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US allows Chevron to lift Venezuelan oil: Update

  • Market: Crude oil
  • 26/11/22

Adds comment, detail.

US president Joe Biden's administration will allow Chevron to sell crude cargoes from its joint ventures in Venezuela as a reward to Caracas for agreeing to resume talks between the government and political opposition.

The action will not significantly affect Venezuela's oil exports or global oil markets. Chevron's sales from its joint ventures with Venezuelan state-owned PdV amounted to 42,000 b/d in 2019, the last full year before Washington tightened restrictions on the terms of US companies operating in that country.

But the US Treasury Department's authorization, issued today, is the first significant step relaxing a sanctions regime imposed on Venezuela under former president Donald Trump.

"This action reflects longstanding US policy to provide targeted sanctions relief based on concrete steps that alleviate the suffering of the Venezuelan people and support the restoration of democracy," the US Treasury Department said today.

Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro's government and an opposition alliance led by Juan Guiado agreed earlier this week to resume talks this weekend in Mexico City, nominally to agree on a path toward holding free and fair elections in 2024. The Maduro government and the opposition also backed a UN-administered program to provide food, medicine and other humanitarian goods to Venezuela.

Treasury released Chevron's license on a Saturday following the US Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, underscoring the urgency of the matter to the US administration. And in a departure from previous waivers issued to US companies, Chevron's authorization to lift cargoes from Venezuela does not have an expiration date.

PdV is the majority shareholder in Chevron's oil assets, of which only PetroPiar and PetroBoscan in western Venezuela were active when the US company was forced to halt activities in 2020. Chevron has 30pc of PetroPiar and 39pc of PetroBoscan. The company also has 34pc of the PetroIndependencia joint venture in the oil belt, and 25pc of PetroIndependiente in the west. And on the maritime border with Trinidad and Tobago, Chevron has 60pc of the Loran natural gas field.

Treasury's license issued today allows Chevron to produce and sell crude cargoes from its joint ventures, but only to the US. Other US buyers will be allowed to import oil produced at PdV-Chevron joint ventures, so long as those cargoes are first sold to Chevron. And the US major will be allowed to export diluent, condensate and other oil products to Venezuela for use in production and lifting of oil from its joint ventures.

Treasury's license would still forbid Chevron paying royalties and taxes to the Venezuelan government or dividends to PdV. And Chevron will not be allowed to expand its presence in Venezuela beyond the joint ventures in place as of January 2019.

"It does not generate any real incentives for Maduro," Francisco Monaldi with Rice University's Baker Institute for Public Policy said.

A Chevron in-country representative told Argus before the licenses were announced that his company could add up to 200,000 b/d in 12 months if sanctions were eased, but output from some of Chevron's ventures have declined or hit zero in recent months.

"We are a constructive presence in Venezuela, where we have dedicated investments and a large workforce who are dependent on our presence," Chevron said on 23 November, before the Treasury license was issued. "We remain committed to the safety and well-being of our employees and their families, the integrity of our joint venture assets, and the company's social and humanitarian programs during these challenging times."

Treasury separately extended authorization for oil services companies Schlumberger, Halliburton, Baker Hughes and Weatherford to remain in Venezuela, until 26 May 2023.

US Senate Foreign Relations Committee chairman Bob Menendez (D-New Jersey), who previously opposed any form of sanctions relief for Venezuela, gave his grudging approval today. "If Maduro again tries to use these negotiations to buy time to further consolidate his criminal dictatorship, the US and our international partners must snap back the full force of our sanctions that brought his regime to the negotiating table in the first place," Menendez said.


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PE firm Elliott bids $7.3bn for Citgo assets: Update

PE firm Elliott bids $7.3bn for Citgo assets: Update

Adds reaction from Amber, details throughout. Houston, 27 September (Argus) — An affiliate of private equity group Elliott Investment Management has been selected as the top bidder in an auction for US refiner Citgo, with a bid of $7.286bn. The special master for the auction, being held in the US District Court for the District of Delaware, will need to make a final formal recommendation for the court to choose the Elliott affiliate, Amber Energy, pending a 1 October hearing with parties disputing the auction. But a final hearing to ratify the sale of over 800,000 b/d of refining capacity could be held in November. Final bids for Citgo's US refineries, lubricant plants, midstream and retail assets were submitted on 11 June, with the auction aiming to satisfy debts owed by the company's parent firm, Venezuelan state-owned PdV. If the sale to Amber moves forward following a successful November hearing, it will mark the largest purchase of US refining assets since Andeavor's acquisition by Marathon Petroleum in 2018. "Amber Energy's strategy for growth includes plans to reinvest in the business and potentially pursue strategic investments that enhance the profitability of Citgo," the company said. Citgo was not immediately available for comment. Amber is lead by chief executive Gregory Goff, who was previously chairman, president, and chief executive officer of Andeavor. Company president Jeff Stevens is currently president of Franklin Mountain Energy, which is focused on the Permian basin. He has also been an executive officer of independent refiner and marketer Western Refining. The company plans to keep the Citgo brand, and expects the deal to close by mid-2025. Conditions of the deal include the buyer applying for and acquiring a license from the US Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control, because the ultimate owner of Citgo is Venezuelan state-owned PdV, which is subject to US sanctions. "We look forward to partnering with the people of Citgo to ensure that the company continues to operate with the highest standards of safety and reliability," Amber said. Even though it is owned by PdV, Citgo since 2019 has operated under a board appointed by the Venezuelan opposition and vetted by the US government after the US rejected Venezuela's 2018 presidential election as illegitimate. PdV remains under control of President Nicolas Maduro's government. Maduro has rejected the US court proceedings on selling Citgo as "theft" and the issue is likely to feature in his protracted battle with the US-backed opposition, which claims to have defeated Maduro in the July presidential election. The court earlier this year approved a ranking order in which debtors will be paid out of proceeds, rather than allocating them on a pro rata basis. The first in line is defunct Canadian mining firm Crystallex, now owned by New York hedge fund Tenor Capital, with a $990mn claim. ConocoPhillips has a total of three claims approved by court, but only two of those are likely to be satisfied, potentially netting $1.4bn. The next largest is a $1.5bn claim by Russian-Canadian gold miner Rusoro, while energy company Koch's minerals arm is chasing a $457mn claim. Separate US court proceedings involve holders of $3.4bn in PdV 2020 bonds guaranteed by 50.1pc in Citgo Holding — a PdVH-owned legal entity that directly owns Citgo. In theory, the bondholders have the right to be paid first before other claimants are satisfied. The US government has blocked the bondholders' ability to pursue the claim, most recently issuing a ban that is valid until mid-October. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Elliott bids $7.3bn for Citgo assets


27/09/24
News
27/09/24

Elliott bids $7.3bn for Citgo assets

Houston, 27 September (Argus) — An affiliate of private equity group Elliott Investment Management has been selected as the top bidder in an auction for US refiner Citgo, with a bid of $7.286bn. The special master for the auction, being held in the US District Court for the District of Delaware, will need to make a final formal recommendation the court choose the Elliott affiliate, Amber Energy, pending a 1 October hearing with parties disputing the auction. But a final a hearing to ratify the sale of over 800,000 b/d of refining capacity could be held in November. Final bids for Citgo's US refineries, lubricant plants, midstream and retail assets were submitted on 11 June, with the auction aiming to satisfy debts owed by the company's parent firm, Venezuelan state-owned PdV. If the sale to Amber moves forward, following a successful November hearing, it will mark the largest purchase of US refining assets since Andeavor's acquisition by Marathon Petroleum in 2018. Since 2019 Citgo has operated under a board appointed by the Venezuelan opposition and vetted by the US government after the US rejected Venezuela's 2018 presidential election as illegitimate. But its ultimate parent company, state-owned PdV, remains under control of the Maduro government. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Haftar’s lucrative oil blockade


27/09/24
News
27/09/24

Haftar’s lucrative oil blockade

The general's eastern power base appears to be benefiting financially, but the country's economy is suffering, writes Aydin Calik London, 27 September (Argus) — Libya's oil blockade has entered its second month with more than half of its typical crude production of 1.2mn b/d off line. Although the UN's Libya mission reports progress in efforts to resolve a leadership crisis at the central bank that sparked the blockade, a workable solution could yet prove elusive. But whether the blockade is lifted in days or endures for weeks, the shutdowns have demonstrated eastern-based general Khalifa Haftar's ability to choke his rivals in the west of oil revenues at little cost to himself. Previous wide-scale blockades instituted by Haftar exacted a heavy toll on both the internationally recognised administration in the west and parallel administrations he has propped up in the east. But this time around, Haftar has managed to design the blockade to avoid the financial and political costs associated with past shutdowns. For one, the current shutdowns at oil fields can only really be described as a partial oil blockade. Libya has exported more than 400,000 b/d of crude so far this month, with almost all of this from eastern terminals where operations were ordered to stop in late August. Argus estimates Opec member Libya's current crude production at about 500,000 b/d. Most of this production is part of state-owned NOC's crude-for-products programme, which feeds a booming fuel-smuggling industry in the east. There has been no let-up here. Imports of refined products this month are at their highest on record at 300,000 b/d, according to Kpler, far beyond Libya's real domestic needs. Some crude is also being exported by eastern-based Libyan firm Arkenu Oil, which analysts suspect was set up to create a direct oil revenue stream independent of the central bank in Tripoli. "The Haftar family has managed the feat of orchestrating an economically lucrative oil blockade," senior fellow at the Atlantic Council Emadeddin Badi says. And some crude output is being kept on line to feed domestic refineries and allow associated gas production to supply power plants. Past blockades have tended to cause power cuts and reduce domestic supplies of diesel and gasoline, putting pressure on Haftar to lift them. But now, he can keep revenue channels open and mostly absolve himself from any backlash resulting from insufficient domestic energy supplies. General practice Haftar's ability to design the blockade to suit his interests partly derives from an informal deal in July 2022 that saw him end a months-long oil blockade in return for installing Farhat ben Gudara as chairman of NOC. In this role, ben Gudara has proven far more co-operative than his predecessor Mustafa Sanalla, who refused to allow Haftar to benefit from any blockade he imposed. That "deal" had underpinned the relative peace between the country's east and west since. If a durable solution to the current leadership crisis at the central bank is to be achieved, a new arrangement between east and west will need to be worked out. Horse-trading behind the scenes continues. "There's still a lot of negotiations to go as far as Libyan politics is concerned," an oil industry source says on the possibility of the blockade being lifted. The longer the central bank crisis persists, the more precarious Libya's economic predicament becomes. Oil revenues that usually flow into the bank have all but stopped and its ability to conduct international financial transactions has been degraded. But even if a resolution is found and oil production returns to normal levels, this would at best represent a fragile and temporary solution to a long-term problem — the lack of a coherent central authority. Worryingly, Libya is a long way from any sort of political process that could heal its divisions. Libya crude production Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US Gulf oil shut-ins drop as Helene nears landfall


26/09/24
News
26/09/24

US Gulf oil shut-ins drop as Helene nears landfall

New York, 26 September (Argus) — US Gulf of Mexico oil production shut-in levels fell today as Hurricane Helene bore down on Florida's west coast as a category 3 storm, bringing the threat of dangerous storm surge and winds. Around 441,923 b/d of US offshore oil output, or 25pc, was off line as of 12:30pm ET, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). That is down from 29pc on Wednesday as the eastern Gulf path of the storm took it farther away from most offshore production facilities. About 363.39mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 20pc of the region's output, was also off line today, up from 17pc on Wednesday. Operators have evacuated workers from 27 offshore platforms. Helene was last about 145 miles west-southwest of Tampa, Florida, packing maximum winds of 120mph, according to a 4pm ET advisory from the US National Hurricane Center. Further intensification is likely and Helene could approach the coast at category 4 strength, with winds of at least 130mph. Landfall is expected near Port Leon on Apalachee Bay Thursday evening before Helene is forecast to turn northwestward and slow down over the Tennessee Valley on Friday and into the weekend. Earlier this week, offshore operators including BP, Equinor and Chevron took the precaution of suspending some operations and evacuating workers from offshore facilities in advance of the hurricane. Some facilities have since started back up as the hurricane's track shifted away from the main oil and gas hub in the region. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Opec+, Saudis have no target oil price: sources


26/09/24
News
26/09/24

Opec+, Saudis have no target oil price: sources

Dubai, 26 September (Argus) — Neither Saudi Arabia nor the wider Opec+ group have any specific target for oil prices, and no member of the producers' alliance is about to abandon output discipline in favour of chasing market share, multiple Opec+ sources have told Argus . Oil prices fell earlier on Thursday following unconfirmed press reports that Saudi Arabia may be willing to tolerate lower oil prices as part of a plan to increase crude output to regain market share. Sources within Opec+ have since dismissed those assertions outright, insisting that the basis for the group's collective decision-making will always be market fundamentals, and in particular the five-year average of crude inventories, rather than targeting any particular oil price. "Neither Opec+, Opec nor the Saudis have any price target, let alone $100/bl," one source said, in response to a Financial Times report that stated Saudi Arabia is ready to "abandon its unofficial price target of $100/bl". A second source said the $100/bl figure being reported is not a target but is more likely to refer to a recent estimate issued by banks and other financial institutions of Saudi Arabia's "so-called break-even oil price" — that is, the price the kingdom needs to cover its spending plans. In April, the IMF estimated Saudi Arabia's breakeven oil price at $96.20 for 2024, almost 20pc above the previous year and around a third higher than current Ice Brent futures. "The breakeven is, at best, indicative, but does not tell the full story," the source said. Focusing on it "is totally devoid of the idea that a government has a host of other tools to manage an economy — issuing bonds, borrowing, adjusting one's budget". Eight Opec+ producers, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, were due to begin a phased return of around 2.2mn b/d of "voluntary" output cuts from the start of next month. But mounting concerns over the strength of the global economy, and in turn oil demand, prompted the group to defer the plan by two months to December. With worries around oil demand not going away, and the market looking likely to flip into a surplus from the start of next year, some observers are questioning whether there will be any need for an increase in Opec+ supply from December. And if the eight members go ahead with unwinding the cuts regardless, whether that would signal a shift in the group's focus to chasing market share. But a third source rejected that view, as the group would "only be reversing what we have cut". "As a group, we have said time and time again that these cuts were both voluntary and temporary, and always stressed that they could be paused or reversed," the source said. "And earlier this month, that's exactly what we did with the two-month deferral to December." December or bust? The rationale to delay the increase in production to December was twofold, according to Opec+ sources. It not only reflected the uncertainty around the global economy, the US and Chinese economies, interest rates and demand. But more importantly, the decision was made to allow Opec+ members that have overproduced this year ꟷ namely Iraq, Kazakhstan and Russia ꟷ more time to show they are serious about compensating for exceeding their output targets. "There is so much uncertainty today which we, as Opec+, have no control over," one of the sources said. "But what we do control is our own affairs." Iraq and Kazakhstan have been under intense pressure in recent months to not only adhere to their pledged targets, but also compensate for past overproduction. While Kazakhstan did manage to produce below its target in August, Iraq continued to struggle. All eyes will be on how these countries do in September. "The overproduction is impacting our credibility, and we need to tackle that. Discipline is paramount," the source said. Reports that Saudi Arabia is committed to start unwinding cuts from December, come what may, are wide of the mark for several reasons, another source said. "First, this is not a decision for Saudi Arabia to make. It is for all eight to decide," he said. The group also still has several weeks before it has to decide whether to proceed with the plan, or defer again, the source added. A decision is due in the first week of November, by which time the group should have better visibility on market fundamentals and Iraqi and Kazakh compensation efforts. "How could we make a decision now when we don't even have September production figures?" the source said. By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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