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New York to propose GHG market rules in 'coming months’

  • Market: Electricity, Emissions, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 14/01/25

Draft rules for New York's carbon market will be ready in the "coming months," governor Kathy Hochul (D) said today.

Regulators from the Department of Environmental Conservation (DEC) and the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) "will take steps forward on" establishing a cap-and-invest program and propose new emissions reporting requirements for sources while also creating "a robust investment planning process," Hochul said during her state of the state message.

But the governor did not provide a timeline for the process beyond saying the agency's work do this work "over the coming months."

Hochul's remarks come after regulators in September delayed plans to begin implementing New York's cap-and-invest program (NYCI) to 2026. At the time, DEC deputy commissioner Jon Binder said that draft regulations would be released "in the next few months."

DEC, NYSERDA and Hochul's office each did not respond to requests for comment.

Some environmental groups applauded Hochul's remarks, while also expressing concern about the state's next steps.

Evergreen Action noted that the timeline for NYCI "appears uncertain" and called on lawmakers to "commit to this program in the 2025 budget."

"For New York's economy, environment and legacy, we hope the governor commits to finalizing a cap-and-invest program this year," the group said.

State law from 2019 requires New York to achieve a 40pc reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from 1990 levels by 2030 and an 85pc reduction by 2050. A state advisory group in 2022 issued a scoping plan that recommended the creation of an economy-wide carbon market to help the state reach those goals.


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07/04/25

Colombia's renewables grow, but gap looms

Colombia's renewables grow, but gap looms

Bogota, 7 April (Argus) — Development of non-conventional renewable (NCRE) generation has picked up in Colombia, but the pace is still not fast enough to cover a projected generation shortage by 2027-2028. Colombia will likely reach 2.55GW in installed NCRE such as solar and wind — excluding large hydropower — by the end of 2025, up from 1.88GW at the end of 2024, Colombian renewable association SER director Alexandra Hernandez told Argus at the Colombia Genera conference held last week in Cartagena. About 670MW from 19 medium and large NCRE plants worth $500mn will likely come online in 2025, Hernandez noted. Of that total, 30MW in two projects came online in January, and the balance of 640MW are under construction, according to Hernandez. The plants will reduce emissions by 1.1mn metric tonnes (t) CO2/yr compared with conventional generation. For 2026, 419MW in NCRE could come online. NCRE will comprise a 12pc share of Colombia's generation capacity in 2025, up from 10pc in 2024. Despite that, Colombia will fail to meet its target of 6GW in NCRE by August 2026, when the administration of President Gustavo Petro ends, former minister of mines and energy Amylkar Acosta said. Colombia will likely will end 2026 with 3GW, Hernandez noted. This comes despite Petro's support for renewable energy and attempts to phase out hydrocarbons use. Much of this development is focused on the dry, windswept department of La Guajira that borders Venezuela and juts into the Caribbean. US firm AES' will start building the first 259MW phase of its 1.1GW Jemeiwaa Ka'I wind complex there later this year, AES's general manager Federico Echavarria said at the Colombia Genera conference. "Our biggest bet is La Guajira," Echavarria said. Last year, Colombia's environmental regulator Anla approved a transmission line connecting 648MW of planned wind capacity in the La Guajira area to the national grid. The 500kV Casa Electrica-Colectora transmission line and substation will connect with Grupo de Energia de Bogota's 500kV Colectora transmission line. Colectora has begun construction and should come online in 2026, a delay from its original 2022 start date. La Guajira has Colombia's greatest renewable power potential, including 21GW of wind power potential, according to state planning agency UPME. But delays to key transmission projects and lengthy community consultations impeded development. Italian power company Enel suspended indefinitely construction of a 205MW wind farm in the Windpeschi region, but state-controlled oil company Ecopetrol is seeking authorization to buy it. Projects advancing in other departments include the 200MW Orquidea solar project in the Caribbean province of Bolivar, which recently earned an environmental permit that clears the way for construction. Running out of time But this new generation capacity will not cover an expected supply shortfall. Colombia is forecast to have a gap of around 2,000MW by 2027-2028 assuming baseline consumption, and 3,000MW-6,000MW if demand rises further, several electricity associations have said. Renewables could help fill this gap, as the construction is fairly quick once permits as security, the renewables group SER said. But 47pc of renewable power companies were unable to complete their planned investments in 2024, with permitting delays among the top reason, the group found in a member survey. Permits from the government's mining and planning unit UPME takes nine months, compared with the two months stipulated by the law. Regional entities take twice as long to issue a permit than the legal limit. The government will push to do more, energy and mines minister Edwin Palma said in Cartagena. "We are convinced and committed to ensuring that expansion projects are carried out," he said. "We will work with the ministry of the interior to expedite licenses." By Diana Delgado Colombia's power generation mix % Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US producers look overseas as shale stalls


07/04/25
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07/04/25

US producers look overseas as shale stalls

New York, 7 April (Argus) — US shale producers are seeking to deploy their expertise around hydraulic fracturing in international markets, in a marked departure from their recent strategy and one that is set to accelerate as domestic output slows. Continental Resources — whose billionaire founder and executive chairman Harold Hamm was one of the driving forces behind the shale revolution after figuring out how to unlock the vast resources of North Dakota's Bakken basin with horizontal drilling — recently announced plans to explore for unconventional resources in Turkey. And EOG Resources aims to kick-start a drilling campaign in Bahrain. Early successes could prompt a scramble by peers to follow suit, which would be a reversal of the trend seen in the early days of the shale boom when the industry largely retrenched from overseas investments to concentrate on exploiting domestic plays. And while decisions to venture abroad have been mainly based on individual company strategies up until now — and investors have been lukewarm at best — forecasts for shale to start plateauing in the coming years could lend them greater impetus. "Maybe, as they have success, that will draw others in," energy investment firm Bison Interests chief investment officer and founder Josh Young says. "It could be the start of something big." The caveat is that a potential international push at scale is unlikely to happen overnight, and companies such as Murphy Oil and APA — which already have exploration campaigns under way from Vietnam to Ivory Coast and Suriname — have underperformed compared with their rivals. "You are not seeing that market acceptance or market credit for international projects," Young says. That perception may shift if international exploration yields above-average returns for shareholders, boosting the case for producers to seek to build out their inventory further afield as growth in the shale patch slowly grinds to a halt. International exploration may have its own risks, given shale's success story has largely been confined to the US and Argentina to date. But the "cost of entry is relatively low compared to a North American landscape with little room for exploration and high premiums for solid assets in the Permian", consultancy Rystad Energy vice-president for North America oil and gas Matthew Bernstein says. Hamm, who took Continental private more than two years ago after tiring of public markets, recently warned that US shale is beginning to plateau . "What we really need to concentrate on is where we go as we crest right here in America, what the downside looks like," he told the CERAWeek by S&P Global conference in Houston. He also signalled a greater openness to drill outside North America. Talking Turkey Continental recently announced a joint venture with Turkey's national oil company and US-based TransAtlantic Petroleum to develop oil and gas resources in southeast and northwest Turkey. State-owned Turkish Petroleum has pegged initial estimates from the Diyarbakir basin in the southeast that could reach 6bn bl of oil and 12 trillion-20 trillion ft³ (340bn-570bn m³) of gas. The Thrace basin in northwest Turkey may hold up to 20 trillion-45 trillion ft³. "We see immense potential in Turkey's untapped resources," Continental's chief executive, Doug Lawler, says. And in February, EOG Resources announced a tie-in with state-owned Bapco Energies to evaluate a gas prospect in Bahrain. EOG will take on the role of operator, and the venture is awaiting further government approvals. "The formation has previously been tested using horizontal technology, delivering positive results," EOG chief executive Ezra Yacob says. By deploying its existing skillset around horizontal drilling and completions, EOG is confident of achieving results that are competitive with projects in its domestic portfolio. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Tariffs and their impact larger than expected: Powell


04/04/25
News
04/04/25

Tariffs and their impact larger than expected: Powell

New York, 4 April (Argus) — Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said today tariff increases unveiled by US president Donald Trump will be "significantly larger" than expected, as will the expected economic fallout. "The same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth," Powell said today at the Society for Advancing Business Editing and Writing's annual conference in Arlington, Virginia. The central bank will continue to carefully monitor incoming data to assess the outlook and the balance of risks, he said. "We're well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance," Powell added. "It is too soon to say what will be the appropriate path for monetary policy." As of 1pm ET today, Fed funds futures markets are pricing in 29pc odds of a quarter point cut by the Federal Reserve at its next meeting in May and 99pc odds of at least a quarter point rate cut in June. Earlier in the day the June odds were at 100pc. The Fed chairman spoke after trillions of dollars in value were wiped off stock markets around the world and crude prices plummeted following Trump's rollout of across-the-board tariffs earlier in the week. Just before his appearance, Trump pressed Powell in a post on his social media platform to "STOP PLAYING POLITICS!" and cut interest rates without delay. A closely-watched government report showed the US added a greater-than-expected 228,000 jobs in March , showing hiring was picking up last month. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK considers import tariffs on US oil products


04/04/25
News
04/04/25

UK considers import tariffs on US oil products

London, 4 April (Argus) — The UK government has included refined oil products from the US in a list of goods that could be subject to retaliatory tariffs. The government said it was considering "potential tariff measures on US goods, should this be deemed necessary" in response to a 10pc US import tariff on UK goods and services — excluding energy — due to take effect on 5 April. The consultation will last until 1 May. Light oils, gasoils, jet fuel, fuel oils, lubricants and bitumen all feature in the list of products possibly subject to retaliatory tariffs. The UK could be particularly exposed to any tariff impact on US middle distillate imports in the event of retaliation. The UK sourced over a quarter of its 14.37mn t of 10ppm diesel and gasoil from the US last year, according to Vortexa, while 3pc of its 10.15mn t of jet and kerosine imports were sourced from the US. It is not clear what tariff rate the UK is targeting in its potential retaliation. For other oil products, any potential import tariff impact would become more muted as US refined product imports become less significant. The UK received just 6pc of its 1.92mn t total fuel oil imports from the US last year, while the UK was the fourth largest gasoline supplier to the US and received none of the product from its trade partner. European refined product values have collapsed as a result of the escalating trade war which saw China retaliate today against the US' latest tariff action. Eurobob non-oxy gasoline barge prices dropped by 4pc to $700.75/t on 3 April at a time when trading activity typically picks up ahead of the US summer driving season. Indicated non-oxy barge values were set to drop further in the trading session today. The EU is similarly preparing countermeasures against US import tariffs, which Washington set at 20pc from 9 April in addition to existing rates. Ice gasoil futures had dropped by 10pc since President Trump announced the new tariff regime on 2 April to $615.75/t by the close today. Ice gasoil futures are used as the pricing basis against which diesel, gasoil and jet fuel grades are assessed in the European middle distillates markets. European refined products market participants have pointed to a darker global economic outlook triggered by the US import tariffs as the driving force behind the drop-off in European product values. By George Maher-Bonnett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU sees no credibility issue in 2040 GHG target delay


04/04/25
News
04/04/25

EU sees no credibility issue in 2040 GHG target delay

Brussels, 4 April (Argus) — The lack of a proposal for a 2040 greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target is not a credibility issue for the European Commission, officials said. The commission will have an "ambitious" 2040 GHG proposal in time to derive a 2035 climate plan for the EU "well in time" for the UN Cop 30 climate talks in Belem, Brazil, over 10-21 November. The commission was expected to make a legislative proposal for a 2040 EU climate target no later than six months after the conclusion of the first global stocktake under the Paris climate agreement, which concluded at Cop 28 in December 2023, as per the bloc's European Climate Law. The process is "quite late nationally and also globally", the commission acknowledged. But officials insist that the update to the climate law, setting a 2040 GHG target, will come "well in time" for the Cop process. The EU will then derive its nationally determined contribution (NDC) to the Paris deal for 2035 from 2040. The official deadline for parties to submit their updated NDC was 10 February, but only 12 countries made timely submissions. "The credibility issue is much less to do with the agenda now," climate spokesperson Anna-Kaisa Itkonen said. EU climate commissioner Wopke Hoekstra has made "very, very clear" that the commission is preparing for an "ambitious climate law". "Ninety per cent is currently in the political guidelines," Itkonen said. "It is the starting point for these discussions," she added, underlining the extreme importance of presenting a 2040 proposal that has a "substantial majority". Another EU source noted that the commission is discussing various options and scenarios with EU member states and the European Parliament. "We want to keep the ambition as high as possible. So our starting point of discussion is 90pc," the source said. Discussion of 2040 flexibility — such as following a weaker trajectory toward climate neutrality, or using international credits — would have "severely negative" implications for the EU's standing in international climate action, NGO Bellona Europa's senior manager for carbon accounting, Mark Preston Aragones, said. "The commission should not come with an already watered-down proposal even before negotiations formally begin with the European Parliament and EU member states," he said. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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