News
24/11/24
Cop: Talks leave ‘mountain of work’ for Brazil in 2025
Cop: Talks leave ‘mountain of work’ for Brazil in 2025
Baku, 24 November (Argus) — The UN Cop 30 climate talks in Brazil next year may
take on a new level of importance after countries at the now-completed Cop 29 in
Baku, Azerbaijan, left some significant issues on the table, most notably now to
keep the world on track to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement. Negotiators in
Baku completed their work just after 05:30 local time (01:30 GMT) on Sunday —
nearly a day and a half after the scheduled end of the Cop — with a deal on
climate finance that has left developing countries furious. The Indian
negotiator called the finance agreement, which the country opposed after it was
gavelled, "nothing more than an optical illusion". She complained that the text
was adopted even though they had informed the secretariat they wanted to make a
statement before its adoption. Nigeria and Bolivia came out in support to India
to say were rejecting the deal, with the latter calling the agreement "an
insult". Known as the new collective quantified goal (NCQG), the deal sets a
target of "at least" $300bn/yr for developing countries by 2035, with developed
countries "taking the lead". The goal is meant to build on the $100bn/yr that
developed countries agreed to deliver to developing countries over 2020-25. The
finance will come from "a wide variety of sources, public and private, bilateral
and multilateral, including alternative sources". This is more than the
$250bn/yr first proposed by developed countries. But this is well below the $1.3
trillion, including $440bn-600bn/yr in public finance mostly in grants and
concessional finance, sought by developing economies. The delegations salvaged
what for a time appeared to be talks headed for collapse, with two groups
temporarily walking out of the negotiations. But developing countries indicated
that the Baku deals falls far short of what they need to deal with climate
change and support their energy transition. "They were never going to be
enough," special envoy for climate change and environment for Vanuatu Ralph
Regenvanu said. "And even then, based on our experience with such pledges in the
past, we know they will not be fulfilled," he said. India's negotiator pointed
to the "unwillingness from developed countries to fulfill their
responsibilities". This will severely impact growth in developing nations, she
added. EU climate commissioner Wopke Hoekstra, the only developed party to take
the floor just after the finance deal was agreed, said that increasing the goal
three-fold, from $100bn/yr, "is ambitious, needed, realistic and achievable". He
said that with the help of the multilateral development banks (MDBs), the bloc
is confident $1.3 trillion/yr of climate finance for developing economies could
be reached. Baku to Belem The finance deal agreed in Baku calls on all actors
"to enable the scaling up of financing" from all public and private sources to
at least $1.3 trillion per year by 2035. A "Baku to Belem Roadmap to $1.3
trillion", was launched to that effect. The only other major decision to come
out of Baku was the adoption of the rules that will operationalise the
international carbon market under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement. Progress on
the implementation of the first global stocktake — the main outcome document
from Cop 28, which included the historic call to transition away from fossil
fuels — was left for next year. The talks failed to overcome a broad north-south
divide and were hampered by the finance talks and efforts by some delegations to
undo past decisions. Developed countries called for stronger global action on
emissions reductions, but developing nations responded that they cannot
implement an energy transition without adequate finance. Many Latin American and
African nations, as well as island states, also complained during the talks
about the lack of mitigation ambition. But countries including Saudi Arabia
opposed including language on fossil fuels, or any mention that countries should
undertake deep emissions cuts. India even pushed back on the 1.5°C temperature
limit of the Paris Agreement, which was reinforced in Dubai last year. The
rejected draft text for the stocktake reaffirms "the need for deep, rapid and
sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions in line with 1.5 °C pathways".
It refers to the energy package without going into details, and keeps the door
open to "transitional fuels". Parties will revisit mitigation next year in
Belem, leaving Baku "with a mountain of work to do," according to UN climate
body UNFCCC executive secretary Simon Stiell. Mitigation was always going to be
the focus of Cop 30, particularly with countries due to submit their new
emissions-reduction pledges, or nationally determined contributions (NDCs), to
the UNFCCC by February. But the struggle in Baku could bring new pressure to the
Brazilian government. The country's environment minister Maria Silva on Saturday
warned that failure in Baku would likely damage the UN process, especially with
the US, one of the world's leading emitters, expected to exit the Paris
Agreement again after former president Donald Trump takes office in January. By
Michael Ball and Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at
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