Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest market news

Mexican electricity law temporarily suspended: Update

  • Market: Crude oil, Electricity, LPG, Metals, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 11/03/21

Adds recipient of injunction.

A court temporarily suspended Mexico's new electricity law yesterday, a day after it took effect, signaling the start of a wave of litigation against the controversial reform.

"While this interim relief was requested by one company, it will have general effect," stated a Mexico City court judgment yesterday.

Zuma Energia was awarded the first injunction in relation to its La Orejana solar park in Sonora, but Argus understands that developers EDF and Naturgy also secured injunctions against the law. More are expected tomorrow.

Zuma Energia, originally backed by UK private equity fund Actis and acquired last November by China's State Power Investment, is developing 816MW in wind and solar projects in Mexico.

Mexico's new electricity law was published in the official gazette on 9 March after a fast-tracked legislative process launched by President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador on 1 February.

The law prioritizes dispatching CFE-generated power regardless of cost or environmental impact, revokes self-supply permits and begins a review process of all long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) between CFE and independent power producers (IPPs).

The temporary suspension of the law was awarded "to guarantee the rights to competition and a free market," states the decision.

Some 40,924 MW, or 48pc, of Mexico's installed capacity is operated under private-sector generation permits that will all be affected by the reform, lawyers have said, predicting an avalanche of legal action under Mexican law and foreign trade agreements.

The law will impact up to $39bn of investments in the renewable energy sector alone, Mexican wind and solar associations Amdee and Asolmex said.

Lopez Obrador's government has passed a flurry of regulatory changes over the past two years that have sought to strengthen CFE's market position despite the 2014 energy reform that called for an even playing field among market participants. But the courts have largely sided with private company legal action over the changes and the supreme court recently set aside the government's electricity policy because it contravened the constitutional right to free competition.

The government has two days to appeal the judgment.


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
14/05/25

MCSC confirms 15-minute SDAC power trading delay

MCSC confirms 15-minute SDAC power trading delay

London, 14 May (Argus) — The Market Coupling Steering Committee (MCSC) has confirmed that Europe's transition to 15-minute settlement periods in the Single Day-Ahead Coupling (SDAC) market will be delayed to 30 September, citing some parties' lack of "non-technical readiness". The joint committee of nominated electricity market operators (Nemos) and transmission system operators (TSOs) had planned to launch 15-minute settlements on 11 June, and it stressed that most parties are technically ready for this date. But as some parties are not ready, the first delivery date for 15-minute trading will now be 1 October, after market launch a day earlier. The MCSC said it had considered "alternative go-live scenarios", but concluded that these could not be accommodated. Eleven Nemos confirmed their "readiness and commitment" to Argus in April , with only French-based exchange Epex Spot saying it would vote against the 11 June start date, citing "operational concerns" and "too many failures in testing". The Nemos — including Oslo-based Nord Pool, Spain's Omie and Italy's GME — did not "share [Epex Spot's] misgivings", and said the decoupling risk cited by Epex Spot was "not due to a lack of reliability" in the system. Instead, they attributed this to certain parties' internal initial local testing problems. The MCSC confirmed that "performance tests of the joint systems and procedural tests have been successfully completed" and that they "were on a good track". By Daniel Craig Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Quotas most likely option for DRC cobalt export restart


14/05/25
News
14/05/25

Quotas most likely option for DRC cobalt export restart

London, 14 May (Argus) — The resumption of cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) under a quota system appears almost inevitable, market participants said ahead of the Cobalt Institute's annual conference in Singapore this week. With cobalt prices rising and stocks tightening globally, market participants increasingly expect that the DRC's blanket cobalt export ban — implemented in late February — will transition into a more sustainable quota system. The current freeze has pushed up global cobalt prices, but also blocked the flow of royalties to the Congolese treasury, creating what several traders described as a politically deliberate but ultimately transitional phase. "This is not [Congolese trading and mining firm] Gecamines — it's Kinshasa, it's the ministry of mines, and ultimately it's the presidency," one trader said, emphasising the centralised nature of the decision-making this time around. The government's key grievance is financial, multiple sources agreed. Cobalt royalty revenues have collapsed in recent years, according to several market participants. "They've lost billions," said one source with direct links to the ministry of mines. "This only makes sense if they replace the ban with something dynamic that keeps prices up and restarts the royalty flow." Prices up, revenues frozen Prices for cobalt hydroxide have nearly doubled since February, from $6/lb cif China to close to $12/lb — a sharper jump than during than any previous bans on DRC exports, including the ban on Chinese producer CMOC's Tenke Fungerume mine in 2022, now the largest cobalt mine in the world ( see graph ). But with exports halted, the Congolese government has reaped none of the upside. "They got the prices up, sure — but right now, there's nothing coming in. No exports mean no royalties," one trader noted, "A quota is the only real way forward." Market participants expect any such quota regime to be modelled loosely on Opec, with the DRC restricting supplies in a co-ordinated way to support pricing. "The officials running this are oil and gas guys," one source who has met with the DRC delegation said. "They want Opec on steroids. They've said that outright." Others draw comparisons with Indonesia, which already operates a quota system for its nickel ore mining permits and mixed-hydroxide-precipitate (MHP), which contains cobalt. "Indonesian quotas are real, but they're built into nickel flows. It's not exactly apples to apples," a trader said. "So for Indonesia to reduce cobalt output, they'd have to reduce nickel output, which they don't want to do." Stockpiles thinning, squeeze ahead Record-high first-quarter cobalt hydroxide production by CMOC and global trafing and mining firm Glencore — at 30,000t and 9,500t, respectively — suggests a healthier supply picture than is really the case. "Production hasn't stopped, but that's the point — if exports don't resume, stocks will just build up inside the DRC or dry up abroad," a trader said. Some estimates place global cobalt hydroxide inventories at 50,000–70,000t, but availability depends heavily on who holds what. "20,000t with a larger producer is not the same as 20,000t with a small recycler," one trader said. "Some are more inclined to sit on it and wait for prices to jump." Multiple participants expect a squeeze to emerge in the international market by August, as final pre-ban shipments are consumed and no new material enters the pipeline. "One producer told people there'd be no more shipments after May/June," one source with direct knowledge of trading flows said. "That means by July, China is chewing through remaining stocks — and by August, you're in crunch territory." Some traders are already stockpiling, with exporters deliberately delaying cargoes to benefit from rising prices, market participants said. Strong enforcement The DRC's export restrictions are being heavily enforced. A customs brigade with military backing was deployed recently to Kasumbalesa on the DRC-Zambia border — the country's only significant cobalt export route — to prevent smuggling and enforce the ban. "People writing about illegal smuggling clearly haven't been to Katanga. There's one road. One crossing. It's tightly controlled," a trader told Argus . The new level of sophistication, some argue, is why a transition to quotas feels inevitable. "Extending the ban helps no one in the long term — not the DRC, not Chinese refiners, not the market," an industry consultant said. "A quota system is the only option that gives them both price and payment." Market sentiment remained mixed ahead of next week's conference, with cobalt spot trading thin, ranging from $15-16/lb in-warehouse Rotterdam for Chinese material, $17-18/lb for western standard grade and $19-20/lb for alloy grade. Whether the announcement comes in Singapore or in the weeks that follow, few now doubt the final outcome. "This [export ban] isn't a one-off," one participant said. "It's the start of a new model. The days of Congo flooding the market and watching others profit are over." By Chris Welch Cobalt prices post-DRC supply shocks pc Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Aramco eyes stake in Australia's Louisiana LNG project


14/05/25
News
14/05/25

Aramco eyes stake in Australia's Louisiana LNG project

Sydney, 14 May (Argus) — Australian independent Woodside and Saudi state-owned oil firm Aramco have entered into an agreement for Aramco to possibly buy a stake in Woodside's 16.5mn t/yr Louisiana LNG project and to explore other opportunities, including lower-carbon ammonia. As part of the non-binding agreement, Aramco could buy an equity interest in and LNG offtake from its Louisiana LNG project, Woodside said without disclosing further details. This comes after Woodside reached a final investment decision on the project in late April. Woodside and Aramco signed the agreement in Riyadh in Saudi Arabia at the Saudi-US investment forum , which was attended by Arabian crown prince Mohammed bin Salman and US president Donald Trump. The collaboration shows Woodside's Louisiana project is generating interest among "high-quality potential investors," Woodside's CEO Meg O'Neill said, after selling 40pc of the project's infrastructure to US-based investment firm Stonepeak in early April. The agreement will also help the firm build a more diverse portfolio, as it branches into chemical production, O'Neill said. The firm's wholly-owned Beaumont New Ammonia project in Texas is expected to produce first ammonia in the second half of this year, and lower-carbon ammonia by the second half of next year. By Grace Dudley Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

EVs to make up quarter of 2025 European car sales: IEA


14/05/25
News
14/05/25

EVs to make up quarter of 2025 European car sales: IEA

London, 14 May (Argus) — European emissions targets are expected to push electric vehicle (EV) sales to 25pc of total car sales in the EU and the UK in 2025, according to the IEA, with a projection for that share to reach 60pc by the end of the decade. Europe and China are expected to continue to lead the surge in EV sales worldwide, according to an IEA report published on Wednesday that provided an updated outlook on the global EV market. Records have been broken across all major European markets, with EV sales up by 20pc on the year in the first quarter of 2025, although lagging the 35pc increase in China. Emissions targets are the main driver of increased European sales, outweighing the fact that the cost differential between EVs and conventional internal combustion engine vehicles is higher than in other regions, according to the IEA. Higher fuel costs in Europe have also supported the surge in Europe's EV sales by incentivising the adoption of battery-powered technologies. But EV sales growth stagnated in many European markets across 2024. The share of EVs in total vehicle sales remained the same or fell in 13 of the 27 EU member states over the course of the year, according to the report. The IEA attributed stagnation in 2024 in major EU markets such as France and Germany to the phasing out or progressive reduction of subsidies that incentivise EV sales. EV sales grew substantially in the UK, with their market share in 2024 reaching 30pc — up by six percentage points from a year earlier. The IEA highlighted the UK's annually changing targets for emissions as a possible reason for the growth differential with major EU markets, which have fixed five-yearly targets, due to be reassessed in 2025. The IEA projects European public charging points for light-duty vehicles to reach 2mn by 2030, requiring annual additions of around 210,000 charging points until the end of the decade to reach this target. This would result in 115GW of total public charging capacity across the continent, according to the IEA's projections. Additions across Europe in 2024 totalled 275,000. By James Doran Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Trump offers to make a deal with Iran


13/05/25
News
13/05/25

Trump offers to make a deal with Iran

Washington, 13 May (Argus) — US president Donald Trump today appealed to Iran's leaders to accept his offer of "peaceful engagement" and economic cooperation by giving up its nuclear program. "I want to make a deal with Iran," Trump said. "If I can make a deal with Iran, I'll be very happy. We're going to make your region and the world a safer place." The White House cast Trump's speech at a US-Saudi business forum in Riyadh as "a major foreign policy address outlining an optimistic vision for the future of the Middle East". Trump appears to be limiting his demands on Iran, calling for a halt to its nuclear program in exchange for US sanctions relief — a negotiating posture that he once disparaged. "We want [Iran] to be a wonderful, safe, great country, but they cannot have a nuclear weapon," Trump said today. "This is an offer that will not last forever. "If Iran's leadership rejects this olive branch and continues to attack their neighbors, then we will have no choice but to inflict massive, maximum pressure and drive Iranian oil exports to zero like I did before," Trump said. Trump upon returning to office has ratcheted up enforcement of oil sanctions against Iran, by also targeting independent refiners in China that for years have relied on discounted Iranian crude. In the latest action, the US Treasury Department today announced sanctions against China-based trader Qingdao Fushen and against Hong Kong- and Singapore-based companies allegedly engaged in concealing the origin of Iranian oil sold in China. Trump during his first term set a goal of reducing Iranian oil exports to zero. But Iran since 2019 has developed a sophisticated network of intermediaries and "shadow fleet" vessels, enabling it to continue exporting crude to buyers in China. Recent US sanctions measures have added costs along that supply chain, but China still imported close to 1.5mn b/d of Iranian crude in April. Availability of oil storage in Shandong, China, is the only factor limiting imports this month. Many buyers in China built up Iranian crude stocks earlier this year. In a major change from his first administration, Trump has authorized diplomatic negotiations with Tehran that both countries say have made progress. Trump since returning to the White House has barred his former Iran advisers from serving in his administration. And his top negotiator with Iran, former real estate developer Steve Witkoff, appears to have discarded the previous Trump administration's approach of adding other complex issues to nuclear talks, such as Iran's missile and drone capabilities or its network of regional proxies, although secretary of state Marco Rubio has suggested that all those issues should be addressed. A narrow focus on Tehran's nuclear program and an offer of sanctions relief is quite similar to former president Barack Obama's approach to Tehran, which resulted in a nuclear agreement that Trump once blasted as "the worst deal in history". Whether deliberately or not, Trump's speech today stood out as the antithesis to Obama's 2009 address in Cairo, where the former US president called for a reset of relations between the US and the Middle East. Unlike Obama, who 16 years ago called on the region to fulfil democratic aspirations as the best way to remedy economic failings, Trump in his remarks today praised the region's autocratic leaders for their economic development skills and said that the US under his leadership would be minimally involved in the region's political future. "The gleaming marvels of Riyadh and Abu Dhabi were not created by the so-called nation-builders, neo-cons, or liberal non-profits like those who spent trillions failing to develop Kabul and Baghdad," Trump said. "The so-called 'nation-builders' wrecked far more nations than they built, and the interventionists were intervening in complex societies they did not understand." Iran, too, can build infrastructure projects like its Arab neighbors if it gives up "stealing people's wealth to fund terror and bloodshed abroad", Trump said. "Yet I'm here today not merely to condemn the past chaos of Iran's leaders, but to offer them a new path and a much better path toward a far better and more hopeful future," he said. Trump cited his short-lived campaign of bombing against Yemen's Houthis as an example of the limited US involvement in the Middle East he will try to practice as president. "My preference will always be for peace and partnership, whenever those outcomes can be achieved," he said. Trump on 6 May declared an end to his bombing campaign in Yemen that began on 15 March, leaving key questions unanswered, such as whether his ceasefire with the Houthis will fully reopen Red Sea waterways to international shipping. But in Trump's words, his campaign in Yemen was a complete victory. "We hit them hard, we got what we came for and then we got out," he said. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more