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Cop 27: S Africa needs more grant money for transition

  • Market: Coal
  • 08/11/22

A larger proportion of the funding pledged by international partners for South Africa's energy transition must be grants — rather than concessional or commercial loans — as the latter increase the country's debt burden, according to President Cyril Ramaphosa.

The South African government has found that only 2.7pc of the $8.5bn pledged last year by the US, the UK, the EU, France and Germany under the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JET-P) to support South Africa's transition was grant money, "while other portions were concessional loans, loans offered by development funding institutions as well as normal commercial institutions", Ramaphosa said.

Concessional loans are granted on more generous terms than market loans, with lower interest rates or grace periods for payment. The JET-P deal was signed during the Cop 26 UN climate conference last year to support South Africa's transition to a low-carbon economy and, specifically, to accelerate its phase-out of coal-fired power.

"The deal was quite historic in the sense that real money was committed," Ramaphosa said today at the Cop 27 UN climate conference in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt. But the financing mechanisms, both from public and commercial finance institutions, need to provide "good concessional loans and be upgraded towards grants and non-debt instruments", so it does not burden the country with more debt, he said. Ratings agency Fitch said earlier this year that South Africa's debt is still rising, despite increased revenues from higher commodities prices.

The JET-P ignited "hope that this partnership will offer ground-breaking processes for funding by developed countries, for the ambitious but necessary mitigation and adaptation goals of developing countries", Ramaphosa said. The partnership was quickly lauded as a model for how developing countries across the world can use international support to achieve their decarbonisation goals by moving towards cleaner energy sources, with talk of other partnerships underway with India, Indonesia or Senegal. But Ramaphosa said a reform of multilateral development banks, as well as international financing institutions, and the mobilisation of commercial banks is needed to meet the financial requirements of South Africa and many other developing countries.

The JET-P provides only a fraction of the funding that South Africa needs. The country will require around $98bn over the next five years to start its 20-year energy transition, according to the country's recently released Just Energy Transition Investment Plan. The plan includes a portfolio of investments across three priority sectors — electricity, green hydrogen and new energy vehicles.

"We have communicated [the amount we need for our transition] to our partners, and have said that because South Africa carries a sizeable loan burden, which it has to service from its fiscus, we require more grant funding," Ramaphosa said. At Cop 27, "we have been holding a number of bilateral meetings aimed at consolidating views on climate action, just transition as well as on funding processes. Our meetings have been beneficial", he said. "We hope that these discussions will continue in that vein," he added.

"We believe it is only with significant additional funding that we can ensure the future generation of South Africans live in an environment that has not been destroyed because of the inactions of today's leaders," Ramaphosa said, adding that African countries are losing 3-5pc of their GDP because of the effects of climate change.


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21/11/24

Cost of government support for fossil fuels still high

Cost of government support for fossil fuels still high

London, 21 November (Argus) — The cost of government measures to support the consumption and production of fossil fuels dropped by almost third last year as energy prices declined from record highs in 2022, according to a new report published today by the OECD. But the level of fiscal support remained higher than the historical average despite government pledges to reduce carbon emissions. In an analysis of 82 economies, data from the OECD and the IEA found that government support for fossil fuels fell to an estimated $1.1 trillion in 2023 from $1.6 trillion a year earlier. Although energy prices were lower last year than in 2022, countries maintained various fiscal measures to both stimulate fossil fuel production and reduce the burden of high energy costs for consumers, the OECD said. The measures are in the form of direct payments by governments to individual recipients, tax concessions and price support. The latter includes "direct price regulation, pricing formulas, border controls or taxes, and domestic purchase or supply mandates", the OECD said. These government interventions come at a large financial cost and increase carbon emissions, undermining the net-zero transition, the report said. Of the estimated $1.1 trillion of support, direct transfers and tax concessions accounted for $514.1bn, up from $503.7bn in 2022. Transfers amounted to $269.8bn, making them more costly than tax concessions of $244.3bn. Some 90pc of the transfers were to support consumption by households and companies, the rest was to support producers. The residential sector benefited from a 22pc increase from a year earlier, and support to manufacturers and industry increased by 14pc. But the majority of fuel consumption measures are untargeted, and support largely does not land where it is needed, the OECD said. The "under-pricing" of fossil fuels amounted to $616.4bn last year, around half of the 2022 level, the report said. "Benchmark prices (based on energy supply costs) eased, particularly for natural gas, thereby decreasing the difference between the subsidised end-user prices and the benchmark prices," it said. In terms of individual fossil fuels, the fiscal cost of support for coal fell the most, to $27.7bn in 2023 from $43.5bn a year earlier. The cost of support for natural gas has grown steadily in recent years, amounting to $343bn last year compared with $144bn in 2018. The upward trend is explained by its characterisation as a transition fuel and the disruption of Russian pipeline supplies to Europe, the report said. By Alejandro Moreano and Tim van Gardingen Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Cop: Australia backs no new coal power call: Correction


20/11/24
News
20/11/24

Cop: Australia backs no new coal power call: Correction

Corrects missing word in headline London, 20 November (Argus) — Major coal producers Australia and Colombia, along with the EU and 23 other countries including the UK, have pledged not to allow any new unabated coal-fired power generation in their energy systems at the UN Cop 29 climate summit in Baku, Azerbaijan. This comes a day after Colombia, New Zealand and the UK joined a Netherlands-led international coalition focused on phasing out incentives and subsidies for fossil fuels. Most of the coal pact signatories are members of the Powering Past Coal Alliance, under which some countries have committed to phasing out existing unabated coal power generation. Australia is not listed as a member of the alliance, but the cities of Sydney, Melbourne and Canberra are. Unsurprisingly, the list of signatories did not include China or India, the two world's largest coal importers. It also does not include the US, although the country is part of the Powering Past Coal Alliance. "There is no space for new unabated coal in a 1.5°C or even 2°C aligned pathway, yet coal capacity rose by 2pc last year," the pact signatories said today. The pledge focuses on coal-fired generation and does not mention the phasing out of exports or imports. Australia, is the world's second-largest seaborne coal exporter. The country is looking to host Cop 31 in 2026 by outbidding Turkey for the spot. But no realistic policy changes in coal exports is expected from Australia, which will have a federal parliamentary election by May 2025 and winning votes from key coal mining regions in New South Wales and Queensland has proven to be crucial in recent elections. Turkey is on track to overtake Germany as Europe's largest coal-fired generator this year and was not among the signatories of today's coal pledge. Amid calls for a faster phase-down of unabated coal-fired power generation, global coal trade is set to reach a record high of more than 1.5bn t this year , surpassing last year's 1.38bn t, according to IEA data. Coal consumption will probably remain resilient, supported by higher electricity demand growth in China and India. China has not set a new climate plan since 2021, but it is expected to ramp up its ambitions in a new plan due by February 2025. India and Indonesia are strongly encouraging higher coal production to ensure energy security. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) in September lowered its forecast for US coal-fired generation in this year but raised its expectation for 2025 . By Shreyashi Sanyal Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Indonesia advances coal-fired power phase-out to 2040


20/11/24
News
20/11/24

Indonesia advances coal-fired power phase-out to 2040

London, 20 November (Argus) — Indonesia plans to retire all coal-fired power plants within the next 15 years, advancing an earlier target of 2056, President Prabowo Subianto said today. This follows from Subianto's address at the G20 Summit in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on 19 November, where he emphasised the importance of global collaboration to achieve green energy transition. He also claimed Indonesia is optimistic it can reach net zero emissions before 2050, a decade ahead of its previous commitment. "We plan to build more than 75GW of renewable energy in the next 15 years [to replace coal-fired power]," Subianto added. His claims come at a time when Indonesia's deputy minister of energy and mineral resources (ESDM) Yuliot Tanjung admitted in a speech today that the country's reliance on coal for electricity is still high. Tanjung said the country has huge potential for solar and hydropower generation, owing to its geographical location, but they require technological developments and large investment. Indonesia has the world's fifth-largest operating coal-fired power capacity of 52.31GW, with about 9.81GW more under construction, according to Global Energy Monitor data. Only about 15pc of Indonesia's total installed generation capacity of more than 90GW is currently powered by renewables. New coal-fired projects have continued to be proposed this year, despite the Indonesian government's previous commitment in 2021 to stop building new coal-fired plants after 2023. In addition to power generation, coal is also heavily utilised in Indonesian industry, which contributed to domestic coal production reaching a record 720mn t so far this year. Indonesia could also be on track for a new output record this year, with ESDM expecting 2024 output to surpass 800mn t, up from 775mn t in 2023, if the current output trend continues for the rest of this year. Indonesia and the Philippines are the two most coal-reliant countries in southeast Asia, according to energy think-tank Ember. By Ashima Sharma Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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China to quit coal baseload power by 2050: Think tank


20/11/24
News
20/11/24

China to quit coal baseload power by 2050: Think tank

Singapore, 20 November (Argus) — Coal power in China will shift from being a baseload to a backup power source by 2050, according to a government-linked think tank last week. China is expected to move to a cleaner energy system with solar and wind power as its core, displacing coal as the main power source, according to the China Energy Transformation Outlook 2024 released on 13 November at the Cop 29 climate conference in Baku, Azerbaijan. The Energy Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research, a think tank under China's National Development and Reform Commission, was the key contributor to this report. Installed renewable power capacity is projected to account for 95pc of China's potential total capacity of 10,530-11,820GW in 2060, before which China aims to achieve carbon neutrality, according to the report. Renewable sources are expected to generate 93pc of power in 2060. This would be a significant change from the current mix in China. Renewables made up 52pc of total capacity of 2,920GW in 2023, while thermal power capacity was 48pc, according to China's National Energy Administration. Renewable sources and thermal power, which is mainly coal-fired, generated 30pc and 70pc of power respectively in 2023, according to the country's National Bureau of Statistics. "By 2050, coal power will preliminarily serve as an emergency and backup resource for the grid, providing essential support in critical power events," the report said. Solar and wind Significant growth in solar and wind installations is expected to lead China's energy transition, supported by lower costs. Solar power capacity is projected to reach 6,370-7,240GW in 2060, accounting for two-thirds of total capacity, while wind power capacity could reach 2,950-3,460GW, according to the report. Among the installed solar capacity, 70pc will be distributed systems, which are smaller power generation systems compared to large, utility-scale systems. Costs of solar and wind power generation in China have fallen by 80pc and 60pc respectively over the past decade, the report said. The report elaborated on ways to manage the volatility of renewable sources via various energy storage systems. Solar power output usually increases rapidly during the day with abundant sunlight. When output exceeds the power load, energy is stored in pumped hydro, chemical, hydrogen and electrofuels, electric vehicles and industry demand response storages. These storage systems can then discharge electricity to generate power in the evening when solar output stops, and when wind output is low. New energy storage solutions are expected to support increased electrification in China, which will play a key role in reducing the country's carbon emissions, the report said. Electrification involves replacing technologies or processes that use fossil fuels with electrically-powered equivalents, such as electric vehicles. By Jinhe Tan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Coal shipments fall at Australia's PWCS terminals


20/11/24
News
20/11/24

Coal shipments fall at Australia's PWCS terminals

Sydney, 20 November (Argus) — Shipments from the Port Waratah Coal Services (PWCS) terminals at Australia's key port of Newcastle fell 4.1pc on the year in October, from 9.1mn t to 8.7mn t, according to PWCS data, as high-grade coal prices jumped 12.9pc over the same period. Year-to-date shipments from the terminal remain above 2023 levels owing to high shipping volumes in the first quarter of the year. Vessel turnaround times at the terminal in October were down 14.8pc on the year, from 4.7 days to 4.1 days. Argus ' NAR 6,000 kcal/kg coal fob Newcastle price reached a low of $118/t in February 2024, before rising to $140/t in November. October was the third-busiest month at the port this year. PWCS' coal stockpile fell 30pc, from 2mn t to 1.7mn t, from September to October. By Avinash Govind PWCS coal loading data Oct '24 Sep '24 Oct '23 Jan - Oct '24 Jan - Oct '23 PWCS loadings (mn t) 8.7 7.8 9.1 82.0 76.8 PWCS stockpiles (mn t) 1.4 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.5 PWCS turnaround time (days) 4.1 3.1 4.8 4.7 2.5 Newcastle ship queue (vessels) 17.0 NO DATA 9.0 22.7 10.9 Source: PWCS, Newcastle Port * PWCS loadings is total YTD, all others are average per month YTD Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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