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Trump vows to target 'green' spending, EV rules

  • Market: Battery materials, Biofuels, Coal, Crude oil, Electricity, Emissions, Hydrogen, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 19/07/24

Former president Donald Trump promised to redirect US green energy spending to other projects, throw out electric vehicle (EV) rules and increase drilling, in a speech Thursday night formally accepting the Republican presidential nomination.

Trump's acceptance speech, delivered at the Republican National Convention, offered the clearest hints yet at his potential plans for dismantling the Inflation Reduction Act and the 2021 bipartisan infrastructure law. Without explicitly naming the two laws, Trump said he would claw back unspent funds for the "Green New Scam," a shorthand he has used in the past to criticize spending on wind, solar, EVs, energy infrastructure and climate resilience.

"All of the trillions of dollars that are sitting there not yet spent, we will redirect that money for important projects like roads, bridges, dams, and we will not allow it to be spent on the meaningless Green New Scam ideas," Trump said during the final night of the convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Trump and his campaign have yet to clearly detail their plans for the two laws, which collectively provide hundreds of billions of dollars worth of federal tax credits and direct spending for renewable energy, EVs, clean hydrogen, carbon capture, sustainable aviation fuel, biofuels, nuclear and advanced manufacturing. Repealing those programs outright could be politically difficult because a majority of spending from the two laws have flowed to districts represented by Republican lawmakers.

The speech was Trump's first public remarks since he was grazed by a bullet in an assassination attempt on 13 July. Trump used the shooting to call for the country to unite, but he repeatedly slipped back into the divisive rhetoric of his campaign and his grievances against President Joe Biden, who he claimed was the worst president in US history.

Trump vowed to "end the electric vehicle mandate" on the first day of his administration, in an apparent reference to tailpipe rules that are expected to result in about 54pc of new cars and trucks sales being battery-only EVs by model year 2032. Trump also said that unless automakers put their manufacturing facilities in the US, he would put tariffs of 100-200pc on imported vehicles.

To tackle inflation, Trump said he would bring down interest rates, which are controlled by the US Federal Reserve, an agency that historically acts independently from the White House. Trump also said he would bring down prices for energy through a policy of "drill, baby, drill" and cutting regulations. Trump also vowed to pursue tax cuts, tariffs and the "largest deportation in history," all of which independent economists say would add to inflation.

The Republican convention unfolded as Biden, who is isolating after testing positive for Covid-19, faces a growing chorus of top Democratic lawmakers pressuring him to drop out of the presidential race. Democrats plan to select their presidential nominee during an early virtual roll-call vote or at the Democratic National Convention on 19-22 August.


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07/03/25

Brazil's GDP growth accelerates to 3.4pc in 2024

Brazil's GDP growth accelerates to 3.4pc in 2024

Sao Paulo, 7 March (Argus) — Brazil's economic growth accelerated to an annual 3.4pc last year, the fastest growth since 2021, as gains in the services and industry sectors offset contractions in the agriculture sector, according to government statistics agency IBGE. Growth accelerated from 3.2pc in 2023 and 3pc the prior year. Growth was at 4.8pc in 2021 as the economy recovered from the Covid-19 induced contraction of 3.3pc in 2020. Agriculture contracted by 3.2pc in 2024 after a 15.1pc gain the year prior. The sector's weak performance came as Brazil faced extreme climate events last year that damaged crops , IBGE said. Corn and soybean output fell by 4.6pc and 12.5pc, respectively, according to IBGE. The industrial sector grew by 3.3pc last year after a 1.6pc gain in 2023. Manufacturing industries rose by 3.8pc, driven by a higher output of vehicles, transport equipment, machinery and electric equipment, according to IBGE. Electricity and gas, water and sewage management increased by 3.6pc in 2024 but still decelerated from a 6.5pc gain a year earlier. Higher temperatures throughout 2024 drove the increase, IBGE said. On the other hand, the climate was unfavorable for power generation. The oil, natural gas and mining industry grew by 0.5pc in 2024 from a year earlier. Gross fixed capital formation — which measures how much companies increased their capital goods — rose by 7.3pc from a 3pc contraction in 2023, led by higher domestic output and capital goods imports. Exports rose by 2.9pc, while imports rose by 14.7pc last year. Investment grew by 17pc. Household consumption increased by 4.8pc from a year prior, driven by a 6.6pc unemployment rate — the lowest registered since IBGE started its historic record in 2012 — federal social aid programs and increased lending. Government spending rose by 1.9pc in 2024 from a year earlier. Quarterly GDP Brazil's GDP growth slowed to an annual 3.6pc in the fourth quarter from 4pc in the third quarter, with several sectors contracting, according to IBGE. Agriculture contracted by an annual 1.5pc in the fourth quarter, with 2.9pc and 0.9pc contractions in the wheat and sugarcane crops, respectively, IBGE said. But the industrial sector grew by an annual 2.5pc in the quarter. Manufacturing posted 5.3pc growth, led by the steel sector and higher output of machinery, equipment, vehicles and chemicals. The services sector grew by 3.4pc. The oil, natural gas and mining industry contracted by 3.6pc from a year earlier thanks to a decrease in oil, gas and iron output, IBGE said. Electricity and gas, water, and sewage management fell by an annual 3.5pc, on lower power consumption as power rates became more expensive amid a drought that struck the country in mid-2024. Household consumption grew by an annual 3.7pc, while government spending grew by 1.2pc in the fourth quarter. Gross fixed capital formation increased by an annual 9.4pc in the fourth quarter, according to IBGE. Exports fell by 0.7pc, while imports, which subtract from growth, rose by 16pc. By Maria Frazatto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Kazakhstan pushes Opec+ output above target


07/03/25
News
07/03/25

Kazakhstan pushes Opec+ output above target

London, 7 March (Argus) — Surging output from Kazakhstan saw the Opec+ alliance overshoot its collective crude production target in February for the first time in eight months. Opec+ members subject to targets increased output by 430,000 b/d to just under 34mn b/d in February, 110,000 b/d above target, Argus estimates (see table). This represents the alliance's largest monthly increase since September 2023. The group has signalled that more output is on the way, after eight members agreed to start unwinding 2.2mn b/d of extra cuts from April. Kazakhstan's production rose by 220,000 b/d to a record 1.75mn b/d in February, driven by the start-up of a new production unit at the Chevron-led Tengiz oil project. This helped boost Tengiz production to 878,000 b/d in February and put the country a whopping 280,000 b/d above its Opec+ target. "We fully understand we are overproducing," deputy energy minister Alibek Zhamauov says. "The main reason is that we expected [new] Tengiz production in the middle of the year, however international shareholders decided to start up in January." Kazakhstan is among the largest Opec+ overproducers and has repeatedly said it will compensate for exceeding its target since January 2024. This has frustrated other Opec+ members that have largely stuck to their targets. Zhamauov says Kazakhstan remains committed to the Opec+ alliance — "we fully understand the importance of the Opec+ mission to stabilise the oil market and price for oil". Astana says it has asked international operators at the Tengiz and Kashagan fields to make sharp production cuts so that it can meet its target. The ministry held talks with ExxonMobil, TotalEnergies, Italy's Eni and Shell this week, and energy minister Almasadam Satkaliyev will travel to the US next week to hold further discussions with company chief executives on reducing output, Zhamauov says. Kazakhstan will strive to lower crude output by 297,000 b/d to 1.45mn b/d in March, with most of the reduction coming in the second half of the month, he says. The largest Opec+ overproducer, Iraq, is also supposed to be compensating for previously overshooting its quota. But its output rose by 30,000 b/d to 4.05mn b/d in February — 50,000 b/d above target. Russia was another key overproducer last year, but its compliance has improved in recent months. Output was 20,000 b/d below its target of 8.98mn b/d in February. Other sizeable increases came from Nigeria, which increased output by 70,000 b/d, and the UAE, which rose by 60,000 b/d, with both above target. The group's output in February would have been much higher were it not for the fact that several members, including Azerbaijan, Malaysia, Sudan and South Sudan, have failed to produce anywhere close to their targets in recent months. Forward formula Opec's core Mideast Gulf members are beginning to cut official pricing formulas for April sales. Formula prices can indicate intentions on output, as producers fine-tune how affordable their crude is for marginal refiners. Saudi Aramco has already cut prices for sales to Asia-Pacific by 30-60¢/bl and for Europe by 20-30¢/bl. It kept US term prices unchanged, perhaps aware that tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports would force US refiners to pay up for alternative sour crudes. Iraq, Kuwait and the UAE typically follow the Saudi lead on price direction. Formula cuts follow lower prices on competing spot sour crude markets, as well as expectations of a drop in demand as refineries shut for maintenance. They also reflect unexpectedly robust Russian exports in the wake of tighter US sanctions on shipping. The vacillation of US president Donald Trump over Canadian and Mexican tariffs will no doubt complicate the calculus as US refiners have another month's grace at least on crude imports before the new levies take effect. Opec+ crude production mn b/d Feb Jan* Feb target† ± target Opec 9 21.37 21.17 21.23 +0.14 Non-Opec 9 12.59 12.36 12.62 -0.03 Total 33.96 33.53 33.85 +0.11 *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable Opec wellhead production mn b/d Feb Jan Feb target* ± target Saudi Arabia 8.93 8.88 8.98 -0.05 Iraq 4.05 4.02 4.00 +0.05 Kuwait 2.44 2.42 2.41 +0.03 UAE 2.93 2.87 2.91 +0.02 Algeria 0.92 0.90 0.91 0.01 Nigeria 1.58 1.51 1.50 +0.08 Congo (Brazzaville) 0.24 0.26 0.28 -0.04 Gabon 0.22 0.25 0.17 +0.05 Equatorial Guinea 0.06 0.06 0.07 -0.01 Opec 9 21.37 21.17 21.23 +0.14 Iran 3.38 3.33 na na Libya 1.39 1.35 na na Venezuela 0.91 0.90 na na Total Opec 12† 27.05 26.75 na na *includes additional cuts where applicable †Iran, Libya and Venezuela are exempt from production targets Non-Opec crude production mn b/d Feb Jan* Feb target† ± target Russia 8.96 8.96 8.98 -0.02 Oman 0.78 0.75 0.76 +0.02 Azerbaijan 0.45 0.45 0.55 -0.10 Kazakhstan 1.75 1.53 1.47 +0.28 Malaysia 0.28 0.31 0.40 -0.12 Bahrain 0.19 0.19 0.20 -0.01 Brunei 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.01 Sudan 0.02 0.02 0.06 -0.04 South Sudan 0.07 0.06 0.12 -0.05 Total non-Opec 12.59 12.36 12.62 -0.03 *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Trump reaches out to Iran's supreme leader


07/03/25
News
07/03/25

Trump reaches out to Iran's supreme leader

Washington, 7 March (Argus) — US president Donald Trump said today he sent a letter to Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in a bid to resolve US-Iranian tensions through diplomacy. "There are two ways Iran can be handled — militarily, or you make a deal," Trump said in a televised interview released today. "I would prefer to make a deal, because I'm not looking to hurt Iran." Trump said he reached out directly to Khamenei, saying "I hope you're going to negotiate because it's going to be a lot better for Iran, and I think they want to get that letter." Khamenei is the final decision-maker under the Iranian constitution, with authority to direct or overrule Iranian president Masoud Pezeshkian's government. Trump has previously denounced former president Barack Obama's diplomacy with Iran but appears to now be following a similar path. Obama exchanged correspondence with Khamenei as the two countries hashed out the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) agreement. The JCPOA went into effect in 2016, lifting the US sanctions against Iran in exchange for Tehran's acceptance of restrictions on its nuclear program. Trump in 2018 unilaterally withdrew the US from the JCPOA, leading Tehran to resume work on uranium enrichment and other components of its nuclear program that, according to US experts, in theory would allow Iran to manufacture nuclear weapons in a matter of weeks. Tehran denies pursuing nuclear weapons. The ultimate goal in his diplomacy with Tehran is to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, Trump said. "I'm not sure that everybody agrees with me, but we can make a deal that would be just as good as if you won militarily," Trump said. Tehran did not immediately react to Trump's announcement. Khamenei last month appeared to downplay the possibility of renewed diplomacy with the new US administration, noting Trump's withdrawal from the JCPOA. "Negotiating with a government like the US government is not wise, intelligent or honorable," Khamenei said last month. Trump last month directed US government agencies to find ways to dial up economic pressure on Tehran. US sanctions against Iran are already at a maximum, and nothing short of a naval blockade could prevent the flow of Iranian crude to buyers in China through a well-established network of ships, traders and financial intermediaries that have been able to bypass US sanctions. Iranian crude supply to China rebounded in February as more ports allowed access to sanctioned shipping. China's imports of Iranian crude were on course to hit 1.5mn b/d last month. But Trump's anti-Iran directive last month is more likely to hit Iraq, which depends on natural gas and electricity imports from its neighbor. Iraq's electricity ministry has asked the government to raise gasoil imports as a precautionary measure to ensure the country has enough fuel for power generation head of the peak demand summer months. The US since 2018 has granted periodic sanctions waivers to Iraq to allow Baghdad to import energy from Iran. The current waiver is set to expire on Saturday, but the State Department says it has not decided whether to renew it yet. "We are urging the Iraqi government to eliminate its dependence on Iranian sources of energy as soon as possible," the State Department said on Thursday. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Libya unveils upstream licensing round details


07/03/25
News
07/03/25

Libya unveils upstream licensing round details

London, 7 March (Argus) — Libya has unveiled new details from its first upstream oil and gas licensing round in 18 years. The licensing round offers 22 blocks for exploration and development, split equally between onshore and offshore, according to a summary brochure seen by Argus . State-owned NOC said the blocks are estimated to hold in-place resources of more than 10bn barrels of oil equivalent (boe), while nine of the blocks contain undeveloped discoveries with estimated in place reserves of 1.68bn boe. The bid round is being offered up with a new Production Sharing Agreement (PSA) model, replacing the outdated Epsa 4 contract model of Libya's last licensing round in 2007. NOC said the new PSA could increase contractor internal rate of return (IRR) to 35.8pc compared with 2.5pc under existing terms. Contractors would also share profits with NOC from day one, while a fixed rate for cost recovery would shorten the investment payback period. While the licensing round was officially launched on 3 March in Tripoli, little or no detail had been unveiled until today. There still appears to be no publicly available information on the timeline for bid submissions and awards. Libya also appears to have updated its long-standing crude production target of 2mn b/d. The brochure accompanying the licensing round now mentions a "vision to produce 2mn-3mn b/d." Libya currently produces about 1.4mn b/d of crude and 1.2bn ft³/d of gas, which it wants to increase to 4bn ft³/d. Oil minister Khalifa Abdulsadek previously told Argus that the licensing round was primarily aimed at boosting reserves and keeping output steady. The country's political divisions remain a key risk to the success of Libya's output goals and its latest licensing round. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK 'fully committed' to £8.3bn GB Energy funding


07/03/25
News
07/03/25

UK 'fully committed' to £8.3bn GB Energy funding

London, 7 March (Argus) — The UK government remains "fully committed" to the £8.3bn ($10.7bn) of funding for GB Energy promised in Labour's manifesto last year, the Treasury told Argus today, following media reports that the government might cut funding. Media reports earlier today suggested the UK could cut funding to the publicly owned energy company by several billion pounds. But the Treasury reiterated the commitment to the £8.3bn of funding across this parliamentary term announced last year, intended to enable investment and ownership of "clean power" projects across the UK. A partnership between GB Energy and the Crown Estate to support the development of offshore wind projects was announced last summer . GB Energy will manage and invest in early-stage offshore wind projects that are being developed on seabed land owned by the Crown Estate, with the latter estimating that the partnership will lead to 20-30GW of new offshore wind capacity reaching the seabed leasing stage by 2030. The partnership aims to speed the development and construction of new projects and reduce private investors' risk, potentially leveraging up to £60bn in private investment, the government said. By Helen Senior Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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