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EU durum wheat imports to recover from record lows

  • Market: Agriculture
  • 31/08/22

EU durum wheat imports so far in 2022-23 have fallen to a fresh low for the period but a weak domestic production paired with Canada's imminent durum harvest could lift receipts in the coming months.

The EU-27 imported just 30,700t of durum wheat between the start of the 2022-23 marketing year on 1 July and 28 August, according to provisional data from the EU commission. This was sharply down from 240,000t the same time a year ago and 576,800t in 2020-21. Durum receipts in July-August had previously fallen to a low of 56,000t in 2018-19.

The bloc's import mix has drastically changed so far this season, with India emerging as the largest durum supplier to the region at some 20,500t — already surpassing full-year volumes to date. At the same time, only 7,150t of durum was received from Canada — traditionally the largest supplier of crop to the EU — down from 150,000t the same time a year earlier. And no durum was imported from Australia — the EU's second-largest supplier of crop.

On the buyer side, the EU's largest durum importer, Italy, has yet to begin receipts of product, with Malta and Belgium receiving the bulk of international cargoes.

Durum imports have been off to a slow start, with stocks of crop hitting multi-year lows in Canada following a weak harvest in 2021-22. Canadian durum carryout stocks at the end of the country's 2021-22 marketing season on 31 July were estimated as low as 496,000t, with production last year totalling just 2.65mn t, against 6.57mn t a year earlier, according to Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) data.

And Australia has already shipped much of its exportable surplus ahead of its 2022-23 harvest due at the end of this year. At the same time, weaker Canadian harvest has pushed importers such as Algeria, Japan and China to seek Australian durum, weighing on the availability of EU-bound supply.

But the EU's durum production is expected to hit multi-year lows this year as persisting dry and hot conditions weighed on yields in France and Italy. The bloc's output of crop is anticipated to total 7.12mn t in 2022-23, down from 7.74mn t a year earlier and its lowest in at least five years, according to the European Commission. At the same time, durum imports are forecast to rise to 2.5mn t from 1.3mn t last year.

Canada is well placed to supply much of the EU's rising durum requirements in 2022-23, with its harvest of crop expected to rise to 6.47mn t under Statistics Canada estimates. But the nation's grain harvest, including that of durum, has made slower progress this year due to milder and wetter weather in the spring and much of the summer, which could delay deliveries into Europe by several weeks.

Meanwhile, imports from Australia are set to resume, with a 50,000t Italy-bound durum cargo shipped from the Newcastle port on 24 August, line-up data show.


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10/04/25

New tariffs could upend US tallow imports: Correction

New tariffs could upend US tallow imports: Correction

Corrects description of options for avoiding feedstock tariffs in 12th paragraph. Story originally published 3 April. New York, 10 April (Argus) — New US tariffs on nearly all foreign products could deter further imports of beef tallow, a fast-rising biofuel feedstock and food ingredient that had until now largely evaded President Donald Trump's efforts to reshape global trade. Tallow was the most used feedstock for US biomass-based diesel production in January for the first month ever, with consumption by pound rising month to month despite sharp declines in actual biorefining and in use of competing feedstocks. The beef byproduct benefits from US policies, including a new federal tax credit known as "45Z", that offer greater subsidies to fuel derived from waste than fuel derived from first-generation crops. Much of that tallow is sourced domestically, but the US also imported more than 880,000t of tallow last year, up 29pc from just two years earlier. The majority of those imports last year came from Brazil, which until now has faced a small 0.43¢/kg (19.5¢/lb) tariff, and from Australia, which was exempt from any tallow-specific tariffs under a free trade agreement with US. But starting on 5 April, both countries will be subject to at least the new 10pc charge on foreign imports. There are some carveouts from tariffs for certain energy products, but animal fats are not included. Some other major suppliers — like Argentina, Uruguay, and New Zealand — will soon have new tariffs in place too, although tallow from Canada is for now unaffected because it is covered by the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement. Brazil tallow shipments to the US totaled around 300,000t in 2024, marking an all-time high, but tallow shipments during the fourth quarter of 2024 fell under the 2023 levels as uncertainty about future tax policy slowed buying interest. Feedstock demand in general in the US has remained muted to start this year because of poor biofuel production margins, and that has extended to global tallow flows. Tallow suppliers in Brazil for instance were already experiencing decreased interest from US producers before tariffs. Brazil tallow prices for export last closed at $1,080/t on 28 March, rising about 4pc year-to-date amid support from the 45Z guidance and aid from Brazil's growing biodiesel industry, which is paying a hefty premium for tallow compared to exports. While the large majority of Brazilian tallow exports end up in the US, Australian suppliers have more flexibility and could send more volume to Singapore instead if tariffs deter US buyers. Export prices out of Australia peaked this year at $1,185/t on 4 March but have since trended lower to last close at $1,050/t on 1 April. In general, market participants say international tallow suppliers would have to drop offers to keep trade flows intact. Other policy shifts affect flows Even as US farm groups clamored for more muscular foreign feedstock limits over much of the last year, tallow had until now largely dodged any significant restrictions. Recent US guidance around 45Z treats all tallow, whether produced in the US or shipped long distances to reach the US, the same. Other foreign feedstocks were treated more harshly, with the same guidance providing no pathway at all for road fuels from foreign used cooking oil and also pinning the carbon intensity of canola oil — largely from Canada — as generally too high to claim any subsidy. But tariffs on major suppliers of tallow to the US, and the threat of additional charges if countries retaliate, could give refiners pause. Demand could rise for domestic animal fats or alternatively for domestic vegetable oils that can also be refined into fuel, especially if retaliatory tariffs cut off global markets for US farm products like soybean oil. There is also risk if Republicans in the Trump administration or Congress reshape rules around 45Z to penalize foreign feedstocks. At the same time, a minimum 10pc charge for tallow outside North America is a more manageable price to pay compared to other feedstocks — including a far-greater collection of charges on Chinese used cooking oil. And if the US sets biofuel blend mandates as high as some oil and farm groups are pushing , strong demand could leave producers with little choice but to continue importing at least some feedstock from abroad to continue making fuel. Not all US renewable diesel producers will be equally impacted by tariffs either. Some tariffs are eligible for drawbacks, meaning that producers could potentially recover tariffs they paid on feedstocks for fuel that is ultimately exported. And multiple biofuel producers are located in foreign-trade zones, a US program that works similarly to the duty drawbacks, and have applied for permission to avoid some tariffs on imported feedstocks for fuel eventually shipped abroad. Jurisdictions like the EU and UK, where sustainable aviation fuel mandates took effect this year, are attractive destinations. And there is still strong demand from the US food sector, with edible tallow prices in Chicago up 18pc so far this year. Trump allies, including his top health official, have pushed tallow as an alternative to seed oils. By Cole Martin and Jamuna Gautam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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