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Argentina eyes emissions trading system

  • Market: Electricity, Emissions
  • 05/01/24

Argentina's government is targeting the creation of an emissions trading system (ETS) and the elimination of incentives for distributed power generation, as it directs the country's approach to energy and climate to more closely mirror president Javier Milei's market-driven economic policies.

Milei, a right-wing economist and climate change skeptic, took office on 10 December and his government has already pushed ahead with two massive policy packages. More than 800 articles have been included in the two legislative initiatives to dramatically change the country's economy, including the energy sector, by lifting controls and regulations. Several more bills are in the works.

The government on 27 December submitted an omnibus bill with 644 articles that congress must approve. The administration met with lawmakers on 3 January to facilitate the approval process.

The omnibus legislative package includes a new approach to greenhouse gas emission (GHG), calling for the creation of an ETS similar to that used by the EU.

The legislation calls for the government to assign carbon allowances "to each sector and subsector of the economy compatible with compliance of the emission goals pledged by the country for 2030 and beyond."

Argentina in 2021 submitted a revised nationally determined contribution (NDC) to not exceed net GHG emissions of 349mn t of CO2e in 2030.

Under Milei's plan, the government would establish annual GHG limits for companies by sector. Public and private companies that exceed the allowance would be required to pay for the excess.

The state would also create a market for carbon credits so that those companies producing excess GHG can buy credits and avoid penalties.

The legislation requires the state to register transactions in the primary and secondary market to guard against monopolies.

Hit to the power sector

A previous decree submitted on 21 December dealt with different components related to electricity transmission and generation that could hit the development of future renewable projects.

It struck down several earlier decrees, including eliminating a law that outlined the federal electricity transmission plan and a decree concerning public financing for transmission lines. It removed 22 articles from a law that covers incentives distributed generation from renewable sources.

Transmission is the most serious problem in the electricity sector in Argentina and the elimination of the federal transmission plan will only make it more difficult to build new lines. Distributed generation as a way around the transmission bottleneck is now in doubt as the government eliminated a state trust fund and tax credits for the technologies, as well as a government program to finance construction of distributed generation systems and the components needed to build them.

The government claims the changes are necessary to avoid a complete economic meltdown. Milei inherited inflation running at about 150pc and an economy contracting by 2pc. It has deficits equivalent to 17pc of its gross domestic product.

Argentina ended 2023 with 5,831MW of installed renewable capacity, excluding large hydroelectric plants of 50WM, according to the government electricity wholesaler, Cammesa. The country added 397MW of wind, 280MW of solar and 277MW of bioenergy capacity last year.

Argentina’s GHG emissions mn t CO2e

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04/10/24

Sheinbaum targets $40bn energy transition plan

Sheinbaum targets $40bn energy transition plan

New York, 4 October (Argus) — The ambition of Mexico's new President Claudia Sheunbaum to reach 45pc of renewable generation in the electricity mix by 2030 will include an investment plan of $35bn-40bn, sources familiar with the matter said. Sheinbaum announced a more ambitious goal for renewables and promised to launch an energy transition plan in coming days during her inaugural address on 1 October. The awaited document will include specific strategies and projects to be developed in the first days of her term, Alonso Romero, deputy director of commercial strategy at state utility CFE and one of Sheinbaum's energy advisors during her campaign, told Argus . There will be around $6bn/yr in new investments under Sheinbaum's six-year term to develop a pipeline of 60GW in new capacity, mostly renewable, he added. The new administration will propose several types of contracts to developers that guarantee CFE holds the largest participation in the sector, said Romero. There have been meetings between Sheinbaum's representatives and banks to show the plan's potential, said a source familiar with the topic. But potential investors are still waiting to see if congress passes the bill to reform the energy sector sent by former president Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador. That energy bill is crucial in Sheinbaum's plan, as it will lay the groundwork for further legal modifications, said Romero. It will be easier to attract the private sector into investing in projects if a long-term contract with CFE provides support as the final source of payment in case of a default, said Romero. Under current law, CFE cannot directly buy electricity from a new power plant unless it comes from a long-term auction. Congress would need to approve the bill and then modify the electricity law to lift that prohibition, so lenders would have certainty that CFE can sign long-term contracts with new renewable or thermal power plants without holding a tender, said Romero. The Sheinbaum administration is considering signing Build, Lease and Transfer (BLT) contracts for some projects, said Romero. This way, CFE will have the opportunity to acquire the asset after 10-15 years of being operated by another company. Hopes and fears Sheinbaum's bet on the energy transition could be seen as a hopeful message for the renewables sector, but investors still need clarity on the rules in the electricity market. Market players have been worried that Sheinbaum will continue her predecessor's energy policy that for years openly attacked private-sector renewable companies. "It is clear that Sheinbaum is trying to make the energy transition her own mark," said Jesus Carrillo, energy expert at Mexican think tank Instituto Mexicano para la Competitividad. "However, it is risking her credibility by setting such ambitious goals." In 2023, Mexico generated just 24.3pc of its electricity from clean sources, despite that category holding 32pc of installed capacity, according to energy ministry (Sener) data. Reaching the new target could be possible if Sheinbaum's administration pulled off a clear path to speed up investments in renewable generation, the sector said. "The energy transition path goes much faster when the government leads it," said Romero. Private-sector renewable companies are willing to finally put an end to the impasse during Lopez Obrador's term. But the legislative electricity proposal along with modifications that will overhaul the judicial power in upcoming months create a worrisome business environment in Mexico, sources said. The Sheinbaum administration needs to provide not only a clear but also attractive legal framework so the private sector can provide the funds and capabilities to aid in this energy transition plan, sources said. Mexico's electricity system requires around $130bn in new investments to meet the country's growing demand from 2024-2030, according to a recent analysis from business trade group Coparmex. By Edgar Sigler Mexico’s share of clean electricity % Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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France's wind sector weighs impact of new government


04/10/24
News
04/10/24

France's wind sector weighs impact of new government

London, 4 October (Argus) — Doubts over government policy on onshore wind competed with optimism over offshore wind at the French wind sector's annual conference in Paris on Wednesday. The event took place a day after the first policy announcements of prime minister Michel Barnier , in which he said his government would "better handle the impacts" of wind energy. No more detail is available on what this will mean exactly, although far-right party Rassemblement National (RN), which props up Barnier's minority government, is strongly opposed to wind energy. And of two of the parties in his coalition, president Emmanuel Macron's EPR and Barnier's own Les Republicans (LR), the former is supportive of wind, while the latter is more sceptical without being downright opposed, one developer told Argus . While junior energy minister Olga Givernet told the conference of her intention to reduce the delays developers face, participants Argus spoke to feared Barnier's evocation of "impacts" could mean an expansion of barriers to building new capacity. "We already take the impacts into account," one developer said, noting that firms perform extensive studies and undertake environmental impact assessments (EIAs). And legal challenges are one of the main obstacles slowing down capacity increases, with one developer calling for better-trained judges to reduce the number of "arbitrary" decisions made in these cases. Delays in receiving grid connection and EIAs were other factors developers cited. But the conference was more upbeat on offshore wind. The government will in the coming weeks announce priority zones for offshore wind, which will allow it to launch tenders for 8-10GW of capacity by the end of the year. These will contribute to the country's goal of reaching 18GW of installed capacity by 2035. At the same time, the increasing occurrence of negative price hours threatens the sector, according to industry body France Renouvelables. Negative prices can pose a threat to grid stability, according to grid operator RTE. Large quantities of renewables can be shut down suddenly at the beginning of negative price hours, leading to a sharp output slope, which the grid operator has little visibility of, RTE said. Negative prices are a problem for operators too, even those under contracts for difference (CfDs) which are not directly exposed, according to Jean-Francois Petit of renewables operator Boralex. Operators typically shut down during negative pricing hours, but receive only partial compensation for lost output, he said, while the requirement that production be completely halted can be difficult operationally. And slow progress on repowering could represent another brake to capacity increases. Repowering is not underpinned by primary legislation, but only by ministerial circulars, one developer said, which offers little certainty to firms that want to undertake it. Meanwhile, height limits imposed for aviation constraints and landscape protection reduce the potential to add taller, more powerful turbines. French turbines are typically much smaller than those in neighbouring countries because of these height limits, which reduces access to higher-quality wind resource. And an open question remains over potential local content requirements in future tenders for CfDs. These requirements, enabled by the European Net Zero industry Act (NZIA) and supported by energy regulator the CRE, could prove a fillip for manufacturers of energy-transition materiel such as wind turbines, hobbled by competition from Chinese manufacturers. But incorporation of these requirements would push up costs, requiring higher strike prices at CfDs and more public subsidy. Energy minister Givernet did not appear to give the conference any hints on which way the government would lean, saying that control over both energy prices and security of supply were absolute priorities. Reaching France's goals by 2028 of 33.2-34.7GW of onshore capacity would require an installation rate of 2.3-2.7 GW/yr, roughly twice rates reached in recent years ( see graph ). By Rhys Talbot France onshore capacity and 2028 goals Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK confirms $28.5bn funding for two CCS, H2 clusters


04/10/24
News
04/10/24

UK confirms $28.5bn funding for two CCS, H2 clusters

Hamburg, 4 October (Argus) — The UK government has finalised a commitment to provide £21.7bn ($28.5bn) over the next 25 years to two planned clusters for carbon capture and storage (CCS) and connected projects, including for hydrogen production. The government has reached "commercial agreement with industry" for development of the clusters, it said today. The funding will go to the HyNet cluster in northwest England and the East Coast cluster in England's northeastern Humber and Teesside regions. The two projects were selected as "Track 1" priority clusters in 2021 and could together store some 650mn t of CO2. They could attract £8bn of private investment, the government said today. "The allocation of funding marks the launch of the UK's CCS industry," according to Italy's integrated Eni, which leads the development of HyNet's CO2 transport and storage system. Eni in February gave a start date of 2027 for HyNet. The East Coast cluster is led by the Northern Endurance Partnership, a joint venture between BP, TotalEnergies and Norwegian state-controlled Equinor. A range of projects will connect to the two hubs to transport and permanently sequester the carbon. These will include hydrogen production projects and supporting infrastructure. HyNet will involve projects developed by EET Hydrogen , a subsidiary of Indian conglomerate Essar, which is planning to bring a 350MW plant for hydrogen production from natural gas with CCS online by 2027 and another 700MW facility by 2028. The hydrogen will be partly used at EET Hydrogen's sister company EET Fuels at its 195,000 b/d Stanlow refinery but some will also be delivered to industrial consumers in the area. The HyNet cluster includes plans for 125km of new pipelines to transport hydrogen. The East Coast cluster involves Equinor's [600MW H2H Saltend] project and BP's 160,000 t/yr H2Teesside venture . German utility Uniper's 720MW Humber H2ub (Blue) project, UK-based Kellas Midstream's 1GW H2NorthEast plant and a retrofit facility from BOC , which is part of industrial gas firm Linde, could also connect to the cluster for CO2 storage. All the projects are due to enter into operation before the end of this decade. The funding confirmation for the CCS hubs "is a vital step forward, catapulting hydrogen towards long-term certainty we need in the UK", industry body the Hydrogen Energy Association's chief executive Celia Greaves said. The previous government last year picked two "Track 2" carbon capture clusters that are scheduled to start operations by 2030 — the Acorn facility in Scotland and the Viking project in northeast England. By Stefan Krumpelmann Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Japan to phase out inefficient coal plants by 2030


03/10/24
News
03/10/24

Japan to phase out inefficient coal plants by 2030

London, 3 October (Argus) — Japan will target a phase-out of inefficient coal plants by 2030, as it continues its energy transition push, although the country is still yet to provide further details on any broader movement away from coal. "By 2030, the inefficient use of coal-fired power will be phased out," Japan's newly appointed environment minister Keiichiro Asao said at a press conference on Wednesday. Asao was appointed after Japan's new prime minister Shigeru Ishiba took office this week. Japan had earlier pledged to phase out "unabated" coal-fired plants by 2035 , or "in a timeline consistent with keeping a limit of a 1.5°C temperature rise within reach, in line with countries' net zero pathways". But inefficient, sub-critical coal plants — with below 40pc efficiency — make up only 22pc of Japan's total fleet, while 25pc is supercritical and 53pc is ultra-supercritical. The sub-critical plants probably produce less of Japan's coal-fired electricity, given the generation margins for them will fall below the majority of gas-fired generation in the merit order. This means Japan's overall coal-fired power generation is likely to be less impacted than the overall change to its coal fleet capacity. Japan has been considered a laggard in green energy transition among its G7 counterparts, but the country's coal demand could decline to some extent as a result of global divestment pressure. But coal is still key to the resource-poor country, as the government sees renewables and nuclear as insufficient to meet rising power demand driven by the growth of data centres needed to enable artificial intelligence. Japan's new government has recently announced that it will be restarting more of its nuclear reactors to help meet its power demand. Utility Shikoku Electric Power reactivated its sole nuclear reactor at Ikata on 29 September, after closing the unit for turnaround since 19 July. But the utility pushed back the restart of the 890MW Ikata No.3 nuclear reactor on Wednesday because of a technical issue during the process of resuming power generation. Japanese thermal coal imports rose by 10pc to 9.25mn t on the year in August, owing to increased deliveries from Australia. But this was 4pc lower than the past five-year August average of 9.6mn t. By Shreyashi Sanyal Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Australia’s Origin to exit Hunter Valley Hydrogen Hub


03/10/24
News
03/10/24

Australia’s Origin to exit Hunter Valley Hydrogen Hub

Sydney, 3 October (Argus) — Australian utility and upstream firm Origin Energy has decided not to proceed with its planned hydrogen development project, the Hunter Valley Hydrogen Hub (HVHH), in Australia's New South Wales. The decision to withdraw from the proposed 55MW HVHH and halt all hydrogen opportunities was made because of continuing uncertainty about the pace and timing of hydrogen market development, Origin said. The firm said the capital-intensive project, intended to progressively replace gas as a feedstock in a nearby ammonia manufacturing plant, carried substantial risks. Origin Energy had an initial agreement with Australian chemicals and explosives company Orica to take 80pc of the green hydrogen produced from the hub for Orica's 360,000 t/yr ammonia facility on Kooragang Island, near the city of Newcastle. Origin Energy and Orica in 2022 said they will study plans to develop the HHVH in Hunter Valley region of NSW, which is Australia's largest thermal coal-producing area. "It has become clear that the hydrogen market is developing more slowly than anticipated, and there remain risks and both input cost and technology advancements to overcome. The combination of these factors mean we are unable to see a current pathway to take a final investment decision on the project," said chief executive Frank Calabria on 3 October. Origin had planned to make a final investment decision on the project by late 2024. The hub, which was estimated to cost A$207.6mn ($143mn), had been allocated A$115mn in state and federal funding and was shortlisted for production credits under Canberra's Hydrogen Headstart programme. In July, Origin described the pace of development in the hydrogen industry as "slower than it had anticipated 12 months ago", said. The company expressed hopes that improved electrolysis efficiency would reduce the rising costs of production. The decision is a significant setback for Australia's green hydrogen ambitions, following the July decision by Australian miner and energy company Fortescue to postpone its target of 15mn t/yr green hydrogen output by 2030. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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