Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest market news

German CCS debate heats up as government advances

  • Market: Emissions, Hydrogen
  • 17/09/24

The debate on carbon capture and storage (CCS) is heating up in Germany, as the federal government finalises its carbon management strategy and environmental groups reiterate their warnings on the associated risks.

Environmental group Greenpeace today slammed Berlin's plan to support CCS technology as part of its nascent carbon management strategy. Greenpeace pointed to the technical risks and high costs, and that Europe's only larger CCS sites — Norway's Sleipner and Snohvit — have already encountered "unexpected" problems.

Germany's federal ministry of economic affairs and climate action stressed in a strategy paper last week that CCS is categorised as safe and "not a high-risk technology". The ministry started consultations last week on its strategy with other relevant ministries, with a draft to be sent to parliament in the next few weeks.

The paper stresses that funding will be available only for dealing with technically unavoidable and "hard-to-abate" emissions, based on a "scoring model" developed by the economy ministry that analyses CCS use based on costs, technological availability, avoidance potential, emission source and lock-in risk.

The cement, lime and thermal waste treatment sectors have been given an "A" score, as their emissions are deemed "technically unavoidable", with steam crackers scoring a "B", allowing these sectors to be considered eligible for support.

Blue hydrogen, the glass industry and gas-based direct reduced iron (DRI) technology in the steel industry are rated "C", and aluminium, gas-fired power plants, combined-heat-and power (CHP) plants, and blast furnace technology in the steel industry are rated "D".

The development of CO2 infrastructure should be "private-sector and market-driven" and "as competitive as possible", the paper said, but some "hedging mechanisms" for investors may be necessary in the "ramp-up" phase to mitigate the risks for first movers and leverage the long-term potential for economies of scale. Support would go beyond Germany's carbon contracts for difference (CCfDs), and possibly imply some kind of state backing via public bank KfW.

CCfDs are among the existing funding instruments planned for certain CCS applications for larger industry firms, along with decarbonisation aid for medium-sized companies presented last month.

The ministry plans to set up a CO2 infrastructure working group to co-ordinate planning, possibly alongside other working groups on areas such as CO2 use or storage.

The annual quantities of CO2 to be sequestered in Germany are estimated at 34mn-73mn t of CO2 in 2045.

Germany's amended draft carbon storage bill, which forms the legal framework for the pipeline-based transport and storage of CO2, is now under parliamentary scrutiny.

And Germany will deal with carbon removal and the targets for "technical sinks" in its long-term strategy on negative emissions, which the government aims to present by the end of this year.


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
22/04/25

Tariff ‘shock’ prompts IMF to cut growth outlook

Tariff ‘shock’ prompts IMF to cut growth outlook

Washington, 22 April (Argus) — Global economic growth is expected to be significantly lower in 2025-26 than previously anticipated because of the steep tariffs President Donald Trump is pursuing for most imports and the uncertainty his policies are generating, the IMF said. The IMF, in its latest World Economic Outlook released today, forecasts the global economy will grow by 2.8pc in 2025 and 3pc in 2026. That compares with the 3.3pc/yr growth for 2025-26 that the IMF was expecting just three months ago. Today's forecast is based on the tariffs that Trump had in place as of 4 April, before he paused steep tariffs on most countries and escalated tarrifs on China. These barriers had pushed up the effective US tariff rate to levels "not seen in a century", the IMF said. While Trump has altered his tariff levels repeatedly, he has imposed an across-the-board 10pc tariff on most imports, a 25pc tariff on steel and aluminum, a 25pc tariff on some imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 145pc tariff on most imports from China. "This on its own is a major negative shock to growth," the IMF said. "The unpredictability with which these measures have been unfolding also has a negative impact on economic activity and the outlook." IMF forecasts are used by many economists to model oil demand projections. The US and its closest trading partners appear to be among those hardest hit by tariffs and corresponding trade countermeasures. The IMF's baseline scenario forecasts US growth at 1.8pc this year, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points from the forecast the IMF released in January, reflecting higher policy uncertainty, trade tensions and softer demand outlook. Mexico's economy is now projected to shrink by 0.3pc in 2025, rather than grow by 1.4pc, while Canada's growth is forecast at 1.4pc in 2025, down from 2pc. The release of the IMF report comes as Trump has given no indications of a shift in thinking on tariffs, which he says are generating billions of dollars for the US and will prompt companies to relocate their manufacturing capacity to the US. "THE BUSINESSMEN WHO CRITICIZE TARIFFS ARE BAD AT BUSINESS, BUT REALLY BAD AT POLITICS. THEY DON'T UNDERSTAND OR REALIZE THAT I AM THE GREATEST FRIEND THAT AMERICAN CAPITALISM HAS EVER HAD!" Trump wrote on social media on 20 April. The next day, major stock markets indexes declined by more than 2pc, continuing their crash from when Trump began announcing his tariff policies. Trump on 21 April escalated his attacks against US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell for failing to lower interest rates as Trump has demanded. There could be a "SLOWING of the economy unless Mr. Too Late" — his nickname for Powell — "a major loser, lowers interest rates, NOW," Trump wrote. The IMF also ratcheted down its expectations for the Chinese economy. China's economy is expected to grow by 4pc/yr in 2025-26, down from the 4.6 and 4.5pc, respectively, the IMF was anticipating in January. The euro area is forecast to grow by 0.8pc in 2025 and 1.2pc in 2026, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the IMF's previous forecast. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Washington seeks input on GHG market changes


21/04/25
News
21/04/25

Washington seeks input on GHG market changes

Houston, 21 April (Argus) — Washington regulators are moving forward with a slew of potential changes to the state's "cap-and-invest" program through a pair of draft rules, despite ongoing uncertainty around new program mechanics under discussion in the California-Quebec carbon market. The Department of Ecology opened public comment for the two draft rules on 16 April for the revised carbon market linkage rulemaking it kicked off in March . The draft language builds on changes required by SB 6058 , which lawmakers passed last year at the request of Ecology, to smooth out any incompatibility between the state's program and the larger California-Quebec market, known as the Western Climate Initiative (WCI). In line with legislation, the agency is proposing to shift the program's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions exemption for biomass-derived fuels to 35pc lower lifecycle emissions — down from 40pc — than the comparable petroleum fuels, allow the use of another jurisdiction's carbon offsets issued after July 2019 for compliance, and lower the allowance holding limits for general participants in a linked market. Ecology is proposing other changes required by the law, such as accounting for emissions from imported electricity. Changes Ecology is proposing that are not required by SB 6058 include accounting for the combined total allowances between all three jurisdictions in the program's holding limit formulas and adding quarterly future vintage allowance auctions in line with the WCI. Ecology began pursuit of linking with the WCI in 2023 , the first year of the Washington's program. While the agency continues to move forward on linkage-related due diligence required by state law, some program changes needed to join the WCI market, such as aligning program compliance periods and corporate affiliation group disclosures, must wait for guidance from California and Quebec. Ongoing work by the current WCI members to update their respective regulations has run into a series of delays . One potential change California Air Resources Board staff floated in April 2024 is aligning the end of each compliance cycle with the program's emissions reduction targets in 2030, 2035, 2040 and 2045, rather than the current three-year compliance cycle. But the agency has largely been silent on the issue since, including in its most recent market notice on planned changes in October 2024. Washington's "cap-and-invest" program aims to cut GHG emissions by 45pc by 2030, compared with 1990 levels, and to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. The program covers industrial facilities, natural gas suppliers, power plants and other fuel suppliers with GHG emissions of at least 25,000 t/yr. Ecology is requesting public comment on the draft language through 16 May. By Denise Cathey Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

USDA overhauls 'climate-smart' agriculture program


17/04/25
News
17/04/25

USDA overhauls 'climate-smart' agriculture program

Houston, 17 April (Argus) — The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has begun to overhaul a program that for three years incentivized "climate-smart" practices to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through grants to farmers, ranchers and forest landowners. USDA has cancelled the Partnerships for Climate-Smart Commodities (PCSC), a program launched during former US president Joe Biden's administration, agency administrator Brooke Rollins said on Monday. Instead, the USDA has "reformed and overhauled" the program into the Advancing Markets for Producers (AMP) initiative. According to the USDA, most of the projects under the Biden-era program "had sky-high administration fees" that resulted in considerably less federal funding being provided to farmers. The agency said it will review and potentially allow some projects to continue if they show that producers are receiving at least 65pc of federal funds. "We continue to support farmers and encourage partners to ensure their projects are farmer focused or re-apply to continue work that is aligned with the priorities of this administration," the agency said. In addition, the USDA said it will review current projects based on whether recipients of PCSC grants had at least one enrolled producer and made a payment to at least one producer before the end of last year. Any expenses incurred under the PCSC before this week's announcement will be honored, the agency said. The PCSC, which the agency launched in February 2022, had the potential to increase supply in the voluntary carbon market. It was designed to help farmers, ranchers, and forest landowners use climate-smart practices such as those that help improve and maintain soil quality of forests, promote the use of cover crops, and encourage prescribed grazing. The program funded projects that created market opportunities for products produced through climate-smart practices and used cost-effective methods for tracking and verifying resulting reductions in GHG emissions. The Biden-era program initially had funding amounting to $1bn before more than tripling to $3.5bn a few months after its launch. But the USDA under US president Donald Trump appears to be downsizing that program, and it remains unclear how many projects will be permitted to continue. The move is part of a broader effort by the new administration to review, reconsider and potentially roll back federal climate policies. The US Environmental Protection Agency is reviewing more than 30 Biden-era emissions and water regulations. In addition, the president issued an executive order last week directing the Department of Justice to review and potentially challenge state and local climate policies, calling out California's cap-and-trade program as one potential target. By Ida Balakrishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

IMF anticipates lower growth from US tariffs


17/04/25
News
17/04/25

IMF anticipates lower growth from US tariffs

Washington, 17 April (Argus) — Economic growth projections set for release next week will include "notable markdowns" caused by higher US tariffs that have been disrupting trade and stressing financial markets, IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva said today. The IMF earlier this month warned that the tariffs that President Donald Trump was placing on trading partners could pose a "significant risk" to the global economy. Those higher trade barriers are on track to reduce growth, raise prices for consumers and create incremental costs related to uncertainty, the IMF plans to say in its World Economic Outlook on 22 April. "Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession," Georgieva said Thursday in a speech previewing the outlook. "We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries." Trump has already placed an across-the-board 10pc tariff on most trading partners, with higher tariffs on some goods from Canada and Mexico, a 145pc tariff on China, and an exception for most energy imports. Those tariffs — combined with Trump's on-again, off-again threats to impose far higher tariffs — have been fueling uncertainty for businesses and trading partners. The recent tariff "increases, pauses, escalations and exemption" will likely have significant consequences for the global economy, Georgieva said, resulting in a postponement of investment decisions, ships at sea not knowing where to sail, precautionary savings and more volatile financial markets. Higher tariffs will cause an upfront hit to economic growth, she said, and could cause a shift in trade under which some sectors could be "flooded by cheap imports" while other sectors face shortages. The IMF has yet to release its latest growth projections. But in January, IMF expected global growth would hold steady at 3.3pc this year with lower inflation. The IMF at the time had forecast the US economy would grow by 2.7pc, with 1pc growth in Europe and 4.5pc growth in China. The upcoming markdown in growth projections from the IMF aligns with analyses from many banks and economists. US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell on 16 April said the recent increase in tariffs were likely to contribute to "higher inflation and slower growth". Those comments appear to have infuriated Trump, who has wanted Powell to cut interest rates in hopes of stimulating growth in the US. "Powell's termination cannot come fast enough!" Trump wrote today on social media. Powell's term as chair does not end until May 2026. Under a longstanding US Supreme Court case called Humphrey's Executor , Trump does not have the authority to unilaterally fire commissioners at independent agencies such as the Federal Reserve. Trump has already done so at other agencies such as the US Federal Trade Commission, creating a potential avenue to overturn the decision. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Belgian H2 pipeline faces year delay in fruit dispute


17/04/25
News
17/04/25

Belgian H2 pipeline faces year delay in fruit dispute

London, 17 April (Argus) — The construction of Belgium's first hydrogen pipeline between the ports of Ghent and Antwerp could be delayed by a year, after its environmental permit was suspended, gas transport system operator Fluxys has said. The 35km pipeline linking the towns of Zelzate and Kallo — part of a "first phase" of Belgium's "open access" hydrogen pipeline network — was to be completed in 2026 following the start of construction last month . But Belgium's council for permit disputes suspended the environmental permit following appeals from fruit growers related to discharge of perfluoroalkyl and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) — sometimes referred to as "forever chemicals" — into the water, Fluxys said. "Work has been halted pending a decision on the merits of the case, which could take up to a year," said Fluxys spokesperson Tim De Vil. "This clearly puts our timetable at risk." A final decision is expected next year at the earliest. De Vil said Fluxys is talking to the Flemish government and farmers' organisations to ensure the permit can still be approved. Fluxys' permit included permission to dispose of PFAS-contaminated water into surface water under "certain conditions." But the regulatory body ruled the impact on areas already exceeding the PFAS limits had been evaluated inaccurately. By Alexandra Luca Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more