News
10/01/25
Finnish and Baltic gas consumption up by 9pc in 2024
London, 10 January (Argus) — Combined Finnish and Baltic gas consumption rose by
9pc on the year in 2024, with demand higher in all four countries and Lithuania
leading the increase. Consumption across Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia and Finland
totalled roughly 43.6TWh in 2024, up from 40TWh in both 2022 and 2023 but still
well below the 2019-21 average of 67.2 TWh/yr ( see combined consumption graph,
data and download ). Demand increased across all four countries, but Lithuanian
consumption rose the most in both absolute and percentage terms, jumping by 14pc
on the year to nearly 17.1TWh. This was mostly driven by higher demand from
fertiliser producer Achema and gas-fired power generators, transmission system
operator Amber Grid's commercial director, Justas Cerniauskas, said. Achema, the
region's single largest gas user, increased its consumption by roughly 1TWh on
the year, while power-sector gas demand rose by around 600GWh, Cerniauskas said.
Large consumers with direct connections to the grid consumed 9.8TWh last year,
according to Amber Grid data, up from 8.4TWh a year earlier, while demand from
the local distribution zone increased by a more moderate 600GWh. Lithuanian
gas-fired power generation totalled around 820GWh, compared with 640GWh in 2023,
data from Fraunhofer ISE show. In Finland, gas-fired power production fell to
1.2TWh from 1.8TWh in 2023, as much stronger renewable output reduced gas' share
of the generation mix. Renewable generation rose to 40.8TWh from 34.6TWh, with
onshore wind accounting for almost the entire increase. Total Finnish gas demand
rose by nearly 5pc on the year to just over 14TWh, despite the fall in gas-fired
generation. Given that household demand accounts for a small part of overall
consumption owing to the predominance of electric and district heating in
Finland, this suggests that industrial demand continued its recovery. The paper
and paper products sector is Finland's most gas-intensive, and appears to have
performed better than in 2023 — output on a 2021 basis of 100 averaged 87.5 in
January-October compared with 82.6 in all of 2023, data from Eurostat show. In
Latvia, the main demand driver is the power sector, particularly state-owned
utility Latvenergo's large combined heat and power plants. Latvian gas-fired
power generation rose by nearly 19pc on the year to 1.6TWh, as weaker hydro
generation left more room in the mix for gas. In Estonia, the region's smallest
consumer, gas demand rose by more than 8pc on the year to 3.7TWh. Total
gas-fired power generation across the four countries fell to 3.68TWh from
3.84TWh in 2023 ( see table ). Combined sendout from the Inkoo, Hamina and
Klaipeda LNG terminals totalled 43.4TWh last year, compared with 47TWh in 2023
and 32.4TWh in 2022 ( see data and download ). A six week dry-docking period for
the Klaipeda floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) weighed on sendout
in Lithuania, which was down by around 8TWh. Conversely, a long shutdown on the
Balticconnector increased the call on Finland's Inkoo terminal to fill the
supply shortfall in the first quarter. Sendout from Inkoo rose to 19.3TWh last
year from 14.3TWh in 2023. This pattern is likely to flip in 2025, with Inkoo's
Exemplar FSRU due to undergo its own six week dry-docking, which in combination
with extensive maintenance on the Balticconnector has left only slightly more
than half the year's slots booked . This is likely to increase the usage of
Klaipeda, where slots for 2025 are nearly fully booked . There were net
withdrawals from Latvia's Incukalns storage facility of 1.54TWh in the 2024
calendar year, flipped from net injections of 6.6TWh in 2023, and compared with
776GWh of withdrawals in 2022. Nearly 4.4TWh of gas was rolled over from the
2023-24 storage year into the next. By Brendan A'Hearn Total annual gas-fired
power generation GWh 2021 2022 2023 2024 Finland 4,170 1,790 1,810 1,230
Lithuania 1,110 500 640 820 Latvia 1,820 1,100 1,350 1,600 Estonia 20 30 40 30
Total 7,120 3,420 3,840 3,680 — Fraunhofer ISE Numbers rounded to nearest 10
Annual gas demand by country GWh Send comments and request more information at
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