Belarusian opposition leader asks for US sanctions
Belarusian opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya is renewing calls for the US to expand its sanctions targeting Belarus' oil and fertilizer industries.
Tikhanovskaya, who met yesterday with US secretary of state Tony Blinken and other State Department officials in Washington, today said she asked for additional sanctions and was given assurances that the US administration will unveil "strong actions" against Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenko's government and state owned enterprises.
"We talked about sectoral sanctions because they are most powerful — they would hit the enterprises, they would hit Lukashenko's cronies," Tikhanovskaya said at a discussion hosted by Washington think tank the Atlantic Council. "They monopolized the potash, oil, steel and wood processing enterprises, and sectoral sanctions would hit the regime."
The US administration on 3 June resumed enforcing sanctions against nine Belarusian refining, petrochemical and fertilizer companies. That list affects the operator of the 240,000 b/d Novopolotsk refinery and Belarusian state-owned refining business Belneftekhim. Tikhanovskaya last month called on US lawmakers to also target the 323,000 b/d Mozyr refinery and state-owned potash producer Belaruskali, neither of which is affected by existing US sanctions.
US president Joe Biden on 25 May ordered new sanctions to be prepared against Belarus in coordination with the EU to protest the forced redirection of a Ryanair passenger flight to Minsk and the arrest of a Belarusian journalist aboard that aircraft. But the US has yet to act to match sanctions the EU unveiled last month against Belarusian entities and Russian businessman Mikhail Gutseriyev.
US officials normally do not comment on future sanctions targets, and the State Department did not address the prospect of additional sanctions in an official readout of meetings with Tikhanovskaya. "With partners like the EU, the UK and Canada, we continue to coordinate tools and economic pressure in support of the Belorussian people and to hold regime actors accountable for their abuses," US ambassador to Belarus Julie Fisher said today.
The Belarusian opposition leader is holding meetings with White House officials and members of Congress later today. "We want maximum pressure," Tikhanovskaya said, a term used frequently by former president Donald Trump's administration to describe its sanctions approach to Iran and Venezuela.
But the term — and the approach — has fallen out of favor in Washington since Biden took office.
The US administration is reviewing its existing sanctions programs to judge their efficacy after concluding that the maximum pressure campaigns against Iran and Venezuela have achieved little to no political results. Current and former US sanctions officials have criticized the recent practice of imposing sanctions as a purely punitive measure instead of using them to try to alter foreign governments' behavior.
Deputy treasury secretary Wally Adeyemo hosted former Democratic and Republican government officials to discuss possible sanctions tweaks. The group told Adeyemo that "US economic and financial sanctions are not an end to themselves but are most effective when employed in the context of a broader US government strategy to address a foreign policy or national security threat," the Treasury Department said. The meeting also "discussed the need to effectively calibrate sanctions to limit the unintended consequences on US businesses, foreign partners, and other third parties — including entities engaged in legitimate humanitarian activities."
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Brazil's drought: Northern rivers still dropping
Brazil's drought: Northern rivers still dropping
Sao Paulo, 26 September (Argus) — The worst drought in Brazil's history continues to reduce river levels in the Northern Arc region, hampering navigation on rivers that are used as waterways and are important routes to transport grains and fertilizers. Madeira waterway The waterway links Rondonia state's capital Porto Velho to the Itacoatiara port, in Amazonas state. Itacoatiara port is expected to receive around 371,435 metric tonnes (t) of fertilizers in September, according to line up data from shipping agency Unimar. Status: The situation is most critical in the Madeira waterway, the second largest in the northern region, in Porto Velho. The state's ports and waterways authority (Soph) halted operations there on 23 September because the Madeira River's depth at the port reached 25cm (9.8in), the lowest since monitoring began in 1967. The Madeira River depth in Porto Velho increased to 34cm on 26 September, according to monitoring data from the Brazilian Geological Survey (SGB). Amazonas waterway It is the main waterway in Brazil's north, handling around 65pc of the region's cargo, according to the national transportation and infrastructure department (Dnit). It links Amazonas' capital Manaus to Para's capital Belem. Status: The Negro River has also been falling. The depth was at almost 13.88m at the SGB monitoring point in Manaus on 26 September — an extreme drought level and very close to the historic low of 13.64m recorded in 2023. Tapajos waterway It is an important waterway to move production from Mato Grosso state's northern area, with the Santarem port, in Para state, as a destination. The Santarem port handled nearly 4mn t of cargo in 2023, with fertilizers accounting for 578,630t, according to the Para port authority. Status: The Tapajos-Teles Pires waterway is also facing a dire situation. The national water and sanitation agency ANA declared a water shortage on the Tapajos River on 23 September. Drier weather than usual has dropped the levels of Tapajos, especially in the stretch between Itaituba and Santarem cities, in Para state, where flows are below the minimum levels observed in history. The depth of the Tapajos River at the Itaituba monitoring point, where the transfer point for the Miritituba waterway is located, was at 92cm on 26 September, below the record low of 132cm, according to SBG data. At the Santarem monitoring point, where the port of Santarem is located, the Tapajos River was at 74cm, a level considered dry. The historical minimum at the location is -55cm below the port's reference point. A level below zero does not mean the river is dry, but a negative reading indicates very low conditions. Tocantins-Araguaia waterway The Tocantins-Araguaia waterway encompasses the Araguaia and Tocantins rivers. It runs from the Barra do Garcas city, in Mato Grosso, onto the Araguaia River, or from Peixes city, in Tocantins state, onto the Tocantins River, to the port of Vila do Conde, in Para. Soybeans, corn, fertilizers, fuels, mineral oils and derivative products are transported via the northern waterways. Vila do Conde port handled 19.3mn t of cargo in 2023, according to Para port authority. Status: The SGB has two monitoring points on the Araguaia River. In the Nova Crixas city, in Goias state, the river was at 299cm, below the historical level of 310cm. In Sao Felix do Araguaia city, in Mato Grosso state, the river was at 257cm, a situation of extreme drought and close to the historical minimum level of 251cm. In September, the federal government announced investments of R500mn ($91.4mn) to carry out dredging work on stretches of rivers in Amazonas. Para's state government requested another R146mn to address problems caused by the drought. By João Petrini Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Opec+, Saudis have no target oil price: sources
Opec+, Saudis have no target oil price: sources
Dubai, 26 September (Argus) — Neither Saudi Arabia nor the wider Opec+ group have any specific target for oil prices, and no member of the producers' alliance is about to abandon output discipline in favour of chasing market share, multiple Opec+ sources have told Argus . Oil prices fell earlier on Thursday following unconfirmed press reports that Saudi Arabia may be willing to tolerate lower oil prices as part of a plan to increase crude output to regain market share. Sources within Opec+ have since dismissed those assertions outright, insisting that the basis for the group's collective decision-making will always be market fundamentals, and in particular the five-year average of crude inventories, rather than targeting any particular oil price. "Neither Opec+, Opec nor the Saudis have any price target, let alone $100/bl," one source said, in response to a Financial Times report that stated Saudi Arabia is ready to "abandon its unofficial price target of $100/bl". A second source said the $100/bl figure being reported is not a target but is more likely to refer to a recent estimate issued by banks and other financial institutions of Saudi Arabia's "so-called break-even oil price" — that is, the price the kingdom needs to cover its spending plans. In April, the IMF estimated Saudi Arabia's breakeven oil price at $96.20 for 2024, almost 20pc above the previous year and around a third higher than current Ice Brent futures. "The breakeven is, at best, indicative, but does not tell the full story," the source said. Focusing on it "is totally devoid of the idea that a government has a host of other tools to manage an economy — issuing bonds, borrowing, adjusting one's budget". Eight Opec+ producers, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, were due to begin a phased return of around 2.2mn b/d of "voluntary" output cuts from the start of next month. But mounting concerns over the strength of the global economy, and in turn oil demand, prompted the group to defer the plan by two months to December. With worries around oil demand not going away, and the market looking likely to flip into a surplus from the start of next year, some observers are questioning whether there will be any need for an increase in Opec+ supply from December. And if the eight members go ahead with unwinding the cuts regardless, whether that would signal a shift in the group's focus to chasing market share. But a third source rejected that view, as the group would "only be reversing what we have cut". "As a group, we have said time and time again that these cuts were both voluntary and temporary, and always stressed that they could be paused or reversed," the source said. "And earlier this month, that's exactly what we did with the two-month deferral to December." December or bust? The rationale to delay the increase in production to December was twofold, according to Opec+ sources. It not only reflected the uncertainty around the global economy, the US and Chinese economies, interest rates and demand. But more importantly, the decision was made to allow Opec+ members that have overproduced this year ꟷ namely Iraq, Kazakhstan and Russia ꟷ more time to show they are serious about compensating for exceeding their output targets. "There is so much uncertainty today which we, as Opec+, have no control over," one of the sources said. "But what we do control is our own affairs." Iraq and Kazakhstan have been under intense pressure in recent months to not only adhere to their pledged targets, but also compensate for past overproduction. While Kazakhstan did manage to produce below its target in August, Iraq continued to struggle. All eyes will be on how these countries do in September. "The overproduction is impacting our credibility, and we need to tackle that. Discipline is paramount," the source said. Reports that Saudi Arabia is committed to start unwinding cuts from December, come what may, are wide of the mark for several reasons, another source said. "First, this is not a decision for Saudi Arabia to make. It is for all eight to decide," he said. The group also still has several weeks before it has to decide whether to proceed with the plan, or defer again, the source added. A decision is due in the first week of November, by which time the group should have better visibility on market fundamentals and Iraqi and Kazakh compensation efforts. "How could we make a decision now when we don't even have September production figures?" the source said. By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Hurricane Helene shuts in 29pc of US Gulf oil
Hurricane Helene shuts in 29pc of US Gulf oil
New York, 25 September (Argus) — Hurricane Helene, which is forecast to intensify as it heads for a late Thursday landfall in Florida, has shut in about 29pc of US Gulf of Mexico oil output. Around 511,000 b/d of US offshore oil output was off line as of 12:30pm ET, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE), while 313mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 17pc of the region's output, was also off line. Operators have so far evacuated workers from 17 offshore platforms. Helene was last about 110 miles north-northeast of Cozumel, Mexico, according to a 2pm ET advisory from the US National Hurricane Center, with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. Helene is expected to be a major hurricane, with winds of at least 111mph, when it reaches the eastern Florida coast on Thursday evening. "A turn toward the north and north-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today through Thursday, bringing the center of Helene across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and to the Florida Big Bend coast by Thursday evening," the center said. Shell restarting some production Although the hurricane will largely pass to the east of most offshore oil and gas production areas, companies have taken precautionary measures. Given a shift in the forecast track, Shell said late Tuesday that it had started to ramp up production at the Appomattox platform to normal levels, and was in the process of restoring output at the Stones facility, both off the coast of Louisiana. It paused some drilling operations. Chevron said earlier it was shutting in production at company-operated facilities in the Gulf of Mexico, and evacuating all workers. Equinor said it was shutting down the Titan oil platform. BP had earlier this week started to shut in production at its Na Kika and Thunder Horse platforms, southeast of New Orleans, and was curtailing output from its Argos and Atlantis facilities, as well as removing non-essential staff. US offshore production was disrupted earlier this month when Hurricane Francine made landfall, with up to 42pc of production was offline at one point. The offshore Gulf of Mexico accounts for around 15pc of total US crude output and 5pc of US natural gas production. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Vertex Energy files for bankruptcy, seeks sale
Vertex Energy files for bankruptcy, seeks sale
Houston, 25 September (Argus) — Specialty refiner Vertex Energy has filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy in a US court following a failed foray into renewable fuels production at its 88,000 b/d Mobile, Alabama, refinery. Vertex has entered into a restructuring support agreement with its lenders and secured $80mn of new funding to finance its day-to-day business operations, the company said late Tuesday. The refiner is also considering a "more value-maximizing sale transaction" and expects to confirm its chapter 11 bankruptcy plan by the end of the year, according to the 24 September press release. Vertex announced in May this year that it would "pause" renewable diesel production at its Alabama refinery and return the unit to producing fossil fuel products. The company later said it would use a third quarter turnaround to return the Alabama plant's converted hydrocracking unit to processing fossil fuel feedstocks and be back online in the fourth quarter. Vertex also operates a re-refinery near New Orleans, Louisiana, that produces low-sulfur vacuum gas oil (VGO) and multiple used motor oil (UMO) processing plants and collection facilities along the Gulf coast. Refiners have faced mixed fortunes in recent years with their investments in renewable fuels after a glut of new supply flooded markets and depressed renewable credit prices. US independent refiner Delek announced in August that it is temporarily idling three biodiesel plants in Texas, Arkansas and Mississippi as it explores alternative uses for the sites. Chevron said earlier this year it was indefinitely closing two biodiesel plants in Wisconsin and Iowa due to market conditions. By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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