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Divisions continue to delay IMO GHG strategy

  • Market: Biofuels, Emissions, Oil products
  • 03/07/23

The International Maritime Organisation (IMO) began the 80th meeting of the Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC 80) in London today, with member states deeply divided on emissions.

The end of this week, 7 July, is the deadline for adoption of the IMO's revised greenhouse gas (GHG) strategy. Member states must agree on a timeline for reducing GHG emissions and the amount by which to reduce them from 2008 levels.

IMO secretary general Kitack Lim said these discussions had "reached the final stage" following five years of negotiations. Most members agree there should be a target for 2050, and intermediary ones for 2030 and 2040, but there is no coherence on implementation, leniency, nor if these targets should be met around or by these dates.

Australia professed disappointment in what it felt to be the inadequate targets being proposed, calling for full decarbonisation of the shipping industry by 2050 at the latest. This echoed comments from Pacific Islands states, such as Kiribas and the Marshall Islands, which insisted on maintaining the 1.5C temperature rise stipulated in the Paris Agreement. The Netherlands and Sweden pushed for a net zero target.

Others urged the need for practicality and the protection of the shipping industry. China and India painted more ambitious targets as attempts to restrain their economic growth. Brazil argued that developed countries — responsible historically for climate change — were seeking to raise funds, which they had promised to developing countries to support them, through IMO to avoid making reparations.

Venezuela and Argentina opposed decarbonisation and a maritime tax as unfairly burdening countries with distant markets and lower-value goods. They said the shipping industry is disproportionately targeted.

There was much discussion around the effects of any adopted measures on developing states, which are more vulnerable to climate change's consequences and have less funds to sustain a path to lower emissions. A common refrain during the meeting was "a fair, equitable and just transition."

Decisions taken at IMO levels are legally-binding for governments accepting the IMO's convention. The revision of the strategy could have far-reaching consequences for the shipping industry. The IMO's initial strategy on GHG emissions in 2018 set targets for the carbon intensity of shipping to decline by at least 40pc by 2030 and 70pc by 2050 compared with 2008 levels. Members also agreed to reduce overall GHG emissions by at least 50pc by 2050.

How far away is a consensus

Secretary general Lim was optimistic on consensus being reached by deadline, but lack of progress in intersessional meetings puts this into question. Lim said progress had been made in reaching a consensus for the GHG strategy during the intersessional working group (ISWG) last week, but in fact only guidelines on the lifecycle GHG intensity of marine fuels (LCA) were drafted.

Asked if a charge on CO2 emissions could be guaranteed, Lim said the MEPC draft had adopted it as part of its basket of measures, but that its modality had not been agree upon. But a report on the outcome of ISWG-GHG 14 and 15 said consensus could not be reached on economic measures, or on methodology for the impact assessment of the strategy on individual states.

A United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) report concluded that more needed to be done urgently by IMO to reach its decarbonisation targets. Any measure decided this week will have its implementation discussed, probably for a couple of years, and then a further two years would be necessary to put them into actions. There are limits to the IMO's ability to enforce any of its regulations. If a consensus is not found, the committee cannot call for a majority vote, only the member states can.

The GHG working group has not been released at time of publication.


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"The government is working through feedback on these proposals and will announce the consultation outcome later this year," a DCCEEW spokesperson told Argus . No expected changes in eligible offsets ACCUs have been representing a small share of the total offsets used for Climate Active certification at between 5.7-10.8pc in recent years, despite the estimated record high last year, according to DCCEEW estimates ( see table ). Organisations can currently use certified emissions reductions (CERs) and removal units (RMUs) under the program, as well as verified carbon units (VCUs) from the Verra registry and verified emissions reductions (VERs) from Gold Standard. The DCCEEW did not provide a breakdown of cancelled volumes per credit type. No minimum use of ACCUs and no changes to the list of eligible international units are expected in the near term, following advice from a review from Australia's Climate Change Authority (CCA) in 2022. 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One of the DCCEEW's proposals is to discontinue the use of ‘carbon neutral' to describe the certified claim and to choose a different description. "A lot of the voluntary demand for carbon offsets in Australia has traditionally come from Climate Active, but the landscape is indeed moving quickly and the concept of carbon neutrality is being replaced by net zero," said Guy Dickinson, chief executive of Australia-based carbon offset services provider BetaCarbon and head of carbon trading at sister company Clima. This should drive more price stratification between carbon removals and carbon avoidance credits, he noted. Telecommunications firm Telstra, one of the biggest companies in Australia, recently announced it will stop using carbon offsets to focus instead on reducing its direct emissions. It will no longer seek Climate Active certification as a result and will remove references that its plans are ‘carbon neutral' or ‘carbon offset'. This could prompt other businesses to follow suit, market participants said. Another source of uncertainty over future voluntary demand comes from a DCCEEWW proposal that abatement from all ACCUs used under Climate Active would count towards meeting Australia's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement. The use of ACCUs under the program have so far been treated as ‘additional' to Australia's emissions reduction target through accounting under the Kyoto Protocol. If the government goes ahead with such a proposal, this could disincentivise participation in Climate Active as organisations might consider this as "paying to help the government meet its targets through the voluntary action of businesses," utility EnergyAustralia warned in its submission. There has been increased interest in emerging and alternate standards to those acceptable under Climate Active, such as the American Carbon Registry, Climate Action Reserve and Puro.Earth offsets, according to environmental marketplace Xpansiv's vice president of carbon and Australian energy, Peter Favretto. But Climate Active has reported positive growth in certified brands since its inception and will likely continue to create demand for offsets in the international voluntary market and the Australian ACCU market, he said. "With the upcoming mandatory climate reporting legislation in Australia , and a similar atmosphere in other global jurisdictions such as the US and the UK, there is a growing demand that could lead to further growth in Climate Active certifications," Favretto added. By Juan Weik ACCUs used for Climate Active certification units Year Volume Total voluntary ACCU use Climate Active % 2019 243,105 329,145 73.9 2020 417,405 605,499 68.9 2021 625,705 844,445 74.1 2022 592,837 855,081 69.3 2023 650,000-700,000* 1,090,575 60-64* DCCEEW, CER *Argus estimates Total offsets under Climate Active unit Year ACCUs Total offsets ACCUs % 2019 243,105 4,230,011 5.7 2020 417,405 6,857,628 6.1 2021 625,705 5,796,466 10.8 2022 592,837 7,472,711 7.9 DCCEEW Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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