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Korean economy, fuel demand pressured as virus spreads

  • Market: Crude oil, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 24/02/20

The rapidly spreading coronavirus outbreak in South Korea is forcing airlines to cut more flights and leading to a downward revision in economic forecasts for the country, a major regional importer of crude and exporter of oil products and petrochemicals.

Flagship carrier Korean Air will suspend seven Asia-Pacific routes and reduce service on 14 other routes around the world. The airline had already halted 20 of its 30 China flights and reduced service on eight of the 10 others since the virus outbreak began in Wuhan, China last month.

The country's other full-service carrier, Asiana Airlines, has made similar cuts and has ordered all employees to take turns on 10-day unpaid leave to help reduce costs. Budget carriers, including Seoul Air and Jeju Air, halted their flights to China in late January and were forced to cut service to southeast Asia as passenger demand plummeted.

Carriers in other countries are now reducing service to South Korea amid the outbreak. Japan Airlines has suspended its flights to Seoul and Busan from 1-29 March. Thai AirAsia canceled flights to South Korea from 6-27 March.

There are 763 known coronavirus cases in South Korea as of today, up from just 30 a week earlier. Seven people have died, according to the Korea Centers for Disease Control.

The government yesterday raised its threat alert to the highest level and vowed "unprecedented" steps to contain the disease, which President Moon Jae-in said has reached a "grave turning point." More than half of the county's coronavirus cases are now linked to the Shincheonji church in the southern city of Daegu, and more than 9,000 members have been placed in quarantine.

Economic activity in Daegu, the country's fourth-largest city, has nearly ground to a halt. Churches, restaurants and other high-risk gathering places across the country have been closed temporarily. Companies including Hyundai Motor and Samsung Electronics have temporarily shut down plants because of disruptions to Chinese parts suppliers or employees testing positive for the virus.

Banks and other economic forecasters have cut their targets for South Korea's 2020 GDP growth to below 2pc, compared with the government's official estimate of 2.4pc. Even before last week's escalation in infections, Moon warned that the economic situation was "more serious than we thought" and called on his cabinet to implement "all possible measures" to prop up the economy.

The impact of the flight cancellations on jet fuel demand, and an expected drop in petrochemical exports to China, South Korea's largest trading partner, means refiners will likely be among the companies hit hardest by the outbreak.

Air traffic is being reduced much more quickly than during previous health scares, such as the Sars and Mers outbreaks, South Korea's transport ministry said. Demand for South Korean oil products dropped by 11pc from a year earlier in March 2003, at the height of the Sars scare. Jet fuel demand fared the worst, sliding by 24pc.

South Korea's is the fourth largest crude importer in Asia-Pacific, behind China, India and Japan. It buys most of its crude from the Middle East.


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16/05/25

Kuwait's Kufpec gets OK to develop Indonesian gas field

Kuwait's Kufpec gets OK to develop Indonesian gas field

Singapore, 16 May (Argus) — Kuwait's Kufpec, a unit of state-owned KPC, has won approval from the Indonesian government for a plan of development for the Anambas gas field located in the West Natuna Sea offshore Indonesia. The Anambas field is located in the Natuna basin and has an estimated gas output of about 55mn ft³/d. Kufpec will invest around $1.54bn into the development of the field, which is planned to come on stream in 2028. The approved plan of development outlines a phased strategy to unlock the gas and condensate potential of the field, said upstream regulator SKK Migas. The regulator will encourage Kufpec to accelerate efforts and bring the project on stream by the fourth quarter of 2027, said the head of SKK Migas, Djoko Siswanto. The development of the field will include drilling production wells and installing subsea pipelines to transport gas from Anambas to existing facilities in the West Natuna transportation system. Kufpec in 2022 announced the discovery of gas and condensate at the Anambas-2X well in the Anambas block. The Anambas block was awarded to Kufpec Indonesia in 2019 through a bidding process. The company holds a 100pc participating interest in the block and has a 30-year production sharing licence, including a six-year exploration period. The approval of the plan of development marks a step towards the project's final investment decision. It also shows that the upstream oil and gas sector in Indonesia is still attractive to domestic and foreign firms, said Djoko. The field is expected to be able to transport gas to domestic and regional markets, support Indonesia's energy security, and drive economic growth, according to SKK Migas. Indonesia continues to prioritise oil and gas expansion to maintain economic growth. Investment in oil and gas rose from $14.9bn in 2023 to $17.5bn in 2024, according to the country's energy ministry. By Prethika Nair Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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New Zealand approves rules to raise jet fuel storage


15/05/25
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15/05/25

New Zealand approves rules to raise jet fuel storage

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15/05/25

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