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US Fed cuts interest rate, G7 pledge action: Update

  • Market: Crude oil
  • 03/03/20

Updates with Fed's interest rate cut in first two paragraphs

The US Federal Reserve today cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.5pc, citing risks to economic activity posed by the spreading coronavirus outbreak.

The Fed's Open Market Committee made the rate cut decision, which brings its federal funds rate to a target range of 1-1.25pc, two weeks ahead of its regularly scheduled meeting. "The fundamentals of the US economy remain strong. However, the coronavirus poses evolving risks to economic activity," the Fed said.

Earlier today, finance ministers and central bank chiefs of the G7 group of major economies said they will intervene to support their economies if the coronavirus outbreak poses risks to economic activity.

The G7 said it is closely monitoring the spread of the coronavirus and its effects on markets and economic conditions. "We reaffirm our commitment to use all appropriate policy tools to achieve strong, sustainable growth and safeguard against downside risks," US treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin and Federal Reserve chairman Jay Powell said on behalf of the group.

"G7 finance ministers are ready to take actions, including fiscal measures where appropriate," according to the statement, while "G7 central banks will continue to fulfill their mandates, thus supporting price stability and economic growth while maintaining the resilience of the financial system."

The spread of the novel coronavirus is expected to cut global economic growth by half, the OECD said yesterday. And the IMF and the World Bank pledged to provide assistance to countries worst hit by the outbreak to contain the economic fallout from restrictions on industrial activity and travel.

The statement came after a teleconference discussion organized by the US, as the host of the G7 meeting this year. But Washington shows no willingness to lead the way with fiscal stimulus measures, in part because it contradicts President Donald Trump's view that the US economy is strong enough to withstand any effects from the outbreak.

Trump in recent weeks stepped up calls on the Fed to cut its interest rates, in line with his previous criticism that the Fed has set its interest rates too high.

Trump yesterday also called on Congress to cut the payroll tax — a proposal his administration has been unable to push through Congress for the past two years. Mnuchin, appearing before the House of Representatives Ways and Means Committee today, said "the administration is closely monitoring the coronavirus and its effects on public health, as well as any effects on supply chains, markets, and the broader economy." But Mnuchin asked Congress only for emergency funding for health preparedness to deal with the outbreak.

Economic contagion from the outbreak so far has been limited largely to China, South Korea and Japan, even though widespread travel restrictions have cut into jet fuel demand globally. The US administration is planning to expand the scope of air travel restrictions with all European countries, after advising against travel to northern Italy.


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02/05/25

Shell’s 1Q European gas production up

Shell’s 1Q European gas production up

London, 2 May (Argus) — Shell's European gas production for sale in January-March slightly stepped up on the year, but the company expects works to limit global oil and gas production this quarter. Shell produced 24.9mn m³/d in the first quarter, up from 24.8mn m³/d a year earlier but below the 25.2mn m³/d in fourth-quarter 2024. Shell has stakes in UK and Dutch fields, as well as a 17.8pc share in Norway's Ormen Lange field and an 8.1pc stake in the giant Troll field. Output from the two Norwegian fields was down on the year in January-February, the latest months for which data are available. Ormen Lange produced 19.8mn m³/d in January-February, down from 22.6mn m³/d a year earlier. Troll production averaged 123.6mn m³/d over those two months, also down from 126.2mn m³/d a year earlier. Shell's integrated gas business was the company's top performing segment with profits of $2.8bn, slightly higher on the year. Lighter maintenance at the Pearl gas-to-liquids plant in Qatar supported production, but unplanned works and weather constraints in Australia left the company's LNG volumes at 6.6mn t in January-March from 7.6mn t a year earlier, Shell said. Meanwhile, Shell's upstream division posted $2.1bn in profit, down 8.5pc on the year earlier but double compared with the fourth quarter 2024. The segment was hit with a $509mn tax bill related to the UK's Energy Profits Levy in the first quarter, partially offset by gains from asset sales. Across the entire company, Shell reported first-quarter profits adjusted for inventory valuation effects and one-off items of $5.6bn, surpassing analysts' expectations of $5.3bn . Shell's first-quarter worldwide oil, liquids and gas production was 2.84mn boe/d, down from 2.91mn boe/d a year earlier but up from 2.82mn boe/d in the previous quarter. The company expects lower oil and gas production this quarter in a 2.45mn-2.71mn boe/d range because of maintenance across its integrated gas portfolio and an absence of volumes from its SPDC business in Nigeria, which Shell sold off in March. By Aleksandra Godlewska and Jon Mainwaring Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Shell’s 1Q profit falls but beats expectations


02/05/25
News
02/05/25

Shell’s 1Q profit falls but beats expectations

London, 2 May (Argus) — Shell's Integrated Gas business segment delivered a solid performance in the first quarter, helping the UK major exceed analysts' earnings estimates despite ongoing struggles in its downstream Chemicals and Products business. Shell reported a first-quarter profit of $4.8bn, down from $7.4bn a year earlier. Adjusted for inventory valuation effects and one-off items, profit was $5.6bn, surpassing analysts' expectations of $5.3bn. Integrated Gas was Shell's top-performing segment, with a profit of $2.8bn, slightly higher than the first quarter of 2024. Production was down by 6.6pc year-on-year at 927,000 b/d oil equivalent (boe/d), but up 2pc from the previous quarter. Less maintenance at the Pearl gas-to-liquids plant in Qatar had a positive impact on production, Shell said. But the company's LNG volumes were affected by unplanned maintenance and weather constraints in Australia, falling to 6.6mn t from 7.6mn t a year earlier. The Upstream segment posted a profit of $2.1bn, down by 8.5pc on a year earlier but double what it made in the fourth quarter of 2024. The segment was hit with a $509mn tax charge related to the UK's Energy Profits Levy in the first quarter, partially offset by gains from asset sales. Production for the segment was slightly down compared to a year earlier at 1.86mn boe/d, partly due to the divestment of Shell's SPDC business in Nigeria. Overall, Shell's first-quarter production was 2.84mn boe/d, down from 2.91mn boe/d a year earlier but up from 2.82mn boe/d in the previous quarter. Shell expects lower production in the current quarter, ranging from 2.45mn boe/d to 2.71mn boe/d due to maintenance across its Integrated Gas portfolio and the absence of volumes from the SPDC business. The Chemicals and Products segment reported a $77mn loss for the first quarter, compared to a $1.3bn profit a year earlier. Refinery runs were down by 4.8pc year-on-year, and chemicals sales volumes were marginally lower. Despite persistent low margins in the downstream, Shell noted that refining and chemicals margins improved compared to the fourth quarter. Shell expects capital spending for 2025 to be within a $20bn-$22bn range, in line with last year's spending. The company is maintaining its dividend at 35.8¢/share and its share buyback programme at $3.5bn a quarter. By Jon Mainwaring Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Technical issue behind EIA gas report delay: Update


01/05/25
News
01/05/25

Technical issue behind EIA gas report delay: Update

Updates with report, EIA staff reduction. New York, 1 May (Argus) — The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said a technical issue with third-party software was the reason a key natural gas storage report was delayed today. The Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report , which is closely watched by traders and often moves markets, did not appear until 2pm ET, later than its regular scheduled time of 10:30am ET. Inventories grew by 107 Bcf (3bn m³) in the week ended 25 April, according to the report. The latest delay comes amid a flurry of staff departures at the EIA, the energy statistics arm of the US government, as part of ongoing efforts by President Donald Trump's administration to slash the size of the federal work force and curb spending. Around a third of the agency's 350 staff have taken voluntary buyouts, according to a person familiar with the situation. The staff exodus raises concerns about the agency's ability to gather and report timely data and continue providing independent forecasts covering energy production, stocks, demand and prices. Last month, the EIA delayed its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) by two days to take into account significant changes in markets following Trump's sweeping tariffs. And the EIA's release of its 2025 Annual Energy Outlook did not include the in-depth analysis that usually accompanies the report. It was accompanied by a statement from the Department of Energy that said the report reflects the "disastrous path" US energy production was on under the administration of former president Joseph Biden. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Nigeria’s Warri refinery restart threatened by strike


01/05/25
News
01/05/25

Nigeria’s Warri refinery restart threatened by strike

Lagos, 1 May (Argus) — Plans to restart a section of Nigeria's 125,000 b/d Warri refinery are at risk due to an indefinite strike planned by plant support staff starting on 5 May. The strike is in protest against casualisation, low pay and lack of benefits. A source at the refinery told Argus last week that state-owned NNPC intends to restart the crude and vacuum distillation units (CDU and VDU) and a gas plant in the first week of May. But the support staff have timed their strike to disrupt these plans. Support staff representative Dafe Ighomitedo said the striking workers make up two-thirds of Warri's staff and have been protesting their employment terms since 2015. The refinery has been undergoing a $492mn quick-fix repair contract with South Korean engineering firm Daewoo since June 2022 to restore 60pc of its nameplate capacity. A previous strike called in April 2022 would have delayed the start of the quick-fix programme, but it was called off following appeals from community leaders and a promise from refinery management to address the workers' demands if they supported the programme, Ighomitedo said. Workers were promised an improved salary structure upon the refinery's restart but that promise has not been fulfilled, he added. NNPC did not respond to Argus' requests for comment. NNPC restarted Warri in December last year and crude runs had ramped up to about 78,000 b/d before the refinery was shut again in January "to carry out necessary intervention works on select equipment, including field instruments that were impacting sustainable and steady operations", the company said. NNPC cancelled crude oil allocations to Warri in February and March, reoffering the volumes for export, but said last month that all units at the refinery would be online within a year. By Adebiyi Olusolape Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Ukraine, US sign reconstruction deal


01/05/25
News
01/05/25

Ukraine, US sign reconstruction deal

London, 1 May (Argus) — The government of Ukraine has agreed a "reconstruction" deal with the US that will establish a fund to be filled with proceeds from new mineral extraction licenses. There are few firm details about how much money will be involved, or how any future extraction contracts will be structured. It appears to be the same agreement that came close to being signed in February , which collapsed after an awkward meeting in the White House between Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy and his US counterpart Donald Trump. Washington had pitched the deal in advance as providing stakes in Ukraine's mineral rights, as a form of repayment for past US support and a deterrence against future military incursions by Russia. There is no firm indication from either side that this is the case. Ukraine's economy minister Yulia Svyrydenko said today that 50pc of state budget revenues from new licences will flow into the fund, and the fund would then invest in projects in Ukraine itself. US treasury secretary Scott Bessent said the deal "allows the US to invest alongside Ukraine, to unlock Ukraine's growth assets, mobilise American talent, capital and governance standards", suggesting US companies will be involved in the new licenses. He said the fund will be established with the assistance of the US International Development Finance Corporation. Ukraine was eager to show the deal as a success. Svyrydenko said Kyiv will retain ownership of all resources, and "will decide where and what to extract." Neither does the agreement allow for privatisation of state-owned oil and gas company Ukrnafta or power company Energoatom, nor does it mention any debt obligation to the US, she said. The depth of Ukraine's resources are unclear. The country's geological survey shows deposits of 24 of the EU's list of critical minerals, including titanium, zirconium, graphite, and manganese, along with proven reserves of metals such as lithium, beryllium, rare earth elements and nickel. The IEA estimates Ukraine's oil reserves at more than 6.2bn bl and its gas reserves at 5.4 trillion m³, although it said Russia's annexation of Crimea means Kyiv no longer has access to "significant offshore gas resources". By Ben Winkley, John Gawthrop and James Keates Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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