Latest market news

Japan’s Nippon Steel pursues EAF projects

  • Market: Emissions, Metals
  • 11/05/23

Japan's largest steel producer Nippon Steel will study introducing electric arc furnaces (EAFs) at its main production complexes to accelerate the company's decarbonisation.

Nippon Steel will replace one of the basic oxygen furnaces at its Kyushu steelworks in south Japan's Yawata area with an EAF after carrying out internal studies, the company announced during its 2022-23 fiscal year result announcement. The company will also introduce another EAF at its Setouchi complex in west Japan's Hirohata area, in addition to one launched in October 2022.

The EAF projects aim to accelerate the company's decarbonisation drive to become carbon neutral by 2050, according to Nippon Steel. The length of the transition period was undisclosed as it awaits the study results. But the company expects to complete the projects to meet its mid-term target of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 30pc from 2013 levels by 2030.

The EAF transition could make a drastic change to the company's steel production. "The two candidate sites for the EAF shift are Nippon Steel's representative mass production bases for high-grade steel. Both areas intend to bring together the outcomes of the technologies under development and to become quickly engaged in making carbon neutral high-grade steel", Nippon Steel said.

Nippon Steel also plans to boost its stakes in overseas mining projects, aiming to raise its offtake ratio of iron ore and coal higher than current average of around 20pc. This is to avoid profit losses that uncertain raw material markets may cause along with securing long-term material supplies, according to the company. "Business not procurement", the company stressed in its results announcement.

But the company did not disclose further details about buying stakes of Elk Valley Resources (EVR), a subsidiary of Canadian mining firm Tech Resources. The Japanese steel firm had entered into an agreement in February to acquire up to a 10pc stake in EVR, which is expected to be spun off from Teck. But the Canadian firm withdrew the separation proposal before its shareholders were scheduled to vote on the plan at a meeting on 26 April, following Switzerland-based Glencore proposed unsolicited acquisition of Teck .

"We understand that Teck will pursue a simpler and more direct separation plan. Nippon Steel will consider future measures through discussions with Teck", a company representative told Argus.


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
02/01/25

Viewpoint: Trump, macro issues ahead for US renewables

Viewpoint: Trump, macro issues ahead for US renewables

Houston, 2 January (Argus) — A combination of substantial policy shifts under president-elect Donald Trump and macroeconomic issues puts the US renewable power sector on uncertain footing to begin 2025. Analysts expect the federal tax credits that have bolstered new renewable generation during its substantial growth over the past decade will survive in some fashion, although Trump campaigned on repealing the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). He also has promised 60pc tariffs on goods imported from China, a major player in the solar and battery storage supply chains. The ultimate effects may vary by project type and what the new administration is able to accomplish. Chinese solar products already face 50pc tariffs , which could temper any effects on the industry from Trump's protectionist trade policies, said Tom Harper, a partner at consultant Baringa specializing in power and renewables. But the new administration could make it more difficult to claim IRA incentives and could roll back federal power plant emissions rules , creating an environment that could slow the adoption of renewables. Utilities may become more cautious in using renewables because of higher costs, while others, such as companies with sustainability goals, might be able to weather the change, according to Harper. "There might be some very price insensitive corporate [power purchase agreement] buyers out there who are looking at a $45/MWh solar [contract] and now it's going to be $50/MWh after the tariff, and they'll be fine," he said. In addition, the US renewables industry is still weathering headwinds from supply chain constraints, increased borrowing rates and inflation, which have hampered new projects. For example, the PJM Interconnection — which spans 13 mostly Mid-Atlantic states and the District of Columbia — had approved more than 37,000MW of generation at the end of third quarter 2024, with only 2,400MW of that partially in service. Developers have blamed the delays on financing challenges, long lead times for obtaining equipment and local opposition to projects. Global problems, local solutions Changes to state procurement strategies could help. Maryland state delegate Lorig Charkoudian (D) next year will propose new state-run solar, wind and hydropower solicitations that would first target projects that have already cleared PJM's reviews. Her approach would echo programs in New Jersey and Illinois, and ultimately reduce utilities' reliance on renewable energy certificates (REC) procured elsewhere. "The idea is to give a path for these projects, so presumably they can be built within a few years," Charkoudian said. Utilities would use the new procurements for the bulk of their RECs, covering remaining demand by buying legacy Maryland solar credits and other PJM RECs on the secondary market. But a quick fix for Maryland's broader renewable energy objectives is unlikely after utilities used the alternative compliance payment (ACP) for two-thirds of their 2023 REC requirements. The fee for each megawatt-hour by which utilities miss their compliance targets serves as a de facto ceiling on REC prices. Maryland's ACP is low compared to neighboring states, where the qualifying REC pool overlaps, meaning that credits eligible in the state can fetch a higher price elsewhere. While lawmakers could raise the ACP to mitigate those issues, those costs would ultimately fall on utility customers. "As best as I can tell, the options are raise the ACP or adjust how we do it," Charkoudian said. "We're really concerned about ratepayer impacts, and so I don't think there's a real appetite to raise the ACP." In other states, the policy landscape is less certain. Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro (D) has no clear path for his proposed hike to the state's alternative energy mandate, should he choose to revisit it, after Republicans retained their state Senate majority in November. New Jersey state senator Bob Smith (D) has been working for two years to enshrine in law governor Phil Murphy's (D) goal of 100pc clean electricity, but the proposal failed to escape committee in 2024 after dying in 2023 over opposition to its support for offshore wind . Is the answer blowing in the wind? Offshore wind is a slightly different matter. Trump has been critical of the industry and federal regulators control much of the project permitting in the US. Moreover, as a burgeoning sector with higher costs, it could be more sensitive to the loss of the investment tax credit (ITC). Based on current expenses, Baringa's analysis suggests that losing the ITC could increase project costs by "at least" $30/MWh and push offshore wind REC prices in some cases near $150/MWh. That would be a "difficult cost for states to swallow", according to Harper. "We've seen a few offshore wind developers already say, 'Hey, we're not going to spend a dime more until we know what's going on,'" Harper said. Despite the challenging landscape, Charkoudian expects Maryland will move forward in areas it can control, such as expanding the onshore transmission, that will make offshore wind viable, whether it's now or "eight years from now". By Patrick Zemanek Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Pure green steel costs almost double NW EU HRC price


02/01/25
News
02/01/25

Pure green steel costs almost double NW EU HRC price

London, 2 January (Argus) — Zero emission hydrogen-fed electric arc furnace-produced crude steel would currently cost almost double the price of northwest EU hot-rolled coil (HRC), according to data launched by Argus today. The opex cost of green hydrogen-fed direct reduced iron/electric arc furnace (EAF) route steel was €1,074/t at the end of December, compared to a northwest EU HRC price of €558.25/t ex-works. That is also €544/t more than the cost of blast furnace/basic oxygen furnace (BOF)- produced crude steel, showing genuinely green steel would require a much higher finished product price than current blast furnace-based output, assuming a similar cost structure to today. Most current green offerings from EU mills are still produced via the blast furnace, with emissions reductions achieved through mass balancing, offsetting, or by reductions achieved elsewhere in the supply chain. Buy-side desire to pay premiums for this material has been limited, particularly given the downturn in the European market in the second half of 2024. This has contributed to the market for premiums remaining immature, illiquid and opaque, and complicated by the lack of a commonly agreed definition for green steel. Automakers have shown the most interest in greener steel, given their need to reduce emissions from the wider supply chain, as well as vehicle tailpipe emissions. Some automotive sub-suppliers suggest certain mills have been willing to reduce their green premiums to move tonnes — one reported paying a €70/t premium for EAF-based cold-rolled coil for a 2025 contract, but this was not confirmed. Europe's largest steelmaker, ArcelorMittal, said over the second half of last year it would pause its direct reduced iron (DRI) investment decisions ahead of the European Commission's Steel and Metals Action Plan, and as it called for an effective carbon border adjustment mechanism and more robust trade defence measures. Market participants largely agree that natural-gas fed EAF-based production is the greenest form of output currently available to EU mills, substituted with imports of greener metallics and semi-finished steels from regions with plentiful and competitively priced energy. Argus ' new costs show BOF steel is currently just over €31/t more expensive than scrap-based EAF production fed with renewable energy. Europe's comparatively high cost of energy is one key issue for transitioning to DRI/EAF fed production. Last month, consultancy Mckinsey said mills could rely on "green iron" hubs going forward, with iron-making decoupled from production of crude steel, enabling DRI production to be located in regions with low-cost gas and ore, and raw steel production in regions with access to renewable energy. The range of production costs, launched today, include five crude steel making pathways and are calculated using consumption and emissions data provided by Steelstat , in combination with Argus price data, including hydrogen costs. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Viewpoint: Gallium nitride to expand into auto industry


02/01/25
News
02/01/25

Viewpoint: Gallium nitride to expand into auto industry

London, 2 January (Argus) — Gallium nitride (GaN) is already used in power devices for consumer electronics, but manufacturers are now developing the technology for use in the automotive sector, with the compound set to make its way into vehicles in the coming year. GaN semiconductors are currently used in consumer and industrial applications, including alternating current adapters and server power supply units. But use of GaN semiconductors in automotive applications is at an early stage — unlike silicon carbide (SiC) chips, which are increasingly being incorporated into electric vehicle (EV) power electronics. GaN has a similar crystalline structure to silicon but can deliver greater efficiency, faster switching speeds and higher thermal conductivity. Lower resistance, smaller form factors and the ability to operate at higher voltages mean GaN semiconductors consume less power than silicon semiconductors. Integrating GaN into silicon substrates rather than sapphire is opening up new uses for GaN in vehicle power devices and light detection and ranging (LiDAR). GaN is suitable for low and high-voltage applications for EVs, including on-board chargers (OBCs), power inverters and traction motors. US-based semiconductor firms Navitas Semiconductor and Texas Instruments (TI), and Chinese-owned Nexperia have been developing GaN chips for automotive for several years and are now moving quickly into higher voltages. Several manufacturers have now started producing devices and expect to gain traction over the next year. Navitas has been producing GaN devices since 2018 and expects to begin making the product for the automotive industry in 2025. Japan's ROHM Semiconductor in December partnered with the world's largest semiconductor company, Taiwan-based TSMC, to develop and produce GaN power devices for EVs. The companies will integrate ROHM's device development technology with TSMC's GaN-on-Si process technology and provide control integrated circuits to maximise performance. Israeli firm VisIC Technologies is developing GaN products for automotive and industrial uses. It announced plans in December to partner with Austrian automotive technology developer AVL to advance inverter technology for EVs. The firms aim to produce devices that offer higher performance and lower costs at both the device and system level, compared with SiC devices. VisIC's GaN-on-silicon power devices consume less energy during production and can be manufactured in 200mm and 300mm silicon foundries to scale up output. VisIC plans to work with AVL to expand the platform to include 800V power modules — the next generation of EV charging technology. China's Innoscience Technology is developing GaN-on-Si power products and recently launched two 100V automotive-grade devices optimised for LiDAR for advanced driver assistance and autonomous driving applications, as well as DC-DC converters and automotive audio applications. The company has started mass production and is fulfilling batch orders to meet demand. Several manufacturers and foundries are now building out capacity to accommodate commercial-scale output of GaN devices. US-based GlobalFoundries said in early December it has received $9.5mn in federal funding to continue adding new tools, equipment and prototyping capabilities at its Vermont facility, as it moves closer to full-scale manufacturing of its 200mm GaN-on-Si chips. And TI started producing GaN-based power semiconductors at its factory in Aizu, Japan, in October. As the site ramps up, TI's internal capacity will quadruple between its US and Japanese factories. The company has also piloted manufacturing 300mm wafers to increase volumes. Limitations in manufacturing have so far hampered the widespread adoption of GaN in EVs. Cost, supply-chain issues and concerns around thermal management and voltage spikes remain hurdles that manufacturers must overcome. The technology has yet to be proven for automotive applications, which have stringent standards for quality and safety. For this reason, manufacturers are starting with GaN in OBCs and converters to establish confidence. Companies such as Germany's Infineon and Swiss chipmaker STMicroelectronics anticipate there will be room for both SiC and GaN in the automotive sector, depending on the power, efficiency and cost requirements of the application. The availability of gallium compared with silicon may also become a factor as demand increases, given export restrictions out of primary supplier China. By Nicole Willing Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Viewpoint: Strong fundamentals to support Nb columbite


02/01/25
News
02/01/25

Viewpoint: Strong fundamentals to support Nb columbite

London, 2 January (Argus) — Increased demand from the aerospace and defence industries, alongside reduced supply from Brazil, has underpinned a steady increase in niobium columbite prices over the past two years, although further rises could face resistance from smelters switching to ferro-niobium when columbite becomes too costly. Defence and aerospace demand supported prices across the niobium complex throughout last year and are set to continue driving demand this year, owing to continued geopolitical tensions across all regions. Total military spending globally rose to $2.4 trillion in 2023, up by about 6.8pc in real terms from 2022, data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute show. And figures for last year are expected to increase further as Russia's continued war in Ukraine spurred greater NATO spending, conflict escalated in the Middle East and the Red Sea, and China ramped up military drills around Taiwan. Niobium metal is used in a range of high-temperature alloys in aerospace and defence applications, thanks to its high strength at extreme temperatures. In September last year, the US Department of Defense awarded a $26.4mn grant to major tantalum and niobium producer Global Advanced Metals through the Defense Production Act programme to support the production of high-purity niobium oxides at the company's Pennsylvania plant. One key alloy to which niobium metal is crucial is C-103, used in hypersonic missiles, jet engine afterburners and satellite components. C-103 is made up of 89pc niobium, 10pc hafnium and 1pc titanium. Firm demand for niobium metal has been keenly felt by the columbite market — the raw material — in which prices averaged $18.20/lb cif main port from January-mid-December last year, compared with an overall average of $14.50/lb in the past five years. Columbite prices began to trend higher from late 2022 — before the sustained increase in defence and aerospace demand — bolstered instead by tightened supply. The election of Brazilian president Lula de Silva in October 2022 brought with it a government crackdown on artisanal mining on indigenous lands in the Amazon. While this crackdown has focused chiefly on illegal gold and zinc mining on indigenous lands, niobium columbite market participants have also noted tightened supply and higher prices from the region since the Lula government took office. Furthermore, conflict in the eastern part of the Democratic Republic of the Congo has decreased the supply of tantalite from key mining areas this year. Tantalite and columbite materially are similar, making tantalite a useful source of niobium concentrates to many Chinese smelters. But this lower supply has raised the prices of tantalite with higher niobium content, even while tantalum demand has been slow this year. Looking ahead, market participants expect columbite prices to remain firm throughout this year, supported by a continuation of the fundamentals of the past two years. But further price increases could face resistance from consumers, as smelters could switch to ferro-niobium to avoid higher columbite costs. In the past, smelters in China have made the switch to ferro-niobium when columbite prices climb above $18/lb, often causing increases beyond this level to be short-lived. By Sian Morris Columbite prices, 2022-24 $/lb Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Viewpoint: Power demand could bolster RGGI allowances


31/12/24
News
31/12/24

Viewpoint: Power demand could bolster RGGI allowances

Houston, 31 December (Argus) — Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) CO2 allowances in 2025 could get a boost from a projected increase in electricity demand, despite uncertainty over the RGGI states' ongoing program review. Allowance prices hit record highs this past year, particularly during the summer as high temperatures raised expectations for emissions, increasing compliance demand. The first three auctions of 2024 cleared at record levels, draining the cost containment reserve (CCR) — a mechanism where additional allowances are released to temper rising prices — during the March auction . Prices followed suit in the secondary market, reaching multiple all-time highs before peaking on 20 August, with Argus assessing December 2024 and prompt-month allowances at $27.82/short ton (st) and $27.31/st, respectively. The increases have been fueled by anticipated growth in electricity demand as states work to implement policies promoting electrification in the transportation, industrial and heating sectors. In New England alone, peak power demand is forecast to double from 27,000MW to 55,000MW by 2050, according to an Acadia Center report . But the biggest source of this demand — and the steady climb in RGGI allowance prices since late-2023 — is the rapid expansion of data centers, according to University of Virginia professor William Shobe, who studies emissions market and auction design. New CO2-emitting sources such as natural gas-fired plants must factor rising allowance prices into the future cost of electricity in the long-run, Shobe said. As prices rise, other cleaner sources of energy, such as offshore wind and small modular reactors, will become more competitive, he said. Review the review The member states of RGGI launched a review of the program in February 2021. As power demand creates a potential for a bullish RGGI market, the review remains a source of uncertainty for participants and volatility in the secondary market. The program review includes considerations for a more ambitious emissions cap plan beyond 2030. But it has faced a number of delays and was originally scheduled to wrap up last year . Member states have provided few updates on the status and timeline of the review, leaving participants and environmental groups alike on tenterhooks over how a finalized program review — and with it, an updated emissions cap plan — will affect the future supply of allowances. Participants "are always thinking about future scarcity", said Shobe. "The more information we can give them about the future path of scarcity (of allowances) now, the more efficient their own behavior can be." The latest updates were released in September. They included an emissions cap plan that combined two previously floated proposals where the allowance budget starts at about 70mn st, declining at a rate consistent with a zero-by-2035 goal from 2027-2033 and a lower rate consistent with a zero-by-2040 goal from 2033-2037. Member states are also considering adding a second CCR and eliminating the emissions containment reserve (ECR), a market mechanism designed to respond to falling prices by withholding allowances. The review is planned to end in early 2025. A draft rule with additional modeling was to be released in the fall, but there have been no updates regarding another change in timeline. RGGI has not responded to requests for comment. States in limbo The status of Virginia — which left RGGI in 2023 — and Pennsylvania as potential members is another point of uncertainty as those states' participation are under legal scrutiny in their respective courts. Virginia's Floyd County Circuit Court in November ruled that regulation enabling the state's exit from RGGI was unlawful since it was enacted without legislative approval. Governor Glen Youngkin's (R) administration intends to appeal to the Supreme Court of Virginia sometime in 2025, but has declined to specify when. While it is unlikely Virginia will rejoin RGGI in the interim, its participation would increase demand for allowances and put an "upward pressure on price", Shobe said. Much of this demand would be fueled by data center expansion, as northern Virginia is the largest market for data centers in the world, with 25pc of all reported data center operational capacity in the Americas and 13pc globally, according to a report by a state legislative commission. The Supreme Court of Pennsylvania is also reviewing a lower-court decision striking down CO2 trading regulation allowing the state to participate in RGGI. Governor Josh Shapiro (D) has reluctantly defended Pennsylvania's membership in the program as an issue of preserving executive authority, and Republican state lawmakers have been attempting to revive legislation that would cement the state's exit from RGGI. The state's high court could issue a decision sometime in 2025. But Governor Shapiro also proposed a state-specific power plant CO2 cap-and-trade program earlier this year — another development participants should keep an eye on. By Ida Balakrishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more