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Shell halts Prelude LNG production after fire

  • Market: Natural gas
  • 03/12/21

Shell has suspended production at the 3.6mn t/yr Prelude floating LNG offshore Western Australia after a fire broke out at the facility on 2 December.

Smoke detected in an electrical utility area triggered the automatic fire detection and management systems on board the Prelude facility in the Browse basin at around 11pm Australian Western Standard Time (03:00 GMT) on 2 December, a Shell spokesperson told Argus.

"The incident resulted in the loss of main power and the facility is currently operating on back-up diesel generators," the spokesperson said. "While work is underway to restore main power, production on Prelude has been suspended temporarily."

The spokesperson did not comment on the estimated downtime of the project.

The Prelude facility can produce 69,231t of LNG, or around 1.2 cargoes in a week at nameplate capacity, assuming a 60,000t cargo size.

One cargo from the project may be delayed and another may be cancelled as a result of the shutdown, market participants said, but this could not be confirmed.

Shell operates Prelude LNG with a 67.5pc stake. Japanese upstream firm Inpex has a 17.5pc stake while South Korea's state-controlled import Kogas and Taiwan's state-controlled CPC own 10pc and 5pc, respectively.

Shell, Kogas and CPC receive term volumes from Prelude on a fob basis. Japan's state-controlled Jera and Shizuoka Gas receive Prelude cargoes from Inpex's equity volumes on a des basis.

Prelude has been dogged by production issues since it began shipments in June 2019. Production at the plant was halted in February 2020 due to technical issues and resumed around 11 months later in January this year.

Shell said in February that the project will reach full capacity by summer. Prelude loaded four cargoes in each month across June-September, except August when it loaded three cargoes, according to vessel tracking data from oil analytics firm Vortexa.

This was a slight increase of its two monthly loadings in January and February, three in March, four in April, and none in May. It loaded two cargoes in October, three in November, and none so far this month, Vortexa data showed.

The last loading was on 26 November by the 147,608m³ Symphonic Breeze vessel, which departed the facility a day later and is expected to arrive at the Inpex-operated Naoetsu terminal in Japan's Niigata prefecture on 9 December, according to Vortexa.

This is the second LNG production outage in Australia this week and comes just before the northern hemisphere peak winter demand season. Chevron has suspended operations at the third 5.2mn t/yr liquefaction train at the 15.6mn t/yr Chevron-operated Gorgon LNG in Australia to repair "piping associated with the dehydration unit", the firm told Argus on 1 December.

Around 2-3 cargoes are expected to be lost from the Gorgon outage so far, market participants said. The cargoes are likely meant to be delivered at the end of December and first-half January to three of the project's owners, they added, although this could not be confirmed.

The front half-month ANEA price, the Argus assessment for spot LNG deliveries to northeast Asia, was last assessed at $36.185/mn Btu for first-half January on 2 December, up slightly from $35.880/mn Btu for second-half December a week earlier and nearly fivefold $8.105/mn Btu on 2 December 2020.


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09/04/25

Trump coal plant bailout renews first term fight

Trump coal plant bailout renews first term fight

Washington, 9 April (Argus) — President Donald Trump's effort to stop the retirement of coal-fired power plants is reminiscent of a 2017 attempt that faltered in the face of widespread industry opposition. Trump, in an executive order signed on Tuesday, directed the US Department of Energy (DOE) to tap into emergency powers to stop the retirement of coal-fired plants and other large plants it believes are critical to grid reliability. The order sets a 30-day deadline for DOE to decide which plants are critical based on a new methodology that will analyze if reserve margins, or the percent of unused capacity at peak demand, are at an "acceptable" level. The initiative shares similarities to Trump's unsuccessful effort in his first term to bail out coal and nuclear plants. In the 2017 effort, Trump backed a "grid resiliency" proposal to compensate power plants with 90 days of on-site fuel. But an unusual coalition of natural gas industry groups, manufacturers, renewable producers and environmentalists united against the idea, warning it would upend power markets and cost consumers billions of dollars each year. The US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission voted 5-0 to reject the proposal. It remains unclear if a similarly sized coalition will emerge to fight Trump's latest proposal, under which DOE would use emergency powers in section 202(c) of the Federal Power Act to keep some coal plants and other large power plants operating. Industry groups have largely been avoiding taking positions that could be seen as critical of Trump. Environmentalists say they strongly oppose keeping coal plants operating using emergency powers. Doing so would mean more air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions, they say, and higher costs for consumers. Environmental groups say they are hoping other industries affected by the potential bailout will eventually speak out against the initiative. "The silence from those who know better is deafening," Center for Biological Diversity climate law institute legal director Jason Rylander said. "I hope that we will start to see more resistance to these dangerous policies before significant damage is done." DOE said it was "already hard at work" to implement Trump's executive order, which was paired with other orders that were meant to support coal mining and coal production. US energy secretary Chris Wright said today that reviving coal will increase the reliability of the electrical grid and bring down electricity costs, but he has not shared further details on the 202(c) initiative. Trying to litigate the program could be "tricky", and section 202(c) orders have never successfully been challenged in court, in part because they are usually short-term orders, Harvard Law School Electricity Law Initiative director Ari Peskoe said. But opponents could challenge them by focusing on "numerous legal problems", he said, such as not allowing public comment or running afoul of a US Supreme Court precedent that prohibits agencies from attempting to decide "major questions" without clear congressional authorization. "Here DOE would use a little-used statute explicitly written for short-term emergencies in order to PREVENT a change in the US energy mix," Peskoe said. A projected 8.1GW of coal-fired generation is set to retire this year, equivalent to nearly 5pc of the coal fleet, the US Energy Information Administration said last month. Electric utilities often decide which plants to retire years in advance, allowing them to defer maintenance and to forgo capital investments in aging facilities. Keeping coal plants running could require exemptions from environmental rules or pricey capital investments, the costs of which would likely be distributed among other ratepayers. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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What do tariffs mean for the global gas market?


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What do tariffs mean for the global gas market?

Some countries are considering retaliatory tariffs, while others hope to reduce their trade deficit in order to negotiate lower rates London, 9 April (Argus) — Newly announced US tariffs on goods entering the country and some of the countermeasures already announced by large trade partners are unlikely to cause any direct disruptions to global gas markets. But the indirect effects on gas supply and demand may be huge, stemming from a weaker macroeconomic outlook, fuel substitution and inflationary pressures on infrastructure development. US president Donald Trump on 2 April imposed a minimum 10pc tax on all foreign imports from 5 April,with much higher tariffs on selected countries that briefly came into force on 9 April, before Trump announced a 90-day pause. China is the only exception. It has announced retaliatory tariffs that could disrupt US energy exports, resulting in an escalation that has already brought up the respective levies to 125pc in the US and 84pc in China. These are unlikely to have any direct impact on LNG trade flows, as China had already stopped importing US LNG earlier this year. But disruptions to trade between the world's two largest economies may weigh heavily on manufacturing activity in China, in turn reducing industrial gas demand. And the ripple effects of disruptions to US LPG exports to China may alter fuel-switching economics in the region and beyond. Most other countries in Asia-Pacific have opted not to follow China's lead by retaliating against US tariffs, even though many have warned about the potential for long-term economic disruption. The Japanese government intends to negotiate a better tariff deal and is considering investing in the US' proposed 20mn t/yr Alaska LNG export project as part of wider efforts to reduce its trade surplus with the US. Countries in Asia-Pacific have been hit with some of the highest of Trump's targeted duties. The EU is keeping retaliatory measures on the table, but these are unlikely to include any levy on US LNG. Europe has become much more reliant on LNG imports after losing the bulk of its Russian pipeline supply, and imposing tariffs on energy imports would only reignite inflationary pressures that European countries have tried to curb over the past three years. The bloc says it is ready to negotiate on possibly increasing its US LNG imports to reduce its trade surplus and would zero out its tariffs on industrial imports if the US agrees to do the same. But Trump says this offer is not enough, citing the EU's upcoming Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism as one of the "unfair trade practices" that justifies a tariff response. Nerves of steel Much greater risks for gas markets may stem from rising infrastructure costs in the US' upstream and midstream sectors, particularly as a result of earlier tariffs imposed on steel and aluminum imports. These present an immediate risk for US LNG developers, particularly for the five projects under construction and the six others expected to reach final investment decisions this year. Metals account for up to 30pc of the cost of building an LNG export plant. An LNG terminal can cost $5bn-25bn to build, depending on its size, with steel used for pipelines, tanks and other structural frameworks. US facilities can be built using some domestic metal, but higher prices for this may lead to construction and final investment decision delays for the country's planned liquefaction projects. US tariffs' primary effect on the domestic gas market stems from duties levied on non-energy goods used by the oil and gas industry, including steel and specialised pipeline components such as valves and compressors, which are imported from overseas. The US remains a net natural gas importer from Canada , but these flows are unlikely to be affected by trade tariffs given the lack of alternative supply sources available to some northern US states. US LNG project pipeline mn t/yr Project Capacity Expected start/FID Under construction Plaquemines 19.2 2025 Corpus Christi stage 3 12.0 2025 Golden Pass 18.1 2026 Rio Grande 17.6 2027 Port Arthur 13.5 2027 Waiting for final investment decision Delfin FLNG 1 13.2 mid-2025 Texas LNG 4.0 2025 Calcasieu Pass 2 28.0 mid-2025 Corpus Christi train 8-9 3.3 2025 Louisiana LNG 16.5 mid-2025 Cameron train 4 6.8 mid-2025 Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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German coalition negotiations come to an end


09/04/25
News
09/04/25

German coalition negotiations come to an end

London, 9 April (Argus) — Germany's centre-left SPD and centre-right CDU parties announced a final coalition agreement today, which includes some changes to energy policy. The parties still need to sign off on the agreement. The SPD will ask its members to vote on the text, which it expects could take about 10 days. And the CDU plans to hold a small party conference on the topic at the end of this month, meaning that the new government could be sworn in by early May. The coalition still plans to abolish the gas storage levy "for all" as part of its plan to lower energy prices for households and industry. And the parties plan to introduce "suitable instruments" to ensure gas storage filling to safeguard security of supply in a "more cost-effective" way. There is a large focus on lowering energy prices for industry in the hope of turning the tide on Germany's continued industrial slump, for example through lower electricity taxes, a cap on power grid fees and special relief for energy-intensive industries "otherwise not reached by subsidy plans". The government plans to "make possible and flank diversified, cheap long-term gas contracts with international suppliers" and "use potentials of conventional domestic gas production". And while the government is "examining strategic state holdings in the energy sector, also with grid operators", it will reduce its shares in Uniper and SEFE — which it had acquired in the gas crisis in 2022 — to "strategic shares". The state needs to sell down its stake in the two companies by 2028 but will probably retain a minority share, with the EU allowing a maximum 25pc plus one share, energy ministry officials previously said . Support for gas-fired power The parties reiterated their commitment to encourage the buildout of up to 20GW of dispatchable power generation capacity, with no apparent requirement for the plants to be hydrogen-ready. The parties plan to put forward a bill to allow carbon capture and storage for hard-to-abate emissions from industry as well as gas-fired power plants "immediately after the beginning of the new parliament". The coalition said that the timing of the coal phase-out "has to be judged on how quickly it is achieved to build out dispatchable gas-fired capacities", but it still commits to ending coal burn by 2038. The government reiterated its plan to use grid reserve capacity to stabilise power prices rather than only to stabilise the grid during supply shortages. Associations have warned about the implications of letting grid reserve plants participate in the open market on investment incentives for new generation capacity. It also remains unclear how long it would take to get Brussels' approval for a new subsidy scheme for dispatchable power generation capacity, given that the EU approved the outgoing government's power plant strategy only after lengthy negotiations. Heating sector plan thin on detail The future of Germany's heating law remains unclear in the coalition agreement. The coalition agreement keeps the CDU's standpoint that the outgoing government's buildings energy act will be "abolished", which the SPD had not agreed with in the negotiation documents. But the parties said that a new buildings energy act will be more technology neutral and flexible, indicating that there will still be some legislation to reduce carbon intensity of the built environment. The parties propose a "reachable greenhouse gas avoidance" as the key variable of a new policy, instead of the percentage of renewable energy used in the system as under the existing law. This could end up supporting gas-fired over oil-based heating or providing an incentive to replace older gas boilers with newer models. But the government plans to retain subsidies for new heating systems and insulation measures, which provide large incentives for the uptake of heat pumps. Heat pump industry association BWP welcomed this commitment, combined with a pledge to reduce power prices by about €0.05/kWh, saying that these are "clear signals of an improvement in the framework conditions for the industry". The final coalition agreement again contains a reference to a possible green gas quota , which could support gas-based heating systems, for example through biomethane or hydrogen which could be used to fulfil the quota. The parties said today that they would work out a "roadmap for de-fossilised energy sources" and that it is important to "preserve gas grids which are important for a secure heat supply". By Till Stehr Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU states propose 10pp flexibility on EU gas storage


09/04/25
News
09/04/25

EU states propose 10pp flexibility on EU gas storage

London, 9 April (Argus) — EU member states have put forward a fourth working draft of proposed amendments to the bloc's gas storage regulations, introducing leeway for a deviation of up to 10 percentage points (pp) from the 1 November target. The new document builds on the previous version of proposed amendments published in late March , and goes further with flexibility allowances for member states by introducing the possibility of deviating by up to 10pp from the 90pc 1 November target in case of "unfavourable market conditions, such as indications of possible market manipulations, or of trading activities hindering cost-effective storage filling, that significantly limit the ability to ensure that the gas storages are filled in accordance with this regulation". The previous version of proposals had only allowed for a 5pp deviation. The flexibility would also be extended to member states with derogations, with the five countries who have a 1 November target equivalent to 35pc of annual consumption having an allowed deviation of 3.88pp, while countries without their own storage who are obliged to store 15pc of average annual consumption abroad may deviate by 1.66pp. The previous clause stating that Germany and Austria must share responsibility for filling the cross-border facilities of Haidach and 7Fields would be replaced by a new clause instead specifying that Slovakia and the Czech Republic will share joint responsibility for filling the Dolni Bojanovice facility on the latter's territory, which has since April begun operating as a cross-border storage. The two states must decide on the ratio of filling responsibilities based on a bilateral agreement between them. The intergovernmental agreement between Germany and Austria on the filling of Haidach and 7Fields expires at the end of 2025. Intermediary targets, referred to as the ‘filling trajectory', would also explicitly be made "indicative" only, while the 1 November target, referred to as the ‘filling target', could instead be reached at any point between 1 October and 1 December. Once 90pc is reached in this period, it does not need to be maintained afterwards. These terms are consistent with the previous version from late March. Other important changes also remain the same as those previously proposed. One amendment allows a further 5pp leeway on top of the 10pp already allowed if a member state's gas production exceeds annual consumption over the previous two years, or if "specific technical characteristics" of an individual facility above 40TWh of capacity located on its territory require a "slow injection rate" causing an "exceptionally long" injection period of more than 115 days. The only storages above 40TWh are Germany's Rehden and the Netherlands' Norg and Bergermeer, while Denmark is the only country that nears having larger production than consumption, although the previous two years' data do not quite reach this. The European Commission would also be empowered to adopt delegated acts to further increase the allowed deviation for one filling season in case of "persistent unfavourable market conditions", provided that the security of supply of the union and member states is not "undermined". Member states using any of the flexibility provided for above shall "consult the commission and provide justification immediately", the proposal says. The commission will then "promptly update" the Gas Coordination Group (GCG) on the cumulative effects of all granted flexibilities in a "timely manner". The new document also maintains that the commission should continuously monitor the market and explore ways to help meet the filling target, "for example measures of financial nature, in particular when using demand aggregation and joint purchasing mechanism". Where a member state fails to meet its filling target in a given year, its competent authority shall "take effective measures to ensure security of supply considering the price impact on the gas market", and is required to inform the commission and GCG "without delay". The proposed amendments to the legal text note that the regulation will come into force on the day following its publication in the EU's official law journal, although it is unclear whether this will apply to the filling trajectory and target for 2025 or not. The European Parliament's energy committee debated the proposals ahead of a vote on 24 April , and chairman Borys Budka says he expects a compromise on amendments in the coming days. By Brendan A'Hearn Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Tokyo may use Alaska LNG as leverage in US tariff talks


09/04/25
News
09/04/25

Tokyo may use Alaska LNG as leverage in US tariff talks

Osaka, 9 April (Argus) — Tokyo will likely use the possibility of purchases from the US' proposed 20mn t/yr Alaska LNG export project, as part of wider efforts to reduce the US' trade deficit with Japan, to negotiate for a better tariff deal. US president Donald Trump's 10pc tariff on imports from all countries took effect on 5 April, with exemptions for some commodities . The higher "reciprocal" taxes are due to enter into force at 12:01 ET (04:01 GMT) on 9 April, including Japan at 24pc. The Japanese government on 8 April held its first ministerial task force with prime minister Shigeru Ishiba attending, to discuss potential measures against new US tariffs. Details are still under consideration, but Ishiba is ready to use every possible method to mitigate the impact of looming US tariffs on the Japanese economy, as he sees this as a "national disaster". Japan, a long-standing ally of the US, is unlikely to respond in kind to the US tariff and will instead seek mutually beneficial solutions. Ishiba is aiming to present Trump with a package of measures across a wide range of issues, such as in the energy, agriculture, shipbuilding and automobile sectors, rather than piecemeal requests. The package could include Japan's stance on the Alaska LNG project and ethanol developments, Ishiba stated on 7 April when responding to questions in the Diet. Tokyo may use the Alaska LNG as part of its tariff negotiation, as buying more US LNG could ease Japan's trade surplus against the US. The trade imbalance between Japan and the US stood at ¥8.64 trillion in 2024, equivalent to about $58.6bn at current exchange rates, Japanese customs data show. Japan's LNG purchases from the US rose by 15pc on the year to 6.34mn t in 2024, accounting for nearly 10pc of the country's total LNG imports. Japan has committed to continuing strengthening energy security and co-operation with the US, as well as South Korea, leveraging US LNG along with other energy sources and technologies in a mutually beneficial manner, the countries said in a joint statement after the trilateral foreign ministers' meeting in Brussels on 3 April, just after Trump announced the baseline 10pc taxes on 2 April. Ishiba had already mentioned the idea of ramping up purchases of US LNG, as well as ethanol, ammonia and other resources, when he visited Trump in Washington in February . But he emphasised the importance of stable and reasonable prices for such LNG imports. Alaska LNG has made little progress in recent years and is yet to secure any offtake agreements. But it has drawn interest, after Trump devoted one of his first executive orders to the development of Alaskan energy. South Korea's energy minister expressed the country's interest in the project during a visit in late March , while Taiwan's state-owned CPC signed an initial agreement to invest in and purchase LNG from the project, according to Taiwan's Ministry of Economic Affairs . Auto deal But it remains unclear if a possible purchase of Alaska LNG alone would satisfy Washington and help reduce tariffs. The Trump administration has expressed strong dissatisfaction against Japanese non-tariff barriers on US car deliveries. "US automakers face a variety of non-tariff barriers that impede access to the Japanese and Korean automotive markets, including non-acceptance of certain US standards, duplicative testing and certification requirements, and transparency issues", the US government said on 2 April. Japan imported around 23,000 units of passenger vehicles from the US in 2023, according to the industry group Japan Automobile Importers Association, and this is near one-tenth of all deliveries from European nations. Tokyo appears to be struggling to find breakthrough solutions on this decades-long bilateral economic issue. There must be a variety of reasons on why American cars are not coming into the Japanese market, while Japanese cars are selling well in the US, said the Japanese minister for trade and industry Yoji Muto on 8 April. "We still need more time to figure that out." Ishiba on 8 April appointed the minister of state for Economic and Fiscal Policy, Ryosei Akazawa, as a negotiator for the trade talks with the US government. By Motoko Hasegawa and Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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