European chemical industry council Cefic announced that weaker expectations of the pace of European and global economic growth have led it to cut its 2015 EU chemical production growth forecast to 1pc, down from 1.5pc foreseen earlier.
The reduced forecast came despite the EU chemical industry confidence indicator (CCI) reaching its highest level since July 2011 while capacity utilisation for the third quarter grew to 81.3pc, a three-year high.
But, based upon analysis of comparative regional GDP outlooks and a survey of chemical industry participants, Cefic predicts that this positive trend will not be sustained throughout 2015.
In the first nine month of 2014, European chemical output grew by just 0.9pc, hampered in particular by a 2.8pc decline in petrochemicals output and a falling net trade surplus.
Europe's net chemical trade surplus, calculated by subtracting the cost of imports to the EU from the cost of exports, fell €1.8bn ($2.26bn) year-on-year to €26.1bn in the first seven months of 2014. Major trade partners such as the US and China reduced their respective trade deficits to Europe by a total of over €650mn.
Cefic director general Hubert Mannery partially blamed the weak performance of the energy-intensive petrochemicals industry upon the lack of a policy addressing the need for competitively priced European energy.
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