China takes fossil fuel projects off green bond list

Market: Coal, Crude oil, Electricity, Emissions, Natural gas
26/04/21

China's central bank has excluded fossil fuel projects from those eligible for green bond financing, marking a key step in the country's shift towards non-fossil energy sources.

The central bank last week released a list of projects considered eligible for green bond financing in China's 2021 green bond catalogue, which removes fossil fuel investments, including for ultra-supercritical coal power plants, coal-fired units above 300MW generation capacity, clean coal use, and refining units to produce clean gasoline and diesel. The latest catalogue takes effect from 1 July and replaces the one published in 2015.

The announcement came ahead of the US-hosted virtual climate summit on 22-23 April, in a sign that China might be willing to cooperate with the US on the climate crisis. Chinese president Xi Jinping also last year set targets for China's carbon emissions to peak before 2030 and the country to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. And China's five-year plan for 2021-25 aims to raise non-fossil fuel energy to around 20pc of the primary energy mix from 15.8pc last year.

Independent greenfield refinery and petrochemical projects such as private-sector refiner Rongsheng's 800,000 b/d Zhejiang Petrochemical (ZPC) and private-sector Shenghong Petrochemical's under-construction 320,000 b/d Lianyungang refineries previously received government approval to issue green bonds capped at 4bn yuan ($616mn) and Yn3bn respectively. These refineries were deemed eligible under the terms of energy-saving and cleaner upgrades for oil and petrochemical units in the 2015 catalog.

Wind, solar and hydropower remain in the latest catalog, along with nuclear, biomass and hydrogen utilisation projects, with fuel cell manufacturing included for the first time.

Other additions to the latest catalog include long-distance gas pipelines, peak shaving facilities for gas storage, LNG receiving terminals, carbon capture, utilisation and storage projects, clean-heating energy projects for rural areas, and service providers for China's emissions trading scheme.

Fossil fuel projects are still a major source of carbon emissions even if cleaner production techniques are used, a central bank official said in a briefing note.

"Most of the mainstream global green bond issuances have excluded such items already, [and] the latest catalog will make China's green bond issuance more regulated and restricted in line with global practices," the central bank said.

China's total green bond balance was Yn813.2bn as of the end of last year, the second globally, according to figures from the Shanghai Clearing House.

More than 40 tranches of carbon-neutral bonds have been issued so far this year, with total values exceeding $10bn. The central bank estimates that China will invest Yn2.2 trillion/yr by 2030 to reduce carbon emissions, according to the official China Daily.

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11/04/25

Q&A: Australia’s Corporate Carbon expands ACCU trading

Sydney, 11 April (Argus) — Australian carbon project developer Corporate Carbon has been expanding its trading capabilities around Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) on the back of growing supply and wider market maturity. Head of carbon trading Angus Robertson spoke with Argus about the latest developments in the market. Corporate Carbon is one of the biggest suppliers of ACCUs. Is it correct that the company has been issued around 15mn ACCUs, counting both fully-owned projects and partnerships, which would be around 10pc of all ACCU issuances since the scheme started in 2011? Yes, that's the approximate number. We've got around 100 projects. In terms of issuance from a mix of owned projects and offtake agreements with other developers and partners in the industry, the approximate forecast is around 3mn ACCUs/yr. We trade around that and then also have capacity to trade outside of our own projects and within the portfolio, plus operating as a trading entity in the secondary market. The company has been one of the main suppliers to private buyers, and to the federal government through carbon abatement contracts (CACs). But you are also buyers. How does that work? The increased capability of our business to both buy and sell is a reflection of the broader Australian carbon market maturing over the last few years. The beginning of the business was very much built off the back of those CACs. As that policy changed over time, allowing for the partial exiting of those CACs , obviously there's been a lot more focus on the secondary market now. We've seen a lot of trading houses, banks and other financial institutions coming into the market, and with that you get a more mature financial market. So in response to that, we've been building out our trading capacity as well as our broader commercial team over the past few years. We take a portfolio approach and we have a large inventory flow to assist with that growing demand, but there are times when we go out to the secondary market and source units on behalf of clients. You recently partnered with trading and risk management firm Ion Commodities to implement their Carbon Zero tool. How does that translate into your trading capabilities? We see Ion's solution as a really effective trading tool and portfolio management system. It reflects our readiness to operate at a larger scale. By providing those tools, it allows us to focus on the strategic goals of the business, especially from a commercial perspective. It is very much a tool for reporting purposes and the automation capabilities of the system assist with that, but it does have a bit of a flow-on effect in terms of efficiency across the business as well. Going to the market, in the short term, it seems to be all about the upcoming federal elections. Do you expect to see much price volatility within the next few weeks? Yes. As we approach the Australian federal election, we would expect there to be a degree of uncertainty, considering the difference in the two major party outcomes in terms of their take on the carbon market. We would see it as positive in either instance, but I think there is still a degree of uncertainty that should lead to perhaps a degree of illiquidity in the market. The market has been also weighed down by a strong issuance of safeguard mechanism credits (SMCs). Were you surprised with that high volume when it was first disclosed by the Climate Change Authority late last year? I think it was the general market consensus that the number was higher than initially forecast, and [ACCU] market prices definitely reflected that in the following weeks and months after those numbers were disclosed. Once the final numbers were released, I think the market had generally already priced that in by that point. Has that changed your internal outlook for when the ACCU market might see an expected shift from oversupply to undersupply? I wouldn't say our internal view has changed all that much. If the majority of that volume is now weighted towards the early years of the safeguard mechanism, policies might reflect that going forward. Now we would probably see ACCU supply as a potential restriction on the market in the short to medium term. Obviously, there's speculation around certain methods in the ACCU market, where higher forecasts were expected over the following next few years and that's now no longer the case. So probably more around supply than demand in terms of our shifted internal views, and this is more from a trading and market perspective as opposed to our actual projects being affected. So it's more on the supply side than demand, even with the high SMC issuances? Well, obviously the market has reacted to those media releases by the regulator around SMCs. So you know that's already happened — you can't really argue that now. Will there be further policy changes around the safeguard mechanism to account for that? That's a bit of an unknown, but it's definitely potential in the following years. And when you talk about supply constraints, is it mostly the delays with the development of the integrated farm and land management methodology , and potentially lower issuances from a reformed landfill gas method? Those are good examples of general delays in certain methods and the creation of new methods. So yes, our expectation is that this could be a big driver on ACCU prices in the next few years. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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New tariffs could upend US tallow imports: Correction

10/04/25

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10/04/25

New tariffs could upend US tallow imports: Correction

Corrects description of options for avoiding feedstock tariffs in 12th paragraph. Story originally published 3 April. New York, 10 April (Argus) — New US tariffs on nearly all foreign products could deter further imports of beef tallow, a fast-rising biofuel feedstock and food ingredient that had until now largely evaded President Donald Trump's efforts to reshape global trade. Tallow was the most used feedstock for US biomass-based diesel production in January for the first month ever, with consumption by pound rising month to month despite sharp declines in actual biorefining and in use of competing feedstocks. The beef byproduct benefits from US policies, including a new federal tax credit known as "45Z", that offer greater subsidies to fuel derived from waste than fuel derived from first-generation crops. Much of that tallow is sourced domestically, but the US also imported more than 880,000t of tallow last year, up 29pc from just two years earlier. The majority of those imports last year came from Brazil, which until now has faced a small 0.43¢/kg (19.5¢/lb) tariff, and from Australia, which was exempt from any tallow-specific tariffs under a free trade agreement with US. But starting on 5 April, both countries will be subject to at least the new 10pc charge on foreign imports. There are some carveouts from tariffs for certain energy products, but animal fats are not included. Some other major suppliers — like Argentina, Uruguay, and New Zealand — will soon have new tariffs in place too, although tallow from Canada is for now unaffected because it is covered by the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement. Brazil tallow shipments to the US totaled around 300,000t in 2024, marking an all-time high, but tallow shipments during the fourth quarter of 2024 fell under the 2023 levels as uncertainty about future tax policy slowed buying interest. Feedstock demand in general in the US has remained muted to start this year because of poor biofuel production margins, and that has extended to global tallow flows. Tallow suppliers in Brazil for instance were already experiencing decreased interest from US producers before tariffs. Brazil tallow prices for export last closed at $1,080/t on 28 March, rising about 4pc year-to-date amid support from the 45Z guidance and aid from Brazil's growing biodiesel industry, which is paying a hefty premium for tallow compared to exports. While the large majority of Brazilian tallow exports end up in the US, Australian suppliers have more flexibility and could send more volume to Singapore instead if tariffs deter US buyers. Export prices out of Australia peaked this year at $1,185/t on 4 March but have since trended lower to last close at $1,050/t on 1 April. In general, market participants say international tallow suppliers would have to drop offers to keep trade flows intact. Other policy shifts affect flows Even as US farm groups clamored for more muscular foreign feedstock limits over much of the last year, tallow had until now largely dodged any significant restrictions. Recent US guidance around 45Z treats all tallow, whether produced in the US or shipped long distances to reach the US, the same. Other foreign feedstocks were treated more harshly, with the same guidance providing no pathway at all for road fuels from foreign used cooking oil and also pinning the carbon intensity of canola oil — largely from Canada — as generally too high to claim any subsidy. But tariffs on major suppliers of tallow to the US, and the threat of additional charges if countries retaliate, could give refiners pause. Demand could rise for domestic animal fats or alternatively for domestic vegetable oils that can also be refined into fuel, especially if retaliatory tariffs cut off global markets for US farm products like soybean oil. There is also risk if Republicans in the Trump administration or Congress reshape rules around 45Z to penalize foreign feedstocks. At the same time, a minimum 10pc charge for tallow outside North America is a more manageable price to pay compared to other feedstocks — including a far-greater collection of charges on Chinese used cooking oil. And if the US sets biofuel blend mandates as high as some oil and farm groups are pushing , strong demand could leave producers with little choice but to continue importing at least some feedstock from abroad to continue making fuel. Not all US renewable diesel producers will be equally impacted by tariffs either. Some tariffs are eligible for drawbacks, meaning that producers could potentially recover tariffs they paid on feedstocks for fuel that is ultimately exported. And multiple biofuel producers are located in foreign-trade zones, a US program that works similarly to the duty drawbacks, and have applied for permission to avoid some tariffs on imported feedstocks for fuel eventually shipped abroad. Jurisdictions like the EU and UK, where sustainable aviation fuel mandates took effect this year, are attractive destinations. And there is still strong demand from the US food sector, with edible tallow prices in Chicago up 18pc so far this year. Trump allies, including his top health official, have pushed tallow as an alternative to seed oils. By Cole Martin and Jamuna Gautam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Quebec stands by GHG program

10/04/25

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10/04/25

Quebec stands by GHG program

Houston, 10 April (Argus) — Quebec legislators and government officials reaffirmed their support for the province's cap-and-trade program on Wednesday. The National Assembly of Quebec unanimously adopted a joint resolution expressing continued support for the provincial program, which was introduced by members from opposition parties Quebec Liberal Party, Québec solidaire, Parti québécois and Quebec environment minister Benoit Charette of the majority party Coalition avenir Québec. The resolution's passage came a day after US president Donald Trump issued an executive order taking aim at state climate policies as an "overreach" of their authority, specifically citing California's cap-and-trade program, which formed a joint market with the province in 2013. While Trump's order cast a wide net over potential areas the administration intends to scrutinize, a familiar theme from his previous term did appear around state climate policies interacting with international relations. "These state laws and policies try to dictate interstate and international disputes over air, water, and natural resources," Trump said. While Quebec's Ministry of Environment declined to comment on the order, the province's link with California's program was an area of contention between the state and the first Trump administration. The Trump administration in October 2019 filed a lawsuit that sought to sever California's link on the grounds the state had unlawfully overstepped federal powers to negotiate independent foreign policy for greenhouse gas (GHG) regulation and was "inconsistent" with Trump's then-ongoing withdrawal from the Paris Agreement started in 2017. But the lawsuit ultimately failed following two separate rulings by the same federal judge in 2020, with a subsequent appeal by the Trump administration withdrawn after the election of former US president Joe Biden. Trump's new executive order roiled environmental markets on Wednesday, with California Carbon Allowances (CCAs) for December delivery trading as low as $22.51/metric tonne on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), before partially rebounding as participants expressed concern about potential federal action against the program. While state and government officials continue to evaluate the order, the office of California attorney general Rob Bonta (D) said the state's Department of Justice will use the "full force of the law and tools of this office to address the climate crisis head on." The California and Quebec programs aim for economy-wide reductions in GHG emissions, including from power plants, refineries and on-road fuel use. Both jurisdictions are seeking to increase the stringency of their respective programs to remain on course for statutory targets through a pair of rulemakings that may be implemented next year. The joint market, known as the Western Climate Initiative (WCI), is also evaluating linking with the Washington "cap-and-invest' program, which would make the state the first one to join California in the WCI, creating a larger North American carbon market. Quebec seeks to reduce GHG emissions by 37.5pc below 1990 levels by 2030, and achieve carbon neutrality in 2050. Provincial regulators are considering removing 17.5mn allowances from the program to speed emissions reductions, while tapering the use of carbon offset credits by 2030, among other changes. California requires a 40pc reduction from 1990 emission levels by the end of 2030, and net-zero in 2045. CARB is considering changing the 2030 target to 48pc. By Denise Cathey Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EIA slashes WTI outlook by $7/bl on trade uncertainty

10/04/25

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10/04/25

EIA slashes WTI outlook by $7/bl on trade uncertainty

Calgary, 10 April (Argus) — The US light sweet crude benchmark will be nearly $7/bl lower this year than previously expected, with an ongoing trade war stifling global demand by nearly 500,000 b/d, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said today. WTI at Cushing, Oklahoma, is expected to average $63.88/bl in 2025, the agency said in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), lower by $6.80/bl from its March forecast. It will fall further to $57.48/bl in 2026, or $7.49/bl lower from the prior STEO. Brent prices saw similar downward revisions and is now forecast at $67.68/bl in 2025 and $61.48/bl in 2026. The latest STEO was to be released on 8 April, but the EIA said it needed more time to rerun its models in light of last week's sweeping tariff action by US president Donald Trump and subsequent retaliation by China. The protectionist measures have led major banks to cut oil price forecasts amid growing concerns over a stagnating US economy. The EIA completed its analysis on 7 April meaning it did not incorporate the most recent developments, including Trump's 9 April pause on the highest levels of punitive tariffs against key US trading partners and an increase in Chinese tariffs . The latest forecast is "subject to significant uncertainty," said the EIA. Global consumption of oil and liquid fuels is now expected to average 103.64mn b/d in 2025, lower by 490,000 b/d from the previous forecast. Consumption in 2026 is forecast at 104.68mn b/d, lower by 620,000 b/d. Global production meanwhile was lowered by to 104.1mn b/d for 2025 and to 105.35mn b/d for 2026. These are lower from the prior forecast by 70,000 b/d and 43,000 b/d, respectively. In the US, domestic consumption is projected to average 20.38mn b/d in 2025, lower by 70,000 b/d compared to last month's STEO. Consumption was lowered for 2026 by 110,000 b/d at 20.49mn b/d. Domestic production will come in at 13.51mn b/d in 2025 and 13.56mn b/d in 2026, the EIA said. This is lower by 100,000 b/d and 200,000 b/d, respectively, compared to the March STEO. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Norway plans to cut GHGs, but remain oil, gas producer

10/04/25

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10/04/25

Norway plans to cut GHGs, but remain oil, gas producer

London, 10 April (Argus) — Norway's government has proposed a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction of a minimum 70-75pc by 2035, from a 1990 baseline, but has also committed to the country remaining "a stable and predictable supplier of oil and gas produced with low emissions". The government today set out plans for a 2035 GHG reduction target, as well as a wider climate plan for the country. The 2035 GHG reduction targets build on Norway's 2030 goal of "at least" a 55pc reduction in GHGs, again from 1990 levels. Norway has a legislated goal of "a low-emission society" by 2050 — GHG reductions of 90-95pc from the 1990 baseline. Norway's government underlined its commitment to Paris climate agreement goals and phasing out the use of fossil fuels "towards 2050", but also said that it would "not prepare a strategy for the end phase of Norwegian oil and gas". "The government's plan is about phasing out emissions, not industries", it said, noting that Norway is "a significant contributor to Europe's energy security". Norway is the largest producer and only net exporter of oil and gas in Europe. "The government will further develop the petroleum industry and facilitate the future provision of fields… production will continue to be efficient and with low emissions," the government said. It aims for the country's oil and gas sector — the country's highest-emitting industry — to bring emissions from production to net zero in 2050. The bulk of oil and gas emissions are from downstream use — known as scope 3. Norway plans to achieve the majority of its proposed 70-75pc GHG cuts through national measures, including reduced fossil fuel use and both technical and nature-based carbon removals. It also plans to purchase emissions reductions from outside the EU and European Economic Area. This refers to internationally transferred mitigation outcomes (ITMOs) — emission credits — under Article 6 of the Paris climate agreement. Norway's parliament will consider the proposals. Once legislated in the country's climate act, Norway plans to communicate its updated plans to the UN. Signatories to the Paris climate agreement are expected to submit updated climate plans — known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs) — to UN climate body the UNFCCC every five years. The deadline for NDCs setting out climate goals up to 2035 was in February, but many countries have yet to submit plans . By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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