and since then has eliminated hundreds of regulations, including more than 100 related to imports. The government has also eliminated more than 33,000 public sector jobs since Milei took office a year ago. "Any effort for energy efficiency has an immediate effect," said Nicolas Vizcaino, co-founder of Greempact, which creates energy-efficiency strategies for companies. "There is no excuse not to focus on efficiency." Greempact analyzes energy consumption data and other variables to create an energy baseline for clients. The data helps design strategies. Its strategies, which include changing technology, improving management and modifying production procedures, have helped some clients reduce consumption by more than 30pc, the company says. Vizcaino said efficiency is the key to the energy transition, because it not only saves a company money, but also has a positive impact on the entire system, from generation to distribution. "One megawatt of energy saved is less expensive and has a much greater impact than one megawatt of renewable energy added to a grid," he said. By Lucien Chauvin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Industry wary of Trump tariffs on Canada, Mexico


03/12/24
News
03/12/24

Industry wary of Trump tariffs on Canada, Mexico

Washington, 3 December (Argus) — US president-elect Donald Trump's plan to impose 25pc tariffs on all imports from Canada and Mexico could have a profound impact on the US oil and gas industry and the US' diplomatic efforts, energy industry representatives said at an industry conference on Tuesday. Cenovus Energy, the second-largest oil and gas producer in Canada, is paying close attention to Trump's rhetoric on trade, and trying to "educate" policymakers in the incoming Trump administration on how tariffs on Canada could impact North America's deeply integrated energy system, Cenovus director of US government affairs Steve Higley said at the North American Gas Forum in Washington, DC. The US in 2023 imported 3.9mn b/d of crude oil from Canada and 730,000 b/d from Mexico, accounting for 60pc and 11pc of US crude imports, respectively, according to US Energy Information Administration (EIA) data. Refineries in the US Midwest's PADD 2 region also process about 2.5mn b/d of Canadian crude, Higley said. The US also exports a significant amount of natural gas to Mexico — 6.2 Bcf/d (176mn m³/d) in 2023, according to the EIA — which is another "reminder of how integrated the North American energy system is," said Dustin Meyer, senior vice president of policy at the influential trade group American Petroleum Institute (API). Retaliatory tariffs by Mexico, threatened by Mexican president Claudia Sheinbaum last week in response to Trump's initial threat of tariffs, would likely impact that gas trade. Sheinbaum and Trump have since taken on a more conciliatory tone toward the subject after the two had what Trump called a "wonderful" conversation. API repeatedly called on Trump in his first administration to de-escalate his trade dispute with China, which it said threatened investment in US LNG. A section of API's website on trade titled "The Truth about Tariffs" reads: "Tariffs are taxes on imported goods that increase costs for consumers." Aside from the threat of tariffs causing "alarm" in Canada, it is not clear how US consumers would benefit from a tariff on all Canadian products, including oil and gas, said Robert Johnston, senior director of research at Columbia University's think tank Center on Global Energy Policy. On the diplomatic front, there is a "tension" between the incoming Trump administration's argument that US oil and gas production must be increased to support American allies, when it is also threatening tariffs to support American industry over that of its trade partners, Johnston said. The initiation of new trade disputes could also erode the US' ability to compete with China, said Jason Grumet, chief executive of trade group American Clean Power Association. "Are we trying to take China on alone, or are we trying to build a global economy of the democratic nations who have been our allies for 50 years?" Grumet asked. Whether the incoming Trump administration will actually go ahead with tariffs on Canada and Mexico is far from certain. From its rhetoric, the administration appears to care deeply about narrowing the US' trade deficit, leveraging its massive energy production on the global stage, and keeping energy prices low for US consumers, Meyer said. But "if that's the vision, what is the form that specific policies take?" he asked. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Mexico central bank flags 2025 growth uncertainty


02/12/24
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02/12/24

Mexico central bank flags 2025 growth uncertainty

Mexico City, 2 December (Argus) — Mexico's central bank (Banxico) maintained its base-case 2025 GDP growth estimate at 1.2pc, with a range of 0.4pc to 2pc, citing heightened global uncertainty fueled by geopolitical conflicts and potential shifts in international economic policies. Central bank governor Victoria Rodriguez last week addressed US president-elect Donald Trump's proposed 25pc tariffs on Mexican goods, urging caution until the trade situation clarifies. Mexican president Claudia Shienbaum initially responded with a firm stance, saying Mexico could apply counter-tariffs. Later, Sheinbaum and Trump had a "friendly" phone call to discuss issues surrounding the proposed 25pc tariff on Mexican and Canadian imports, Sheinbaum said. Banxico raised its 2024 GDP growth forecast to 1.8pc from 1.5pc in its previous quarterly report in August, driven by stronger-than-expected third-quarter performance. Still, Banxico noted that the additional growth is driven by increased spending on imported goods rather than domestic production, particularly in investment and private consumption. Inflation dynamics remain mixed. While headline inflation rose to an annualized 4.76pc in October, core inflation eased to 3.58pc, its lowest level since mid-2020. Rodriguez emphasized progress on inflation despite external uncertainties, signaling room for further monetary easing. Banxico cut its target interest rate by 25 basis points to 10.25pc on 14 November and is widely expected to lower it again to 10pc at its 19 December meeting. Projections from Mexican finance executives institution (IMEF) suggest the rate could drop to 8.25pc by the end of 2025. Banxico also revised its 2024 inflation forecast to 4.7pc from 4.4pc in the August report but expects inflation to return to its 2–4pc target range by early 2025, with a 3pc rate projected by the fourth quarter. Other adjustments include a downgraded forecast for formal job creation in 2024 and 2025, with the range estimate for full-year job creation in 2024 dropping to 250,000–350,000 from 410,000-550,000 in August. The 2025 estimate came down to 340,000–540,000 from 430,000–630,000.The 2025 trade deficit outlook was also tightened to $14.9bn–$22.1bn, compared to a previous range of $13.7bn–$23.7bn. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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