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US debt deal revises permitting, helps MVP: Update

  • Market: Crude oil, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 29/05/23

Adds details on bill's approval of the Mountain Valley Pipeline.

An agreement reached between President Joe Biden and Republicans to raise the limit on federal debt would also fast-track federal permitting and help ease the way for the long-delayed $6.6bn Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP).

The bipartisan agreement, reached on 27 May and still waiting to be voted on by Congress, would put limits on government spending over fiscal years 2024-25 in exchange for raising the debt limit for two years. As part of the deal, negotiators also inserted language that would end federal permitting difficulties for the MVP by approving its federal permits and prohibiting further legal challenges to those permits.

The 300-mile natural gas pipeline project already holds nearly all of its federal permits but is missing a West Virginia state water permit that was recently struck down in court, which would not be revived by the debt limit deal. But the language in the debt limit bill could be significant by blocking any further litigation risks related to the project's federal permits, including a court ruling within the last week raising issues with the project's federal certificate.

US midstream operator Equitrans Midstream, which is developing the pipeline, did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The company has previously said it expects the pipeline — which would transport shale gas from West Virginia to Virginia — could be completed this year if all of its permits are restored. The company expects West Virginia will be able to reinstate its water permit.

US House speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-California) said the debt agreement was a win for taxpayers that will "rein in government overreach" without raising federal taxes. Biden said the deal represented a compromise that meant no one got everything they wanted.

"I think it's a really important step forward, and it takes the threat of catastrophic default off the table," Biden said Sunday.

The text of the debt limit legislation was released tonight. McCarthy plans to bring the bill up for a floor vote on 31 May, which would give the US Senate about five days to vote on it before 5 June, the day when the US is projected to run out of funding to meet all of its payment obligations.

Biden said the deal would reduce government spending while still protecting Democratic priorities. House Republicans had wanted to use the debt limit to repeal most of the $369bn in climate-related spending in last year's Inflation Reduction Act.

House Republican leaders say the deal will ease regulatory burdens by requiring a new "pay-as-you-go" mechanism that would limit the cost of new regulations. The agreement would also aim to speed permitting of energy and infrastructure projects by putting a 1-year or 2-year limit on reviews prepared under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) and designating a lead agency for permitting, among other changes.

"We're gonna cut the red tape," McCarthy said today in a televised interview. "If you want to build a road, if you want to put renewable energy, you want to have our energy to become energy independent, you now have it streamlined."

But the permitting revisions would fall short of the sweeping changes being debated by Democrats and Republicans in key congressional committees, such as revisions to water permitting rules or revising the scope of NEPA. That creates the chance for the US Congress to vote later this year on a broader bipartisan permitting bill.

"Far more extensive reforms will be needed to expedite the thousands of new energy projects that are pending approval," Progressive Policy Institute strategic adviser Paul Bledsoe said.

The agreement will likely need broad bipartisan support to pass in the House, where far-right conservatives have already vowed to vote in opposition. US representative Ralph Norman (R-South Carolina) said the deal was "insanity" and lacked the degree of cuts that Republicans wanted. US representative Bob Good (R-Virginia) said no one claiming to be a conservative could vote for the deal.


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07/01/25

Viewpoint: Australia edges towards LNG imports in 2025

Viewpoint: Australia edges towards LNG imports in 2025

Sydney, 7 January (Argus) — Australia — formerly the world's largest LNG exporter — edges closer to importing the fuel in 2025, after years of supply warnings from the Australian Energy Market Operator (Aemo). Anti-gas lobbying from environmental groups, new emissions laws, slumping exploration, and rising costs have all been blamed for forecasts of production falling below demand levels, even as gas use dips. Debate about the rationale and demand for LNG continues, with no buyers having signed term sales yet. But the recent purchase of the proposed 386 TJ/d (10.3mn m³/d) Outer Harbor LNG project has raised expectations that deals may occur in 2025, to alleviate winter shortfalls from 2026 onwards. Aemo is predicting southern Australia's gas output will drop by 40pc from 1,260 TJ/d in 2024 to 740 TJ/d in 2028, with four import projects proposed in the nation's south. Initial imports will most likely head to New South Wales (NSW) state, Australia's largest jurisdiction by population. NSW is largely reliant on the ExxonMobil-operated Gippsland basin joint venture for supply, and the closure of a 400 TJ/d plant at the formerly 1,150 TJ/d Longford facility this year has accelerated concerns. Australian firm Squadron Energy — owned by iron ore miner Fortescue — said its 2.4mn t/yr Port Kembla Energy Terminal in NSW is now ready for operations, which could cover NSW' entire winter demand of about 481 TJ/d, excluding gas-fired generation. Limited storage capacity exists and no new major fields are under near-term development, but increasing pipeline capacity to bring enough Queensland coal-bed methane south could prove critical. Expansion of Australian pipeline operator APA's 440 TJ/d South West Queensland pipeline could be approved in early 2025, raising gas security. LNG imports cost up to 25pc more than pipeline gas, with the AVX — Argus' assessment for month-ahead spot gas deliveries to Victoria — averaging A$12.46/GJ in 2024 t o 27 December, while the Argus Gladstone fob price — an LNG netback indicator calculated by subtracting freight and costs associated with production from the delivered price of LNG to Asia-Pacific — averaged A$16.03/GJ for the same period. On the export scene, Australian independent Santos will restart production at the 3.7mn t/yr Darwin LNG after commissioning the Barossa field in July-September 2025 . The project has withstood significant legal challenges since 2023, with Santos promising an offshore carbon capture and storage facility later this decade to offset emissions. Other Australian terminals will produce steady volumes in 2025. The Woodside-operated North West Shelf project took a 2.5mn t/yr train off line in 2024, reducing its nameplate capacity to 14.4mn t/yr. The facility will start processing about 1.5mn t/yr of onshore gas from Beach Energy and Mitsui's 250 TJ/d Waitsia plant from early 2025. Energy election Australia's federal elections must take place no later than May, in what could be a referendum on the Labor government's renewables-led vision for Australia's grid. Abolishing Coalition-era gas exploration grants, Labor finds itself wedged between critics of further gas extraction and domestic shortfalls which may be already contributing to manufacturing sector weakness. Aemo expects 13GW of gas-fired generation is required under Canberra's 2050 net zero target to firm renewables. But gas projects remain unpopular in many communities, while anti-fossil fuel member of parliaments could hold the balance of power in the next parliament, polls show. Labor is sticking to its 82pc renewables by 2030 plan, while the Coalition has said it will not be met and it would make changes to Australia's 43pc emissions reduction by 2030 target, persisting with coal until nuclear generators can be built. Regardless, it appears much more gas will be needed in the short term as coal plants retire, meaning the temptation to raid east coast LNG projects for supply will remain. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Caracas clamps down before disputed inauguration


06/01/25
News
06/01/25

Caracas clamps down before disputed inauguration

Caracas, 6 January (Argus) — Exiled Venezuelan politician Edmundo Gonzalez called on his opposition supporters to protest President Nicolas Maduro's plans to take the oath of office on 10 January, despite the US and other countries long backing claims of election fraud. Gonzalez was likely the winner of Venezuela's 28 July presidential election, international observers and others hold, but Maduro claimed victory and forced his opponent into exile in Spain. Gonzalez met with US president Joe Biden at the White House today, as part of several international visits. Protesting is "a task for everyone, for the political leadership but also for all Venezuelans who believe in democracy", Gonzalez said when leaving the White House today. The US has not changed its sanctions on Venezuela, including restrictions on crude exports, in response to the election results. Biden did not indicate that the US sanctions regime would change following his meeting with Gonzalez today, based on the White House readout of the meeting. "Both leaders agreed there is nothing more essential to the success of democracy than respecting the will of the people," the White House said. President-elect Donald Trump has not specified what will change after he takes office on 20 January, but many of the restrictions he put in place during his first term remain. The Venezuelan opposition may be hoping that the incoming US administration's officials, which include long-time Venezuela hardliners such as secretary of state nominee Marco Rubio and designated White House national security adviser Mike Waltz, would advance a tougher policy toward Maduro. But it is equally possible that Trump's plans to deport millions of migrants from the US would lead to dealmaking between the White House and Maduro, who said he would accept Venezuelans returning home from the US. In Caracas, Maduro's administration has heavily increasing police presence on the streets this week ahead of the swearing-in ceremony. Police lined platforms on the Caracas subway and guarded entry points into the city, searching most passengers and cars, causing lengthy delays. Police and paramilitary groups known as colectivos also surrounded the presidential palace of Miraflores. The main thoroughfare Avenida Urdaneta has been closed to motor traffic. Maduro's planning swearing-in has also led to additional diplomatic falling outs, with Venezuela breaking diplomatic ties with Paraguay after its president held a call with Gonzalez on Sunday and recognized him as the legitimate Venezuelan president. Venezuela had already severed ties with about a dozen countries in the area for siding with Gonzalez. Neighboring Brazil and Colombia are among the few Latin American countries with ambassadors in Caracas. Both Brazil and Colombia have promised to send a representative, although not their presidents, to the ceremony, but the EU has said it will not recognize the event. Gonzalez will be arrested if he tries to return to Venezuela, defense minister Vladimir Padrino reiterated today. The Maduro government is offering a $100,000 reward for information leading to Gonzalez' arrest. By Carlos Camacho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Canadian prime minister Trudeau to resign


06/01/25
News
06/01/25

Canadian prime minister Trudeau to resign

Calgary, 6 January (Argus) — Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau said he will resign as soon as his Liberal Party selects a new leader to run in general elections expected later this year. Calls for Trudeau to resign have been growing for months but became too much to ignore as the Liberals continued to fall further behind the Conservative Party and its leader Pierre Poilievre in polling. Recent polls indicate the centre-right Conservatives would win a majority of seats in the House of Commons if an election were held today. "If I'm having to fight internal battles, I can't be the best option in that election," Trudeau said in Ottawa this morning. Parliament was set to return from a break on 27 January, at which time Conservatives were expected to attempt to trigger an election by way of a no-confidence vote. Canada's governor general — at Trudeau's request — extended the break until 24 March. That break will buy the Liberals time to find a new leader but it will be a tall order for any successor to both unite the party and also connect with Canadians on short notice before an expected spring election. "There will be confidence votes in March," said Trudeau, whose minority government has been propped up by the New Democratic Party (NDP). The NDP has helped Trudeau survive no-confidence votes in recent months, but on 20 December vowed that it would also bring the government down when it returned to session. Trudeau was elected as a member of parliament (MP) in 2008, leader of the Liberal Party in 2013, and has been prime minister since 2015 after defeating the then Stephen Harper-led Conservatives. There is no obvious replacement for Trudeau after deputy prime minister and finance minister Chrystia Freeland resigned last month , citing "costly political gimmicks," unrestrained spending and being at odds over the approach to the "grave challenge" of aggressive US nationalism. US president-elect Donald Trump has threatened a 25pc tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico unless they tighten borders to crack down on drug trafficking and illegal migration into the US. Trudeau's plan to resign does not change the Conservative party's plans to call for new elections, Poilievre said today. "Every Liberal MP in power today and every potential leadership contender fighting for the top job helped Justin Trudeau break the country over the last nine years," he said. If elected, Poilievre plans to cut a number of environmental programs championed by the Liberals, including the carbon tax. The Conservatives support the continued use of oil and gas, exploration for hydrocarbons, and pipeline construction. The next federal election must occur on or before 25 October this year, according to the electoral calendar. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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German fuel prices rise with new GHG quota, CO2 levy


06/01/25
News
06/01/25

German fuel prices rise with new GHG quota, CO2 levy

Hamburg, 6 January (Argus) — Prices for road fuels and heating oil in Germany rose at the start of the year as a result of an increased greenhouse gas (GHG) quota and CO2 levy, as well as higher Ice gasoil futures. Many filling stations are replenishing stocks, and low temperatures have led to more heating oil orders. German wholesale prices for heating oil, diesel, and gasoline increased because of a 1.25 percentage point increase in the GHG quota and a €10/t CO2 increase in the CO2 levy, which came in on 1 January. The increase in heating oil was €4.94/100l, in diesel €6.79/100l, and in gasoline €5.36/100l. Heating oil is excluded from Germany's GHG mandate. This price rise roughly matches Argus ' estimates from December. But higher Ice gasoil futures since the turn of the year led to a bigger price increase than originally expected. Lower gasoil imports from east of Suez into the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) hub in December are lending support to futures. Heating oil consumer stocks are on average 57pc full nationwide, but more was ordered in the first week of the new year than many traders had expected. Traders reported deal volumes of nearly 13,000m³ on January 2, the highest for a day since 15 December. One reason for this is the cold weather that has hit many regions in Germany, another is the price increase at the beginning of the year, which has boosted buying interest. Many market sources said diesel demand will only begin to pick up from the second half of January. Many wholesalers had sufficiently stocked up in December in expectation of the increased GHG quota and CO2 levy. Diesel stocks of commercial consumers were at a 12-month high of just under 59pc on 1 January, according to Argus MDX data. But stockbuilding towards the end of 2024 does not seem to have had a dampening effect on demand from filling stations. These are being resupplied since 2 January, and daily diesel amounts reported to Argus on that day were the highest since 19 December. Ship owners on the Rhine river said business will not fully resume until the second week of the year, and they expect January to remain quiet because of wholesalers' high diesel stocks. Importers' anticipated restocking with biodiesel will also not initially lead to price pressure, as the Rhine is deep enough for transit. By Johannes Guhlke Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Indonesia’s Pertamina launches B40 bunker prices


06/01/25
News
06/01/25

Indonesia’s Pertamina launches B40 bunker prices

Singapore, 6 January (Argus) — Indonesia's state-owned refiner Pertamina issued posted bunker prices for 40pc biodiesel blend (B40) for the first time on 6 January, in line with the country's mandate . Pertamina issued B40 prices today for five locations — Jakarta, Benoa, Surabaya, Balikpapan and Batam. They are effective for the first two weeks of January. The prices issued by Pertamina are for a blend of 500ppm (0.05pc) sulphur marine gasoil (MGO) and palm oil-based biodiesel . Prices were posted at $1,103/t for the port of Jakarta, $1,085/t for Benoa, $1,049/t for Surabaya, $1,087/t for Balikpapan and $910/t for Batam. Indonesia's biodiesel sector has been preparing for the transition from B35 to B40 on 1 January . Biodiesel producers have been given until the end of February to make the transition to B40 blends for all sectors. Pertamina produces three kinds of MGO at its refineries, two grades with 500ppm sulphur content and a third grade with 50ppm. By Mahua Chakravarty Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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