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Global agencies agree 2024 was hottest year recorded

  • Market: Emissions
  • 10/01/25

Six international science and weather institutions have separately found that 2024 was the hottest year on record, the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) said today.

The organisations co-ordinated to release their 2024 average temperature data on the same day, "to underline the exceptional conditions experienced during 2024," the WMO said.

The WMO uses data from the six agencies — the UK's Met Office, Japan's Meteorological Agency (JMA), US non-profit Berkeley Earth, the EU's Copernicus and the US' National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and National Aeronautics and Space Administration (Nasa).

The global average surface temperature in 2024 was 1.55°C above the pre-industrial average, with a margin of uncertainty of 0.13°C either above or below that figure, WMO found in its analysis of the six datasets. This makes it "likely" that the world has experienced the first calendar year breaching the 1.5°C limit pursued by the Paris climate accord. Climate scientists use a timeframe of 1850-1900 for the pre-industrial average temperature. The Paris agreement seeks to limit global heating to "well below" 2°C above pre-industrial levels, and preferably to 1.5°C.

All six datasets put 2024 as the hottest year on record and flag up the recent rate of warming, but "not all show the temperature anomaly above 1.5°C due to differing methodologies," WMO said. Copernicus found the global average temperature in 2024 was 1.6°C above pre-industrial levels.

"Individual years pushing past the 1.5°C limit do not mean the long-term goal is shot," UN secretary-general Antonio Guterres said. "There's still time to avoid the worst of climate catastrophe. But leaders must act — now."

He urged governments to submit new national climate action plans this year.

The temperature limits sought by the Paris agreement work on a timeframe of 20 years or longer, Copernicus said. Long-term global warming is currently about 1.3°C above the pre-industrial baseline, a team of experts established by WMO found.

"We've had not just one or two record-breaking years, but a full 10-year series," said WMO secretary-general Celeste Saulo. "This has been accompanied by devastating and extreme weather, rising sea levels and melting ice, all powered by record-breaking greenhouse gas levels due to human activities."

The UK Met Office outlook finds that 2025 is likely to be one of the three warmest years, in terms of global average temperature, "falling in line just behind 2024 and 2023", it said today.


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10/01/25

US issues 45Z tax guidance for low-carbon fuels

US issues 45Z tax guidance for low-carbon fuels

Washington, 10 January (Argus) — US producers of low-carbon fuels can start claiming the "45Z" tax credit providing up to $1/USG for road use and $1.75/USG for aviation, following the US Treasury Department's release today of proposed guidance for the credit. The guidance includes proposed regulations and other tools to determine the eligibility of fuels for the 45Z tax credit, which was created by the Inflation Reduction Act to replace a suite of incentives for biofuels that expired at the end of last year. Biofuel producers have been clamoring for guidance from the US Treasury Department so they can start claiming the tax credit, which is available for fuels produced from 1 January 2025 through the end of 2027. "This guidance will help put America on the cutting-edge of future innovation in aviation and renewable fuel while also lowering transportation costs for consumers," US deputy treasury secretary Wally Adeymo said. "Decarbonizing transportation and lowering costs is a win-win for America." The creation of the 45Z tax credit has already prompted a change in US biofuels markets by shifting federal subsidies from blenders to producers. Because the value of tax credit increases for fuels with the lowest lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, it could encourage refiners to source more waste feedstocks such as used cooking oil, rather than conventional crop-based feedstocks. While the guidance is still just a proposal, taxpayers are able to "immediately" use the guidance to claim the 45Z tax credit, until Treasury issues additional guidance, an administration official said. The guidance on 45Z released today affirms that only the producer for the fuel is eligible to claim the credit, not blenders. To be eligible for the tax credit, the fuel must have a "practical or commercial fitness for use in a highway vehicle or aircraft" by itself or when blended into a mixture, Treasury said. Marine diesel and methanol suitable for highway or aircraft use are also eligible for 45Z, as is renewable natural gas that can be used as a transportation fuel. Treasury also released an "annual emissions rate table" offering providers a methodology for determining the lifecycle GHG of fuel. Treasury said a key emissions model from the US Department of Energy, called 45ZCF-GREET, used to calculate the value of the 45Z tax credit is anticipated to be released today, although industry officials said it may be delayed until next week. Treasury said it intends to propose regulations at "a future date" for calculating the GHG emissions benefits of "climate smart agriculture" practices for "cultivating domestic corn, soybeans, and sorghum as feedstocks" for fuel. Those regulations could lower the calculated lifecycle emissions of fuel from those crop-based feedstocks and increase the relative 45Z tax credit. US biofuel producers said they are still awaiting key details on the 45Z tax credit, including the update to the GREET model. Among the outstanding questions is if the guidance released today provides "enough certainty to negotiate feedstock and fuel offtake agreements going forward", said the Clean Fuels America Alliance, an industry group that represents the biodiesel, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel industries. It is unclear how president-elect Donald Trump intends to approach this proposed approach for the 45Z credit, which will be subject to a 90-day public comment period. Trump has promised to "rescind all unspent funds" from the Inflation Reduction Act. But outright repealing 45Z would leave biofuels producers and farmers without a subsidy they say is needed to sustain growth, after the expiration last year of a $1/USG blender tax credit and a tax credit of up to $1.75/USG for sustainable aviation fuel. Biofuel and soybean groups were unsuccessful in a push last year to extend the expiring biofuel tax credits. The 45Z credit is likely to be debated in Congress this year, as Republicans consider repealing parts of the Inflation Reduction Act. House Republicans have already asked for input on revisions to the 45Z credit, signaling they could modify the incentive. In a tightly divided Congress, farm-state lawmakers may hold enough leverage to ensure some type of biofuel incentive — and potentially one friendlier to agricultural producers than 45Z — survives. By Chris Knight and Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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2024 was hottest year on record: EU’s Copernicus


10/01/25
News
10/01/25

2024 was hottest year on record: EU’s Copernicus

London, 10 January (Argus) — Last year was the hottest year globally since records began in 1850, and the first calendar year to breach the 1.5°C temperature limit sought by the Paris climate agreement, EU earth-monitoring service Copernicus said today. The global average surface air temperature in 2024 was 15.10°C — 0.12°C higher than previous hottest year 2023 and 0.72°C higher than the 1991-2020 average, Copernicus found. The global average temperature in 2024 was 1.6°C higher than an estimate of the pre-industrial average, Copernicus data show — the first calendar year to breach the temperature limit pursued by the Paris accord. The two-year average for 2023-24 "also exceeds this threshold", Copernicus said. The Paris agreement seeks to limit the rise in temperature to "well below" 2°C above pre-industrial levels, and preferably to 1.5°C. This "does not mean we have breached the limit set by the Paris agreement", which "refers to temperature anomalies averaged over at least 20 years", Copernicus said. But it "underscores that global temperatures are rising beyond what modern humans have ever experienced", the organisation added. Each year of the past decade — 2015-24 — was one of the hottest ten years on record. And every month since July 2023, apart from July 2024, has breached the 1.5°C level, Copernicus data show. Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions "remain the main agent of climate change", director of Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service Laurence Rouil said. GHG concentrations are the highest in at least 800,000 years, Copernicus said. Atmospheric concentrations of key GHGs CO2 and methane "continued to increase and reached record annual levels in 2024", it said. CO2 stood at 422 parts per million (ppm) and methane at 1,897 parts per billion (ppb) in 2024 — 2.9ppm and 3ppb higher on the year, respectively, Copernicus data show. While the rate of increase in CO2 "was larger than the rate observed in recent years", the rate of increase in methane was "significantly lower than in the last three years", Copernicus said. An international team of scientists said in November that carbon emissions from fossil fuels were projected to reach a fresh high in 2024 , with "no sign" that these have peaked. Global sea surface temperatures were also above average in 2024 and were a significant force behind the record high surface air temperatures, Copernicus said. Oceans absorb the majority of the world's excess heat. And the amount of water vapour in the atmosphere hit a fresh high in 2024, at around 5pc above the 1991-2020 average, Copernicus found. Climate change is worsening extreme weather events such as floods and storms, studies found. This "reflects the basic physics of climate change — a warmer atmosphere tends to hold more moisture, leading to heavier downpours", research groups World Weather Attribution and Climate Central said in December. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UAE commits $40mn to Brazil enviro initiatives


09/01/25
News
09/01/25

UAE commits $40mn to Brazil enviro initiatives

Sao Paulo, 9 January (Argus) — The UAE's Erth Zayed Philanthropies committed $40mn to back Brazilian projects to protect the environment and advance sustainable development. The organization said it plans to support multiple projects in Brazil, including programs to restore ecosystems and eliminate plastic waste in the Amazon, as well as projects that support sustainable farming. It also reaffirmed its commitment to support the Tropical Forests Forever Facility (TFFF), which was launched by Brazil in 2023 and aims to raise funds to protect tropical forests and help countries combat deforestation. The UAE was one of five countries that committed to backing the fund during the biodiversity summit in Colombia in October. The organization announced its plans to support Brazil's environmental protection efforts during the G20 summit in November , following a meeting between Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and the Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi, Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed Al Nahyan. Erth Zayed Philanthropies was launched in October and will be used as a vehicle for the UAE to invest in a broad range of charitable projects in sectors including health, education, food security as well as energy and sustainability. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Denmark invites applications for CO2 storage permits


09/01/25
News
09/01/25

Denmark invites applications for CO2 storage permits

London, 9 January (Argus) — The Danish Energy Agency has launched its fourth tender inviting applications for exploration and CO2 storage, in three areas off the northwest coast of Denmark. The blocks, in the Danish North Sea, are geologically "particularly suitable for storing CO2", Denmark's geological survey found. The application deadline is 6 March. The Danish government issues permits with two phases — an exploration and a storage phase. If granted an exploration permit, developers have up to six years to investigate and assess the suitability and CO2 storage capacity of the area. They are then able to apply for a storage permit, which will be valid for up to 30 years. The Danish state holds a 20pc stake in all exploration and storage permits. Denmark awarded three CO2 exploration permits in February 2023, and three more in June last year. UK company Ineos took a final investment decision for the first phase of the Greensand CO2 storage project in December. The site's developers successfully demonstrated a pilot CO2 injection in March 2023. The carbon capture and storage (CCS) industry is gradually developing, led by northern Europe. The region has a geological advantage, in its declining oil and gas fields, as well as government funding from countries including Denmark and Norway. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Indonesia necessitates UCO, Pome oil export approvals


08/01/25
News
08/01/25

Indonesia necessitates UCO, Pome oil export approvals

Singapore, 8 January (Argus) — Indonesian exporters of palm oil derivative products must now obtain approvals to ship them out of the country, according to a regulation released by the Indonesian ministry of trade today. The palm oil derivative products include used cooking oil (UCO) and palm oil residue palm oil mill effluent (Pome) oil. The regulation is to ensure adequate availability of feedstocks to support the rollout of Indonesia's B40 mandate, under which companies will have to supply 40pc biodiesel blends from the end of February . Export approvals will be valid for six months from the date of issuance, according to the regulation. Further export policies will be discussed and agreed upon in an upcoming co-ordination meeting between relevant ministries and non-ministerial government institutions which market participants said is likely to be held on 13 or 14 January. The service for applying for export approvals will be temporarily suspended until the meeting is held. During the meeting, a quota system for exports might also be discussed, said Indonesia-based market participants. An integrated team could also be formed to supervise exports, including bodies such as the Co-ordinating Ministry of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Trade, Industry, Agriculture, Finance and others. Indonesia-origin UCO prices in flexibag have been on an uptrend since the end of October 2024, rising to over 1½-year highs of $960/t on 20 December, according to Argus' assessments. They were slightly higher at $965/t on 7 January and remained at that level on 8 January. Argus assessed Pome oil fob Indonesia at a 29-month high of $1,010/t on 9 December, although prices have since softened slightly to $960/t on 8 January. Prices were driven up by escalating palm oil prices, and the country raising export levies on UCO and Pome oil to 6pc and 7.5pc of the monthly crude palm oil (CPO) reference price respectively in September last year. More recently, UCO sellers were short on stocks, and rushed to aggregate volumes to fulfill export obligations. Another round of export levy increases is looming, although market participants feel this might not be enough to fund B40 across all transport sectors as well. The country's ministry of energy and mineral resources said on 3 January that biodiesel producers and fuel retailers must supply 15.6mn kilolitres of biodiesel to fulfill the B40 mandate. By Sarah Giam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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