Produção de veículos aumenta em abril

Market: Biofuels, Metals, Oil products
08/05/24

A produção brasileira de veículos subiu 24pc em abril, em um cenário de vendas crescentes no mercado interno.

A produção de veículos atingiu 222.115 unidades em abril, em comparação com 178.853 no mesmo mês em 2023, informou a Associação Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veículos Automotores (Anfavea).

Em relação a março, a produção cresceu 13pc. No acumulado desde janeiro, houve alta de 6,3pc, para 760.114 unidades.

Já as vendas saltaram 37pc em comparação com o mesmo período do ano anterior. O licenciamento de veículos totalizou 220.840 unidades no mês, 17pc maior do que em março.

O Brasil exportou cerca de 27.330 unidades em abril, queda de 19pc na base anual e alta de 16pc em relação ao mês anterior.

"Temos pela frente alguns pontos de alerta, como a redução do ritmo de queda dos juros e os efeitos da calamidade no Rio Grande do Sul", disse o presidente da Anfavea, Márcio de Lima Leite.

Leite acrescentou que as enchentes no estado já estão afetando fábricas de veículos, máquinas agrícolas e componentes usados por toda a cadeia automotiva.

As chuvas já deixaram mais de 100 mortos, segundo a Defesa Civil do Rio Grande do Sul. Outras 128 pessoas estão desaparecidas e cerca de 164.000 perderam suas casas.

Por Laura Guedes

Participação de mercado de veículos leves por combustível			%
	Abr-24	Abr-23	± (pp)
Gasolina	3,6	2,5	1,1
Elétricos	3,2	0,4	2,8
Híbridos	2,3	2,1	0,2
Híbridos Plug-in	1,7	0,7	1
Flex	79,5	83,4	3,9
Diesel	9,6	10,9	-1,3
Anfavea

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News

03/12/24

Treasury eyes 45Z guidance before Biden exit

New York, 3 December (Argus) — The US Department of Treasury said it still plans to issue guidance before president Joe Biden leaves office next year clarifying how refiners can qualify for a new tax credit for clean fuels. The agency "anticipates issuing guidance" around the Inflation Reduction Act's 45Z credit before 20 January to "enable producers to claim the 45Z credit for 2025", disputing a report today that the Biden administration planned on punting implementation to president-elect Donald Trump. The credit, set to kick off regardless on 1 January, will differ from some prior federal incentives by offering greater subsidies to fuels that produce fewer greenhouse gas emissions. Treasury did not commit to any definitive timeline for releasing guidance, and it did not immediately clarify how thorough any eventual rule would be. Companies in the biofuel supply chain say the current lack of clarity from Treasury — particularly on how it will calculate carbon intensities for various fuels and feedstocks — has slowed first quarter dealmaking. Government guidance could make or break the economics of certain plants, particularly for relatively higher-carbon fuels like soy biodiesel or jet fuel derived from corn ethanol. The US Department of Agriculture's timing for releasing a complementary rule to quantify the climate benefits of certain agricultural practices, envisioned as a way to reward refineries sourcing feedstocks from farms taking steps to reduce their emissions, is unclear. The agency said today that a "rulemaking process" in response to its request for information on climate-smart farm practices is "under consideration" but did not elaborate. Agriculture secretary Tom Vilsack had insisted earlier this year that his department would release some package before the end of Biden's term. Some industry groups remain pessimistic that the Biden administration will answer all of the thorny questions still lingering around the 45Z credit, especially given signals earlier this year that other Inflation Reduction Act programs would take priority. The Renewable Fuels Association, which represents ethanol producers, says final regulations around 45Z "seem highly unlikely" before the end of Biden's term but that it hopes Treasury releases at least some "basic information" or safe harbor provisions. Delays getting credit guidance could prod Congress to extend expiring biofuel incentives for another year, including a $1/USG credit for blenders of biomass-based diesel. Some formerly skeptical lobbying groups have recently come on board in support of an extension, fearing that biofuel production could slump next year given the lack of 45Z guidance and uncertainty about how Trump will implement clean energy tax credits. But four lobbyists speaking on background told Argus today that the proposal still faces long odds. Congress has various other priorities for its relatively brief lame duck session, including government funding and disaster aid, that take precedence over biofuels. A staffer with the Democratic-controlled US Senate Finance Committee said last month that Republicans have been reluctant to negotiate tax policy in a divided Congress this year when they are planning a far-reaching tax package under unified Republican control next year. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more

News

Industry wary of Trump tariffs on Canada, Mexico

03/12/24

News

03/12/24

Industry wary of Trump tariffs on Canada, Mexico

Washington, 3 December (Argus) — US president-elect Donald Trump's plan to impose 25pc tariffs on all imports from Canada and Mexico could have a profound impact on the US oil and gas industry and the US' diplomatic efforts, energy industry representatives said at an industry conference on Tuesday. Cenovus Energy, the second-largest oil and gas producer in Canada, is paying close attention to Trump's rhetoric on trade, and trying to "educate" policymakers in the incoming Trump administration on how tariffs on Canada could impact North America's deeply integrated energy system, Cenovus director of US government affairs Steve Higley said at the North American Gas Forum in Washington, DC. The US in 2023 imported 3.9mn b/d of crude oil from Canada and 730,000 b/d from Mexico, accounting for 60pc and 11pc of US crude imports, respectively, according to US Energy Information Administration (EIA) data. Refineries in the US Midwest's PADD 2 region also process about 2.5mn b/d of Canadian crude, Higley said. The US also exports a significant amount of natural gas to Mexico — 6.2 Bcf/d (176mn m³/d) in 2023, according to the EIA — which is another "reminder of how integrated the North American energy system is," said Dustin Meyer, senior vice president of policy at the influential trade group American Petroleum Institute (API). Retaliatory tariffs by Mexico, threatened by Mexican president Claudia Sheinbaum last week in response to Trump's initial threat of tariffs, would likely impact that gas trade. Sheinbaum and Trump have since taken on a more conciliatory tone toward the subject after the two had what Trump called a "wonderful" conversation. API repeatedly called on Trump in his first administration to de-escalate his trade dispute with China, which it said threatened investment in US LNG. A section of API's website on trade titled "The Truth about Tariffs" reads: "Tariffs are taxes on imported goods that increase costs for consumers." Aside from the threat of tariffs causing "alarm" in Canada, it is not clear how US consumers would benefit from a tariff on all Canadian products, including oil and gas, said Robert Johnston, senior director of research at Columbia University's think tank Center on Global Energy Policy. On the diplomatic front, there is a "tension" between the incoming Trump administration's argument that US oil and gas production must be increased to support American allies, when it is also threatening tariffs to support American industry over that of its trade partners, Johnston said. The initiation of new trade disputes could also erode the US' ability to compete with China, said Jason Grumet, chief executive of trade group American Clean Power Association. "Are we trying to take China on alone, or are we trying to build a global economy of the democratic nations who have been our allies for 50 years?" Grumet asked. Whether the incoming Trump administration will actually go ahead with tariffs on Canada and Mexico is far from certain. From its rhetoric, the administration appears to care deeply about narrowing the US' trade deficit, leveraging its massive energy production on the global stage, and keeping energy prices low for US consumers, Meyer said. But "if that's the vision, what is the form that specific policies take?" he asked. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Mexico factory contraction eases in November

03/12/24

News

03/12/24

Mexico factory contraction eases in November

Mexico City, 3 December (Argus) — Mexico's manufacturing sector contracted again in November, but at a slower pace than the previous month, according to the Mexican finance executive association's (IMEF) latest purchasing managers index (PMI) surveys. The manufacturing PMI rose to 48.3 from 47.2 in October, inching closer to the 50-point threshold that signals expansion. Still, the index remained in contraction territory for an eighth consecutive month. "There is some stabilization in the loss of economic momentum recorded in previous months," IMEF noted, but the overall trend reflects "stagnation or the absence of solid expansion in both manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors." Manufacturing accounts for about a fifth of Mexico's economy. Within the manufacturing PMI, the new order index increased by 1.3 points to 47.3 but stayed in contraction. Production fell by 0.5 points to 46.1, with both sub-indicators in contraction for an eighth month. In contrast, non-manufacturing industries—including services and commerce—moved into expansion territory, rising to 50.5 in November from 49.3 in October. New orders in this sector climbed 2.1 points to 51.5, production rose 1.8 points to 50.5 and employment rose by 1.2 points to 49.1, though it remained in contraction for a fifth consecutive month. Inflation concerns raised Looking ahead, IMEF highlighted potential inflationary pressures tied to US President-elect Donald Trump's policies. These include possible supply chain disruptions driven by escalating conflicts with Russia and in the Middle East as Trump shifts toward a more transactional approach with traditional allies. IMEF also warned that Trump may seek to influence the US Federal Reserve to accelerate rate cuts, further fueling inflation. Domestically, deregulation and tighter migration constraints may fail to ease trade bottlenecks. Meanwhile, tax cuts without corresponding spending reductions could add significant upward pressure on prices, IMEF said. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Australia’s BHP and APA partner to cut GHG emissions

03/12/24

News

03/12/24

Australia’s BHP and APA partner to cut GHG emissions

Sydney, 3 December (Argus) — Australian energy firm APA Group has opened a solar farm and battery storage facility at Western Australia's Port Hedland in a move designed to support mineral giant BHP's emissions-reduction goals. APA's plant will power most of BHP's Port Hedland operations from January 2025, under the terms of a power purchase agreement signed between the two firms. Work on the project began last year, supported by a A$1.5mn ($970,000) grant from Western Australia's Clean Energy Future Fund. BHP is planning to reduce its operational greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 30pc from 2020 levels within the next six years, without using carbon credit schemes. In the 2023-24 financial year, the company's operational GHG emissions were 32pc lower than 2020 levels at 9.2mn t of CO2 equivalent, despite increasing 2pc on the year. BHP exports Western Australian iron ore through Port Hedland. Shipping data indicates that the company loaded an average of 5.94mn dwt/week of ore over the last three months . Argus ' iron ore fines 65pc Fe cfr Qingdao price was relatively stable over that period, growing from $113/t to $117/t. The Port Hedland opening comes just weeks after Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's government updated Australia's national emissions projection to forecast a 65.7pc baseline drop in electricity emissions, relative to 2020 levels, by the end of the decade. The government was forecasting a more modest 53pc decline in electricity emissions last year. By Avinash Govind Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Mexico central bank flags 2025 growth uncertainty

02/12/24

News

02/12/24

Mexico central bank flags 2025 growth uncertainty

Mexico City, 2 December (Argus) — Mexico's central bank (Banxico) maintained its base-case 2025 GDP growth estimate at 1.2pc, with a range of 0.4pc to 2pc, citing heightened global uncertainty fueled by geopolitical conflicts and potential shifts in international economic policies. Central bank governor Victoria Rodriguez last week addressed US president-elect Donald Trump's proposed 25pc tariffs on Mexican goods, urging caution until the trade situation clarifies. Mexican president Claudia Shienbaum initially responded with a firm stance, saying Mexico could apply counter-tariffs. Later, Sheinbaum and Trump had a "friendly" phone call to discuss issues surrounding the proposed 25pc tariff on Mexican and Canadian imports, Sheinbaum said. Banxico raised its 2024 GDP growth forecast to 1.8pc from 1.5pc in its previous quarterly report in August, driven by stronger-than-expected third-quarter performance. Still, Banxico noted that the additional growth is driven by increased spending on imported goods rather than domestic production, particularly in investment and private consumption. Inflation dynamics remain mixed. While headline inflation rose to an annualized 4.76pc in October, core inflation eased to 3.58pc, its lowest level since mid-2020. Rodriguez emphasized progress on inflation despite external uncertainties, signaling room for further monetary easing. Banxico cut its target interest rate by 25 basis points to 10.25pc on 14 November and is widely expected to lower it again to 10pc at its 19 December meeting. Projections from Mexican finance executives institution (IMEF) suggest the rate could drop to 8.25pc by the end of 2025. Banxico also revised its 2024 inflation forecast to 4.7pc from 4.4pc in the August report but expects inflation to return to its 2–4pc target range by early 2025, with a 3pc rate projected by the fourth quarter. Other adjustments include a downgraded forecast for formal job creation in 2024 and 2025, with the range estimate for full-year job creation in 2024 dropping to 250,000–350,000 from 410,000-550,000 in August. The 2025 estimate came down to 340,000–540,000 from 430,000–630,000.The 2025 trade deficit outlook was also tightened to $14.9bn–$22.1bn, compared to a previous range of $13.7bn–$23.7bn. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more