Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest market news

Argentina shale oil beckons, bottlenecks loom

  • Market: Crude oil, Natural gas
  • 17/06/21

Investment in Argentina's Vaca Muerta shale formation will almost double this year as rising crude exports encourage producers to turn up the taps, but the outlay is still shy of pre-pandemic levels.

This year the country's premier shale play will attract $3.8bn in investment, with 70pc earmarked for oil projects and 30pc for natural gas, said Omar Gutierrez, governor of the southwestern province of Neuquen where most of the formation is located.

This compares to $2bn in the pandemic year of 2020, with 80pc for oil and 20pc for gas.

"We are recovering what was not able to be carried out last year," Gutierrez said.

Vaca Muerta drew $4.4bn in investment in 2019, before Covid-19 restrictions suppressed global oil demand and curbed upstream activity.

By the end of 2021, Neuquen production, including conventional wells, is expected to jump to 235,000 b/d, up by 47pc from December 2020, Gutierrez said.

In the first four months of this year, 6.3pc of the province's oil production, or a total of 1.377mn bl, was exported, according to Gutierrez.

Seven companies sold crude abroad during the January-April period: Shell, Norway's Equinor, Malaysia's state-controlled Petronas, Latin American independent Vista, and domestic firms Pampa, Pluspetrol and Tecpetrol.

"Exports from Vaca Muerta are a reality and a necessity," Gutierrez said on a webinar this week.

A new 30,000 b/d oil treatment plant that Shell inaugurated on its Vaca Muerta acreage this week was the first of several new ones in the Neuquen basin.

Argentina's state-controlled YPF will complete various projects over the next few months that will boost its processing capacity by 117,000 b/d, while ExxonMobil will increase its capacity by 6,000 b/d.

The rising output is accentuating the need to grow midstream capacity. The existing Oldelval pipeline that connects Vaca Muerta to Puerto Rosales in Buenos Aires province has a capacity of 260,000 b/d, close to the production level expected by the end of the year.

That makes it imperative to begin work to restart the 100,000 b/d Otasa pipeline to Chile, Gutierrez said. Once the project begins, it could take as long as a year and a half for the pipeline, which needs to operate at a minimum 30pc capacity, to be operational.

"It is very likely we are going to need to use that pipeline next year," Gutierrez said.

The 265mi (426km) Trans-Andean pipeline known as Otasa runs from Puesto Hernandez in Neuquen to Chilean state-owned Enap's 116,000 b/d Bio Bio refinery in Talcahuano. Enap holds a 36.25pc stake in the line while YPF holds 36pc and Unocal Argentina, a Chevron subsidiary, holds 27.75pc.


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
13/05/25

Namibia expects first oil in 2029-30: Official

Namibia expects first oil in 2029-30: Official

Paris, 13 May (Argus) — Namibia expects first oil and gas from its offshore oil blocks as early as 2029, according to the country's petroleum commissioner Maggy Shino. Oil and gas production is on track to begin by that time, Shino said, with a first field development plan set to be received from TotalEnergies by July. The French major is a stakeholder in the Venus block, which it estimates to contain 750mn bl. The timeline announcement comes as Namibia seeks to accelerate the path to first oil, Shino said. Windhoek is streamlining licensing processes and is encouraging industry to contribute to upstream policymaking, she told the Invest in African Energies forum today. TotalEnergies, which discovered Venus in February 2022, plans to make a decision on whether to begin the development of the field next year. Its chief executive Patrick Pouyanne said he was negotiating with the Namibian government about the development but that discussions were still at an early stage. "It's a project which faces, fundamentally, some challenges, but it's feasible," Pouyanne told analysts on the company's first-quarter earnings call in April . Speaking at the conference, TotalEnergies' senior vice president for Africa, Mike Sangster, said the three wells the company has tested at Venus have demonstrated the need for a lot of gas reinjection, and he said it will be difficult to keep the cost of development down to Pouyanne's publicly-stated $20/bl. Besides upstream investment, Namibia is encouraging investors to consider port and pipeline infrastructure with a particular emphasis on the coastal town of Lüderitz in the southwest. Namibia's new president, Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah, placed the country's oil and gas industries under direct presidential control the day after her inauguration in March. Although details of the restructuring have yet to emerge, some stakeholders hope the move will speed up decision making. By George Maher-Bonnett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

US tariff rate drops to 13.1pc after trade truce: Fitch


12/05/25
News
12/05/25

US tariff rate drops to 13.1pc after trade truce: Fitch

New York, 12 May (Argus) — The US tariff rate on all imports fell to 13.1pc from 22.8pc after China and the US agreed to a significant de-escalation in their trade dispute over the weekend, according to rating agency Fitch. Even so, a rate of around 13pc was last seen in 1941 and remains much higher than the 2.3pc at the end of 2024, Fitch said. The rate represents total duties as a percentage of total imports and changes, with shifts in import share by country of origin and product mix. The US effective tariff rate for China remains the highest at 31.8pc, reflecting duties imposed on China before 2 April, as well as a 10pc baseline tariff imposed on most countries. That was down from 103.6pc. Japan, Mexico, Canada and Germany, which have the next highest exports to the US, have effective tariff rates in excess of 10.5pc. As a result of the breakthrough over the weekend, the US will reduce punitive tariffs on imports from China to 30pc , with Beijing keeping in place retaliatory tariffs of 10-15pc on most US energy and agricultural commodities. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Ukrainian gas imports double in May


12/05/25
News
12/05/25

Ukrainian gas imports double in May

London, 12 May (Argus) — Ukraine's gas imports have nearly doubled in the first 10 days of May from April, although still only the Polish and Hungarian routes are being used. Ukraine's net imports — after netting off inflows and outflows to and from Moldova — averaged 140 GWh/d on 1-10 May, nearly double the 73 GWh/d average in April, the latest available data from transmission system operators show. The increase has been driven by flows from Hungary at VIP Bereg rising to near full capacity of 103 GWh/d from 60 GWh/d, and a smaller 12 GWh/d increase from Poland ( see flows graph ). Net flows to Moldova also fell to 13 GWh/d from 23 GWh/d, leaving more gas in Ukraine. But imports would need to ramp up significantly to match the 4.6bn m³ that state-owned incumbent Naftogaz estimated would be needed over the entire summer. If Ukrainian net imports remain at 140 GWh/d until 15 October, around the typical start of the heating season, then cumulative net imports would reach around 22TWh, or around 2.1bn m³ using Ukraine's standard 10.5 kWh/m³ conversion rate. VIP Bereg is already flowing at near maximum capacity, as is the interconnection point with Poland, meaning that any additional flows will need to arrive from Slovakia at Budince or from Romania at Isaccea, both particularly expensive transit routes. Demand for third-quarter capacity along the Bereg route continues to outstrip available capacity, with the auction now in its sixth day and still not concluded. So far, Naftogaz has announced few public supply deals, although it has contracted 300mn m³ of LNG from Poland's Orlen , with some market participants saying Orlen would supply as much as 1bn m³. The firm has €410mn in funds from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development , which it hopes will finance the purchase of around 1bn m³. But it is unclear where funding for additional purchases will come from, and the government does not intend to increase household or business tariffs to cover Naftogaz's higher costs. Even if Ukraine imports as much as Naftogaz said it will need, the country could still face shortages in the winter . Ukraine started the injection season in mid-April at the lowest stock level in at least a decade , and while Naftogaz managed to restore more than half of the output it lost in February following attacks on its production infrastructure, Ukrainian production still remains well below pre-2022 levels. Hungary maintains pivotal hub role Hungary has become an increasingly important transit hub over the past year, and Ukraine's import needs have increased its prominence further. With VIP Bereg at a 99pc utilisation rate this month and continued exports northward to Slovakia, Hungary has been pulling in more gas from other sources to maintain these flows. Inflows from Serbia at Horgos, where Russian gas arrives into Hungary through Turkish Stream, rose to 244 GWh/d on 1-10 May from 223 GWh/d in April, just below the point's technical capacity of 246 GWh/d. And inflows from Austria have also increased considerably, rising to 139 GWh/d from 92 GWh/d, while receipts from Romania more than doubled to 40 GWh/d from 19 GWh/d ( see Hungarian flows graph ). Hungarian prompt prices have risen to a premium over Austria and Romania in order to attract more gas ( see prices graph ). Slovakia remains at a premium to Hungary, though, driven by the need to incentivise flows from Hungary now that Russian transit through Ukraine has ceased. Hungarian transmission tariffs remain significantly cheaper than in Slovakia or Romania, so demand for Hungarian capacity at quarterly auctions last week held strong . The bookings suggest that the recent flow configuration is set to continue in the second half of summer, with all import capacity from Serbia booked and most available capacity from Austria. The export route from Romania to Ukraine remains unpopular, not just because of the high transmission tariffs paid in Romania and Moldova, but also because of the conditional nature of the flows. An equal amount of gas must be brought into Romania at Negru Voda 1 as is exported at Isaccea 1, as they are part of the same Trans-Balkan Pipeline string. Additionally, anyone hoping to bring gas from Greece or Bulgaria up to Ukraine must secure capacity in as many as 10 or more auctions, which take place simultaneously given that the transit route crosses in and out of Moldova several times. Even one failed auction could make exports along this route impossible. By Brendan A'Hearn Hungarian DA vs nearby markets €/MWh Ukrainian net flows by point GWh Hungarian net flows by point GWh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Aramco sees 'steady' oil demand growth in 2025


12/05/25
News
12/05/25

Aramco sees 'steady' oil demand growth in 2025

London, 12 May (Argus) — Global oil demand is on course for "steady growth" this year despite uncertainties over trade, according to state-controlled Saudi Aramco's chief executive Amin Nasser. "For the second quarter we are seeing resilient growth despite the impact of tariffs and the uncertainty that we are seeing in the market," Nasser said on Aramco's first-quarter earnings call today. "The fundamentals are very strong." The outlook for the global economy has deteriorated since US president Donald Trump announced a wide array of import levies in April. But the US and China today announced a deal to reduce some bilateral tariffs . And talks with other countries continue. Oil demand could increase more than currently anticipated depending on the result of trade talks, Nasser said, adding that Aramco estimates oil demand grew by 1.7mn b/d in the first quarter compared with the same period last year. Asia is responsible for most of the demand growth, but there is also an uptick in the US, particularly in demand for transport fuels, Nasser said. By Aydin Calik and Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

US shale M&A faces headwinds on oil price rout


12/05/25
News
12/05/25

US shale M&A faces headwinds on oil price rout

New York, 12 May (Argus) — Dealmaking in the US shale patch, which had been on a roller-coaster ride in the past few years, is at risk of grinding to a halt as a result of an oil price slump. Just as a growing number of producers are unveiling plans to cut spending and slow activity as crude prices teeter around levels needed to profitably drill wells, prospects for mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the shale patch are also souring. That marks a departure from the start of 2025 , when dealmakers were expecting a bumper year with recent acquirers looking to offload non-core assets and private equity gearing up to make a return after raising new funds. April brought five deals with a combined value of $2.3bn, bringing the year-to-date total for M&A activity in the US upstream space to $19.2bn, consultancy Enverus says. That was down by 60pc from a year earlier, when the latest round of consolidation was in full sway. "We're just hearing over and over again, across the board, that companies are overwhelmingly sitting on their hands," law firm Sidley partner Stephen Boone says. Recent deals include natural gas giant EQT buying the upstream and midstream assets of privately held Olympus Energy for $1.8bn . Gas is increasingly likely to dominate dealmaking going forward, as not only has the commodity fared better than oil on a relative basis, but investors are likely to be drawn by the US LNG boom and rapid growth of gas-fired power generation demand to meet the energy needs of data centres required for artificial intelligence . "The trouble is, there aren't enough potential gas deals to make up for a drop in oil asset activity, which we do anticipate is going to fall off a cliff," Enverus principal analyst Andrew Dittmar says. Aside from the trade tariff-induced market volatility that has sent crude prices tumbling to four-year lows, a lack of high-quality targets on the oil side also suggests deals will be few and far between this year. Most publicly-held operators will be focused on protecting their bottom line as they remain focused on shareholder returns rather than growth, and might well be reluctant to take on debt to fund deals. And private equity may prefer to bide its time. "That group is likely looking for some sign of a bottom on crude before jumping in, rather than trying to catch a falling knife of asset values," Dittmar says. That is not to say that deals have completely dried up, with Permian Resources agreeing this week to snap up assets in the New Mexico part of the top US shale play from APA for $608mn. But Diamondback Energy, a top Permian producer which has played an active role in the most recent round of M&A, might sum up the view of many with its plan to remain on the sidelines for the time being. Too much noise "We're in the period right now where there's so much noise and volatility that not a lot gets done," Diamondback's president, Kaes Van't Hof, says. "Anything that we would look at would have to be extremely cheap, and I just don't think we're there yet today." Even if some relief comes on the tariff front and the economy avoids a recession, it will take time for deals to pick up again, and that could push a resurgence in dealmaking well into 2026. The fact that public operators have spent the years since the pandemic on repairing balance sheets and focusing on investor payouts might also count against any uptick in transactions anytime soon. "That's actually going to keep M&A down, because now that we see the downturn, we have significantly less distressed companies out there that will be forced to sell, and we have more and more companies that think they are better situated to just ride it out," Sidley's Boone says. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more