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Trinidad moves past Venezuela to tap border gas

  • Market: Natural gas, Petrochemicals
  • 11/06/19

Trinidad and Tobago has cleared Shell to develop the country's side of a shallow-water natural gas field that straddles the maritime border with Venezuela, prime minister Keith Rowley said.

The move indicates Trinidad's "impatience" with Venezuela's delay in agreeing on the development of the Loran-Manatee field that contains an estimated 10 Tcf of gas, the country's energy ministry tells Argus.

"We encouraged Shell to move towards production of the Manatee aspect of Loran-Manatee," Rowley said on 7 June. "Investment will focus on Manatee while Venezuela keeps control of Loran."

The agreement with Shell was concluded during meetings with the company in Europe in early June, Rowley said.

Shell has not responded to a request for comment.

The European major bought a 50pc stake in Manatee from Chevron in June 2017. Chevron still holds the remaining 50pc.

Loran-Manatee covers block 6 on Trinidad's side and block 2 on Venezuela's side.

Negotiations on developing the field have sputtered for years. A draft agreement reached by the two governments in 2013 allocated 73.75pc of the Loran-Manatee reserves to Venezuela and 26.25pc to Trinidad.

Despite this, "Venezuela has not shown an interest in moving the project forward," the energy ministry said.

Visiting Trinidad in November 2018, Venezuela's oil minister and state-owned oil company PdV chief executive Manuel Quevedo said a deal to tap the field is "close". Similarly, Trinidad's energy ministry said at the time that an agreement is "within reach" and first gas should be delivered at the end of 2019.

"The decision to develop our part of the gas field is fueled by the inability to reach an agreement with Venezuela to monetize the deposits," the energy ministry tells Argus. "We need the gas, but the prospects of an operational agreement for the cross-border field are now further away given the current state of affairs in Venezuela."

Venezuela is in the throes of a severe economic crisis and political turmoil. More than 50 countries recognize the interim presidency of opposition leader Juan Guaido rather than the administration of Nicolas Maduro. The government and PdV are subject to US sanctions.

So far Trinidad has avoided coming down firmly on either side of Venezuela's conflict. The government abstained from a 10 January resolution by the Washington-based Organization of American States (OAS) not to recognize the Maduro government.

Trinidad's decision to move on Manatee has reduced prospects for an agreement with Caracas to tap two smaller cross-border fields - the 310 Bcf Kapok-Dorado and 740 Bcf Manakin-Coquina.

Rowley also threw cold water on a preliminary deal to import Venezuelan gas from that country's offshore Dragon field. The leading actor in that agreement is Shell.

The two governments, Shell, PdV and Trinidad's state-owned gas company NGC signed a term sheet in late August 2018 for Trinidad to purchase 150mn cf/d of gas from Dragon starting in 2020. Volumes were eventually slated to double to 300mn cf/d. A Shell platform in Trinidad would receive the pipeline gas from the Dragon field.

"Any timeline for this will depend on the timeline for the return to normalcy in that country," Rowley said.

Trinidad had been counting on the Venezuelan gas to sustain exports of LNG, methanol and ammonia. The country's own gas production has been recovering since November 2017 following a long slide from a peak of 4.3 Bcf/d in 2010, but the volumes are still short of demand.

In May BP said it may close Train 1 of the Atlantic LNG complex after 2019 because of a shortage of feedstock.


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Trader curbs US-Canada gas trade on tariff risk

Trader curbs US-Canada gas trade on tariff risk

New York, 28 February (Argus) — A major European energy trading company has redirected about 1 Bcf (28mn m³) of natural gas that was scheduled to flow across the US border into Canada to reduce the company's exposure to the threat of impending tariffs, a person with knowledge of the matter told Argus . The trading company originally planned to flow about 30mn cf/d of gas from the US Midwest into Enbridge's Dawn storage hub in Ontario, Canada, every day in March. But the company has decided to cancel that contract and drop the gas off at another location in Chicago, Illinois, instead, because it did not think the slim profit margin of that trade was worth the risk of having to incur potential tariffs imposed by Canada in retaliation to President Donald Trump's threatened 10pc tariffs on energy products flowing across the border. Trump's tariffs are set to take effect on 4 March. The canceled gas flows across the US-Canadian border illustrate the precautions some industry participants are taking to reduce their exposure to price uncertainty resulting from what appears to be a looming trade war between the close energy trading partners. Such precautions are being taken despite the fact that most analysts think the impact on gas prices and cross-border volumes from Trump's tariffs would be modest. If the tariffs are not imposed and the cross-border trades in March are profitable, the European trading company may choose to resume the trade and send gas from the US into Canada on a daily basis, the person said. Opting out of trades that risk tariff exposure is sometimes the most prudent decision, although it slows dealmaking, the person said. The company is still doing deals that move gas from Canada south into the US Pacific Northwest, because those trades are profitable enough to offset the risk of potential tariffs. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Energy a priority for Uruguay’s new government


28/02/25
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28/02/25

Energy a priority for Uruguay’s new government

Montevideo, 28 February (Argus) — Energy will play a central role as Uruguay's new president Yamandu Orsi begins his five-year term on 1 March. Orsi, of the left-wing Broad Front coalition, takes over one of South America's most economically and politically stable countries. The economy is forecast to expand by 3pc this year, above the regional average, and the government wants to attract investment to maintain growth. The energy sector is a priority. Uruguay already has one of the region's cleanest grids, with 99pc of power coming from renewable sources, and in February reached the goal of 100pc electrification nationwide, according to the state-run electric company, UTE. The Orsi administration is studying options for the second phase of the energy transition, which includes adding capacity to meet increasing demand from electrification of transportation and clean fuel production. New finance minister Gabriel Oddone said the administration would focus on reducing red tape and potentially provide incentives for investment in the energy sector. Uruguay currently has close to 5.3GW of installed capacity, with 78pc in renewable sources, for its population of 3.5mn. The UTE, which had a profit of $315mn in 2024, is adding 100MW in wind power in the next two years. The Orsi administration plans to prioritize solar capacity. The new government is keenly following the development of low-carbon hydrogen and e-fuel projects. The most advanced project is for production of 700,000 tonnes (t) of synthetic fuel by Chile's HIF Global and ALUR, the biofuel arm of the state-owned Ancap. Investment is estimated at $6bn, making it the largest planned single investment in the country's history. The company requested approval in January of environmental permits for the project's solar park that would include 1.84mn bifacial solar panels. It would produce a peak of 1,162MW. Construction would take 18 months from approval. The municipal council in Paysandu, in northwestern Uruguay where the project is planned, on 27 February approved a change in land use to facilitate plant construction. Ancap, which lost an estimated $130mn last year because its only refinery was closed for six months, has proposed offshore production of low-carbon hydrogen. The Orsi administration has not yet committed to the project. Reverse transition? The new government will also have to also have to decide on the future of seven offshore exploration blocks, with seismic testing planned for late this year, and the possible construction of a gas pipeline that would link Argentina and Brazil. A pipeline exists from Argentina to Uruguay, but it could be expanded and extended to supply southern Brazil. It would require an additional 415km (258mi) in Uruguay, and around 500km in Brazil's Rio Grande do Sul state. Orsi has taken a wait-and-see attitude toward exploration, while a gas pipeline would likely have more popular support because it could expand service from only a section of the coast to a wider region. By Lucien Chauvin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Low flood risk expected for upper Mississippi River


28/02/25
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28/02/25

Low flood risk expected for upper Mississippi River

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Muted Norwegian gas flows in Jan-Feb follow forecast


28/02/25
News
28/02/25

Muted Norwegian gas flows in Jan-Feb follow forecast

London, 28 February (Argus) — Nominated flows to Europe from Norway have held below 2024 so far this year, but this decline is roughly in line with the Norwegian Offshore Directorate's (NOD) revised forecast for gas output. Nominated Norwegian flows to Europe, including the UK, averaged 327.5mn m³/d on 1 January-27 February, down by 4pc from 340.4mn m³/d a year earlier ( see flows graph ), data from Norwegian offshore system operator Gassco show. But nominated deliveries from the Norwegian continental shelf (NCS) to Europe were particularly high in January last year at 348.2mn m³/d — the second-highest for any month since January 2017. Norwegian flows to Europe held in a range of 295-318.2mn m³/d per year in 2021-23 and averaged 317.4mn m³/d across last year. But factoring out May and September last year, when maintenance on the shelf was the heaviest, average flows were 329.5mn m³/d. Unplanned maintenance has cut into exports On top of already scheduled works, unplanned maintenance has cut into production availability at several Norwegian fields so far this year. Average capacity cuts at Norwegian fields were 11.9mn m³/d in January and 6mn m³/d on 1-27 February, the latest Gassco data show. This is up on the year from capacity reductions of 4.2mn m³/d and 5.6mn m³/d for the respective periods. Gassco's schedule of works does not include capacity restrictions of less than 5mn m³. And past and scheduled Remit messages on the Gassco website include maintenance at 21 producing fields, but there are "currently above 65 producing units delivering into system", the operator has said. Norwegian exports to Europe can also be limited by works at processing plants, although this impact is difficult to assess as production from some fields can be processed at more than one processing plant,is processed at the field or at a receiving terminal. As such, available Norwegian export capacity can at times be lower than works at fields suggest. Nominated flows to Europe peaked at 360.3mn m³ on 19 December 2023 in recent years, even though technical capacity of export infrastructure is higher. Taking this figure as maximum export capacity to Europe, there has been a gap between actual and potential flows in recent months ( see actual versus potential flows graph ). NOD revised down forecast gas output for 2025 The NOD forecast that gas output on the NCS will fall faster on the year in 2025 than previously projected. The NOD forecast NCS gas production to fall this year from 2024 by 5pc to 118.45bn m³ or 324.5mn m³/d this year, according to data published on 20 February. This is a downward revision from its previous projection of 120.4bn m³ or 329.7mn m³/d. This would correspond to a year-on-year decline of 3pc from 2024. The forecast decline in output may have contributed to the drop in exports so far this year, although there is no confirmed production data yet available. The NOD forecast does not factor in commercial flexibility, where firms producing on the shelf may defer some production volumes in reaction to market conditions. In particular, production at the giant Troll field and fields in the Oseberg area, which account for a significant share of overall NCS production, are important flexible assets. Troll produced 119.5mn m³/d and Oseberg fields 24.2mn m³/d last year. While the shape of the TTF forward-price curve has changed in recent days as TTF prompt prices have fallen more than contracts further out along the curve, there remains an incentive to maximise production now looking longer term ( see price graph ), suggesting limited scope for production deferrals. In addition, forecasts by the NOD are likely based on the schedule of works at the time of modelling, but further gas works are often added over time and unplanned outages can occur, as has been the case so far this year. Maintenance at Norwegian fields is scheduled to be significantly lighter in March-December than in the period last year. Capacity cuts at the fields were scheduled as of today to be 14mn m³/d over the next 10 months, peaking at 48.6mn m³/d in September. This is down from realised capacity cuts of 29.7mn m³/d in March-December last year and a peak of 111.9mn m³/d in September 2024. In any event, the 4pc on-the-year decline so far this year is not far from the forecast decrease of 5pc. LNG could fill in for lower Norwegian exports LNG deliveries might need to step up this year to fill in for lower Norwegian exports to Europe. Given the expected reduction of NCS gas output of 5.79bn m³ this year from 2024, assuming an average LNG vessel size at 174,000m³ and accounting for boil-off and heel — LNG which remains in the vessel when unloading — Europe would need an additional 61 LNG cargoes this year to substitute the drop in Norwegian pipeline deliveries. And given the halt in Ukrainian transit of Russian gas at the start of the year, combined with continental storage stocks at a multi-year low approaching the end of the winter, it is likely Europe will need to attract even more LNG cargoes to comply with EU-mandated storage filling targets for 1 November. By Jana Cervinkova Norwegian nominated flows to Europe from Jan '21 until 1-27 Feb '25 mn m³/d Actual nominated vs potential daily Norwegian exports to Europe mn m³ Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Upper Mississippi River ice thickens before March


27/02/25
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27/02/25

Upper Mississippi River ice thickens before March

Houston, 27 February (Argus) — Ice measurements near the upper Mississippi River were thicker than the previous readings, the US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) reported on 26 February. The Lake Pepin ice depth results traditionally help determine when the upper Mississippi River will reopen for spring transit. The second ice measurements taken this week revealed deeper ice than the week prior . The ice along mile 770 of the lake thickened by 1in to 20in which is also thicker than the same time last year. This measurement is 4in more than the five-year average for the period and slightly above average for overall ice thickness for this time of the year, according to the Corps. Nevertheless, ice did melt at the ends of the Lake because of warmer temperatures this week. If high temperatures and winds continue through the coming weeks, Lake Pepin's ice will begin to dissipate, said Corps civil engineering technician Alan Vanguilder. But should temperatures fail to increase by mid March, the reopening of the upper Mississippi could be delayed. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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