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White House confidence grows in climate law

  • Market: Crude oil, Emissions, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 19/08/24

US president Joe Biden's administration is feeling increasingly assured that climate-related tax credits in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) will be safe from repeal, as hundreds of projects funded through the law take root in areas represented by Republican officials.

The law — two years old last week — created an estimated $663bn of tax credits through to 2033 that are available for wind and solar projects, biofuel producers, electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers, clean hydrogen production and other energy projects. White House officials say tax credits created by the law are giving companies the certainty to invest in clean energy and zero-emission vehicle projects, prompting an estimated $282bn in investment that is creating jobs in Republican-led districts. "No Republicans voted for the IRA, but they know their constituents are receiving the benefits," Biden's climate adviser, John Podesta, says.

The majority-Republican US House of Representatives last year voted 217-215 to pass a bill that would repeal nearly all the law's clean energy tax credits. But 18 House Republicans said last week that they now believe a full repeal would be a "worst-case scenario" that would waste billions of dollars and undercut projects in their districts. Non-profit organisation Climate Power estimates that nearly 60pc of the energy jobs created since the law passed are in Republican-led districts, which tend to be in rural areas that are well suited to manufacturing or utility-scale energy projects.

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump — now losing ground in polls to the Democratic nominee, vice-president Kamala Harris — says he aims to claw back any unspent funds for climate spending. If Trump wins, repealing the IRA's tax credits could help offset the costs of extending $4 trillion in tax cuts set to expire in 2025. But while Trump regularly attacks federal support for EVs, he has moderated his criticism after picking up an endorsement from leading EV manufacturer Tesla's chief executive, Elon Musk. "I'm for electric cars, I have to be, because Elon endorsed me very strongly," Trump says, although he adds that EVs should only have a "small slice" of the market.

There is a growing understanding that scrapping the IRA is "just bad politics", Podesta says. The White House expects repealing the law will become more difficult with time, as more businesses and consumers benefit from the tax credits. Last year, 3.4mn households received $8.4bn in energy tax credits created by the law, and the administration expects that number to grow. The White House is now pressing industry officials to speak up about the benefits of the law, which replaced short-term tax credits with incentives that will last 10 years or longer. "They need to shout that from the rooftops a little bit," Podesta says.

Work remains

The Biden administration still needs to implement key parts of the IRA, such as issuing final guidance for the ‘45V' clean hydrogen tax credit, finalising a programme to collect fees from oil and gas companies for methane emissions, and developing regulations that will govern the new ‘45Z' tax credits for clean fuels.

Federal permitting remains a major obstacle to the expansion of clean energy projects, particularly power lines that can take a decade or more to approve. The US Senate last week voted a bipartisan permitting bill out of committee that would fast-track approval of electric transmission projects, and in exchange expand federal oil and gas leasing and end the effective ‘pause' on new US LNG export licensing. Congressional negotiators expect progress on the bill during the ‘lame duck' session of Congress after the 5 November elections.


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20/08/24

Nigeria sees significant gasoline output by November

Nigeria sees significant gasoline output by November

Lagos, 20 August (Argus) — Nigeria's government said "significant production increases" of gasoline from the 210,000 b/d Port Harcourt and 650,000 b/d Dangote refineries are "expected from November", which would have ramifications for balances in the region and in northwest Europe. First gasoline from Dangote is expected in September, said the office of Nigeria's co-ordinating minister of the economy. Industry sources told Argus that Dangote obtained regulatory approval to start its 247,000 b/d fluid catalytic cracker and 27,000 b/d alkylation units in April and May, respectively, but that the refiner seems to have deliberately delayed start-up of these secondary units. This is because it plans to sell much of its gasoline to the domestic market, where government intervention through state-owned NNPC continues to curtail prices. Sources at Port Harcourt told Argus that the restart of a 60,000 b/d section that has been delayed several times since April 2023 is on course to happen by 31 August. The refinery received 450,000 bl of domestic Bonny Light crude in the first half of July, the second supply of feedstock after 475,000 bl arrived between 28 December and 18 January. Nigeria's downstream regulator approved the movement of the crude from tank to refinery at the end of July, sources said. NNPC's trading subsidiary applied last week for permits to sell Port Harcourt kerosine and diesel domestically and permits to export naphtha and fuel oil, according to industry sources. The catalytic reformer and the reformer feed unit for the 60,000 b/d section will start early in October for upgrading of naphtha, sources said. Italian engineering firm Maire Tecnimont won a $1.5bn contract in April 2021 to restore Port Harcourt to 90pc of its nameplate capacity. It said in June that the project was 84.6pc complete, with procurement at 99pc, engineering at 98pc and construction at 73pc. The co-ordinating minister's office also said a programme for NNPC to sell crude to Dangote in the local naira currency will start on 1 October. NNPC has supplied Dangote with crude since the refinery started up in December 2023, but payments have so far been in dollars. The government said the programme will offer a "lifeline to Dangote refinery", which has complained about the dollar prices and available volumes of Nigerian crude grades it has been able to buy. Sources told Argus that NNPC sold Dangote more than 3.6mn bl of crude in July, including a 720,000 bl cargo of Brass River — the first of that grade. A government source told Argus today that details of the NNPC-Dangote programme will not be disclosed until after its implementation in September. But it could be structured as a crude-for-gasoline swap, denominated in US dollars and reflecting international market prices but settled in the equivalent naira amounts. This would allay Dangote's concerns about dollar expenditure, guarantee sales and ensure market value for gasoline sold domestically. It would also remove NNPC's need to import gasoline, with Dangote's capacity alone exceeding Nigeria's domestic demand. NNPC has been Nigeria's sole importer of gasoline since 2017, with the exception of about eight cargoes received by independents in 2023. After years of crude-for-gasoline swap deals, NNPC has been importing on a cash basis since November 2023, mainly from the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) hub in northwest Europe. Nigeria is the largest consumer of gasoline in west Africa, and a key outlet for excess European production. By Adebiyi Olusolape Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Montoir LNG restart delayed by pipeline works: Update


20/08/24
News
20/08/24

Montoir LNG restart delayed by pipeline works: Update

Updates new sendout restart date in paragraph three to 23 August London, 20 August (Argus) — Maintenance at France's 8mn t/yr Montoir LNG import terminal has been repeatedly delayed because of "technical difficulties" relating to the replacement of two sections of a pipeline at the terminal, operator Elengy told Argus . The pipeline links the gas odorisation station and the GRTgaz grid injection station. Gas in France is odorised at all grid network levels, including transmission, rather than solely distribution networks. The works were completed last week, and the terminal is preparing for its cool-down phase, Elengy said. The end of works has been delayed 10 times , and sendout is now scheduled to restart on 23 August. Sendout was due to return on 21 August, according to Elengy nominations earlier today, although this was delayed again to 23 August later in the day. The terminal has been off line since 15 June, and was initially due to resume sendout on 8 July. Sendout from the terminal is nominated to average 154 GWh/d for 21-31 August, down from the 240 GWh/d nominated for the period on 19 August, according to Elengy data ( see sendout graph ). And one delivery for late August has been removed from the schedule ( see stocks graph ). By Martin Senior Montoir sendout nominations Montoir LNG stocks Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Operator takes reins of Kurdish gas field expansion


20/08/24
News
20/08/24

Operator takes reins of Kurdish gas field expansion

Dubai, 20 August (Argus) — The consortium that operates the Khor Mor gas field in Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdistan region has issued a termination notice to the Canadian contractor it hired to increase production capacity. The Pearl Petroleum consortium issued the notice to Toronto-listed Enerflex on 19 August after "numerous performance issues" during the execution period of the $806mn engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract, according to consortium member Dana Gas. "The ongoing impact of these performance issues has materially affected Enerflex's ability to meet its contractual obligations, leading to unacceptable delays and hindering the progress and timely completion of the Khor Mor gas expansion project," Dana Gas said. Abu Dhabi-listed Dana Gas is one of five companies in the Pearl Petroleum consortium — the others are Sharjah-based Crescent Petroleum, Austria's OMV, Hungary's Mol and German utility RWE. Pearl Petroleum will now take direct control of the expansion project to ensure "it is brought back on track and completed in the timeliest manner", Dana Gas said. The project , which will boost capacity at Khor Mor by 250mn ft³/d to 750mn ft³/d, had been due to deliver first gas in April this year but missed that deadline. All of Khor Mor's gas production to date has been used for power generation in Iraq's Kurdish region, although the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) has toyed with the idea of exporting gas . "We will become a net exporter of gas to the rest of Iraq, Turkey and Europe in the near future," KRG prime minister Masrour Barzani said back in 2022, not long after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. As well as the delay to the capacity expansion project, these ambitions have been undermined by repeated drone attacks on Khor Mor in recent years, which often disrupt its production. No group has claimed responsibility for the attacks, but officials typically attribute them to pro-Iran groups within federal Iraq. Iraq has relied on gas import agreements with Iran for several years, and the two countries agreed on a new 50mn m³/d gas supply deal earlier this year. Washington has issued sanctions waivers to allow Iraq to import electricity and natural gas from Iran ever since former president Donald Trump's administration reimposed restrictions on Tehran's energy sector in 2018. Iraq relies on Iran for about a quarter of its energy needs, compared with 40pc three years ago, according to the US State Department. The US sees Iraq becoming self-sufficient in energy by 2030. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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France’s Montoir LNG restart delayed by pipeline works


20/08/24
News
20/08/24

France’s Montoir LNG restart delayed by pipeline works

London, 20 August (Argus) — Maintenance at France's 8mn t/yr Montoir LNG import terminal has been repeatedly delayed because of "technical difficulties" relating to the replacement of two sections of a pipeline at the terminal, operator Elengy told Argus . The pipeline links the gas odorisation station and the GRTgaz grid injection station. Gas in France is odorised at all grid network levels, including transmission, rather than solely distribution networks. The works were completed last week, and the terminal is preparing for its cool-down phase, Elengy said. The end of works has been delayed nine times , and is now scheduled to restart sendout on 21 August. The terminal has been off line since 15 June, and was initially set to resume sendout on 8 July. Sendout from the terminal is nominated to average 154 GWh/d for 21-31 August, down from the 240 GWh/d nominated for the period on 19 August, according to Elengy data (see sendout graph) . And one delivery for late August has been removed from the schedule (see stocks graph) . By Martin Senior Montoir sendout nominations Montoir LNG stocks Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Keppel, ADB to explore Asia-Pacific energy transition


20/08/24
News
20/08/24

Keppel, ADB to explore Asia-Pacific energy transition

Singapore, 20 August (Argus) — Singapore conglomerate Keppel has signed an agreement with the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and Enterprise Singapore (EnterpriseSG) to explore $800mn worth of decarbonisation projects and blended finance opportunities in Asia-Pacific. Keppel, ADB, and EnterpriseSG will focus on energy transition and environmental sustainability projects,said Keppel on 20 August, and the firms are targeting a total project value in excess of $800mn over 2025-30. The projects will collectively be able to abate at least 1mn t/yr of CO2 equivalent, once they are completed. Keppel will develop and operate these projects, which include the decarbonisation of power generation, renewable energy, electric mobility and green buildings, as well as water treatment, and resource recovery from waste including bio-energy and waste-to-energy in Asia-Pacific. The firms will also collaborate on blended finance and explore the potential use of concessionary financing, which "will further improve bankability, support development outcomes, and help mobilise private investment for the projects," said Keppel. The collaboration will begin with opportunities in southeast Asia, although more details were not provided. Carbon credits to accelerate coal-fired phaseout Keppel last week also signed an agreement with Philippine energy firm Acen and Temasek subsidiary and investment platform GenZero to accelerate the retirement of the 246MW South Luzon coal-fired power plant in Batangas, the Philippines, through the use of carbon credits, and replace it with a clean energy despatch facility. The firms will jointly explore the origination and utilisation of Transition Credits (TCs), which are high-integrity carbon credits generated from the emissions reduced through retiring a coal-fired power plant early and replacing this with clean energy sources. They serve as a complementary financing instrument to reduce the economic gap for the early retirement of these plants. The project is expected to be one of the first converted coal-fired plants in the world to generate TCs, said the firms. The origination and sale of the TCs will help to finance and expedite the retirement of the 246MW South Luzon power plant by 10 years to 2030, as well as support just transition initiatives. The firms will collaborate with the Rockefeller Foundation's coal to clean credit initiative (CCCI) and the Monetary Authority of Singapore's (MAS) Transition Credits Coalition (Traction). The project will "explore the development of end-to-end technological solutions and economic model of the coal-to-clean transition," said Keppel, and will focus on the replacement of the South Luzon plant with a mid-merit integrated renewables and energy storage system consisting of solar plant and battery storage. The project "could also come under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement collaboration between the Philippines and Singapore," said the firms. Singapore and the Philippines last week signed an agreement to collaborate on cross-border trade of carbon credits , whereby the countries will work towards a legally binding implementation agreement on carbon credits, to develop high-integrity carbon markets. By Joey Chan and Prethika Nair Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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