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Seoul plans EV, hydrogen car push to boost industry

  • Market: Metals, Oil products
  • 18/12/18

South Korea's government aims to spur massive growth in the country's use of electric vehicles (EVs) and hydrogen cars to help its auto parts industry become dominant participants in supplying components as other fleets are eventually replaced by zero emissions models.

Plans call for boosting South Korean production of EVs and hydrogen cars to 10pc of the industry's global output in 2022 from 1.5pc currently, the country's ministry of trade, industry and energy (Motie) said.

Meeting that goal will put South Korea's output of zero emissions vehicles at about double the projected global rate, while increasing the number of EVs on the country's roads to 430,000 from 56,000. The number of hydrogen vehicles is targeted to rise to 65,000 from less than 1,000 in the same timeframe. Seoul previously set a goal of having 250,000 EVs on the nation's roads by 2020.

The initiative will increase South Korea's domestic-driven demand for EV battery materials by about sixfold. The government also aims to boost the country's annual exports of EVs to 250,000 in 2022 from about 36,000 currently, while hydrogen car shipments will rise to an estimated 5,000 from 300.

Demand for transportation fuels will be reduced by around 2pc because EVs and hydrogen vehicles will account for about 2.3pc of South Korea's total fleet, up from less than 0.3pc currently. The country's refiners already face stagnant or falling demand for fuels in a mature domestic market. South Korean diesel and gasoline demand averaged a combined 667,000 b/d during January-October, down by 1.3pc from 2017's pace, according to data from state-run oil company KNOC.

Motie said the zero emissions vehicle policies will have environmental benefits, including reducing fine dust emissions by 829 t/yr, but the effort is largely an economic strategy. By creating greater economies of scale for producers of EVs and hydrogen car components, the government aims to help parts producers gain competitive advantages as global leaders in technology and cost effectiveness.

Industry advances and higher production volumes also will drive down EV and hydrogen vehicle prices, allowing the government to phase out generous purchase incentives, Motie said. Seoul sees domestic prices of EVs dropping to an average of 40mn won ($35,417) from W50mn by 2022, while hydrogen car prices will drop to an estimated W50mn from W70mn.

To accelerate growth in sales volumes, South Korea's government plans to speed the build-out of charging stations and hydrogen fuelling outlets. Purchase subsidies will be enhanced, while by 2020 all vehicles bought for government fleets will have to be EVs or hydrogen models, except in cases where no such option is available.


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US consumer confidence down on policy angst

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Houston, 28 March (Argus) — The University of Michigan's gauge of consumer sentiment fell in March to the lowest level since November 2022, led by a slump in expectations over the "potential for pain" from US economic policies introduced by the new administration. Sentiment fell to 57, down from 64.7 in February and 79.4 in March 2024, according to the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey released Friday. The final reading for March was lower than the preliminary reading. The sentiment index fell to a record low of 50 in June 2022 on inflation concerns. The index of consumer expectations fell to 52.6, the lowest since July 2022, from 64 in February and 77.4 in March last year. The expectations index has lost more than 30pc since November last year. "Consumers continue to worry about the potential for pain amid ongoing economic policy developments," the survey director Joanne Hsu said. The decline "reflects a clear consensus across all demographic and political affiliations: Republicans joined independents and Democrats in expressing worsening expectations … for their personal finances, business conditions, unemployment and inflation," Hsu said. Current economic conditions slipped to 63.8 in March from 65.7 in February and 82.5 last March. Two thirds of consumers expect unemployment to rise in the year ahead, the highest reading since 2009. Year-ahead inflation expectations jumped to 5pc this month, the highest reading since November 2022, from 4.3pc last month. The University of Michigan survey comes three days after The Conference Board's preliminary Consumer Expectations Index fell in March to its lowest in 12 years, to below a threshold that "usually signals" a recession. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK steel importers oppose other countries' caps


28/03/25
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28/03/25

UK steel importers oppose other countries' caps

London, 28 March (Argus) — Steel importers in the UK suggest the imposition of a cap on any other countries' quotas could effectively stop trade, given the small volume of the quotas. In a recent submission to the Trade Remedies Authority, UK Steel said 15pc caps should be introduced on other countries quotas for hot-dip galvanised, plate and rebar. But in its submission to the TRA, trading firm Salzgitter Mannesmann argues that any cap based on a percentage of the quota "will ultimately most likely remove rather than reduce imports as shipments from many third countries, notably the far east, require a certain base volume to ship economically to the UK". Other trading firms and service centres told Argus they share the same view. Salzgitter Mannesmann also suggested a new country quotas for individual importers be added to the safeguard based on their imports over the past two or three years. The only local producer of hot-dip galvanised coil, Tata Steel, would be likely to argue against this as volumes from some countries, notably Vietnam, have increased dramatically in recent years. Salzgitter Mannesmann also suggests Tata Steel cannot produce hot-rolled coil over 1.85m wide, for which the UK has to totally rely on imports. Traders have for some time argued that there should be no import constraints on material, such as 2m wide, as there can be no injury to the producer on grades it cannot produce. Service centre Sebden Steel said the current measures make it "impossible" for the UK to be flooded with cheap foreign imports, and that people are "misinformed by mainstream media and UK Steel". "The UK producer is in a safe place already and any additional measures will only serve to cause injury to independent steel service centres, independent steel stockholders and the UK manufacturing base, which will all be faced with a further tightening of the supply chain and increased costs," it said. Importers, unsurprisingly, question why Tata Steel, now a re-roller until its electric arc furnaces are installed, can import on much more favourable terms than others. Tata has a much bigger quota than the rest of the market, at around 2.3mn t, but the main problem for importers is that the company has fewer constraints on where it can source, with only a 40pc cap on any given country within that quota. Independent service centres, which all compete with Tata Distribution, can only import much smaller quantities from different locations, given the fragmented composition of quotas; the other countries quota for 1A, for example, is less than 100,000 t/yr. EU mills have far and away the largest quota to sell 1A HRC into the UK, but given their higher costs compared with Asian producers, they struggle to compete; Tata's imports come from all over the world, as well as some from its sister mill in IJmuiden, the Netherlands. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK EAC to explore airport expansion, net zero conflict


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28/03/25

UK EAC to explore airport expansion, net zero conflict

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Australia's Aurelia Metals to boost Cu, Zn processing


28/03/25
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28/03/25

Australia's Aurelia Metals to boost Cu, Zn processing

Perth, 28 March (Argus) — Australian metal producer Aurelia Metals is set to triple mixed metal ore processing capacity of ore from its Federation mine, after authorities in New South Wales state approved a project consent change. Aurelia produces mixed metal ore at its 600,000 t/yr Federation mine. It then hauls ore to its nearby Peak processing centre to produce a range of base and precious metals, including zinc, copper, lead, and gold. The company has been allowed to move only 200,000 t/yr of ore between its two NSW sites since Federation opened in mid-2024, because of consent restrictions. But the latest change allows it to move 600,000 t/yr of ore to Peak, the company announced on 28 March. Aurelia's updated consent comes as it continues to ramp up production at Federation. The company only processed 16,500t of Federation ore in October-December 2024, recovering 55t of copper, 626t of lead, 1,263t of zinc, and 502oz of gold. Aurelia is increasing its base metal production capacity, despite other Australian producers doing the opposite. Australian metal firm IGO paused its Forrestania nickel project in July-September 2024, and will close its Nova copper and nickel mine in 2027. But this phenomenon is not unique to Australia. Global metal producer Glencore cut its total copper output by 6pc in 2024, following planned production declines in Chile and Peru, and unplanned disruptions in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Copper prices have been quite volatile over the last year. The London Metal Exchange's (LME) copper cash price stood at $8,696/t on 27 March 2024, before bouncing between a high of $10,857/t and a low of $8,620/t over the next 12 months. LME's copper price stood at $9,787/t on 27 March. By Avinash Govind Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Oil, biofuel groups meet to align on RFS policy


27/03/25
News
27/03/25

Oil, biofuel groups meet to align on RFS policy

New York, 27 March (Argus) — Energy and farm groups met last week at the American Petroleum Institute to negotiate a joint request for President Donald Trump's administration as it develops new biofuel blend mandates, according to five people familiar with the matter. The private meeting involved groups from across the supply chain, including representatives of feedstock suppliers, biofuel producers, fuel marketers, and oil refiners with Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) obligations. The groups coordinated earlier this year around a letter to the Trump administration on the need to update the RFS and are now seeking agreement on other program elements. According to the people familiar with the matter, the groups agree on pushing the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to set higher blend mandates under the program's D4 biomass-based diesel and D5 advanced biofuel categories. 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Oil groups have in the past criticized EPA for setting the implied D6 mandate at 15bn USG, above the amount of ethanol that can feasibly be blended into gasoline, though excess biofuels from lower-carbon categories can be used to meet conventional obligations. Ethanol interests support setting the D6 mandate even higher than 15bn USG, which could be a tough sell. The discussions to date have not involved targets for D3 cellulosic biofuels, a relatively small part of the program. A proposal to lower 2024 volumes has hurt D3 credit prices, signaling that future mandates are effectively optional, according to frustrated biogas executives , and has reduced the salience of the issue for other groups. A proposal from President Joe Biden's administration to create a new category called "eRINs" to credit biogas used to power electric vehicles has similarly not come up. 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Another thorny issue discussed at the meeting is RFS exemptions for small refineries. Biofuel producers strongly oppose such waivers and say that exempted volumes should at least be reallocated among facilities that still have obligations. Oil groups have their own views, though it is unclear how involved the American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers — which represents some small refiners and has generally been more critical of the RFS than the American Petroleum Institute — are in discussions. EPA is aiming to finalize new volume mandates by the end of this year , people familiar with the administration's thinking have said, though timing for a proposal is still unclear. Future conversations among energy and farm groups to solidify points of unity — and strategize around how to downplay disagreements — are likely, lobbyists said. RIN prices rally Speculation over the trajectory of the RFS, and the potential for higher future volumes, supported soybean oil futures and widened the bean oil-heating oil (BOHO) spread. The BOHO spread maintains a positive correlation with D4 RIN prices as a widening value raises demand for D4 credits as biofuel producers look to offset higher production costs. Thursday's session ended with current-year ethanol D6 credits valued between 79¢/RIN and 82¢/RIN, while their D4 counterparts held at a premium and closed with a range of 84¢/RIN to 89¢/RIN. These gains each measured more than 5.5pc growth relative to Wednesday's values. By Cole Martin and Matthew Cope Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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