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Platts angers market with delivered Dated

  • Market: Crude oil
  • 01/03/21

A decision by price reporting agency Platts to overhaul the way that Atlantic basin crude is priced has blindsided the market and caused widespread complaints.

Platts had been expected last week to unveil plans to add WTI to the basket of North Sea crudes underpinning its Atlantic basin benchmark Dated Brent. But rather than finding a mechanism to fit a delivered-Europe WTI price into its fob North Sea marker, it has converted Dated Brent into a delivered-Rotterdam benchmark to match the way WTI trades in Europe. Dated Brent — and its Argus equivalent North Sea Dated — is currently based on the lowest priced of five grades — Brent, Forties, Oseberg, Ekofisk and Troll — loading at their North Sea terminals in the coming month. Platts now proposes to base Dated Brent on the lowest priced of the five North Sea grades or WTI arriving at Rotterdam in the coming month. The change will take effect for cargoes arriving in July 2022 onwards.

Complaints about the move have been numerous. The change to a delivered benchmark has huge implications for global crude prices. Delivered prices include the cost of freight and are almost always higher than the cost of crude at the load point. A company with a long-term Dated-linked contract to lift crude on a fob basis could now be exposed to spikes in freight rates through a cif Dated Brent.

Changes will be needed to the complex of derivative contracts built around Dated Brent. This includes contracts already trading. Ice Brent futures and related Dated-to-frontline contracts are available as far out as 2029. The market is watching to see how Ice will respond. Ice Brent futures maintain a link to Dated Brent and the forward market through the Ice expiry mechanism. Ice will need to decide whether to follow Platts in converting Ice Brent to a cif price or find a new mechanism to maintain its present status. "The derivative market has to converge with the physical," Platts said. "It is up to Ice how they go through that process."

Ice suggested the proposal to add WTI "would represent the most radical change in the Brent market thus far" and would require more careful consideration before being implemented in a letter to Platts on 12 February, before Platts announced its even more radical plan to launch a delivered benchmark.

Major changes to the North Sea forward market — or the Cash BFOE market — will also be needed. This market uses a set of trading terms set out in Shell's Suko 90 contract. Platts is effectively proposing to rewrite this. It will hold a series of workshops with the industry this year to establish what changes will need to be made to contract terms. Some North Sea participants have pointed out that it is not for a media company to involve itself in contract terms.

The change has tax implications. Platts Dated Brent is one of three benchmarks used by UK authorities to calculate tax rates in the oil industry. Changing it to a delivered price means that Dated Brent is no longer comparable with the other two markers, potentially leading to tax rule changes. Dated Brent is used by tax authority codes around the globe. The change has implications for other industries too, with "Brent" — whether the Ice or Platts version — underpinning global gas and LNG deals. Existing contracts may need to be rewritten.

Objections to the inclusion of WTI in Dated have not gone away. The lack of loading programmes, the variable quality of the crude and its reflection of US rather than European fundamentals remain factors. The proposals will lead to WTI setting the European marker as the lowest priced of the six crudes for around 45pc of the time, Argus data suggest.

Argus competes with Platts to provide oil pricing, including its own equivalent North Sea Dated benchmark, which is not moving to a cif basis.


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Hurricane Helene shuts in 29pc of US Gulf oil

Hurricane Helene shuts in 29pc of US Gulf oil

New York, 25 September (Argus) — Hurricane Helene, which is forecast to intensify as it heads for a late Thursday landfall in Florida, has shut in about 29pc of US Gulf of Mexico oil output. Around 511,000 b/d of US offshore oil output was off line as of 12:30pm ET, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE), while 313mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 17pc of the region's output, was also off line. Operators have so far evacuated workers from 17 offshore platforms. Helene was last about 110 miles north-northeast of Cozumel, Mexico, according to a 2pm ET advisory from the US National Hurricane Center, with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. Helene is expected to be a major hurricane, with winds of at least 111mph, when it reaches the eastern Florida coast on Thursday evening. "A turn toward the north and north-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today through Thursday, bringing the center of Helene across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and to the Florida Big Bend coast by Thursday evening," the center said. Shell restarting some production Although the hurricane will largely pass to the east of most offshore oil and gas production areas, companies have taken precautionary measures. Given a shift in the forecast track, Shell said late Tuesday that it had started to ramp up production at the Appomattox platform to normal levels, and was in the process of restoring output at the Stones facility, both off the coast of Louisiana. It paused some drilling operations. Chevron said earlier it was shutting in production at company-operated facilities in the Gulf of Mexico, and evacuating all workers. Equinor said it was shutting down the Titan oil platform. BP had earlier this week started to shut in production at its Na Kika and Thunder Horse platforms, southeast of New Orleans, and was curtailing output from its Argos and Atlantis facilities, as well as removing non-essential staff. US offshore production was disrupted earlier this month when Hurricane Francine made landfall, with up to 42pc of production was offline at one point. The offshore Gulf of Mexico accounts for around 15pc of total US crude output and 5pc of US natural gas production. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Helene shuts in about 16pc of US Gulf oil: Update 2


24/09/24
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24/09/24

Helene shuts in about 16pc of US Gulf oil: Update 2

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Helene shuts in about 16pc of US Gulf oil: Update


24/09/24
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24/09/24

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Adds BSEE production shut in data, updated storm info. New York, 24 September (Argus) — Tropical storm Helene, which is expected to develop into a hurricane on Wednesday before coming ashore in Florida Thursday, has shut in about 16pc of US Gulf of Mexico oil output. Around 284,000 b/d of US offshore oil output was off line as of 12:30pm ET, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE), while 208mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 11pc of the region's output, was also off line. Operators have so far evacuated workers from four offshore production platforms. Helene was last about 175 miles east-southeast of Cozumel, Mexico, according to a 2pm ET advisory from the US National Hurricane Center, with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. The current forecast has the center of Helene entering the eastern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday morning and moving north-northeast toward a possible landfall near the Florida panhandle region late Thursday. By then it will have strengthened into a major hurricane, with winds of at least 111mph, according to forecasts. While the storm will largely pass to the east of most offshore oil and gas production areas, companies started suspended some operations on Sunday. BP said Monday it had started to shut in production at its Na Kika and Thunder Horse platforms, southeast of New Orleans, and was curtailing output from its Argos and Atlantis facilities, as well as removing non-essential staff. Chevron began evacuating workers and shutting in its Blind Faith and Petronius platforms. "While we are also transporting nonessential personnel from our four other Chevron-operated Gulf of Mexico platforms, production there remains at normal levels," the company said. Shell said Monday it had shut in output from its Stones facility and curtailed production from the Appomattox platform, both off the coast of Louisiana. The company was also relocating non-essential workers from its assets in the Mars corridor, and suspending some drilling operations. Equinor said it was shutting down the Titan oil platform as a precaution. US offshore production was disrupted earlier this month when Hurricane Francine came ashore near Morgan City, Louisiana, as a category 1 storm. Up to 42pc of production was offline at one point. The offshore Gulf of Mexico accounts for around 15pc of total US crude output and 5pc of US natural gas production. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Opec sees oil demand growing to 2050


24/09/24
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