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French refineries to halt operations as strikes deepen

  • Market: Crude oil, LPG, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 17/03/23

Four out of six French refineries are stopping operations or plan to stop by Monday, 20 March, as industrial action deepens over planned changes to pension rights.

Workers and union officials said refineries are shutting as a response to the government forcing through its pensions law, using a parliamentary clause known as 49:3.

"Anger is rising," one said.

It also appears refineries are running short of crude, as strikes by dockers and port workers hamper discharge.

TotalEnergies' 219,000 b/d Donges and 246,900 b/d Gonfreville plants, UK-Chinese refiner Petroineos' 210,000 b/d Lavera refinery and ExxonMobil's 207,100 b/d Port Jerome should all be closed by 20 March, according to workers. The latter is halting operations as it does not have enough crude to maintain throughput.

The situation is fluid and TotalEnergies has yet to respond to queries on the matter.


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02/12/24

Mexico central bank flags 2025 growth uncertainty

Mexico central bank flags 2025 growth uncertainty

Mexico City, 2 December (Argus) — Mexico's central bank (Banxico) maintained its base-case 2025 GDP growth estimate at 1.2pc, with a range of 0.4pc to 2pc, citing heightened global uncertainty fueled by geopolitical conflicts and potential shifts in international economic policies. Central bank governor Victoria Rodriguez last week addressed US president-elect Donald Trump's proposed 25pc tariffs on Mexican goods, urging caution until the trade situation clarifies. Mexican president Claudia Shienbaum initially responded with a firm stance, saying Mexico could apply counter-tariffs. Later, Sheinbaum and Trump had a "friendly" phone call to discuss issues surrounding the proposed 25pc tariff on Mexican and Canadian imports, Sheinbaum said. Banxico raised its 2024 GDP growth forecast to 1.8pc from 1.5pc in its previous quarterly report in August, driven by stronger-than-expected third-quarter performance. Still, Banxico noted that the additional growth is driven by increased spending on imported goods rather than domestic production, particularly in investment and private consumption. Inflation dynamics remain mixed. While headline inflation rose to an annualized 4.76pc in October, core inflation eased to 3.58pc, its lowest level since mid-2020. Rodriguez emphasized progress on inflation despite external uncertainties, signaling room for further monetary easing. Banxico cut its target interest rate by 25 basis points to 10.25pc on 14 November and is widely expected to lower it again to 10pc at its 19 December meeting. Projections from Mexican finance executives institution (IMEF) suggest the rate could drop to 8.25pc by the end of 2025. Banxico also revised its 2024 inflation forecast to 4.7pc from 4.4pc in the August report but expects inflation to return to its 2–4pc target range by early 2025, with a 3pc rate projected by the fourth quarter. Other adjustments include a downgraded forecast for formal job creation in 2024 and 2025, with the range estimate for full-year job creation in 2024 dropping to 250,000–350,000 from 410,000-550,000 in August. The 2025 estimate came down to 340,000–540,000 from 430,000–630,000.The 2025 trade deficit outlook was also tightened to $14.9bn–$22.1bn, compared to a previous range of $13.7bn–$23.7bn. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Lower prices support German fuel demand


02/12/24
News
02/12/24

Lower prices support German fuel demand

Hamburg, 2 December (Argus) — German demand for heating oil, diesel and E5 gasoline increased in the week to 29 November, supported by a fall in domestic prices. The switch to winter grades and low stocks further boosted fuel demand. Middle distillates traded at lower prices nationwide last week, with heating oil and diesel prices falling by around €0.60/100 litres compared with the previous week. The drop was in line with a decline in the value of Ice gasoil futures, which came under pressure from the prospect of US tariffs against Canada, China and Mexico indicated by president-elect Donald Trump. Oversupply from refineries in the south and west of Germany put further downward pressure on domestic prices last week. Suppliers offered heating oil, diesel and gasoline from Bayernoil's 215,000 b/d Neustadt-Vohburg complex, Miro's 310,000 b/d Karlsruhe refinery and Shell's 334,000 b/d Rhineland complex at lower prices than surrounding loading locations in order to fulfil their contractual offtake volumes by the end of the month. The switch to winter grades supported German fuel demand last week. Consumers ordered smaller quantities of diesel in recent weeks as they waited for the switch to winter specification grades before replenishing their stocks. Since the switch, traded diesel spot volumes reported to Argus have steadily risen. An anticipated €10/t rise in Germany's CO2 tax next year will likely lead to increased stockpiling of product from mid-December, according to traders. End-consumer tank levels for diesel were at just 52pc at the end of last week. The extent to which the increase in the CO2 tax will put pressure on diesel imports depends on whether German refineries can maintain current high throughput levels. For the time being, imports into Germany via the country's northern ports or along the Rhine are not feasible because of the comparatively low domestic prices. By Johannes Guhlke Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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India’s base oil imports rise in 1H FY24-25


02/12/24
News
02/12/24

India’s base oil imports rise in 1H FY24-25

Singapore, 2 December (Argus) — India's base oil imports rose by 33pc on the year to 1.54mn t in the first half of the country's 2024-25 fiscal year, between April and September, data from GTT show. Blenders likely imported more cargoes owing to a decrease in domestic base oil production caused by plant issues and maintenances. This happened despite a slowdown in India's economic growth. The country's GDP is estimated to have grown by 6pc in April-September, compared with 8.2pc in the same period in the previous year, government data show. Vehicle sales in the country reached 1.31mn units between April and September, a 12.5pc increase from the previous year, according to data from the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (Siam). This likely boosted demand for finished lubricant. Base oil imports in September rose for the second consecutive month to 236,427t, as demand increased towards the end of the monsoon season. South Korea continued to be the top supplier to India, with imports reaching 115,487t in September, an 81pc increase from the previous year. By Chng Li Li India base oils imports t Sep'24 m-o-m ± % y-o-y ± % Apr-Sep FY24/25 y-o-y ± % South Korea 115,487 29.9 80.7 648,412 63.4 Singapore 33,356 -4.8 -31.0 215,775 35.2 Spain 22,896 177.6 201.3 80,309 71.0 Saudi Arabia 20,917 21.6 82.1 120,738 11.2 Qatar 11,047 594.3 1,235.8 78,950 41.3 Total 236,427 11.8 22.1 1,537,599 33.2 Source: GTT Total includes all countries, not just those listed Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Countries diverge on plastic production in global talks


02/12/24
News
02/12/24

Countries diverge on plastic production in global talks

Singapore, 2 December (Argus) — Countries have failed to reach a consensus in negotiations for a global treaty to tackle plastic pollution, partly because of disagreements about whether its scope should include plastic production. The fifth session of the UN's Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee (INC) which took place over 25 November-1 December was supposed to result in an international, legally binding instrument to tackle plastic pollution. But negotiations ultimately ended without an agreement in South Korea on 1 December. The UN Environment Programme's (UNEP's) executive director Inger Andersen acknowledged on 1 December that the session did "not quite" achieve consensus, but added that it is "not for want of trying". Countries instead agreed on a draft text, which will "serve as the starting point for negotiations" next year, the UNEP said on 2 December. Plastic production A key point of disagreement was regarding the inclusion of a legally-binding pledge to cut plastic production, echoing the discussions during a preliminary meeting in September when plastic production limits also emerged as a major sticking point. Many countries want the treaty to tackle the entire plastic value chain, including production, but this met resistance from oil-producing countries. Panama on 28 November put forth a proposal, backed by over 100 countries, to adopt a global target to "reduce the production of primary plastic polymers to sustainable levels" under article 6 of the draft text. It also suggested that countries must report their production, imports and exports of primary plastic polymers and measures taken to achieve the global target. But Kuwait, on behalf of like-minded countries, reiterated on 1 December that "the objective of this treaty is to end plastic pollution — not plastic itself." Kuwait hopes that the treaty will address the "core issue" of plastic pollution through "improved waste management systems, recycling infrastructure, and innovations in material design", as opposed to plastic production cuts. "Attempting to phase out plastic as a material, rather than addressing the issue of plastic pollution, risks undermining global progress and exacerbating economic inequalities," Kuwait added, noting that there has been no solution offered on what can replace plastic across its applications. By Tng Yong Li Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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PPO producer Pryme raises capex forecast


29/11/24
News
29/11/24

PPO producer Pryme raises capex forecast

London, 29 November (Argus) — Dutch plastic-derived pyrolysis oil (PPO) producer Pryme said capital expenditure (capex) will be "significantly higher" than initially estimated for its second planned site in northern Europe, known as Pryme Two. Pryme Two will feature three-five reactor chains with an expected annual output of 50,000-80,000 t/yr of PPO when completed, the company said. Changes to expected reactor train capacities and other design elements as a result of learning from its first site, Pryme One, have led it to increase its capex forecast for the project, although it did not provide further details. Plans for further sites, Pryme Three and Four, remain on hold until funding has been secured for Pryme Two, the company said. The company also announced it had produced 100t of PPO in October and November, bringing the annual yield of PPO to 336t from its Pryme One site. The site will undergo maintenance in the remainder of 2024, and does not expect any more meaningful volumes until 2025. The company is seeking a capital increase of €8-10mn ($8.5mn-10.6mn) "as soon as practicable" in order to support operations, as Pryme One is not expected to reach breakeven cash flow until late 2025 or early 2026, according to the company. The company said it is in the process of renegotiating with its suppliers and customers as it needed to "achieve improved commercial terms" to avoid operating at a loss even when Pryme One achieves production rates in line with its nameplate capacity, which Pryme expects in late 2025. The company said the net loss for October 2024 was €1.9mn and a similar loss is expected in November. As of 28 November, Pryme had a cash balance of €7.4mn. In the third quarter earnings report in November, Pryme said it had revised down the stated production capacity of the plant to 16,700 t/yr from 30,000 t/yr. This is a result of a lower feedstock-to-oil yield expectation — 65pc, compared with a previous estimate of 75pc — and a reduction in the plant's expected input processing capacity to 26,000 t/yr from 40,000 t/yr, as the downtime needed for reactor feeding, and cleaning and maintenance of equipment has proved longer than expected. By George Barsted Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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