N Dakota CO2 bills challenge to oil producers

Market: Crude oil, Emissions
27/01/23

Several proposed North Dakota laws set for debate today could bolster rights for property owners but challenge the state oil industry's plans to use carbon dioxide (CO2) to boost future production.

Companies building pipelines to carry CO2 in North Dakota would need consent from as much as 85pc of landowners on the pipeline right of way to proceed under a draft of Senate Bill 2209 (SB2209) that will be discussed in the state senate's energy and natural resources committee hearing today. The right of eminent domain would also be stripped from CO2 projects — but not oil and gas projects — even if they are considered common carrier pipelines, under another bill, SB2212.

The catalyst for the legislative efforts in a traditionally energy industry-friendly state is the Midwest Carbon Express pipeline, a $4.5bn project proposed by Summit Carbon Solutions and backed by oil and gas producer Continental Resources. The project would carry CO2 from ethanol plants in North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota and Iowa for sequestration north of Bismarck, North Dakota.

The project has attracted the ire of environmental groups throughout the states who label it an attempt at greenwashing biofuel production and the oil and gas business as a whole. Indigenous groups and other landowners along the planned pipeline route have also joined in on the opposition in many states, suggestion measures similar to the ones in North Dakota.

While the Midwest Carbon Express pipeline project is aimed at eventual carbon sequestration, injecting CO2 into oil wells to mobilize otherwise stranded oil volumes is one form of enhanced oil recovery (EOR) being pursued in North Dakota, the US' third-largest oil producing state. The technique has been used for years in other fields, including the Permian basin in Texas and New Mexico, which is served by several pipelines that carry CO2. But sourcing enough CO2 for new projects in North Dakota could be a challenge, making pipelines critical for future projects.

The proposed legislation aimed at CO2 projects "would really tie the hands of the oil and gas industry," according to Lynn Helms, the head of North Dakota's Department of Mineral Resources (DMR), as operators explore other methods to sustain production in the mature but prolific Bakken field. "[Bills 2209 and 2212] would both make it extremely difficult, if not impossible, to build carbon dioxide pipelines in the state."

North Dakota would likely "sacrifice many billions of barrels of oil" that would otherwise be unreachable without CO2 injections, said Helms.

State senator Jeffrey Magrum (R), who introduced the bills, told Argus the bills are not aimed at the oil and gas industry but are focused on protecting property rights and the "misuse" of eminent domain. Another bill put forward by Magrum, SB2313, would also increase the compensation for landowners by 33pc if eminent domain is used.

About 3pc of North Dakota's CO2 needs can be sourced from within the state, but the balance must be imported from elsewhere, DMR said. North Dakota's first and only crude project using CO2 injection is in Bowman County, which brings in CO2 from Wyoming via pipeline.

The DMR estimates 30-60pc of the Bakken's oil could be extracted using enhanced oil recovery, compared to just 1-15pc without this technology. The regulator did not specify how much CO2 injection would contribute to this gain compared to other EOR methods, such as water injection.

By Brett Holmes

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09/05/25

Iraq edging towards compliance under Opec+ pressure

Dubai, 9 May (Argus) — Iraq managed to produce just below its formal Opec+ crude production target in April for the second month in a row, following intense pressure from other members of the group to improve on its historically poor compliance record. But the country still has much to do to compensate for past overproduction. Over the last 16 months, Iraq has been among the Opec+ group's most prolific quota-busters, alongside Kazakhstan and, to a lesser degree, Russia. Argus estimates the country's output averaged over 130,000 b/d above its 4mn b/d target last year. This non-compliance has strained unity within Opec+ and was the driving force behind the group's recent decision to unwind production cuts at a much faster pace than originally planned. Iraq has made some progress on improving compliance this year, reducing production by around 190,000 b/d in the first four months of 2025 compared with the same period last year, according to Argus assessments. Output stood at 3.94mn b/d in April, which was more than 70,000 b/d below Baghdad's formal 4.01mn b/d quota for the month. And in March, Iraq was 20,000 b/d below its then 4mn b/d quota. But this is far from mission accomplished. Along with other overproducers, Iraq has agreed a plan to compensate for exceeding formal quotas since the start of 2024, yet it has fallen short of its commitments in that regard. April's output was almost 50,000 b/d above its 3.89mn b/d effective quota for the month, taking into account the compensation plan. Iraq attributes its compliance issues to ongoing disagreements with the semi-autonomous Kurdish region over crude production levels. The oil ministry claims it lost oversight of the Kurdish region's production since the Iraq-Turkey Pipeline (ITP) was closed in March 2023. Despite the pipeline closure shutting Kurdish producers out of international export markets, Argus assesses current output in the Kurdistan region ranges between 250,000 b/d and 300,000 b/d, of which considerable volumes are smuggled into Iran and Turkey at hefty discounts to market prices. An understanding between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), when implemented, would see Kurdish production average 300,000 b/d, with 185,000 b/d shipped through the ITP and the rest directed to local refineries. Peer pressure Despite the challenges, it is hard to argue that Iraq is not heading in the right direction. Pressure from the Opec Secretariat and the Opec+ alliance's de-facto leader, Saudi Arabia, has pushed Baghdad to take some tough decisions to rein in production, which include cutting crude exports and limiting crude intake at domestic refineries. Kpler data show Iraqi crude exports, excluding the Kurdish region, fell to 3.34mn b/d in January-April from 3.42mn b/d a year earlier, while cuts to domestic refinery runs have prompted Baghdad to increase gasoil imports to ensure it has enough fuel for power generation. Fearing revenue constraints, Iraq is trying to persuade Opec+ to increase its output quota, motivated by a previous upward revision to the UAE's target. Baghdad's budget for 2022-25 includes plans to spend $153bn/yr. But this is based on a crude price assumption of $70/bl and projected oil exports of 3.5mn b/d, both of which now look out of date. By Bachar Halabi and James Keates Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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White House ends use of carbon cost

09/05/25

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09/05/25

White House ends use of carbon cost

Washington, 9 May (Argus) — The US is ending its use of a metric for estimating the economic damages from greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, the latest reversal of climate change policies supported by President Donald Trump's predecessors. The White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) this week directed federal agencies to stop using the social cost of carbon as part of any regulatory or decision-making practices, except in cases where it is required by law, citing the need "remove any barriers put in place by previous administrations" that restrict the ability of the US to get the most benefit "from our abundant natural resources". "Under this guidance, the circumstances where agencies will need to engage in monetized greenhouse gas emission analysis will be few to none," OMB said in a 5 May memo to federal agencies. In cases where such an analysis is required by law, agencies should limit their work "to the minimum consideration required" and address only the domestic effects, unless required by law. OMB said these steps are needed to ensure sound regulatory decisions and avoid misleading the public because the uncertainties of such analyses "are too great". The budget office issued the guidance in response to an executive order Trump issued on his first day in office, which also disbanded an interagency working group on the social cost of carbon and called for faster permitting for domestic oil and gas production and the termination of various orders issued by former president Joe Biden related to combating climate change. The metric, first established by the administration of former US president Barack Obama, has been subject to a tug of war between Democrats and Republicans. Trump, in his first term, slashed the value of the social cost of carbon, a move Biden later reversed . Biden then directed agencies to fold the metric into their procurement processes and environmental reviews. The US began relying on the cost estimate in 2010, offering a way to estimate the full costs and benefits of climate-related regulations. The Biden administration estimated the global cost of emitting CO2 at $120-$340/metric tonne and included it in rules related to cars, trucks, residential appliances, ozone standards, methane emission rules, refineries and federal oil and gas leases. By Michael Ball Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Carbon credit method may limit Australia's ACCU supply

09/05/25

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09/05/25

Carbon credit method may limit Australia's ACCU supply

Sydney, 9 May (Argus) — A potentially ineffective design of the long-delayed Integrated Farm and Land Management (IFLM) method developed by the Australian federal government might exclude thousands of landowners from the Australian Carbon Credit Unit (ACCU) market, curbing potential supply, industry participants have warned. The IFLM method, the first in Australia to combine multiple activities that store carbon in soil and vegetation in a single method , could be potentially set with a "binary framework" classifying land types as either cleared or uncleared, following a recent update from the Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (DCCEEW). But focusing on a single binary factor misses a broad range of other important influences, such as fire, over grazing, soil disturbance, feral animal impacts and climate events, co-chief executive of carbon project developer Climate Friendly, Skye Glenday, told Argus . It would particularly affect rangeland areas which cover around 70pc of Australia and include a large proportion of the Indigenous Estate, she added. The cleared/uncleared definition overlooks large areas of degraded land in Australia and is "not helpful" in understanding why the land is in that condition, carbon developer Australian Integrated Carbon (Ai Carbon) chief executive Adam Townley told delegates this week at lobby group Carbon Market Institute (CMI)'s Carbon Farming Industry Forum in New South Wales. A narrow definition of cleared and uncleared land effectively locks out large portions of the carbon market, decimating Western Australia, South Australia and the Northern Territory, Townley said. A CMI taskforce led by Glenday and Townley is recommending that the DCCEEW instead use the Vegetation Assets, States and Transitions (VAST) framework, which is already used by the Australian government to classify and report on the condition of native vegetation in its flagship State of Environment reports. This condition-based approach would allow developers to establish projects in large areas of existing native vegetation that are significantly degraded because of Australia's land-use history, but which still have forests and woodlands, according to the taskforce. The projects would then be able to restore health and increase carbon storage within these areas, the taskforce claims. Transition potential The right framework could incentivise between two-thirds and three-quarters of the registered land projects in eligible methods to transition to the future IFLM method, according to Glenday. Eligible methods would start with the key human-induced regeneration (HIR) ACCU method, which expired on 30 September 2023, as well as the Environmental Plantings (EP) and soil carbon methods. There are around 2,000 land-based projects registered, with about 400-500 in HIR, 50-100 in environmental plantings, and around 700 or more in soil. The number of projects that will transition will likely depend on the final transition rules and the package of activities each land manager wants to undertake, Glenday told Argus . Carbon developer Regenco will explore the potential of migrating all its HIR projects into the IFLM method, managing director and chief executive Greg Noonan told Argus on the sidelines of the CMI event. Transitioning to the new method would allow existing projects to have much larger land areas accountable for carbon sequestration, compared with around just 20pc on average under the HIR method, although decisions would depend on the additional ACCU generation potential for each project to compensate for migrating costs, Noonan said. Some developers said they will also consider transitioning their projects, but others expressed frustration and scepticism over the timeframe and final determination of the method, which was first proposed in 2019. There is a clear urgency in discussing new ACCU methods under consideration to address a current shortfall in availability of land-based methods that is restricting industry investment and engagement, CMI chief executive John Connor said. But delegates welcomed the policy certainty provided by the re-election of the Labor government , he added. "We're very hopeful that the IFLM method is legislated this year, and that's what we're working towards with all the stakeholders," Glenday said. But it would take at least up to nearly three years for the first IFLM projects to go from implementation to first ACCU issuances, she added. ACCU generic, generic (No AD) and HIR spot prices ended the week to 9 May at A$35 ($22.50), dropping slightly from a week earlier as the market failed to receive a boost from the Labor party's re-election. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Mitsubishi joins Philippine coal plant phaseout project

09/05/25

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09/05/25

Mitsubishi joins Philippine coal plant phaseout project

Osaka, 9 May (Argus) — Japanese trading house Mitsubishi has agreed to join a project to phase out a coal-fired power plant in the Philippines, aiming to generate carbon credits through the Transition Credits mechanism along with Japan's Joint Crediting Mechanism (JCM). Mitsubishi and and its Hong Kong-based subsidiary Diamond Generating Asia (DGA) has agreed to join Philippine energy firm Acen, GenZero — a subsidy of Singapore state-owned investment firm Temasek — and Singapore conglomerate Keppel to phase out the 246MW South Luzon coal-fired plant in Batangas, the Philippines, and replace it with a clean power facility. The initial deal for this project was signed by Acen, GenZero and Keppel in August 2024. Acen is now seeking to decommission the coal-fired plant by 2030, instead of the previous target of 2040. It is still unclear what types of clean power sources will then be deployed. But renewables such as solar or onshore wind, alongside storage batteries, could be possible, a Mitsubishi spokesperson told Argus . The partners aim to leverage Transition Credits (TCs) for the early retirement of the plant. TCs are high-integrity carbon credits generated from the emissions reduced through retiring a coal-fired plant early and replacing this with clean energy. The South Luzon project is expected to be one of the first converted coal-fired plants in the world to generate TCs. The project is expected to generate carbon credits equivalent to 19mn t of CO2 emissions reduction over 10 years, the Mitsubishi spokesperson told Argus . Mitsubishi plans to include this project in the JCM mechanism, as the Philippines has been Japan's JCM partner country since January 2017. The company is already marketing the carbon credits in Japan, assuming the credits will be verified under the JCM, while also hoping to sell them in Singapore and the Philippines. Verified carbon reductions or removals under the JCM can be quantified on an international basis. Some of the JCM credits issued from such mitigation efforts will be used to achieve Japan's nationally determined contributions (NDCs), while ensuring double counting is avoided on the basis of corresponding adjustments between countries and consistency with the guidance on co-operative approaches referred to in Article 6.2 of the 2015 Paris climate agreement. JCM credits could be also traded under the Japan's green transformation emission trading system (GX-ETS), which will be officially launched in autumn of 2027 . The GX-ETS adopts the cap-and-trade programme, with the government allocating free allowances for each eligible entity every year. Japan is still highly dependent on coal-fired generation, although Tokyo has pledged to phase out inefficient coal-fed plants by 2030. Coal-fired output accounted for 32pc of the country's total power generation in 2024, according to data from the trade and industry ministry. When asked by Argus where there is the potential for the introduction of the Transition Credits mechanism in Japan, the spokesperson said Mitsubishi has not ruled out the possibility, but added there have been no discussions on this for now. By Motoko Hasegawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Permian output could plateau sooner: Occidental CEO

08/05/25

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08/05/25

Permian output could plateau sooner: Occidental CEO

New York, 8 May (Argus) — Oil production from the Permian basin could plateau sooner than expected if operators keep talking about reducing activity levels in the wake of lower oil prices, warned the chief executive of Occidental Petroleum. Vicki Hollub said she previously expected to see Permian output growing through 2027, with overall US production growth peaking by the end of the decade. "It's looking like with the current headwinds, or at least volatility and uncertainty around pricing and the economy, and recessions and all of that, it's looking like that peak could come sooner," Hollub told analysts today after posting first quarter results. "So I'm thinking right now the Permian, if it grows at all through the rest of the year, it's going to be very little." Occidental is reducing the midpoint of its annual capital spending guidance for 2025 by $200mn on the back of further efficiency gains. The US independent also plans to trim domestic operating costs by $150mn. "We continue to rapidly advance towards our debt reduction goals, and we believe our deep, diverse portfolio of high-quality assets positions us for success in any market environment," Hollub said. Occidental closed asset sales of $1.3bn in the first quarter and has repaid $2.3bn in debt so far in 2025. Occidental produced 1.4mn b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in the first quarter compared with nearly 1.2mn boe/d in the same period of last year. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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