German industry warns on electrolysis restrictions

Market: Electricity, Hydrogen
10/06/21

German industries federation BDI has criticised government plans to limit the exemptions applicable for renewable power used in the electrolysis process for producing hydrogen.

The federal government last month proposed rules on exempting the renewable power used by electrolysis sites for producing green hydrogen from the renewable energies law (EEG) levy, as part of several changes to the EEG.

The rules propose that renewable power used by electrolysis sites for producing green hydrogen will from 1 January 2022 be exempt from the EEG levy. At least 85pc of the exempted power must be generated within the German bidding zone, and a maximum 15pc outside the zone. The relevant renewable power must not be subsidised under the EEG or the combined heat and power (CHP) law, but must instead be certified through guarantees of origin (GOOs) coupled with data from the generation sites. For power generated outside Germany, GOOs will suffice.

The exemption applies to relevant renewable power plants' first 5,000 load hours of every calendar year.

But limiting low-cost electrolysis power procurement to unsubsidised, predominantly domestic renewable power, and to just 5,000 hours/yr, risks undermining the profitability of hydrogen projects, BDI head of energy and climate policy Carsten Rolle warned at a parliamentary hearing this week.

Most renewable project developers are assuming annual load hours of 6,500-7,000, and will have problems operating profitably at such a low load, unless their investment support is raised, Rolle said.

But the main problem is the limited pool of available power, given that EEG-supported power is excluded, Rolle said. This could turn out to seriously hamper the growth of electrolysis sites in Germany, Rolle warned.

To remedy the situation, Germany will need to encourage strong growth of renewable power outside the EEG, or the country will need to overturn the so-called "multiple sale ban" — that is to allow EEG-supported sites to also qualify for GOOs.

Policy makers will need to face the issue of location, transmission system operator Amprion's chief executive, Hans-Jurgen Brick, said. It will be difficult to secure local acceptance in south Germany, if new power lines will need to be built to transport the necessary power from the wind-rich north to the south's electrolysers, Brick warned.

The EEG levy, which finances feed-in tariffs and market premiums for renewable generation, is capped at €65/MWh this year and €60/MWh in 2022. The levy alone would add costs of about €3/kg for the hydrogen, compared with costs of "grey" hydrogen produced from fossil fuels of €1-1.50/kg, Rolle said.

The Bundestag is preparing to pass several legislative packages touching on the energy sector before the end of this month, when parliament will break up ahead of federal elections in September.

The SPD-led environment ministry has calculated that Germany will need 100 TWh/yr more power in 2030. Energy and water association BDEW estimates power demand in 2030 at about 700TWh.

By Chloe Jardine

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02/04/25

Australia’s gas leaders hit out at market intervention

Sydney, 2 April (Argus) — Senior figures in Australia's upstream gas sector have hit out at plans for intervention in the heavily regulated industry, as debate continues on how to best address domestic supply shortfalls later this decade. The federal Coalition in March announced National Gas Plan including a 50-100 PJ/yr (1.34bn-2.68bn m³/yr) domestic reservation system aimed at forcing the three LNG exporters based in Queensland's Gladstone to direct more supply to the eastern states' market. But oversupplying the market to drive down prices would destroy the viability of smaller gas projects, Australian independent Beach Energy's chief executive Brett Woods said at a conference in Sydney on 1 April. The domestic-focused firm, which will export some LNG volumes via its Waitsia project in 2025, warns that such a move by the Peter Dutton-led opposition would reduce export incomes while harming Australia's international reputation. The volumes impacted by the policy could reach around 900,000-1.8mn t/yr. Expropriation of developed reserves is equivalent to breaking contracts with LNG buyers and with the foreign and local investors that the country needs for ongoing economic security, Woods said on 1 April. Domestic gas reservation systems put in place by the state governments of Western Australia (WA) and Queensland, designed to keep local markets well supplied, were "clearly supportable", Woods said, but only future supply should be subject to the regulations. LNG terminals, which represent about 70pc of eastern Australia's total gas consumption and shipped 24mn t in 2024 , should not be blamed for the failure of governments to expedite new supply and plan for Australia's gas future, head of Shell Australia Cecile Wake said in response to the Coalition's proposal. Shell's QGC business supplied 15pc of its volumes to the local grid, with the remainder shipped from its 8.5mn t/yr Queensland Curtis LNG project, Wake added. Canberra has moved to promote gas use as a transition fuel to firm renewable energy in line with its 2030 emissions reduction targets, but progress has been slow as reforming laws appear to be hampering development . The state governments, particularly in gas-poor Victoria and New South Wales (NSW), must recognise the need for locally-produced supply and streamline the approvals processes, especially environmental permits, executives said. But despite pleas for an end to years of interventionist policy — including the governing Labor party's measures to cap the price of domestic gas at A$12/GJ , Australia's fractured political environment and rising cost of living has sparked largely populist responses from its leaders. A so-called "hung" parliament is likely to result from the 3 May poll , with a variety of mainly left-leaning independents representing an anti-fossil fuel agenda expected to control the balance of power in Australia's parliament. LNG debate sharpens Debate on the causes of southern Australia's gas deficit has persisted, and the ironic outcome of underinvestment in gas supply could be LNG re-imports from Gladstone to NSW, Victoria and South Australia, making fracked coal-bed methane — liquefied in Queensland and regasified — a likely higher-emissions alternative to pipeline supply. Several developers are readying for this possibility , which is considered inevitable without action to increase supply in Victoria or NSW, increase winter storages or raise north-south pipeline capacity. Australian pipeline operator APA appears to have the most to lose out of the active firms in the gas sector. APA chief executive Adam Watson this week criticised plans for imports, because relying on LNG will set the price of domestic gas at a detrimental level, raise emissions and decrease reliability of supply, Watson said. The firm is planning to increase its eastern pipeline capacity by 25pc to bring new supplies from the Bass, Surat and Beetaloo basins to market. But investment certainty is needed or Australia will risk needing to subsidise coal-fired power for longer if sufficient gas is unavailable to back up wind and solar generators with peaking power, Watson said. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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French nuclear modulation to step up this summer

01/04/25

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01/04/25

French nuclear modulation to step up this summer

London, 1 April (Argus) — Modulation in the French nuclear fleet, and the consequent gap between nuclear availability and output, is set to grow in the coming weeks as consumption falls in summer and solar output picks up. But the fleet's ability to modulate, touted as one of its great strengths, could be put to the test by growing amounts of intermittent renewable capacity, without any accompanying rise in consumption or in flexible storage capacity. France's flexible nuclear plants are unusual in being able to modulate their output downwards, with each reactor capable of dropping twice a day to 20pc of rated output. Nuclear reactors by their nature have high fixed costs and low variable costs. But operator EdF still reduces production in hours in which prices fall below these low variable costs, widening the gap between the theoretical available capacity and actual production. And low-priced hours became more common last year, particularly in the summer, in the middle of the day and on weekends, as low demand coincided with high nuclear and renewable production. The gap between availability and output across the fleet typically has held at 1-2GW on a monthly basis in recent years. But last summer, it jumped to 4GW on average in each month from April-August ( see availability-output gap graph ). And so far this year it has averaged 2GW, compared with 1.8GW in the same period last year. Modulation has held higher too, with the difference between maximum and minimum daily nuclear output averaging 4.6GW, up from 3.2GW last year ( see modulation graph ). Solar output so far this year has averaged 2.4GW, up by 35pc on 1.8GW in the same period in 2024, after France's solar fleet grew by 5GW, or roughly a quarter, over 2024. As output increases with longer days, this will begin translating into increasingly more output centred around midday, driving stronger modulation. Modulation becomes political Modulation has this year become a political football, with the government promoting the parallel growth of nuclear and intermittent renewables, while an insurgent faction, typically on the political right, claims that more renewables are at best wasteful and at worst actively damage the nuclear fleet. France's nuclear fleet has always modulated, as its large size means residual demand is lower than capacity in low consumption periods. But the extent of this modulation grew sharply last year. Lower consumption contributed to this, as did the growth of renewables. Much of France's renewable capacity is not exposed to market prices, as it is remunerated by feed-in tariffs, and has no incentive to shut down when prices fall below zero. 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And even some internal EdF documents present modulation in a less benign light than the firm's chiefs. The combination of renewables and nuclear leads to power output fluctuations that are "never insignificant in terms of safety, especially of the control of the reactor core, and the maintainability, longevity and operating costs of our facilities", according to a 2024 report by the company's chief nuclear safety inspector. The PPE3 energy plan, which the government hopes to finalise in law imminently, commits France to rapid increases in renewables deployment. If the plan's objectives are followed, intermittent output will grow in the coming years. The plan also aims for a rapid increase in consumption to soak up the extra power produced. But potential drivers of electrification such as heat pumps and electric vehicles had their subsidies slashed in the 2025 budget. Increased storage capacity could be a way to integrate more intermittent renewables. 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Global energy mix evolves as electricity demand surges

28/03/25

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28/03/25

Global energy mix evolves as electricity demand surges

Climate change is becoming a bigger factor behind electrification, but cleaner energy use is slowing the growth in global emissions, writes Georgia Gratton London, 28 March (Argus) — A substantial increase in electricity demand — boosted by extreme weather — drove an overall rise in global energy demand in 2024, lifting it well above the average pace of increase in recent years, OECD energy watchdog the IEA announced this week. This led to a rise in natural gas consumption, although renewables and nuclear shouldered the majority of the increase in demand, leaving oil's share of total energy demand below 30pc for the first time. Global energy demand rose by 2.2pc in 2024 compared with 2023 — higher than the average demand increase of 1.3pc/yr between 2013 and 2023 — according to the Paris-based agency's Global Energy Review . 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Coal remained the single biggest source of power generation in 2024, at 35pc, but renewable power sources and nuclear together made up 41pc of total generation last year, IEA data show. Nuclear power use is expected to hit its highest ever this year, the agency says. And "growth in global oil demand slowed markedly in 2024", the IEA says, rising by 0.8pc compared with 1.9pc in 2023. A rise in electric vehicle (EV) purchases was a key contributor to the drop in oil demand for road transport, and this offset "a significant proportion" of the rise in oil consumption for aviation and petrochemicals, the IEA says. Blowing hot and coal Much of the growth in coal consumption last year was down to "intense heatwaves" — particularly in China and India, the IEA found. These "contributed more than 90pc of the total annual increase in coal consumption globally", for cooling needs. The IEA repeatedly noted the significant effect that extreme weather in 2024 had on energy systems and demand patterns. Last year was the hottest ever recorded, beating the previous record set in 2023, and for CO2 emissions, "weather effects" made up about half of the 2024 increase, the watchdog found. "Weather effects contributed about 15pc of the overall increase in global energy demand," according to the IEA. Global cooling degree days were 6pc higher on the year in 2024, and 20pc higher than the 2000-20 average. But the "continued rapid adoption of clean energy technologies" restricted the rise in energy-related CO2 emissions, which fell to 0.8pc in 2024 from 1.2pc in 2023, the IEA says. Energy-related CO2 emissions — including flaring — still hit a record high of 37.8bn t in 2024, but the rise in emissions was lower than global GDP growth. Key "clean energy technologies" — solar, wind and nuclear power, EVs and heat pumps — collectively now prevent about 2.6bn t/yr CO2 of emissions, the IEA says. But there remains an emissions divide between advanced and developing economies. "The majority of emissions growth in 2024 came from emerging and developing economies other than China," the agency says, while advanced economies such as the UK and EU cut emissions last year and continue to push ahead with decarbonisation. Global energy suppy by fuel EJ Growth ±% 2024 2023 2022 24/23 23/22 Total 648 634 622 2.2 1.8 Renewables 97 92 89 5.8 3.1 Nuclear 31 30 29 3.7 2.2 Natural gas 149 145 144 2.7 0.7 Oil 193 192 188 0.8 1.9 Coal 177 175 172 1.2 2.0 Global power generation by fuel TWh Growth ±% 2024 2023 2022 24/23 23/22 Total 31,153 29,897 29,153 4.2 2.6 Renewables 9,992 9,074 8,643 10.0 5.0 Nuclear 2,844 2,743 2,684 3.7 2.2 Natural gas 6,793 6,622 6,526 2.6 1.5 Oil 738 762 801 -3.2 -4.8 Coal 10,736 10,645 10,452 0.9 1.8 Global power generation by country TWh Growth ±% 2024 2023 2022 24/23 23/22 World 31,153 29,897 29,153 4.2 2.6 US 4,556 4,419 4,473 3.1 -1.2 EU 2,769 2,718 2,792 1.9 -2.6 China 10,205 9,564 8,947 6.7 6.9 India 2,059 1,958 1,814 5.2 7.9 Global CO2 emissions by country mn t Growth ±% 2024 2023 2022 24/23 23/22 World 37,566 37,270 36,819 0.8 1.2 US 4,546 4,567 4,717 -0.5 -3.2 EU 2,401 2,455 2,683 -2.2 -8.5 China 12,603 12,552 12,013 0.4 4.5 India 2,987 2,836 2,691 5.3 5.4 *includes industrial process emissions — IEA Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US H2 projects stall, incentives fall short: Technip

28/03/25

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28/03/25

US H2 projects stall, incentives fall short: Technip

London, 28 March (Argus) — Many US hydrogen project developers have paused or cancelled plans after finding costs were too high and government incentives were insufficient, even before President Donald Trump's return to the White House added uncertainty, Paris-listed contractor Technip Energies has said. Developers rushed to hire contractors for project studies in 2022-23 in a wave of optimism after the US announced tax credits for hydrogen production , but many projects were shelved or suspended between the end of 2023 and mid-2024. This came as companies realised the true cost of many items not limited to CO2 capture, hydrogen storage, and hydrogen liquefaction, Technip Energies' director Randy Kessler said. Multiple developers hired Technip for feasibility studies and engineering designs so it witnessed the drop-off in project plans first hand, Kessler said. Renewable hydrogen projects faced the most challenges, but gas-based projects with carbon capture and storage (CCS) "did not fare too well either", Kessler said. "Nearly all" renewable hydrogen projects were suspended when true capital and operating costs became known, especially compared with conventional 'grey' hydrogen, Kessler said. "Economics generally prevail in the long run, and at 5-8 times the cost of grey H2 production, most big players and project developers found out the incentives did not cover the gap," he said. Most of Technip Energies' clients pursuing CCS-enabled projects eventually asked for estimates for conventional grey hydrogen plants, with "pre-investment" to add CO2 capture units in the future, Kessler said. Washington made matters worse for developers with "confusing" incentives and delays in finalising eligibility rules for the tax credits, which it only settled on in early 2025 , just weeks before the change in administration. "The people who made money were the consultants who told people what it all meant," Kessler said. The late-2024 US election became both an "issue" and an "an excuse" for developers to explain the lack of progress, Kessler said. Many US firms complained that political uncertainty during the election period hampered their business decisions. Politically powerful energy companies lobbying Washington for "appropriate levels of incentives to cover the gap" or relaxing tax credit rules to lower project costs would be the most likely way to revive the sector, Kessler said. The US could consider setting mandates, but this is unlikely unless there is "more global buy-in", he said. Few regions, aside from the EU, have proposed mandates, and even there they have not been firmly implemented. But US firms and industrial groups are focusing lobbying efforts on protecting the hydrogen tax credits rather than quibbling over the rules, US sources said. The return of Trump to the White House made the future of the tax credits less certain because of his preference for boosting US fossil fuel output over investing in clean energy. Another contracting firm, Black & Veatch, recently said it was unsurprised to see many speculative projects fall by the wayside, and that the best route forward is better quality and modestly-sized projects with clear offtakers. By Aidan Lea Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Singapore, Vietnam eye greater low-carbon power trade

28/03/25

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28/03/25

Singapore, Vietnam eye greater low-carbon power trade

Singapore, 28 March (Argus) — Singapore and Vietnam have signed a letter of intent (LOI) to enhance collaboration on cross-border electricity trade for the Asean power grid. Under the LOI, the countries will explore raising the targeted capacity of low-carbon electricity imports from Vietnam to Singapore to around 2GW by 2035, announced Singapore's Ministry of Trade and Industry on 26 March. This builds on the previous conditional approval that was granted by Singapore's Energy Market Authority to Sembcorp Utilities in October 2023 to import 1.2GW of low-carbon electricity from Vietnam. The electricity will be transmitted from Vietnam to Singapore via new sub-sea cables of around 1,000km. The Vietnam and Singapore governments will continue to engage interested companies that have credible and commercially viable proposals, said MTI. "This LOI reflects our enhanced level of ambition to support not just cross-border electricity trading between our two countries, but the broader development of a sustainable, inclusive and resilient Asean power grid," said Singapore's second minister for trade and industry Tan See Leng. Singapore aims to import up to 6GW of low-carbon electricity by 2035 , and has signed supply agreements with Malaysia , as well as granted conditional approvals to projects in Indonesia. There have been steps toward the development of the long-awaited Asean power grid, which once established, could help the region source and share electricity regionally. The Lao PDR-Thailand-Malaysia-Singapore power integration project (LTMS-PIP) will be enhanced under its second phase to double the capacity of electricity traded from 100MW to a maximum of 200MW, the EMA announced in September last year. By Prethika Nair Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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