Latest market news

Australian marginal iron ore revival begins

  • Market: Metals
  • 06/03/23

Some of Australia's marginal iron ore mining firms are using hedging and swaps to underpin production, while others wait for further price increases to offset higher costs.

Australian mining firm CuFe has restarted its JWD operations in Western Australia (WA) and begun building a hedge book to cover future sales. It has swapped 10,000 dry metric tonnes (dmt) at $129.50/dmt and entered 20,000dmt of collars with a floor price of $110/dmt and a ceiling price of $129.50/dmt basis 62pc Fe for March.

Fenix Resources has locked in 30,000 dmt/month at a fixed price of A$171.17/dmt ($116/t) for the six months from July to December. This comes on time of the A$173.25/dmt for 50,000 dmt/month for the six months from January to June. "Our hedging arrangements secure a solid margin on a base level of our production and support our ability to continue to generate strong cash flows and profitability," Fenix chariman John Welborn said.

Fenix is the only marginal Australian producer to maintain production through the weaker iron ore period in the second half of 2022, underpinned largely by its hedging strategy. It reported a profit of A$10.9mn for July-December on iron ore sales of 659,000t, of which nearly half was lump and the remainder fines.

CuFe was the last of the smaller mining firms to close its operations in October 2022 and is the first to restart. Others are preparing to follow, with GWR preparing its C3 operations adjacent to CuFe's mine for restart as soon as the pricing environment allows. Strike Resources is pushing forward with its approvals to tranship ore from Ashburton rather than the more distant Port Hedland so that it can capture any further pricing upside. Venture Minerals is also ready to restart in the right price environment, after it won a court case to allow it to truck the ore in northern Tasmania.

Australian mining firm Mount Gibson is not planning a restart to its low-grade Shine operation in the Mid West region of WA, preferring to focus on its higher grade Koolan Island operation. Shree Minerals, which has been renamed Catalina Resources, is still waiting for final approvals for its Nelson Bay River project.

Argus ICX iron ore was last assessed at $126.35/dry metric tonne (dmt) cfr Qingdao on a 62pc Fe basis on 3 March, down from a recent peak of $131.75/dmt on 21 February but up from a recent low of $79/dmt on 31 October 2022.

Marginal Australian iron ore projects
ProjectCapacity (mn t)Fe content (%)Status
FenixIron Ridge1.264.0still operating, hedged
CuFeJWD & C41.063.7restarted January
GWRC31.060.7preparing for price rise
Nathan River ResourcesRoper Bar2.058.5unknown
NT BullionFrances Creek2.059.0nothing shipped since June
Venture MineralsRiley1.057.0suspended waiting for price hike
Mount GibsonShine1.559.4shut
Strike ResourcesPaulsens East1.562 lump and 59 finessuspended, pending port
Shree MineralsNelson Bay River1.458.0awaiting approvals

Iron ore prices ($/dmt)

Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
13/08/24

Brazilian steelmakers expect better 2H

Brazilian steelmakers expect better 2H

Sao Paulo, 13 August (Argus) — Brazilian steelmakers expect better results in the second half of the year, as they stand to benefit from higher tariffs on imported steel and a potentially improved economic situation. The top producers have so far reported mixed results for the second quarter, with Gerdau , Usiminas and CSN posting higher sales volumes and production but also losses and lower revenues. Yet there was a consensus that recently announced new tariffs on imported steel are likely to improve results in the coming quarters. The Brazilian government announced in May it would impose a new quota and tariff system on imported steel to protect local production from unfair competition. The government outlined a 25pc tariff on the share of imports that exceeds volume quotas. The move led some companies to notify clients of price increases , claiming much needed adjustments. CSN said on an earnings call that it plans to raise prices for its steel products in the third quarter as a part of its "price realignment." In late July , Usiminas said it plans to increase prices by 5-7pc in the coming months. An expected price hike by Gerdau would improve the company's profitability for its Brazilian operations, XP analysts said in a report. The recent hastening of the dollar appreciation against the Brazilian real — by over 12pc year-to-date — will also drive better results for companies in the coming months, according to analysts. Although Usiminas suffered losses because of the dollar appreciation, as it is a major importer of slab, it — and other companies — might benefit from higher prices of other imported products. A stronger dollar to the Brazilian real could "reduce the impetus for imports," MonteBravo brokerage analysts said in a report on Gerdau. A third component for better results in the coming quarters could be stronger demand from Brazil, boosted by improving economic growth and aligned with the continuation of support from North American volumes, which the companies highlighted in their earnings. "Brazil's steel demand is resilient and prices are showing signs of improvement," Goldman Sachs analysts said in a report about CSN. "We then expect steel earnings to improve." Despite the optimism, the negative scenario for these companies could not be reversed this year, Genial analysts said, adding that Chinese steelmakers will keep prioritizing exports because of weakened domestic demand. "Brazil, for its part, remains a market with a complex and potentially ineffective tariff protection system, due to the additional quota system," the analysts said. By Carolina Pulice Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Mexico June trade gap driven by falling crude exports


13/08/24
News
13/08/24

Mexico June trade gap driven by falling crude exports

Mexico City, 13 August (Argus) — Mexico's trade balance swung to a deficit of $1.04bn in June, impacted by reduced oil exports at lower prices and a weaker peso. The trade gap in June flipped from a $1.99bn surplus in May, acccording to statistics agency Inegi's final estimate, as exports fell at nearly twice the rate of declines in imports. Exports fell by 12pc to $48.9bn in June from the prior month, while imports declined by 7pc to $49.9bn from the prior month. The trade balance was in deficit for four of the six months in the first half of 2024. The deficit in the first half of the year was $5.5bn compared with a $6.5bn deficit a year earlier. In explaining the June deficit, Banorte cited "a slight moderation in oil prices relative to May, with the Mexican oil mix averaging $73.49/b in the month; a depreciation of the Mexican peso; and the temporary suspension of exports of some agricultural products to the US." Likewise, exports were down 5.7pc from June 2023, while imports were 3.6pc lower than a year earlier. The deficit was below Mexican bank Banorte's forecast for a $450mn surplus in June. Inegi breaks Mexico's trade data into two broad categories of "oil" and "non-oil", where the oil category includes crude, natural gas, oil derivatives and petrochemicals. Non-oil includes everything else from light vehicles and farm goods to copper and other mined minerals, Exports in the broad oil category declined by 33pc to $2.1bn in June from $3.2bn in May, with imports down by 13pc at $2.82bn in June from $3.23bn in May. Exports were down by 27pc from a year prior, with imports down by 26pc. Within this, crude exports were valued at $1.73bn in June, a sharp drop from $2.15bn in May and lower than the $2.44bn in the same month of 2023. Natural gas imports, meanwhile, were valued at $395mn in June from $316mn in May and $469mn in June 2023. Non-oil exports reached $46.8bn in June, with $15.6bn from automotive exports. This was down by 5pc and 5.2pc, respectively from May. Still, as reported last week by Mexico's auto associations , auto exports have climbed by 8.4pc in the first seven months of the year from a year earlier. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

India's Facor cleared for Odisha ferro-chrome expansion


13/08/24
News
13/08/24

India's Facor cleared for Odisha ferro-chrome expansion

Mumbai, 13 August (Argus) — Indian producer Vedanta-Ferro Alloy Corporation (Facor) has received permission from India's environment ministry for a ferro-chrome capacity expansion at its plant in east India's Odisha state. The company plans to more than double its ferro-chrome production capacity from 145,000 t/yr to 300,000 t/yr by adding two new furnaces at its Bhadrak district plant. The firm has receives all required permissions, including environment clearances, and expects to complete the project by 2026. Chrome ore production during April-June at Vedanta subsidiary Ferro Alloys rose by 5pc from a year earlier to 80,000t. Ferro-chrome production nearly trebled to 28,000t from 10,000t the previous year, driven by enhanced productivity at the charge chrome plant but also reflecting operations being disrupted during April-June 2023. By Deepika Singh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

UK TRA proposes 2.9mn t HRC import quota


09/08/24
News
09/08/24

UK TRA proposes 2.9mn t HRC import quota

London, 9 August (Argus) — The UK Trade Remedies Authority (TRA) has recommended splitting the country's safeguard import quota for hot-rolled coil (HRC) into two, and has increased it to almost 3mn t. The quota for HRC, product category one, is currently around 1mn t and divided on a country-by-country basis. The TRA has recommended splitting the product into 1a and 1b, with 1a remaining distributed as 1 currently is and have an around 1mn t allocation, and with 1b having a 1.9 mn t volume that can be sourced from anywhere. 1b is for "downstream processing", which does not include coil being turned into hot-rolled sheet. It will predominantly be used by UK-based producer Tata, although some others, such as tube manufacturers, may also be able to use it. And 1b will have a cap of around 37-42pc, to ensure no one exporter dominates the quota. The TRA started a review of the quota in February, in response to Tata's increased import requirements as it takes down its blast furnaces ahead of the installation of a 3mn t electric arc furnace in 2027. "We propose maintaining the current quota volumes for steel used for commercial applications and creating a new quota accessible for downstream processing". Sources suggest Tata will initially be looking to import around 2mn t of HRC and 1mn t of slab before the expansion of its Kalinganagar site in India is complete, after which it intends to ramp up slab purchases to around 1.5mn t. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

PCI price relativity to PLV climbs to a high


09/08/24
News
09/08/24

PCI price relativity to PLV climbs to a high

Shanghai, 9 August (Argus) — Opposing fundamentals in the Australian pulverised coal injection (PCI) market and premium low-volatile (PLV) coking coal market narrowed the price spread between the indexes. But it remains to be seen whether market conditions will continue to support strength in PCI prices. Market fundamentals of the two products have been vastly different in the past two months, with a mismatch of firm demand and tight supply supporting PCI prices, while PLV continues to decline in an oversupplied market amid a persistently weak steel sector. The Argus daily fob Australia assessment for low-volatile PCI increased by $25/t from 14 June to $205.50/t on 5 July, the highest level since 6 November 2023, before gradually declining to $185/t on 8 August. But PCI prices remain high, with July's average relativity to the fob Australia PLV index at 83pc compared with an average relativity of 61pc in the first half of this year. Meanwhile, the Argus -assessed Australian PLV index has fallen by $47.10/t from 2 July to $212.50/t on 31 July, the lowest level since August 2022, before making a small recovery to $215/t on 1 August. Prices held steady for four days before inching down again to $213.75/t on 8 August in a subdued market. Bottlenecks on Russian railways tightening Russians PCI supply and demand centered in south America, Europe and southeast Asia have contributed to stronger Australian PCI prices. "Russian supply definitely seems tighter than many expected, with a lot of term customers scrambling to bring forward or increase term allocations," an Australian supplier said. "The fob Australia PCI market is currently a seller's market. Buyers are trying to find out what cargoes are available but there are hardly any volumes that can be sold on the spot market as term buyers are still trying to increase term volumes." Some buyers, particularly in northeast Asia, have also looked to reduce their reliance on Russian coal. "Because of growing US sanctions on Russian suppliers, some buyers are trying to increase their intake of Australian PCI, which is in short supply, so they may not have many options other than to pay up," an international trading source said. But the switch remains unattractive for buyers with access to Russian supplies as they continued to express reticence towards the recent increase in Australian PCI prices. A northeast Asian buyer that was in the market for August-loading PCI eventually bought Russia-origin PCI at $165/t on a cfr basis on 23 July, noting its price competitiveness when compared with indicative offers of Australian low-volatile PCI at about $200/t fob at that time. Expectations that PLV prices would fall further have prompted questions about whether current PCI prices can continue to remain firm. "The PCI market remains relatively tight, but if there are end-users in Europe or southeast Asia reselling premium hard coking coal cargoes, it means production is down and they will not need as much PCI as before," an Australian producer said. "Effectively, PCI is a coke replacement, in that it reduces the amount of coke needed to make a tonne of steel," an international trading firm said. "So if PCI prices get too close to, or above, the other coking coal tiers, you would just make more coke and use less PCI." Fob Australia PCI vs fob Australia coking coal $/t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more