Latest market news

UK ramps up climate action under new leadership

  • Market: Coal, Crude oil, Electricity, Emissions, Natural gas
  • 28/10/24

The UK's Labour government, elected in July, has taken the country's climate policy in a new direction, restoring pledges the previous administration scrapped and seeking to funnel investment to renewables. The UN Cop 29 climate summit presents an opportunity for it to follow this up on an international stage.

Hosting Cop 26 in 2021 allowed the UK to burnish its climate leadership credentials, but subsequent changes in the Conservative government saw policy reversals. Labour sought to differentiate its position on climate during the election campaign — possibly noting an increase in support for the UK's Green and Liberal Democrat parties, both of which hold firm pro-environment stances.

Labour promised to issue no new oil, gas or coal licences — although it said it would not revoke existing permits — and is aiming for zero-emissions power by 2030. Energy minister Ed Miliband in his first week in office lifted the de facto ban on onshore wind, and set up a taskforce to speed the country's path to a decarbonised power grid. The UK has in recent weeks pulled in around £24bn ($31bn) of investment for renewables, including from utilities Orsted and Iberdrola, and announced "up to" £21.7bn in funding over 25 years for carbon capture, use and storage (CCUS) — although it is unclear how the money will be deployed.

The government moved swiftly to raise the windfall tax on oil and gas profits, lifting it to an effective rate of 78pc and scrapping one of the investment allowances — although the decarbonisation investment allowance remains in place. And, spurred by a landmark ruling made by the UK's Supreme Court in June, the government pledged new environmental guidance for oil and gas fields by spring 2025. The judgment ruled that consent for an oil development was unlawful, as the Scope 3 emissions — those from burning the oil produced — were not considered. The government has in the meantime halted assessment of any environmental statements for oil and gas extraction, including those already being processed, until the new guidance is in place.

The Labour government has declined to defend in court decisions taken by various iterations of the Conservative administration, including the permission granted for a proposed coal mine in northwest England. The High Court quashed that planning permission in September.

International stage

Miliband has sought guidance from independent advisory the Climate Change Committee (CCC) on the country's new climate plan, known as a nationally determined contribution (NDC). The CCC assessed the previous government as off track to hit legally binding emissions-reduction targets. The UK has cut emissions by half since 1990 and is in line with all carbon budgets to date. But much of this progress was made from a baseline of a high rate of coal-fired power generation, all of which is now shut down. The next stage of the country's decarbonisation will be more fragmented and is likely to pose more of a challenge.

The UK has bucked the trend set by some European neighbours by shifting further left with Labour, although the new government has promoted fiscal caution. Climate finance will dominate the talks in Azerbaijan, and the UK has been clear it will continue to contribute.

Labour pledged in its manifesto to "return to the forefront of climate action", noting that the previous administration had "squandered [the UK's] climate leadership". Foreign minister David Lammy has embedded climate and nature issues into his foreign policy brief and the government has appointed special representatives for climate and nature. But Cop 29 will prove the first real test of the pledges made, with a global audience watching.

UK greenhouse gas emissions

Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
28/10/24

Greenhouse gases at new all-time high in 2023: WMO

Greenhouse gases at new all-time high in 2023: WMO

London, 28 October (Argus) — The concentration of greenhouses gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere reached its highest level on record last year, driven by human activity and vegetation fires, according to the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). CO2 concentration hit 420ppm, recording a larger annual increase than the previous year and standing at 151pc above pre-industrial levels, according to the WMO's annual Greenhouse Gas Bulletin published today, which is designed to inform the UN's Cop climate conferences. "Stubbornly high" CO2 emissions from fossil-fuelled human activity combined with emissions from vegetation fires and a "possible" fall in CO2 absorption by forests to drive the increase, the WMO said. Methane concentration also stood at 265pc above pre-industrial levels in 2023 and nitrous oxide at 125pc above. The surge in GHG levels in the atmosphere is "committing the planet to rising temperatures for many years to come", the WMO warned, hindering attempts to meet the Paris climate agreement's goal to limit global warming to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and preferably to 1.5°C above. A report by the UN Environment Programme last week found that the world is set for a "catastrophic temperature rise" of up to 3.1°C above pre-industrial levels unless G20 countries act to cut all GHG emissions. "Another year. Another record. This should set alarm bells ringing among decision makers," WMO secretary-general Celeste Saulo said today. By Victoria Hatherick Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Japan’s election leaves energy policy in limbo


28/10/24
News
28/10/24

Japan’s election leaves energy policy in limbo

Tokyo, 28 October (Argus) — Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its coalition partner Komeito were heavily defeated in the country's election on 27 October, and this is likely to leave the country's energy policy in limbo, especially for nuclear power. The LDP's first defeat in 15 years means no single party holds the majority of seats to govern parliament now. Forming a fresh alliance, if not a coalition government, would be essential for any party, but depending on who teams up with whom, the country's energy policy could deviate from its present course, especially because of the parties' different approaches to nuclear power policy. The LDP and Komeito together won 215 seats, falling short of the 233 seats needed to hold the majority and take control of parliament. The LDP is now faced with the choice of seeking other parties to join its coalition, or to remain as a minority in the government. Komeito could also face challenges in establishing a new structure, as Keiichi Ishii, the leader of the party, was defeated in the election. "We have to take the outcome seriously," said Shigeru Ishiba, the current prime minister and the LDP's governor, indicating he intends to take immediate action for political reforms. But the LDP's weakened position may make it difficult to push for its pro-nuclear energy policy to ensure the country's energy security, economic growth and decarbonisation as part of its 2050 net zero emissions goal. The second-largest opposition party with 38 seats, the Japan Innovation Party (JIP), also called Ishin, holds a similar stance on nuclear policy as the LDP. But it is unwilling to align itself with the current coalition government, because of distrust against the LDP resulting from a political fund scandal that was part of the reason for the current political turmoil within the LDP. JIP is not planning to form a coalition with any parties, said its leader Nobuyuki Baba. The Democratic Party for the People, also named Kokumin, which quadrupled its number of seats to 28, has also promoted the use of domestic nuclear and renewable power sources. Forming an alliance with Kokumin may keep the LDP's nuclear power policy in place. But Kokumin's leader Yuichiro Tamaki has also declined to form a coalition with the LDP and Komeito, although he said that co-operating on a specific agenda could be possible. The biggest opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ), which won 148 seats, will step up efforts to co-operate with other opposition parties to change the government, according to the party leader Yoshihiko Noda. Noda served as prime minister of Japan and president of the then democratic party of Japan from September 2011 to December 2012. The CDPJ pledged in its manifesto to not build a new nuclear fleet or expand capacity, while pushing for a swift phase-out of existing reactors. The party aims to cut Japan's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by more than 55pc by 2030 against 2013 levels, and ensure carbon neutrality by 2050, while lifting the share of renewable energy in its power mix to 50pc by 2030 and 100pc by 2050. The climate goal by the CDPJ is ambitious compared with the LDP's strategies so far. Japan's strategic energy plan, which was updated by the LDP-led government in 2021 and is now under review, targets a 46pc reduction in the country's GHG emissions by the April 2030 to March 2031 fiscal year from its 2013-14 level, in line with its goal to have net zero emissions by 2050. The 2030-31 target assumes Japan relies on thermal generation for 41pc of its electricity demand, along with a 36-38pc share for renewables, 20-22pc nuclear power and 1pc hydrogen and ammonia. A special diet session is scheduled to be held before 26 November to appoint the new prime minister. Following the LDP's defeat, it remains unclear if Ishiba, who was just sworn in on 1 October, will be re-elected despite his willingness to hold onto power. By Motoko Hasegawa and Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Private sector needs countries to up climate ambitions


28/10/24
News
28/10/24

Private sector needs countries to up climate ambitions

Edinburgh, 28 October (Argus) — As developed nations look to rope in the private sector to the new finance goal at the UN Cop 29 climate summit, investors in turn are calling on governments to raise policy ambitions to unlock financial flows for the energy transition. Parties must agree at Cop 29 on the new collective quantified goal (NCQG). And developed nations are pushing to include private finance as part of a "multi-layered goal". Around $1.9 trillion/yr is invested in clean energy, but this needs to more than double by 2030 to reach net zero emissions by 2050, according to the IEA. The Institute of International Finance (IFF) says it is for governments to create the conditions to mobilise private capital. This was echoed in two open letters by more than 500 institutional investors — holding a combined $29 trillion in assets — and 100 chief executives, representing $4 trillion in revenues. They called on governments to upgrade their nationally determined contributions — climate plans — to provide "the transparency businesses need for investment". And they called for policies to be economy-wide and sectoral, with derisking mechanisms, and obstacles such as lengthy permitting processes for renewables removed. To ensure private finance flows into green industrial technologies, "governments need to do what has been done for renewables 20 years ago, that is prime the pump", pension fund CDPQ's head of sustainability Bertrand Millot says. "We are prepared to finance but we need a stable policy environment for that." In the US and the EU, the Inflation Reduction Act and REPowerEU have been critical in unlocking private flows — even though some investors find navigating EU regulation cumbersome. "It is not just about policies setting limits on carbon emissions or incentives, but an industrial policy that is designed to create good jobs," non-profit group Ceres' vice-president Kirsten Spalding says. Derisking business But some debt-laden developing economies lack the budget to implement these policies, and can be perceived as too risky. "That's where we have to have developed nations and multilateral development banks [MDBs] step up with blended finance," Macquarie Asset Management Group head Ben Way says. At least $1 trillion/yr of private capital will be needed in developing countries excluding China by 2030 to meet climate and development goals, according to the high-level expert group on climate finance mandated by the UN. MDBs have a crucial role to play to derisk investments and leverage private finance. The reform of global governance institutions is one of the priorities of Brazil's G20. But it is progressing too slowly. Although the World Bank and IMF have taken some steps, they still need to do much more, UN climate body UNFCCC chief Simon Stiell said ahead of the bank's annual meetings in Washington taking place this week. He also called for more honesty on the role of the private sector. One of the main barriers to scaling up private investments is making sure that public finance is being used effectively to derisk new areas, according to think-tank E3G's sustainable finance senior policy adviser Heather McKay. National transition planning and country platforms building on the Just Energy Transition Partnerships, whereby governments will strive to offer long-term policy clarity, could gain traction at G20 or Cop 29. This could help increase confidence, she says. Another obstacle is that a lot of projects in developing nations are not yet at the investment stage. MDBs can work with countries to unlock these and support investment in energy transition sectors, think-tank ODI managing director Hans Peter Lankes says. But institutional investors do not tend to invest in developing economies because of regulations, such as Basel III, and "long-standing habits", so there are huge gaps still to be bridged, he says. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Oil prices slump as Israel spares Iran’s energy assets


28/10/24
News
28/10/24

Oil prices slump as Israel spares Iran’s energy assets

Singapore, 28 October (Argus) — Crude futures fell sharply in Asian trading on 28 October after Israel avoided targeting energy facilities in its weekend attack on Iran. Brent and WTI futures both fell by around 5pc soon after markets opened, as Israel's retaliatory strike on Iran appeared more limited than had been expected. The attacks involved "targeted and precise strikes on military targets in Iran", the Israel Defense Forces said. The possibility that the Israeli attack could target energy facilities had sent oil prices strongly higher earlier this month. Iran's leaders have yet to make clear whether, or how, they will respond to the latest Israeli strikes. The front-month December crude contract on Ice fell by $4.06/bl or 5.3pc to $71.99/bl in early trading, before recovering slightly to trade at $72.68/bl at 10.54am Singapore time (02:54 GMT). The Nymex front-month December crude contract fell by as much as $3.99/bl or 5.5pc to $67.79/bl. The contract was trading at $68.50/bl at 10.54am in Singapore. By Kevin Foster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Israel launches strikes on Iran: Update


26/10/24
News
26/10/24

Israel launches strikes on Iran: Update

Adds details throughout Washington, 26 October (Argus) — Israel launched what its military described as "precise strikes on military targets" in Iran early Saturday local time. In a statement posted on the social media platform X, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said the strikes were in response to "months of continuous attacks" from Iran and its proxies in the region. Gaza-based militia group Hamas attacked Israel on 7 October 2023, prompting a year of fighting in Gaza and escalating tensions throughout the region. "Our defensive and offensive capabilities are fully mobilized," the IDF said. Shortly after 06:30 local time (03:30 GMT), the IDF said it had "concluded the Israeli response to Iran's attacks against Israel" which involved "targeted and precise strikes on military targets in Iran." Israel dubbed the operation "Days of repentance". Iran's defence forces confirmed the attacks early on Saturday, referring to them as "attempts by the Zionist regime to target some sites… in several places around Tehran and elsewhere in the country." It said the country's air defences "had responded to the attempts," without saying whether any of its sites had been hit. Following the conclusion of the Israel strike, however, the defence forces confirmed that some "military centers in Tehran, Khuzestan and Ilam provinces" had been targeted by the strike. "While the country's integrated air defence system successfully intercepted and countered this aggressive act, some sites did incur limited damage," the forces said. Khuzestan province, in the west of the country and on the border with Iraq, is home to a significant portion of Iran's oil and gas production, which appears to have been spared in this exchange. US president Joe Biden had been urging Israel in recent weeks not to target Iran's oil infrastructure, which would put 1.7mn b/d of Iranian crude exports at risk and could prompt Tehran to retaliate by attacking oil trade in the region. Today's attack comes after Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu had vowed to take military action against Iran since Tehran conducted a large-scale ballistic missile attack on Israel at the start of October . Iran's missile strike was in response to Israel's killing of Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of the Lebanese militia group Hezbollah, a number of other commanders in an airstrike in Beirut late last month, and the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran in late July. The Israeli military killed Haniyeh's successor, Yahya Sinwar, earlier this month. Israel and Iran also engaged in tit-for-tat strikes in April. Hamas and Hezbollah are part of the so-called Axis of Resistance, a group of regional militia groups that are backed by Iran. Draw a line Immediately after its 1 October strike on Israel, Iran stressed that it considered that particular exchange closed. And Iranian officials had since been warning Tel Aviv against any further attacks, or else they would face an even stronger response from Iran. IDF spokesman Daniel Hagari today issued a similar warning to Tehran. "If the regime in Iran were to make the mistake of beginning a new round of escalation, we will be obligated to respond," Hagari said. "Our message is clear: All those who threaten the state of Israel and seek to drag the region into wider escalation will pay a heavy price." Iranian officials are yet to react formally to the overnight strikes, meaning it is as yet unclear how Iran may ultimately choose to respond. Recent history suggests that any Iranian response, if there were to be one, would not be immediate. But the limited and targeted nature of Israel's response, with no reported casualties so far, could provide the off-ramp needed to avoid an all-out war at this particular time. By David Ivanovich and Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more