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Trump sworn in with vow to 'drill, baby, drill'

  • Market: Coal, Crude oil, Emissions, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 20/01/25

President Donald Trump, within minutes of being sworn in for a second term in office, pledged today to declare a "national energy emergency" and sign executive orders to expand drilling, block electric vehicle regulations and end the climate policies of his predecessor.

In his second inaugural address delivered inside the rotunda of the US Capitol, Trump vowed to put "America first" and make the US "greater, stronger and far more exceptional than ever before".

Trump said he will sign a raft of executive orders to restore "common sense" in US policy, including a directive for his administration to "defeat" inflation by increasing drilling and rolling back climate-related policies.

"The inflation crisis was caused by massive overspending and escalating energy prices, and that is why today I will also declare a national energy emergency," Trump said. "We will drill, baby, drill."

It remains unclear if Trump will take action soon on his plan to pursue across-the-board import tariffs, or a threatened 25pc tariff against Canada that oil industry officials have said could disrupt the nearly 4mn b/d of crude the US imports from Canada. Trump said today he would immediately begin an "overhaul" of the US trade system to protect domestic workers and to start to "tariff and tax foreign countries to enrich our citizens".

In an often-dark, bellicose address reminiscent of his "American carnage" speech eight years ago, the 47th president of the US promised to "reverse the horrible betrayal" and "give the people back their faith, their wealth, their democracy and, indeed ,their freedom.

"From this moment on, America's decline is over," Trump declared.

In foreign policy, Trump said the US would "reclaim its rightful place" as the most powerful country in the world and reiterated plans to rename the Gulf of Mexico as the Gulf of America.

Trump also promised still-unspecified actions to take control of the US-built Panama Canal in response to what he says has been unfair treatment of US ships, a threat that president Jose Raul Mulino has rejected.

"We gave it to Panama, and we're taking it back," Trump said.

Trump's declaration of an "energy emergency" could bolster the legal rationale for some of energy policies and plans to expedite permitting. US interior secretary nominee Doug Burgum, at a confirmation hearing last week, said emergency action was needed because of a looming "crisis" with the electric grid that he said could result in higher prices and slowing the growth of artificial intelligence data centers.

Trump is expected to take action soon to restart licensing of US LNG export terminals and support drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR). Trump said he wanted the US to take advantage of its vast oil and gas reserves, which he said would reduce energy prices, increase energy exports and refill the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which now holds 394mn bl of crude and is at 55pc of its capacity, "right to the top".

Trump also said he plans to end the "Green New Deal" — a reference to climate programs enacted under former president Joe Biden — and revoke a federal "electric vehicle mandate" he said is threatening the US auto manufacturing sector. Trump has yet to specify which parts of Biden's climate legislation he will overturn, but the White House said the administration intends to consider rescinding all federal regulations that impose "undue burdens" on energy production, end leasing of federal land to wind farms and roll back energy efficiency standards for consumer goods. The White House also said Trump will once again pull the US out of the Paris climate agreement.

During his campaign, Trump promised he would cut the price of energy by 50pc within 12 months of taking office. But with regular grade gasoline averaging close to $3/USG and Henry Hub natural gas prices less $4/mmBtu this month, such a dramatic cut in prices would be difficult to achieve without causing major disruptions to industry. Environmentalists and Democratic-led states are also preparing to file lawsuits challenging Trump's deregulatory actions, a strategy they used during his first term with mixed success.

Trump was sworn in in a relatively small ceremony inside the US Capitol, after calling off a more traditional, outdoor inauguration because of temperatures that were hovering around 23° F.

Among those in attendance was Telsa chief executive Elon Musk, who spent more than $250mn to help elect Trump and is chairing a cost-cutting advisory panel, and other tech industry billionaires. Florida governor Ron Desantis (R). Indiana governor Mike Braun (R) and other top Republicans watched the inauguration remotely.

Former president Joe Biden today issued pardons to former chairman of the joint chiefs of staff retired Gen. Mark Milley, key medical adviser during the Covid-19 pandemic Anthony Fauci, leaders of the committee that investigated Trump's actions leading up to the 6 January 2020 attack on the US Capitol, and members of his own family. Biden said those he pardoned did nothing wrong but worried they could face "baseless and politically motivated investigations".


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25/04/25

B100 seen attractive shipping fuel option after MEPC 83

B100 seen attractive shipping fuel option after MEPC 83

Singapore, 25 April (Argus) — More buyers in the shipping sector will consider biofuel blends of up to B100 now a greenhouse gas (GHG) pricing mechanism has laid out by the International Maritime Organization (IMO), according to panellists at the Argus Biofuels & Feedstocks Asia Conference. Global biodiesel demand is likely to strengthen in the near-term following the emergence of clearer international pricing standards for GHG emissions, they said. "B100 seems to have great momentum based on the [83rd Marine Environment Protection Committee] MEPC meeting," said French certification society Bureau Veritas' VeriFuel global business development director Bill Stamatopoulos. MEPC 83 is "a clear indication that we have to work together and work fast" because there is a cost penalty for not switching away from conventional marine fuels, said Danish tanker owner Hafnia's general manager of project and fleet sustainability, Pankaj Porwal. Most maritime participants welcomed the two-tier GHG pricing framework approved by the IMO at MEPC 83 from 7-11 April, which is a key milestone as the maritime sector pushes for decarbonisation. Biofuels like B24, B30, and B100 will gain more interest because of cost-savings for buyers when switching to cleaner fuels, said Singapore bunker supplier Equatorial Marine Fuel's (EMF) chief operating officer Choong Sheen Mao. B24 is 24pc of used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome) blended with 76pc of conventional fuel, such as very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO), while B100 is pure biodiesel not blended with fossil fuels. Panellists said bunkering B100 would provide significant advantages for ships with voyages in EU waters, where firms can "pool" multiple vessels within the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) and FuelEU Maritime Regulation to balance compliance surpluses and deficits. But vessel shipowners would need to be "absolutely sure" of the amount of fuel required for the voyage, to avoid any unknown consequences if excess biofuels were mixed with other fuel types, said Hafnia's Porwal. The GHG pricing mechanism gives bunker buyers a "strong indication" of the cost of not switching to alternative marine fuels and this will drive biodiesel demand as buyers realise "they need to get involved in some way", said EMF's Choong, adding that suppliers can consider selling biodiesel if it is "commercially viable". There will be a minimum cost of compliance in adhering with IMO decarbonisation targets, but smaller shipowners should start running trials and "building quality control systems for your marine fuels so you're prepared to take on greener fuels", said International Bunker Industry Association (IBIA) Asia chair Rahul Choudhuri. "At the moment hedging is very much focused on VLSFO and gasoil… but as exposures change and regulations change, we'll see more instruments being used to counter [trading risks]," said shipbroker Braemar oil derivatives broker Rebecca Reed-Sperrin. As the decarbonisation mandates grow, "hopefully liquidity increases tremendously" for marine biofuels, she said. Challenges Panellists cited several barriers in the widespread uptake of biofuels in the shipping sector, such as availability of Ucome feedstock, controversies regarding feedstock origin, and limited biodiesel shelf life compared to conventional marine fuels. Fuel pricing and costs associated with bunkering biofuels surfaced as key concerns. International regulations are complex and buyers have to assess "what is [the] real price" taking into account IMO regulations, said Bureau Veritas' Stamatopoulos. Charterers and tanker operators face difficulties in securing a price without hidden costs involved, Italian ship owner Fratelli Cosulich biofuel trading advisor Sebastiaan Bruins. B100 is available but suppliers are not actively selling it as buying interest has been limited, Bruins said. China will be a "dominant force" for B100 supplies because of a larger Ucome volume, and market developments would depend on how China portions domestic and export volumes of Uco, said Choong. Long-term uptake agreements for biofuel with major shipowners would be important in scaling up biofuel bunker supplies, said Indonesian state-owned refiner PT Pertamina's marine fuels trading manager Justin Tan. Bunker buyers need to signal their interest regarding biofuels "so we know where to start too", he said. The maritime sector is still looking at a multifuel future since the supply of "Ucome alone cannot meet shipping's needs", said Danish tanker owner Maersk senior green fuel originator Felicia Ng. By Cassia Teo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Southwest Airlines shortens outlook to 2Q only


24/04/25
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24/04/25

Southwest Airlines shortens outlook to 2Q only

Houston, 24 April (Argus) — Southwest Airlines withdrew its full-year 2025 and 2026 financial forecasts due to economic uncertainty caused by US tariffs. The US-based passenger airline limited its outlook to just the second quarter 2025 during its first quarter earnings release on Thursday, saying a projected economic slow-down would pressure unit revenue to be flat and possibly fall by 4pc compared to the second quarter 2024. In the second quarter available seat miles (ASM) — a measure of capacity — are expected to rise by 1-2pc compared to the same quarter in 2024. First quarter ASMs were down by 1.9pc to 41.3bn from the same three-months in 2024, which was in-line with their expectations. Southwest's first quarter load factor, or the percentage of seats filled, dropped by 4.4pc from the prior year to 73.9pc. First quarter total operating expenses, including jet fuel, dropped by 2.2pc from the previous year to $6.65bn. Southwest paid $2.49¢/USG for jet fuel in the first quarter, a decrease of 16pc from 2024. Fuel efficiency improved in the first quaer due more fuel-efficient aircraft, with 500mn USG consumed, down by 4.6pc compared to the same quarter in 2024. Expected lower jet fuel prices should help ease operating cost in the upcoming months. Southwest expects to pay $2.20¢/USG to $2.3¢/USG for jet fuel in the next quarter. Southwest narrowed its first quarter 2025 net loss to $149mn from $231mn a year earlier. By Carrie Carter Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Water levels delay Tennessee River lock reopening


24/04/25
News
24/04/25

Water levels delay Tennessee River lock reopening

Houston, 24 April (Argus) — The US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) will delay the reopening of the Tennessee River's Wilson Lock by three weeks after high floodwater disrupted repair plans. The Wilson Lock is now planned to reopen in mid-June or July, the Corps said this week. The lock's main chamber has been closed since September after severe cracks were found in the structure. The Corps initiated evacuation procedures so personnel and equipment could be removed before any water entered the dewatered lock and ruined repairs after high water appeared too close to the lock's edge. The water did not crest above the temporary barrier the Corps installed to keep water out. Delays at the lock averaged around 10 days as of 24 April, according to the Corps. Barge carriers fees have been in place for each barge that must pass through the auxiliary chamber of the lock since 25 September, when the lock first closed. Restricted barge movement placed upward pressure on fertilizer prices in surrounding areas as well. The lock still requires structural repairs to the main chamber gates, including the replacement of the pintle components, the Corps said. This is the fourth opening delay the Corps have issued for the Wilson Lock, with the prior opening dates being in November , then April and then in June . The Wilson Lock will enter its eighth month of repairs next month. By Meghan Yoyotte and Sneha Kumar Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Investment funds slash net long position on Ice TTF


24/04/25
News
24/04/25

Investment funds slash net long position on Ice TTF

London, 24 April (Argus) — Investment funds have slashed their TTF net long positions on the Intercontinental Exchange (Ice) nearly in half so far in April, with commercial undertakings' net long position conversely rising. Investment funds' net long position on Ice dropped to 86TWh in the week ending 17 April, well below the 146TWh at the end of March, and was as low as 73TWh on 11 April ( see net positions graph ). The near-halving of their net position was driven entirely by the closing of longs, which dropped to 308TWh by 17 April from 383TWh on 28 March. In contrast, shorts dropped by only 16TWh in the same period, the exchange's most recent Commitments of Traders report shows. This left investment funds' total amount of open positions at 529TWh by 17 April, well down from 620TWh on 28 March. Global commodity market turmoil in recent weeks following the US' ‘liberation day' on which president Donald Trump announced tariffs on nearly every country may have prompted funds to reduce their exposure to gas market. The resulting fallout in global commodity, stock, bond and currency markets would have hit multi-strategy hedge funds in particular, which had exposure to many different assets, some of which are thought to be among the largest players in the overall investment fund category of participant. Wider macroeconomic factors rather than market fundamentals have driven the TTF this month, according to many traders, with daily TTF movements frequently having tracked wider moves across global macroeconomic indicators such as the S&P 500 index. In contrast with investment funds' sharply reduced net long position, commercial undertakings — the other largest category of market participant, mostly comprising firms with retail portfolios — more than doubled their net long position to 85TWh on 17 April from 33TWh on 28 March. This means commercial undertakings' and investment funds' net positions now have nearly exactly converged, with the difference between them having been as wide as nearly 350TWh as recently as early February. Commercial undertakings first flipped to a net long position in the week ending 28 February, and the net long has steadily increased every week since then. While investment funds significantly reduced their overall exposure to the TTF, commercial undertakings increased both their long and short positions in April. Total shorts rose by about 34TWh between 28 March and 17 April to 1.055PWh, while longs soared by 86TWh to 1.140PWh. This leaves their total open positions at about 2.195PWh, more than quadruple investment funds' 529TWh. The data could suggest that commercial undertakings took advantage of hedge funds unwinding their long positions, leading to a reallocation of about 90TWh of liquidity from speculative positions to risk reduction contracts. The large majority of commercial undertakings' overall open positions are risk reduction contracts, which total 1.457PWh out of aggregate open positions of 2.195PWh, or 66pc. In contrast, investment funds hold zero risk reduction contracts, making it likely that all of their interest is speculative. Commercial undertakings' risk reduction shorts increased only by about 7TWh between 28 March and 17 April to 747TWh, but longs soared by 92TWh over the same period to an all-time high of 710TWh. As recently as 28 February, risk reduction longs were as low as 550TWh, meaning an overall increase of nearly 200TWh in less than two months. The only other time in recent history when risk reduction longs increased at such a rapid pace was in 2018, when they jumped from 445TWh on 30 July to a peak of 644TWh on 15 October ( see risk reduction graph ). One explanation for such a distinct increase in risk reduction longs while shorts remained roughly even could simply be that utilities have purchased winter contracts instead of the more usual practice of hedging physical gas bought for summer injection by selling winter contracts. Typically, summer prices are below winter thanks to lower seasonal consumption, so a utility would buy the summer to inject the gas and sell the winter for when it will be withdrawn, locking in a profit margin. But because summer prices this year remained above winter, there was no commercial incentive to lock in a negative spread, meaning utilities may simply have opted to buy winter contracts to cover their expected demand. But since the turn of April, TTF summer-month prices have increased their discount to the front-winter, providing more of an incentive to inject gas. By Brendan A'Hearn Net positions on ICE TTF TWh Commercial undertakings' risk reduction positions TWh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Valero's Mexico fuel import permit reinstated: Update


24/04/25
News
24/04/25

Valero's Mexico fuel import permit reinstated: Update

Include market comments, details of Valero operations in Mexico. Houston, 24 April (Argus) — Independent US refiner Valero said its permit to import fuel into Mexico has been reinstated after being suspended earlier this month. The temporary suspension was imposed by Mexico's tax authority SAT on 9 April as part of the country's efforts to fight fuel smuggling, Valero said. The suspension was lifted after the company reached out to stakeholders and customs officials in Mexico and was "quickly exonerated of any wrongdoing," Valero said Thursday morning during its first quarter earnings call. Valero on 23 April sent a notice to customers in Mexico saying its import operations had resumed, but the two-week stop disrupted supply in several regions. Some cities, like Irapuato in Guanajuato state northwest of Mexico City, remain without product, according to market sources. "Although this is all unfortunate and created significant supply disruption for our customers, it is part of an effort in Mexico to limit the import of illegal fuel," Valero chief financial officer Gary Simmons said in the earnings call. Fuel smuggling is rampant in Mexico, with illicit fuel sales accounting for up to 30pc of Mexico's 1.2mn b/d of gasoline and diesel demand, according to finance ministry estimates. Most of the illicit supply enters Mexico through mislabeling oil products at the US-Mexico border as petrochemicals, additives or biofuels, which are not subject to excise taxes on diesel and regular gasoline. Earlier this month Mexico stopped the movement of all fuel trucks as part of fight against fuel smuggling. Valero top importer to Mexico Valero is the largest private fuel importer in Mexico, operating an extensive distribution network supported by its refineries in the US Gulf coast and a system of terminals, pipelines, rail routes, truck routes and waterborne logistics. Its fuel sales accounted for 10pc of Mexico's gasoline and diesel demand on 9 April, according to the company. The company imports road fuels by pipeline from its Corpus Christi and Three Rivers refineries in Texas to the 195,000 bl NuStar storage terminal in Nuevo Laredo, Tamaulipas. Valero's waterborne fuel deliveries arrive at the 2.1mn bl Sempra terminal in Veracruz, from which it supplies other terminals near Puebla, Mexico City and Guadalajara. Valero stores fuel at four private-sector terminals in Mexico, with over 4mn bl of capacity. The company is also expected to start storing fuel at the new 1.1mn bl OTM maritine terminal in Altamira, Tamaulipas, in the near future. The company operates a network of over 290 retail fuel stations in Mexico and also supplies fuel to other retailers and fuel marketers. In Mexico Valero holds gasoline, diesel and jet fuel import permits valid through 2038. Valero is one of only a handful of private-sector companies with such permits, as Shell, Marathon and ExxonMobil hold permits to import only gasoline and diesel. Private-sector companies started importing fuel into Mexico in 2016 after the market opened to more competition, but under former president Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's administration, the energy ministry (Sener) cancelled dozens of fuel import permits. By Eunice Bridges and Antonio Gozain Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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