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Cop: Parties continue work on new finance goal

  • Market: Crude oil, Emissions, Oil products
  • 16/11/24

Parties at the UN Cop 29 climate talks in Baku have asked for more time to work on "specific proposals" for a new finance goal, working from a draft text released yesterday, before convening for a plenary session later today, according to the summit's presidency.

Country representatives are seeking to agree on a new climate finance goal for developing nations, following on from the current — broadly recognised as inadequate — $100bn/yr target. The draft text still fails to bridge the huge divide between developed and developing countries on key issues such as an amount for the goal, the contributor base and what the funds should be used for.

A plenary is due to take place later today in Baku. "Over the last few days some people have doubted whether collectively we can deliver. It is time for the negotiators to start proving them wrong," Cop 29 deputy lead negotiator Samir Bejanov said.

Parties continue to stick to their positions. Developed countries have still not come forward with a number for the goal, and want the contributor base broadened.

Developing countries remain broadly united in calling for climate public finance of over $1 trillion/yr. Options show that developing country parties seek a new finance goal that serves mitigation — actions to reduce emissions — adaptation and loss and damage. Adaptation refers to adjustments to avoid global warming effects where possible, while loss and damage describes the unavoidable and irreversible effects of such change.

Developed nations are also pushing for sub-targets of $220bn/yr for least developed countries (LDCs) and $39bn/yr for small island developing states (Sids), in which money for adaptation should come in the form of grants and highly concessional finance and funding for loss and damage "primarily in grants".

The multi-layered approach in the draft, mostly supported by developed countries, does not mention loss and damage. On broadening the contributor base, it has options calling on "parties in a position to contribute" or "all capable parties" to "mobilise jointly $100bn/yr for mitigation and adaptation in developing countries by 2035.

The UN climate body the UNFCCC works from a list of developed and developing countries from 1992 — delineating 24 countries plus the EU as developed — and many of these note that economic circumstances have changed in some countries, including China, over the past 32 years. China between 2013 and 2022 provided $45bn in climate finance to developing countries, equivalent to 6.1pc of climate finance provided by all developed countries in the period, according to think-tank WRI.

A few options in the multi-layered approach in the draft talk about "investments", which developing countries do not support, and "investing trillions "from all sources, public, private, domestic and international".

Some parties on both sides are calling for the reforms of multilateral development banks, key to leverage billions in private sector finance, to accelerate. But these issues are largely outside of the remit of the Cop, even though they may get a boost from the upcoming G20 leaders summit on 18-19 November.

UN climate body chief Simon Stiell today urged G20 leaders to make the climate crisis "order of business number one". He called on G20 to ensure the availability of more grant and concessional finance, make progress on debt relief, and push for additional multi-lateral development bank reforms.

Brazil is looking to use its G20 presidency to advance agreement on energy transition finance, having set fighting climate change as one of its G20 priorities. The country called for a global finance governance that includes rules for financing a "just and equitable" energy transition in developing economies and for an easier access to climate funds. Brazil has also pushing for a 2pc tax on billionaires that could generate up to $250 bn/yr in revenue.


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02/03/25

Ecuador awards Sacha field to Sinopec, Petrolia

Ecuador awards Sacha field to Sinopec, Petrolia

Quito, 2 March (Argus) — Ecuador will transfer operation of its highest-producing oil field, the 74,600 b/d Sacha, to a consortium of China's Sinopec and Canada-based Petrolia under a production-sharing contract aimed at increasing output, the energy ministry said today. The consortium, in which Sinopec as operators hold a 60pc share and Petrolia the remainder, committed to investing $1.7bn in the next six year to reach peak production of 100,000 b/d by 2028, up by 33pc compared with current output. State-owned Petroecuador currently operates the field in block 60 in the Orellana province in the Amazonian region. Energy minister Ines Manzano authorized the deal through a resolution, and vice minister of hydrocarbons Guilhermo Ferreira was charged with signing the 20-year contract. Most terms have already been negotiated and final signature should not take more than a few weeks, the ministry said. The consortium had proposed keeping from 80pc-87.5pc of production, depending on the price of WTI crude, Petrolia's general manager Ramiro Paez previously told Argus . If the WTI price is below $30/bl, the consortium will take 87.5pc of the production. But its production sharing will decrease on a sliding scale to a minimum of 80pc when the WTI price is $120/bl or above. Ecuador's government will keep 80pc of profits, when taxes and other fees are taken into account, the consortium has said. Transitioning operations from Petroecuador to Sinopec will take about six months, said Paez. Opposing forces Ecuador's oil workers' unions have rejected the plan as unconstitutional because it passes control of the field from the state-owned company, as have opposition legislators with the citizens' revolution party that holds a majority in congress. The deal will cost Ecuador's government $8bn, the party claims. They also complained that the government announced the decision at the start of a holiday weekend. Manzano defended the deal as constitutional as the hydrocarbons law allows the government to delegate crude field operations. The energy ministry will provide additional details about the deal on 5 March after the 3-4 March holiday for Carnival. From 1-27 February 2025, Sacha produced an average of 74,680 b/d, down by 4pc compared with 77,884 b/d in February 2024, according to the data published by the hydrocarbons regulatory agency (Arch) and Petroecuador. Ecuador produced 474,860 b/d in January. By Alberto Araujo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Weak Canadian dollar may offset US tariffs: MEG


28/02/25
News
28/02/25

Weak Canadian dollar may offset US tariffs: MEG

Calgary, 28 February (Argus) — The impact of the US' planned 10pc tariff on Canadian energy imports is likely to be "relatively muted" with a weaker Canadian dollar helping to cushion the impacts on US dollar-denominated Western Canadian Select crude, according to Canada's largest pure-play oil sands producer today. "You might see a $2-4/bl widening in the WCS diff, but we're also seeing a weakening in the Canadian dollar at the same time. That's going to offset that," MEG Energy chief financial officer Ryan Kubik told analysts. The Canadian dollar, on average, was worth C$1.37 to the US dollar in 2024, weakening from C$1.35 to the greenback in 2023 and the weakest since 2003, according to the Bank of Canada. The Canadian dollar has since depreciated further to C$1.43 to the US dollar in February, a benefit to Canadian producers selling crude in US dollars. Heavy sour Western Canadian Select (WCS) in Alberta was under pressure in early February when tariffs looked likely, but were subsequently postponed to 4 March. WCS trades at a discount to the US light sweet benchmark and this week has been hovering around a $13/bl discount, roughly $2/bl narrower than before the tariff threat nearly one month ago. US president Donald Trump said he plans to impose a 10pc tariff on energy, and a 25pc tariff on all other imports from Canada, next week. That has caused confusion for the market with little details on how it would work. Additionally, it is unclear who may bear the brunt of the added tax, but Canadian producers seem likely to share in that cost along with refiners and consumers, to a varying degree. Kubik discussed the prospect of hedging more volumes at current WCS prices, but said participants are limited by the "very illiquid" nature of the market. "There's not a lot of appetite to get out there and put a position on because it's just not that meaningful," said Kubik. "And when you consider the impact of tariffs, we actually think it may be relatively muted." For the moment, most of the volume moving westbound on the 890,000 b/d Trans Mountain system, which enables Canadian producers to bypass the US entirely by exporting to the Pacific Rim, is on existing contracts, according to MEG's senior vice president of marketing Erik Alson. "I think where you're likely to see spot shipments moving would be more around the time when, if, tariffs come into effect," said Alson. "That's when you'd see the extra incentive to move a significant amount of spot capacity." MEG is a committed shipper on TMX but also routes crude through the US Gulf coast, and more than half of MEG's sales could be non-tariffed, depending on the details in the executive order. MEG reported Friday its bitumen output fell to 100,100 b/d in the fourth quarter , down from 109,100 b/d in the fourth quarter of 2023. The Calgary-based company posted a profit of C$106mn ($73mn) in the fourth quarter, up from C$103mn in the fourth quarter of 2023. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Energy a priority for Uruguay’s new government


28/02/25
News
28/02/25

Energy a priority for Uruguay’s new government

Montevideo, 28 February (Argus) — Energy will play a central role as Uruguay's new president Yamandu Orsi begins his five-year term on 1 March. Orsi, of the left-wing Broad Front coalition, takes over one of South America's most economically and politically stable countries. The economy is forecast to expand by 3pc this year, above the regional average, and the government wants to attract investment to maintain growth. The energy sector is a priority. Uruguay already has one of the region's cleanest grids, with 99pc of power coming from renewable sources, and in February reached the goal of 100pc electrification nationwide, according to the state-run electric company, UTE. The Orsi administration is studying options for the second phase of the energy transition, which includes adding capacity to meet increasing demand from electrification of transportation and clean fuel production. New finance minister Gabriel Oddone said the administration would focus on reducing red tape and potentially provide incentives for investment in the energy sector. Uruguay currently has close to 5.3GW of installed capacity, with 78pc in renewable sources, for its population of 3.5mn. The UTE, which had a profit of $315mn in 2024, is adding 100MW in wind power in the next two years. The Orsi administration plans to prioritize solar capacity. The new government is keenly following the development of low-carbon hydrogen and e-fuel projects. The most advanced project is for production of 700,000 tonnes (t) of synthetic fuel by Chile's HIF Global and ALUR, the biofuel arm of the state-owned Ancap. Investment is estimated at $6bn, making it the largest planned single investment in the country's history. The company requested approval in January of environmental permits for the project's solar park that would include 1.84mn bifacial solar panels. It would produce a peak of 1,162MW. Construction would take 18 months from approval. The municipal council in Paysandu, in northwestern Uruguay where the project is planned, on 27 February approved a change in land use to facilitate plant construction. Ancap, which lost an estimated $130mn last year because its only refinery was closed for six months, has proposed offshore production of low-carbon hydrogen. The Orsi administration has not yet committed to the project. Reverse transition? The new government will also have to also have to decide on the future of seven offshore exploration blocks, with seismic testing planned for late this year, and the possible construction of a gas pipeline that would link Argentina and Brazil. A pipeline exists from Argentina to Uruguay, but it could be expanded and extended to supply southern Brazil. It would require an additional 415km (258mi) in Uruguay, and around 500km in Brazil's Rio Grande do Sul state. Orsi has taken a wait-and-see attitude toward exploration, while a gas pipeline would likely have more popular support because it could expand service from only a section of the coast to a wider region. By Lucien Chauvin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Low flood risk expected for upper Mississippi River


28/02/25
News
28/02/25

Low flood risk expected for upper Mississippi River

Houston, 28 February (Argus) — The spring flood risk is low along the upper Mississippi River, as area soils and streams have amble capacity to accommodate seasonal precipitation, according to the National Weather Service (NWS). Precipitation in the Corn Belt has been below normal this winter, keeping the region abnormally dry, the NWS said Thursday in its second Spring Flood Outlook . Minimal snow pack has formed in the Northern Plains following lackluster winter precipitation. Both these factors have reduced the risk for March-April flooding along the upper Mississippi River. Around 0-2in of water equivalent are in the snowpack along the northern stretches of Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan. In addition, stream flows are below normal, giving them more capacity to handle spring rains and snow melt. In other areas of the Corn Belt and the Northern Plains, unfrozen soil is expected to soak up precipitation, asmoisture levels remain below normal. Southern Illinois and Missouri have no frozen soil, completely thawing since the previous outlook . Iowa has 16-24in of frozen soil, slightly higher over the past two weeks. Northern states such as Minnesota and Wisconsin still have an average of 24-36in of frost depth. These states have the entire month of March to defrost and gain moisture levels, since the majority of spring planting for the Corn Belt begin in April. Normal precipitation is projected for the upper Mississippi River basin through the first half of March, according to the NWS' Climate Prediction Center. The seasonal temperatures outlook for March-April are near normal, while precipitation is anticipated to be above average. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Iraq says KRG oil flows to restart in hours, IOCs deny


28/02/25
News
28/02/25

Iraq says KRG oil flows to restart in hours, IOCs deny

Dubai, 28 February (Argus) — Crude exports from Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdistan region will resume through the Iraq-Turkey pipeline within hours, Iraq's oil minister said Friday. But an industry body representing foreign operators in the region said there are still outstanding contractual issues that need to be overcome before the long-awaited restart can happen. Speaking during a visit to the Khor al-Zubair port, Iraq's oil minister Hayan Abdulghani said state-owned oil marketer Somo would "announce in the coming hours the commencement of the region's oil export operations". Exports through the pipeline, which links oil fields in northern Iraq to the Turkish Mediterranean port of Ceyhan, would begin "at an initial rate of 185,000 b/d", Abdulghani said, adding that flows would increase gradually "to reach the capacity specified in the general federal budget". Basim Mohammed Khudair, the director general of state-owned oil services firm Iraq Drilling Company, said last weekend that 300,000 b/d would be available for export out of the Kurdistan region in the agreement's preliminary stage , of which 185,000 b/d would be shipped through the Iraq-Turkey pipeline. The remaining 115,000 b/d would be directed to refineries in the region, he said. Khudair said Iraqi Kurdish crude output would gradually climb to 400,000 b/d, the level agreed on in the federal budget. The oil minister's comments come just days after Iraq's oil ministry said it was awaiting the green light from the Turkish government to restart flows through the pipeline. The ministry had said it expected to secure the approval within two days. But the Association of the Petroleum Industry of Kurdistan (Apikur), an industry body representing eight foreign oil companies operating in the Kurdistan region, poured cold water on the prospect of an imminent restart, suggesting that there are still issues that need resolving between the operators and the federal government in Baghdad. "Apikur member companies remain prepared to immediately resume exports as soon as formal agreements are reached to provide surety of payment for past and future exports consistent with our existing contractual legal and commercial terms," Apikur said. But "there has not yet been any outreach in this regard to Apikur member companies. Apikur member companies do not have agreements that would lead to resuming oil exports today," it said. Oil producers in Iraqi Kurdistan have been shut out of international markets since March 2023 after Turkey ordered the closure of the pipeline following an arbitration ruling that said it had breached a bilateral agreement with Iraq by allowing Kurdish crude to be exported without Baghdad's consent. Disagreements between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government over commercial terms followed, preventing pipeline flows from resuming. A budget amendment, increasing the compensation for Kurdish production and transportation costs, was passed by the Iraqi parliament earlier this month , ending the dispute and paving the way for exports to restart. By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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