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Eurofer wants more EU support for steel decarbonisation

  • Market: Electricity, Emissions, Hydrogen, Metals
  • 19/03/21

The European Steel Association (Eurofer) has called for more free emissions allowances for the steel industry, targeted funding and the combination of a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) with the current emissions trading system (ETS).

In a discussion about EU climate policy hosted by Eurofer, the association welcomed the EU's plan to introduce a CBAM by 2023, but said free emissions allowances will still be necessary in order to protect EU steel exports.

The EU countered that a combination of ETS and CBAM would not be compatible with World Trade Organisation regulations except during a transition period between the two and that free emissions allowances will be phased out.

Eurofer agreed with the EU's proposition for a transition period from the ETS to the CBAM, during which time both policies would be active, as long as this period lasts for about 8 years.

Eurofer also called for more free emissions allowances to be allocated to the steel industry, saying that "in a normal year, the steel industry is short of free allowances by 20pc". But the EU intends to phase out free allocations as it introduces the CBAM, which it considers to be "preferable to the ETS as it would make producers pay carbon costs in the EU and externally and not have that cost distorted by free allocations", a representative said yesterday.

Eurofer called for EU revenues generated by the ETS to be focused more directly on industry. Most ETS revenues are handed out to EU member states, under the condition that half of them are spent on climate action. The EU allocates 1-2pc of ETS revenues to its €30bn innovation fund for industrial decarbonisation projects.

Eurofer says that in order to achieve the emissions reduction targets set out in the Paris agreement, the European steel sector will need an estimated 400TWh of carbon-free energy in 2050, about seven times more energy than it buys annually from the grid today.

There is no guarantee yet that competitively priced green hydrogen will be available in the coming years.

But some steelmakers have invested in cross-sectoral renewable energy projects for hydrogen production. Last week, German steelmaker Salzgitter started testing its new wind power plant located on the site of its steelworks facility. The plant has a total capacity of 30MW and will generate 450 m³/hr of hydrogen. Over time, Salzgitter plans to replace its three blast furnaces at the site with a direct reduction iron (DRI) plant and electric arc furnaces.

In Norrbotten in northern Sweden, new company H2 Green Steel intends to build an integrated steel mill where DRI will be produced using hydrogen from a large-scale electrolyser powered by water and wind energy. The company intends to produce 2.5mn t/yr of hot-rolled and cold-rolled coil by 2026 and 5mn t/yr by 2030, with initial production pegged for 2024. Construction on the plant will begin in the first half of 2022. The firm has pointed to what it sees as an abundance of renewable energy in the region, and the steel mill will be located near the Lule alv river, which generates 14-15TWh. H2 Green Steel expects regional energy prices to fall over the long term, with new projects such as the 1.6GW unit 3 at the Olkiluoto nuclear plant and the 43.2MW Kokkoneva onshore wind farm in Finland scheduled to start production in the first quarter of 2022.

Companies producing low-carbon steel will face the question of how to market higher-priced products. Eurofer said it believes there will be a market for green steel by 2030, but did not clarify how this would come about. Global steelmaker ArcelorMittal is trying to find a way to pass on to buyers the higher costs of low-carbon steel production by offering to sell "green steel certificates" under its new brand, XCarb, launched this week. The company intends to market 600,000t of "certified green steel annually by 2022". One of the largest investors in H2 Green Steel is Swedish truck manufacturer Scania, which has expressed its intention to buy from the steel firm. "By investing in and partnering with H2 Green Steel, we are now further accelerating the journey towards emissions-free products across the whole value chain," Scania said.


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18/12/24

ArcelorMittal increases EU HRC offer

ArcelorMittal increases EU HRC offer

London, 18 December (Argus) — ArcelorMittal has increased its hot-rolled coil (HRC) offer by €20/t to €630/t across Europe. The mill has greater visibility over its order book after concluding contractual business and sees firmer apparent demand in the first quarter, including from the automotive industry. Suppliers, and the market at large, expect import volumes to fall in the first quarter owing to the dumping case against Egypt, Japan, India and Vietnam, and the 15pc cap on other countries' volumes. The European Commission's review of its safeguard, from which changes could be implemented in April — rather than July as has typically been the case — could also further tighten arrivals. Sources suggest quota volumes could be reduced, in line with softer EU production and demand, and that all developing economies could some in scope of the safeguard. In the 4A hot-dip galvanised market, there could also be a cap imposed on each country selling into the 'other countries' quota, while for HRC, countries with their own quota might not be able to access 30pc of the 'other countries' quota in the final April-June quarter. Some traders are totally stepping back from importing as a result of the measures, trying to find different ways to do business domestically. A Benelux-based HRC producer has also pulled its offer, and is expected to return in January at higher prices, sources suggest. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Nordic Electrofuel expands e-SAF plans to Middle East


18/12/24
News
18/12/24

Nordic Electrofuel expands e-SAF plans to Middle East

Hamburg, 18 December (Argus) — Norwegian firm Nordic Electrofuel is expanding its plans to produce renewable hydrogen-based sustainable aviation fuels (e-SAF) to the Middle East, and has struck preliminary deals for plant developments in Saudi Arabia and Oman. The Saudi plans have been approved by the government, with land set aside for the e-SAF plant and the associated solar photovoltaic (PV) assets in the Jubail region, Nordic Electrofuel's chief executive Gunnar Holen told Argus . The plant could produce 350mn l/yr, or around 300,000 t/yr, of e-SAF, Holen said. This makes it one of the largest facilities planned globally and Holen said the plant could be operational by 2029 if its development is "fast-tracked". The size of the potential plant in Oman has yet to be decided, he said. In Saudi Arabia, Nordic Electrofuel plans to produce the renewable hydrogen itself, although the solar PV assets would be developed by partners, Holen said. In Oman, the company might look to buy hydrogen from other projects. Oman has drawn strong interest from would-be hydrogen project developers, and state-owned Hydrom recently announced a third auction for plots of land , having already allocated eight. Some of these developers are bound to be looking for potential offtakers, Holen said. In both countries, Nordic Electrofuel expects to benefit from low renewable power costs driven by highly favourable conditions for solar and wind generation. Power supply could be available at around $20/MWh, according to Holen. Nordic Electrofuel is primarily targeting its offtake at regional airlines. This means its e-SAF will not be dependent on access to biogenic CO2, which would be required for compliance with the EU's definition of renewable fuels of non-biological origin and associated mandates, such as under the ReFuelEU Aviation legislation. The firm intends to initially use CO2 captured from industrial installations for its Middle Eastern sites. But Holen said it could be possible to secure biogenic CO2 at a later stage, even though supply is not as abundant as in parts of Europe and other regions. In the long term, direct air capture could provide another source of CO2, although this will depend on the technology's further development. Few e-SAF facilities have been announced in the Middle East, with most plans concentrated on Europe where the ReFuelEU Aviation mandates are expected to drive uptake. But some companies from the region, such as UAE-based renewables firm Masdar , have argued e-SAF is an attractive proposition. In Norway, Nordic Electrofuel is developing a pilot plant in Heroya. The company aims to take a final investment decision on this by the third quarter of 2025, Holen said. The plant is due for commissioning in 2027 with a capacity of 10mn l/yr, which the company aims to ramp up in subsequent stages. Nordic Electrofuel has signed a binding term sheet for offtake from the Norwegian facility, Holen said. By Stefan Krumpelmann Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Viewpoint: More US met coal consolidation ahead


18/12/24
News
18/12/24

Viewpoint: More US met coal consolidation ahead

London, 18 December (Argus) — Expectations that weak seaborne coking coal prices in the last quarter of 2024 will carry over to 2025 in the face of low steel prices is pointing to further consolidation among US coking coal producers. Consol Energy and Arch Resources set up the most significant merger of 2024 for the US market , with the merged company expected to generate $110mn-140mn of cost savings and "operational synergies" within 6-18 months of the close of the transaction. But continuing cost pressures will likely lead to closures of smaller high-cost mines, not uncommon in the past when US coking coal prices have reached a down cycle. The fob Australia premium low volatile (PLV) coking coal price fell from this summer's high of $260/t in early July to average $203.46/t from the start of October, translating to prices that are below cost for many US producers. In recent years, price volatility and lack of liquidity, particularly in the Atlantic market, has meant many buyers have chosen to buy at index-linked prices, often with fob Australia indexes. The fob US east coast price has averaged $192.84/t for the current quarter, while the high volatile A fob Hampton Road price has averaged $186.47/t in the same period, prices cited by many US producers at near or even below cost after taking into consideration rail and port handling charges. Lower cost longwall miners like Alpha Met Resources reported an average sale cost of $114.27/short ton ($125.96/t) in the third quarter for metallurgical coal, Arch Resources reported $93.81/st for the same and Warrior Met Coal indicated $120.21/st. But others such as Corsa are in clear loss-making territory at $169/st. After freight and handling charges, many of these producers will have fob equivalent costs closer to $170-190/t or even above $200/t for smaller continuous mining operations. The poor margins has also meant US producers like Ramaco have cut back their guidance while lost output capacity has failed to lift prices . Last month, many US producers have already looked to reduce shifts by extending time off for the holidays and hunting season. But this has still failed to stem supplies, particularly in the high volatile coal segment where traders and suppliers that had secured tonnes earlier this year or more recently via term contracts have been offering prices at steep discounts for on-water cargoes to Asia and port stocks in China. US producers have been focusing their efforts on sales to Asia in the face of weak demand in Europe, leading to the absence of much incremental coking coal demand in the region since last year. In a time of high fob Australia prices, margins for US sales to Asia might have been attractive. But with low Australian prices and competition from Russia and Mongolia continuing to grow, the second half of 2024 has seen poor margins for US sales to Asia. While Russian mining costs have risen, they are still well under the levels in the US. Industry sources peg average production cost for open-pit mining in the Kuzbass region at $18.37-35.75/t, excluding value-added tax (VAT), while underground mining stands at $24.83-60.58/t, excluding VAT, according to sources at Russian coal mining companies. Russian coal is also typically discounted to account for sanctions and difficulties with payments, and more recently the export duty on Russian coking coal was removed. US president-elect Donald Trump's threat to impose import tariffs on all imports from China has drawn concern in the market about China imposing retaliatory tariffs on US coal. In a well-supplied market and the presence of strong competing producing countries at key import destinations, many US producers expect they will have to absorb any increase in tariff to secure sales to China. At a recent industry conference in Prague, several participants indicated the fob Australia PLV index should be in the region of $220-225/t to be sustainable for the wider industry. By Siew Hua Seah Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Viewpoint: Japan to continue filling bulk scrap demand


18/12/24
News
18/12/24

Viewpoint: Japan to continue filling bulk scrap demand

Shanghai, 18 December (Argus) — Asian steel scrap buyers will probably remain risk-averse next year and continue to focus on purchasing Japanese scrap in small bulk cargoes over US scrap on large vessels. Japanese scrap, which has a shorter lead time and more flexible shipment sizes, is often considered by Asian buyers to be lower risk compared with US scrap, which has a longer delivery period and less wiggle room in parcel sizes, particularly when steel and scrap demand is weak. South Korean scrap imports fell by 44pc year on year to 1.83mn t in the first 10 months of 2024, but Japanese scrap's market share increased to 72pc from 70pc the previous year. Vietnamese buyers, which have been largely absent from the US scrap export market for over a year, imported 2mn t of Japanese scrap in January-October, rising by 63pc on the year and accounting for 44pc of Vietnam's total imports. The Philippines, once a net exporter of ferrous scrap, has imported more scrap in recent years, with Japan supplying 92pc of its scrap imports during the first three quarters of 2024. The growing steelmaking capacity and infrastructure investments in southeast Asia will further drive demand for Japanese scrap in the region in the coming years. Japanese scrap suppliers may also have greater appetite to sell to overseas markets in the coming year because lower domestic scrap demand in the country and the weaker yen against the US dollar have widened the price spread between domestic and exported scrap. The spread between Vietnam imported scrap prices and Japan domestic collection prices increased to $77/t on 6 December from around $53/t on 5 January after Tokyo Steel — the domestic scrap price setter in Japan — made multiple price cuts of more than ¥10,000/t ($66/t) since July, while prices for HMS 1/2 80:20 cfr Vietnam have dropped by only around $40/t. Japan's leading steel mills plan to transit more production from blast furnaces to electric arc furnaces, which may increase domestic scrap demand after 2027. But in the short term, prices are still expected to remain largely dependent on conditions in the wider ferrous market. Japanese crude steel production in the first 10 months of 2024 totalled 70.2mn t, down by 3.7pc year on year. Major steelmakers in Japan have cut their production forecasts for the 2024-25 fiscal year, citing a weaker domestic market. Demand for building materials is expected to decline further owing to rising construction costs and persistent labour shortages. Japanese steel imports rose by 10pc year on year to 2.8mn t in April-September, the highest since 2014, according to the finance ministry. Many Japanese mills fear that rising imports could further pressure the domestic steel market in 2025 if there is no government intervention. With the Japanese ferrous market expected to remain clouded by lower domestic steel production and higher steel imports, any excess scrap supply will be sold in the export market to reduce sales pressure in the domestic market. Japanese scrap exporters are facing challenges such as volatile exchange rates and vessel shortages, which have limited their export appetite in the past few months. Freight rates for scrap cargoes from Japan have increased by over $10/t since October and led to lower offers from Japanese suppliers and a wider bid-offer spread in the last quarter of 2024. But traders anticipate that this bottleneck will gradually ease in early 2025. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Viewpoint: Japan eyes methanol as marine bridging fuel


18/12/24
News
18/12/24

Viewpoint: Japan eyes methanol as marine bridging fuel

Tokyo, 18 December (Argus) — Japanese demand for methanol as an alternative marine fuel is expected to increase, especially after 2027, but it is likely it will mainly be used as a transition fuel before the commercial launch of ammonia- and hydrogen-fuelled vessels. The Japanese shipping industry is expected to launch more methanol-fuelled vessels from 2027 ( see table ), to help reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the global maritime sector. Global regulatory body the International Maritime Organization (IMO) in 2023 pledged to achieve net zero emissions in international waters by or around 2050. To help achieve the IMO's target, a total of 26 methanol-powered vessels are expected to be commissioned worldwide by the end of this year, followed by 54 ships in 2025 and 96 carriers in 2026, according to a report released in November by Japanese classification society ClassNK. This would increase global methanol demand to 4.5mn t/yr by 2026, said the report. As of June, there are 33 methanol-fuelled vessels currently in use. Methanol-fuelled vessels can refuel at around 130 major ports all over the world, except in Japan, according to Japanese shipowner Mitsui OSK Lines (Mol). The city of Yokohama in the eastern prefecture of Kanagawa, in co-operation with Mitsubishi Gas Chemical (MGC) and Maersk, launched a study on methanol and green methanol bunkering in the port of Yokohama in December 2023. Since then, the group, in collaboration with new partners — Japanese refiner Idemitsu, MGC's shipping subsidiary Kokuka Sangyo, domestic shipping firm Uyeno Transtech and Yokohama Kawasaki international port — has conducted a ship-to-ship bunkering simulation at the port of Yokohama in September. Expectations of the increase in methanol use, especially cleaner e-methanol, have led Japanese firms to become more involved in upstream projects to secure the fuel. Japanese firms have invested in more than 10 e-methanol production projects both in and outside of Japan ( see table ), with the number of projects likely to increase, according to the ministry of economy, trade and industry. Japanese firms are developing new carriers, but at the same time are also trying to modify existing vessels — which currently use fuel oil, LNG, LPG and methanol — to be able to burn renewable fuels such as biofuels, e-methane and e-methanol. It would be easy to increase the number of methanol-fuelled ships, given their relatively low initial or modification costs compared with LNG-fed vessels, according to Mol. Methanol is also a stable liquid at room temperature and atmosphere pressure, making it easy to transport and store compared to other alternative fuels, Mol added. Fellow shipping company Nippon Yusen Kaisha (NYK line) is also mulling the development of smaller methanol-fuelled handymax ships that are unable to be equipped with large ammonia fuel tanks, to aid with decarbonisation. Methanol a temporary solution But Japanese firms see methanol mostly as a "bridging fuel" rather than a zero-emission fuel, as methanol can reduce GHG emissions only by 15pc compared to traditional bunker fuel, although it can curb sulphur oxide and nitrogen oxide emissions by up to 99pc and 80pc, respectively. It would be vital to begin introducing much cleaner marine fuels, such as ammonia and hydrogen, to meet the maritime sector's net-zero goal. Tokyo is trying to promote the development of ammonia and hydrogen-fuelled ships by providing financial support, while the utilisation of such clean vessels could materialise from around 2030, the ministry of land, infrastructure, transport and tourism (Mlit) said. Japan's state-owned research institute Nedo plans to provide ¥35bn ($229mn) to support the development of engines, fuel tanks, fuel supply systems and other core technologies for zero-emission ships that use hydrogen and ammonia, as well as LNG and e-methane, under its ¥2.76 trillion green innovation fund. But the grants are much larger than those for the development of methanol-fuelled ships, which are currently available only from Mlit and the environment ministry, with the amount of ¥100mn per vessel over two to three years. The scheme has been open for application every year since 2023. But the ministries' scheme also targets LNG-fuelled ships, with a breakdown of allotment for methanol-powered vessels unclear. By Reina Maeda and Nanami Oki Japanese firms' methanol projects Methanol-fuelled ships Company # of vessel Type Target commercialisation Announcement Mitsubishi Gas Chemical, Mitsui OSK Line 1 Ocean-going methanol carrier Jul-05 May-23 Toyofuji Shipping, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries 2 Ro-Ro vessel 2027-28 fiscal year Jun-24 Mitsui OSK Line 1 Coastal methanol carrier Dec-24 Jul-24 NS United Kaiun, Nihon Shipyard, Jaman Marine United, Imabari Shipbuilding Multiple Bulk carrier After 2027-28 fiscal year May-24 Orix, Tsuneishi Shipbuilding 2 Bulk carrier Jul-24 Production Company Product Country Target commercialisation Target capacity (t/yr) Mitsui E-methanol US Jan-24 1630000 Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Bio-methanol Japan Jun-24 Small amount Mitsubishi Gas Chemical, Kobelco E-methanol Japan NA NA Cosmo, Toyo Engineering E-methanol Japan NA NA Sumitomo Chemical E-methanol Japan 2030s NA Mitsui, Asahi Kasei Bio-methanol US Jun-23 NA Toyo Engineering E-methanol India 2030 NA Investment Company Product Country Target commercialisation Target capacity (t/yr) Mitsui E-methanol Denmark NA 42,000 Idemitsu E-methanol Brazil, US, Chile, Uruguay, Australia 2,030 4,000,000 JOGMEC E-methanol Brazil, US, Chile, Uruguay, Australia 2,030 4,000,000 Mitsu OSK Line E-methanol Brazil, US, Chile, Uruguay, Australia 2,030 4,000,000 Table source: Firm's company releases Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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