Carbon price to impact biofuels markets: Ieta
The range of legal proposals aligning climate and energy legislation with the EU's 55pc emissions-reduction target by 2030 — including the revision of the bloc's emissions trading system (ETS) — will impact the biofuels markets, Adam Berman, EU policy director at the International Emissions Trading Association (Ieta), told Argus.
How important is carbon pricing for biofuels markets?
Carbon pricing is really important as a tool for climate action in the road transport sector. But it is not the silver bullet and needs to be complemented by sector specific policies to make alternatives, such as biofuels, price-competitive. On top of an enhanced ETS, with a separate road transport and buildings ETS, changes to energy taxation and other mechanisms will enable cost competitive biofuels to be rolled-out at scale.
Is there enough political support for road transport under the EU ETS?
Let's be clear, there is no direct inclusion of road transport or buildings into the general ETS. The commission's proposal is to establish a separate ETS for road transport and buildings. Sectors predominantly covered by the ETS have reduced emissions by over 30pc since 1990. For road transport, emissions have gone up by over 33pc since 1990. So a carbon price will provide a strong signal alongside enhanced policies like higher renewables ambition levels. Ultimately, the EU ETS covers 40pc of emissions, works well and provides really significant revenues for decarbonisation.
Will there not be political push-back?
It is a precarious moment politically. A reasonable carbon price for transport is needed that increases over time with revenues redistributed in a meaningful way to low-income households. Mitigating push back might also include moderating the proposed price structure.
As it stands the commission's proposal allows, from the very first day, for the road transport/building ETS price to float freely. We have no idea what that price could be with estimates ranging from €50 to even €150 per tonne. Germany has a good national ETS for road transport with a fixed price and price corridor. All said, there's a good chance that the ETS for road transport and buildings will get through. Otherwise it'll be very hard to reach the overall GHG emission reduction targets.
Will there be enough of an ETS carbon price signal to push biofuels?
This separate ETS for road transport and buildings is more suited to the higher abatement costs in the transport sector. It is a quicker path to biofuel usage than if regulation alone were used or if road transport had been put into the general ETS. Over time, there will almost certainly be a higher road transport/housing ETS price, because of the higher abatement costs with those sectors.
The general ETS is multi-sector so it would take some time before solutions like biofuels would equate to where the [separate road transport] abatement cost is. I would not want to hazard a guess as to the exact carbon price if the market is allowed to float freely, but it may well be above €100/t.
What will carbon pricing do for sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs)?
Carbon pricing is part of the picture. At the moment, the International Civil Aviation Organisation's (ICAO) Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (Corsia) scheme is at an early stage. SAFs and other solutions have to be brought in. But it is very hard to know at exactly what carbon price solutions like SAFs become cost-effective as a result of fuel price fluctuations, national regulation and more.
And it is not just about SAFs getting cheaper but also about traditional emitting fuels getting more expensive, also via carbon pricing. The EU ETS will not reach the point of driving change towards SAFs very soon. Still, only three years ago, we were at an ETS price of less than €10/t. The higher the ETS price gets, the more acceptable solutions like SAFs become for hard-to-abate sectors.
Is there impact from inclusion of maritime shipping under the ETS?
The expansion of the ETS to cover maritime shipping will quite substantially increase the biofuels market. The maritime industry has not achieved significant decarbonisation. Placing shipping under a carbon price is a starting point and sends a very clear signal to biofuel producers that they need to be ready at scale with solutions. Maritime is likely to be a net purchaser of allowances. So firms will be shown quite quickly that the carbon price signal is strong enough to incentivise low-carbon solutions like biofuels.
Related news posts
Australia's Qantas records higher fuel costs in 2023-24
Australia's Qantas records higher fuel costs in 2023-24
Singapore, 30 August (Argus) — Australian airline Qantas Airways recorded a higher fuel bill in the 2023-24 fiscal year to 30 June, as more flights, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) expenses and carbon offset programmes weighed on costs. Qantas saw its fuel costs rise by 17pc from a year earlier to A$5.32bn ($3.62bn) in 2023-24, according to the company's full-year financial results released on 29 August. The airline group's passenger carrying capacity was up by 21pc on the previous year, with growth in domestic and international capaicty. This saw the group's overall fuel consumption grow to 29mn bl (79,000 b/d), or 18pc up on the previous year. Qantas expects fuel costs in the first half of 2024-25 to remain stable from a year earlier at about A$2.7bn, including hedging and gross carbon costs, with the group forecasting to consume 15.6mn bl of fuel, including SAF. Qantas forecasts domestic group capacity to rise to 104pc of pre-Covid 19 pandemic capacity in the first half of 2024-25. Its international capacity guidance, excluding Jetstar Asia, is expected to rise by about 16pc from the previous year to achieve 102pc of pre-Covid levels in the first half. The group's passenger carrying capacity, measured by available seat kilometres (ASKs), was up on a year earlier by 21pc to 141mn ASK by 2023-24, although this was still about 93pc of pre-Covid levels. Qantas has agreements to offtake SAF, renewing its agreement to buy SAF for flights out of London Heathrow and doubling the size of its corporate customer SAF programme in 2023-24. But the group saw its 2023-24 profit fall, with underlying profit before tax down by 16pc on the previous year to A$2.08bn. By Cara Wong Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
India lifts curbs on use of sugarcane juice for ethanol
India lifts curbs on use of sugarcane juice for ethanol
Mumbai, 30 August (Argus) — The Indian government is allowing sugar mills and distilleries to use sugarcane juice and sugar syrup to produce ethanol during the November 2024-October 2025 supply year. The government in December last year halted the use of sugarcane juice and sugar syrup for ethanol production in the 2023-24 supply year, as insufficient rainfall in key growing regions led to a surge in domestic sugar prices and a shortage of the sweetener. Sugar mills and distilleries can also produce ethanol from B-heavy and C-heavy molasses. The food ministry's order added that it will, in co-ordination with the oil ministry, periodically review the diversion of sugar to ethanol production in relation to the production of sugar in the country to ensure the availability of sugar for domestic consumption throughout the year. The government also allowed the Food Corporation of India to sell rice to distilleries for ethanol production during August-October but capped the limit at 2.3mn t of rice. India had suspended supplies of excess rice to distilleries for ethanol production in July 2023 because of food availability and concerns about rising prices. Distilleries will be allowed to load rice during August-October subject to allocation of ethanol to the distilleries by oil marketing companies, the government order said. Of the total ethanol used for blending in gasoline in India, around 61pc comes from B-heavy molasses, 20pc from sugar syrup, 11pc from surplus rice, 6pc from damaged food grains and maize and 2pc from C-heavy molasses. India has a set a goal to increase ethanol blending in gasoline to 20pc by 2025, as part of efforts to reduce its dependence on crude imports. Ethanol blending in gasoline was 13.3pc during November 2023-July 2024 and 15.8pc during July 2024, oil ministry data show. Oil marketing companies buy ethanol from ethanol producers like sugar mills and distilleries to blend with gasoline. By Roshni Devi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Brazil's Bndes backs reforestation firm
Brazil's Bndes backs reforestation firm
Sao Paulo, 29 August (Argus) — Brazil's Bndes development bank approved R160mn ($28.7mn) in financing for reforestation company Mombak, which will use the funding for projects in Para state that will generate carbon offsets to be sold in the international market. The company has planted over 3mn native tree species in Para as part of its broader efforts to recover degraded areas in the Amazon basin where deforestation levels are highest. Mombak will receive R80mn from the Bndes' Climate fund and another R80mn from the banks' Finem line of credit. This is not Mobak's first project to sell carbon offsets. The company has a deal with Microsoft for 1.5mn offsets and with automobile racing firm McLaren. The funding is part of a partnership between Bndes and the environment ministry to reduce deforestation in an area known as the "deforestation arch" in the Amazon, with the goal of recovering 6mn hectares (ha) of degraded area in this region by 2030 and 18mn ha by 2050. This environmentally vulnerable region has received R1bn in financing since it was officially targeted at the Cop 28 UN climate talks. Mombak was founded in 2021 by former executives from Brazilian tech companies 99 and Nubank. The company has raised roughly R1bn in capital to invest in reforestation projects. It also received backing from the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, Bain Capital, French insurance company AXA and the Rockefeller Foundation. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
UK eyes new environmental guidance for oil, gas: Update
UK eyes new environmental guidance for oil, gas: Update
Adds comment from Shell London, 29 August (Argus) — The UK government will develop new environmental guidance for oil and gas firms, in the light of a recent Supreme Court decision that ruled consent for an oil development was unlawful, as the scope 3 emissions — those from burning the oil produced — were not considered. The ruling means that "end use emissions from the burning of extracted hydrocarbons need to be assessed", the government said today. The government will consult on the new guidance and aims to conclude the process "by spring 2025", it said today. It will in the meantime halt and defer the assessment of any environmental statements related to oil and gas extraction and storage activities until the new guidance is in place, including statements that are already being assessed. The Supreme Court in June ruled that Surrey County Council's decision to permit an oil development was "unlawful because the end use atmospheric emissions from burning the extracted oil were not assessed as part of the environmental impact assessment". The government also confirmed that it will not challenge judicial reviews brought against the development consent granted to the Jackdaw and Rosebank oil and gas fields in the North Sea. A judicial review in the UK is a challenge to the way in which a decision has been made by a public body, focusing on the procedures followed rather than the conclusion reached. Environmental campaign groups Greenpeace and Uplift launched legal challenges in December seeking a judicial review of the government's decision to permit Rosebank. Norway's state-owned Equinor and London-listed Ithaca hold 80pc and 20pc of Rosebank, respectively. Greenpeace in July 2022 separately filed a legal challenge against the permitting of Shell's Jackdaw field. "This litigation does not mean the licences for Jackdaw and Rosebank have been withdrawn", the government said. The Labour government, voted into office in July , pledged not to issue any new oil, gas or coal licences, but also promised not to revoke existing ones. Equinor is "currently assessing the implications of today's announcement and will maintain close collaboration with all relevant stakeholders to advance the project. Rosebank is a vital project for the UK and is bringing benefits in terms of investment, job creation and energy security", the company told Argus today. Shell is "carefully considering the implications of today's announcement... we believe the Jackdaw field remains an important development for the UK, providing fuel to heat 1.4mn homes and supporting energy security, as other older gas fields reach the end of production", the company told Argus . North Sea oil and gas production "will be a key component of the UK energy landscape for decades to come", the government said today. The UK government introduced a climate compatibility checkpoint in September 2022, designed to ensure that oil and gas licensing fits UK climate goals. The UK has a legally-binding target of net zero emissions by 2050. The checkpoint, though, does not take into account scope 3 emissions. These typically make up between 80pc and 95pc of total oil and gas company emissions. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
![Generic Hero Banner](/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F14-generic-hero-banners%2Fherobanner_1600x530_generic-c.jpg%3Fh%3D530%26iar%3D0%26w%3D1600%26rev%3D8ec86dce0f724687bd325a9a917cffae%26hash%3D9FD39B08C9D84A160C91A3649C40A186&w=3840&q=75)
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more