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Fossil fuel cars phase-out comes up again in Brussels

  • Market: Biofuels, Electricity, Emissions, Fertilizers
  • 07/10/24

The European parliament will this week debate a "crisis" facing the EU's automotive industry which could lead to "potential" plant closures, putting discussions on already-decided CO2 standards for vehicles on the forefront.

Members have faced increased efforts by industry arguing for or against speedy review of the EU's regulation on CO2 emission standards for cars and vans. The regulation sets a 2035 phase-out target for new fossil fuel cars.

The European commission is expected to give a statement to parliament, but a spokesperson told Argus that any change to the EU CO2 standards for cars and light vehicles would require a legal proposal by the commission to both parliament and EU member states.

The priority, the spokesperson said, is on meeting 2025 targets for fleet CO2 reductions, agreed in 2019, but the commission is aware of "different opinions" in industry.

Automakers association Acea has been calling for a "substantive and holistic" review of the CO2 regulation. The transition to zero-emission vehicles must be made "more manageable", assessing real-world progress against the ambition level. On the other hand, European power industry association Eurelectric today told members of parliament that bringing forward a review of the EU's regulation on CO2 standards for cars and vans to the start of 2025 would only encourage carmakers to hold off on making lower-priced and smaller electric vehicles (EV).

The next CO2 target for car fleets is set to take effect in 2025. It requires a 15pc cut in emissions for newly registered cars. Some member states view the CO2 target cuts, and phase-out of the internal combustion engine (ICE) by 2035, as contentious. The regulation was only approved after a delay to normally formal approval. And parliament's largest centre-right EPP group is calling for a revision of CO2 standards for new cars to allow for alternative zero-emission fuels beyond 2035.

As a counterweight to such pressure, Austrian, Belgian, Dutch and Irish ministers today called on commission president Ursula von der Leyen to step up EU action to push decarbonisation of company vehicles, notably light duty vehicles. "We need to consider action on the demand side in order to push zero-emission vehicles sales. Corporate fleets are the EU's most important market segment," the four ministers told von der Leyen.


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07/05/25

IMO GHG pricing falls short on green methanol, ammonia

IMO GHG pricing falls short on green methanol, ammonia

New York, 7 May (Argus) — The International Maritime Organization's (IMO) proposed global greenhouse gas (GHG) pricing mechanism might not drive significant uptake of green methanol and green ammonia by 2035, given current market prices. Despite introducing penalties on high-emission fuels use and tradable surplus credits for low-emission fuels, the mechanism does not sufficiently close the cost gap for green alternatives. Under the system, starting in 2028 ship operators will face a two-tier penalty: $100/t CO₂e for emissions between the base and direct GHG intensity limit, and $380/t CO₂e for those exceeding the looser base limit. These thresholds will tighten annually through 2035. Ship operators can earn tradable credits for overcompliance when their GHG emissions fall below the direct limit. Assuming a surplus CO₂e credit value of $72/t — mirroring April 2025's average EU emissions trading system price — green ammonia would earn about $215/t in surplus credits in 2028 (see chart) . This barely offsets its April spot price of $2,830/t VLSFO equivalent in northwest Europe. Bio-methanol would receive about $175/t in credits, offering minimal relief on its $2,318/t April spot price. Currently, unsubsidized northwest Europe bio-LNG sits mid-range among bunker fuel options under IMO's emissions framework. While more expensive than HSFO, grey LNG, and B30 bioblends, the bio-LNG is cheaper than B100 (pure used cooking oil methyl ester), green ammonia, and bio-methanol. To become cost-competitive with unsubsidized bio-LNG — priced at $1,185/t in April 2025 — green ammonia and bio-methanol prices would need to fall by 57pc and 49pc, respectively, to around $1,220/t VLSFOe and $1,180/t VLSFOe by 2028. Unless green fuel prices drop significantly or fossil fuel prices rise, the IMO's structure alone provides insufficient economic incentive to accelerate green ammonia and bio-methanol adoption at scale. By Stefka Wechsler NW Europe, fuel prices plus IMO penalties and credits Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK, Norway pursue further ‘green industry’ co-operation


07/05/25
News
07/05/25

UK, Norway pursue further ‘green industry’ co-operation

London, 7 May (Argus) — The UK and Norway have signed an early-stage agreement for a "green industrial partnership", planning to work together on low-emissions technology such as offshore wind, carbon capture and storage (CCS) and hydrogen. The partnership will "strengthen energy security" and "support robust value chains for raw materials", the Norwegian government said. The collaboration also aims to "support the development of renewable energy sources, and further develop existing cooperation on the protection of subsea infrastructure in the North Sea", Norway's government added. Both Norwegian and UK representatives are in attendance at the Copenhagen climate ministerial this week — an event which often sets the direction for climate negotiations this year. The countries in December flagged their intent to partner on the energy transition, including developing an agreement on cross-border CO2 transport. Norway is a leader in Europe's developing CCS sector. The country's flagship Northern Lights CCS project is due to begin operating this summer. The project's partnership this week confirmed that all required permits are in place for the injection and storage of CO2. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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New German climate minister stresses nature angle


07/05/25
News
07/05/25

New German climate minister stresses nature angle

Berlin, 7 May (Argus) — Germany's new federal minister for the environment, climate action, nature conservation and nuclear safety today stressed the importance of "healthy nature" to protect the climate, and of renewable energies and "innovative" technologies to reduce carbon emissions in Germany. Environment minister Carsten Schneider, of the co-ruling left-of-centre SPD party, was sworn in on Tuesday evening with his cabinet colleagues. Schneider said he is looking forward to "driving forward climate action in the coming years, and to promoting the preservation and improvement of our natural resources in nature and the environment, for soil, water and air". Schneider said it is "good and right" to once again have national and international climate action, along with nature conservation and environmental protection, bundled in the environment ministry. Germany's last government split the climate dossier between the economy ministry, which was given the climate action portfolio, and the foreign ministry, which dealt with international climate policy. Previous economy minister Robert Habeck of the Green party last month criticised the decision to exclude climate action from the economy ministry, emphasising the "interlocking" between climate action, industry and energy policy. Schneider today underlined the crucial importance of "ambitious marine protection", and of continuing the previous ministry's natural climate protection action programme to boost the "important" ecosystems in forests, moors and bodies of water. The ministry will support cities and municipalities on nature conservation and climate adaptation, he said. Schneider made no mention of carbon markets or emissions trading systems. Schneider, the former special envoy for Germany's eastern states, is a budget expert with no climate or environment background. His permanent junior minister is Jochen Flasbarth, former permanent junior minister at the development ministry and a permanent junior minister at the environment ministry between 2013-21, at a time when the environment minister was responsible for climate policy. Flasbarth was involved in international climate negotiations, including the UN Cop 21 climate summit in Paris in 2015. Flasbarth is also a former president of federal environment office UBA. Flasbarth as junior development minister urged richer developing countries such as China or Saudi Arabia to contribute more to international climate finance . By Chloe Jardine Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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High sulphur prices pressure Indonesian buyers


07/05/25
News
07/05/25

High sulphur prices pressure Indonesian buyers

Singapore, 7 May (Argus) — Steep increases in sulphur prices, against expectations of lower future nickel demand, and falling nickel prices since last year are pressuring metals producers in Indonesia, and some are considering postponing new projects. Sulphur is used as a raw material in the production of nickel intermediates such as nickel matte and mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP), through the rotary kiln-electric furnace (RKEF) and high-pressure acid leaching (HPAL) processes, respectively. Producing 1t of MHP or nickel matte requires an estimated 10t and 15t of sulphur, respectively. Global sulphur prices began to rise in mid-2024 on firmer demand from Morocco and Indonesia. Morocco's OCP started up two sulphur burners last year that will consume 967,000 t/yr of sulphur at capacity. In Indonesia, newly commissioned HPAL production lines at QMB New Energy Materials and Halmahera Persada Lygend also added an estimated 830,000 t/yr of sulphur demand. Uncertainty over Kazakh and Russian sulphur export availability because of EU sanctions also created uncertainty over available supply in the region. Tighter supply, compounded by competing Chinese and Indonesian demand after the Lunar New Year holidays, spurred a rally in sulphur prices in the first quarter of the year. Fob Middle East sulphur prices more than tripled to $285.5/t fob as of 1 May from $86/t a year earlier, Argus assessments show. Cfr Indonesia granular sulphur prices rose by $185/t to $297/t cfr over the same period. While sulphur prices have risen significantly over the past year, prices for Indonesian-origin nickel intermediates have been largely rangebound at $12,000-14,000/t of nickel contained since January 2024. The comparatively flat nickel prices and the rising raw material prices mean that producers' margins are narrowing further. Gross profit margins for MHP products were close to $10,000/t in 2023 before falling to around $7,000/t in 2024, according to Argus estimates. Current sulphur prices take up around 40pc of the total production cost of nickel matte, the largest portion out of other raw materials such as caustic soda, according to one metals producer. And the increased adoption of non-nickel containing battery chemistries such as lithium-iron-phosphate and higher demand for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles have led the industry to revise its expectation of future nickel demand from the battery section. The International Nickel Study Group has forecast a nickel market surplus of 198,000t for 2025 , rising from 179,000t in 2024. But new ternary precursor cathode active materials projects will support a rise in nickel usage in the medium term, the group said. As higher raw material prices continue to chip away at producer margins, upcoming projects including QMB New Energy Materials' phase 3 in Morowali, and developments by Guangqing and Blue Sparkling Energy in Weda Bay may have to be postponed, market participants said. The three projects are expected on line this year, adding 844,000 t/yr of sulphur demand at capacity. By Chi Hin Ling, Deon Ngee Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Energy-related methane emissions not falling: IEA


07/05/25
News
07/05/25

Energy-related methane emissions not falling: IEA

Paris, 7 May (Argus) — Emissions of the greenhouse gas methane from the energy sector did not fall in 2024 despite widespread pledges to cut them, as few countries have delivered solid plans, according to energy watchdog the IEA. Methane emissions from the fossil fuel sector totalled around 120mn t last year, the organisation said in its global tracker released today. This is in line with emissions in recent years, which have held roughly steady since 2019. The gas has contributed to around 30pc of human-induced global warming since the industrial revolution, the agency said. Four countries — China, Russia, the US and Iran — were responsible for more than 50pc of fossil fuel-related methane emissions last year, with a 20pc, 16pc, 11pc and 5pc share, respectively. Fossil-fuel related methane emissions have held steady, but methane intensity has dropped slightly since 2019, as hydrocarbon production has increased, the IEA said. The watchdog has brought new emissions sources within its remit, integrating emissions from abandoned facilities, including coal mines, for the first time. These sites were responsible for 7.7mn t of emissions in 2024, it found, of which 70pc comes from just three countries — China with 36pc, the US with 21pc and Russia with 12pc. Around three quarters of global hydrocarbon by country of origin, and half by producing firm, falls under voluntary agreements to cut methane emissions, including the Global methane pledge aiming to cut emissions by 30pc by 2030 from 2020. Only 5pc of oil and gas emissions is currently produced under verifiable near-zero emissions standards, the IEA said. It has doubled its estimate of methane released by bioenergy, to 20mn t from 10mn t, largely from incomplete combustion of traditional biomass, with India accounting for a fifth of the total. Around 2mn t comes from biogas and biomethane. Leaks from biogas and biomethane production sites can undermine or entirely cancel out the benefit of switching to these fuels from natural gas, it said. It estimates methane intensity from biogas and biomethane — the proportion of produced gas which leaks — at 8pc and 4pc in Asia-pacific and Europe respectively, the two leading regions in the sector. The IEA estimates that 30pc of fossil fuel-related emissions could have been abated at no net cost, down from its estimate of 40pc of last year because of falls in gas prices. The current round of updates of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) — plans to cut emissions — offers an opportunity to increase ambition, the IEA said. Only 30 NDCs as of 2024 laid out specific measures for targeting methane, while only nine had precise targets. But China last year announced that its NDC would cover all greenhouse gases. US methane The IEA predicts a 35pc fall in US energy-related methane emissions by 2030, despite rollbacks of Biden-era methane initiatives since the beginning of Donald Trump's second presidency. Trump in March blocked a rule which would have obliged producers to pay $900/t for methane emissions, slated to cut fugitive emissions from the US' sprawling gas industry. But some state laws remain on the books, the IEA said, such as limits to venting and flaring in New Mexico and Colorado. And some US firms are still members of emissions cut partnerships such as the UN methane initiative and the oil and gas decarbonisation charter . US producers can still deploy abatement projects which have a positive rate of return, allowing more gas to be brought to market, the IEA said. But lower gas prices in the US compared to prevailing global markets could lessen the incentive for US producers to cut emissions in the absence of binding regulations. By Rhys Talbot Fossil fuel-related methane emissions, 2024 mn t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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