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Citgo rivals dig trenches over delinquent debt

  • Market: Crude oil, Oil products
  • 04/11/19

A group of bondholders is urging the White House to untie its hands in an increasingly acrimonious struggle with Venezuela's political opposition over US refiner Citgo, the Opec country's most valuable international asset.

In a statement today, the Venezuela Creditors Committee (VCC) said a 28 October lawsuit by an opposition-appointed board in exile of Venezuelan national oil company PdV is "tantamount to a repudiation" of the company's obligations.

The opposition lawsuit was filed in New York Southern District against two trustees of PdV 2020 bonds that are collateralized by 50.1pc of the shares in Citgo's parent. The objective of the legal action is to obtain a declaration that a 2016 swap that led to the issuance of the overdue 2020 bond is invalid.

The lawsuit came as a surprise to the bondholders, as it was filed on the heels of a 24 October White House order that blocked them from exercising their right to the PdV 2020 collateral of Citgo shares for a 90-day period, ending 22 January 2020.

The US government action was widely seen as an effort to get both sides to reach a consensual agreement on the controversial bond, which had been the only Venezuelan debt not in default until a $914mn principal and interest payment was missed on 28 October.

The "ad hoc" administrative board of PdV was named by Juan Guaido, the Venezuelan opposition leader who is recognized by more than 50 Western nations as the country's interim president. While the US government gave its blessing to Guaido's administrative control over Citgo after he declared his interim presidency on 23 January, PdV itself is still controlled by Venezuela's incumbent president Nicolas Maduro, who has resisted a 10-month US-backed campaign to oust him. Maduro is still recognized as Venezuela's head of state by the UN, as well as Russia, China, Turkey and Cuba, among other nations.

In its statement today, the VCC said the Maduro opponents' legal actions "stand in stark contrast to their commitment to an orderly and consensual renegotiation of Venezuela's public external debt" that they had pledged to fulfill in debt guidelines issued three months ago.

The ad hoc PdV board and Guaido's debt committee have not responded to today's VCC statement.

The committee added that the lawsuit was "unnecessary" because in the months prior to the October missed payment deadline, it offered on "numerous occasions to facilitate a consensual refinancing" of the 2020 Bonds with the express purpose of ensuring that Venezuela could preserve its ownership of Citgo pending a consensual restructuring of Venezuela's public external debt. But the Guaido government declined to acknowledge or respond to the offer of assistance, the committee said.

The VCC goes on to reject the Guaido board's argument that the debt is invalid because the 2016 swap lacked approval by the opposition-controlled National Assembly, and calls on the Guaido team to reverse course if it wants an orderly and consensual outcome.

"If the Guaido Government is intent on seeking the nullity of the 2020 Bonds, then it is only fair that the holders of these Bonds be able to defend and pursue their rights in full," the VCC said. "US policy should not support the repudiation of debt nor deprive a party of its ability to defend its interests while a dispute is before US courts."

The battle over Citgo is escalating as Guaido loses political support inside Venezuela, where Maduro has clung to power in spite of a severe economic hardship that his allies blame on US sanctions.

The main opposition coalition led by Guaido is lobbying for tighter sanctions by the US and the EU to pressure Maduro to step down.

The US imposed oil sanctions on Venezuela in late January, days after Guaido emerged as leader of the opposition movement that has since fragmented and lost momentum amid rising frustration. Guaido has called for a mass mobilization in Venezuela on 16 November, but it is not clear that he has enough support to muster a turnout on the scale that Venezuela witnessed in the weeks after he declared his authority.


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22/04/25

FERC commissioner Phillips resigns from agency

FERC commissioner Phillips resigns from agency

Washington, 22 April (Argus) — Democratic commissioner Willie Phillips has resigned from the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) after serving more than three years at an agency responsible for permitting natural gas infrastructure and regulating wholesale power markets. Phillips' departure will clear the way for President Donald Trump to nominate a replacement at FERC, who once confirmed by the US Senate would provide Republicans a 3-2 majority for the first time since 2021. Phillips, whose term was not set to expire until June 2026, had a reputation for negotiating bipartisan deals on contentious orders involving pipelines and power market issues in the two years he served as FERC's chairman under former president Joe Biden. Phillips has yet to release a statement explaining his abrupt resignation. But Trump has already fired Democratic commissioners and board members at other agencies that, like FERC, are structured as independent from the White House. Two of the fired Democrats, who were serving at the US Federal Trade Commission, have filed a lawsuit that argues their removal was unlawful under a 1935 decision by the US Supreme Court. The White House did not respond to a question on whether it had pressured Phillips to resign. FERC chairman Mark Christie, a Republican, offered praise for Phillips as a "dedicated and selfless public servant" who sought to "find common ground and get things done to serve the public interest". Christie for months has been downplaying the threats to FERC's independence caused by Trump's executive order that asserts sweeping control over FERC's agenda. Energy companies have come to depend on FERC in serving as independent arbiter in disputes over pipeline tariffs and electricity markets, without the consideration of political preferences of the White House. Former FERC chairman Neil Chatterjee, a Republican who served in Trump's first term, said in a social media post it was "disappointing" to see Phillips pushed out after he "played it straight" in his work at the agency. As chairman, Phillips was able to authorize a "massive LNG project" — the 28mn t/yr CP2 project — at a time when Biden had sought to pause LNG licensing, Chatterjee said. Separately, Paul Atkins was sworn in as the chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on 21 April, after the US Senate voted 52-44 earlier this month in favor of his confirmation. Atkins was previously the chief executive of financial consulting firm Patomak Global Partners and served as an SEC commissioner from 2002-08. Republicans will now have a 3-1 majority at the SEC. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Halliburton working to mitigate tariff impact: Update


22/04/25
News
22/04/25

Halliburton working to mitigate tariff impact: Update

Adds details from call. New York, 22 April (Argus) — Oilfield services giant Halliburton said it is working to mitigate the impact of tariffs, but still expects to take a 2-3¢/share hit on its second quarter profits. About 60pc of the tariff impact will fall on Halliburton's completions and productions unit, which includes its hydraulic fracturing business, while the rest will affect the drilling and evaluation operation. The company said it has a well-diversified supply chain and can pull other levels to mitigate the effect of tariffs. "We need a bit more clarity and stability in the structure of tariffs so that we can really understand what levers we can pull and then what the overall outcome is going to be," chief financial officer Eric Carre told analysts today after Halliburton posted first quarter results. Quizzed about the market turmoil resulting from US president Donald Trump's growing trade wars, the company said customers are still digesting how their operations will be affected. "From our perspective anyway, the market's not building new equipment," said chief executive officer Jeff Miller, helping to avoid the risk of an oversupply seen in past cycles. Moreover, US upstream companies are more "biased to working through things" than in the past, he added, echoing comments from Liberty Energy last week that the industry is better placed to withstand a downturn than in the recent past given a focus on capital restraint rather than growth at any cost. Halliburton recognized there is more uncertainty now than there was three months ago. However, its international business reported a "solid start" to 2025, with significant contract awards. Even as the market slows in North America, Halliburton aims to outperform rivals by driving technology gains and improving the quality of its services. "Many of our customers are in the midst of evaluating their activity scenarios and plans for 2025," said Miller. "Activity reductions could mean higher than normal white space for committed fleets, and in some cases, the retirement or export of fleets to international markets." International revenue this year is expected to be flat to slightly down compared with 2024, given increased risks to the outlook. Miller struck an upbeat tone in discussing the industry's long-term prospects, despite tariffs and the earlier return of Opec+ barrels, both of which have weighed on oil prices. Demand is at record levels and fossil fuels will play a key role in meeting future energy demand. "Decline curves are real, and in many basins significant, and adequate supplies today do not guarantee adequate supplies tomorrow without ongoing investment," Miller warned. "Our technology will continue to transform the industry and it will unlock new sources of value for us and our customers." 1Q profit, revenue down Profit of $204mn in the first quarter was down from $606mn in the same three months of 2024. Revenue slipped to $5.4bn from $5.8bn. North America revenue fell by 12pc to $2.2bn, largely because of lower stimulation activity in US land as well as a decline in completion tool sales in the Gulf of Mexico. International sales dipped by 2pc to $3.2bn, with Latin America revenue falling 19pc because of a slowdown in Mexico. However, revenue grew in Europe, Africa, the Middle East and Asia. The company also reported a pre-tax charge of $356mn from employee severance costs and an impairment of assets held for sale. Halliburton is the first of the top oilfield services firms to release results. Baker Hughes will follow later on Tuesday, and SLB at the end of the week. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Tariff ‘shock’ prompts IMF to cut growth outlook


22/04/25
News
22/04/25

Tariff ‘shock’ prompts IMF to cut growth outlook

Washington, 22 April (Argus) — Global economic growth is expected to be significantly lower in 2025-26 than previously anticipated because of the steep tariffs President Donald Trump is pursuing for most imports and the uncertainty his policies are generating, the IMF said. The IMF, in its latest World Economic Outlook released today, forecasts the global economy will grow by 2.8pc in 2025 and 3pc in 2026. That compares with the 3.3pc/yr growth for 2025-26 that the IMF was expecting just three months ago. Today's forecast is based on the tariffs that Trump had in place as of 4 April, before he paused steep tariffs on most countries and escalated tarrifs on China. These barriers had pushed up the effective US tariff rate to levels "not seen in a century", the IMF said. While Trump has altered his tariff levels repeatedly, he has imposed an across-the-board 10pc tariff on most imports, a 25pc tariff on steel and aluminum, a 25pc tariff on some imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 145pc tariff on most imports from China. "This on its own is a major negative shock to growth," the IMF said. "The unpredictability with which these measures have been unfolding also has a negative impact on economic activity and the outlook." IMF forecasts are used by many economists to model oil demand projections. The US and its closest trading partners appear to be among those hardest hit by tariffs and corresponding trade countermeasures. The IMF's baseline scenario forecasts US growth at 1.8pc this year, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points from the forecast the IMF released in January, reflecting higher policy uncertainty, trade tensions and softer demand outlook. Mexico's economy is now projected to shrink by 0.3pc in 2025, rather than grow by 1.4pc, while Canada's growth is forecast at 1.4pc in 2025, down from 2pc. The release of the IMF report comes as Trump has given no indications of a shift in thinking on tariffs, which he says are generating billions of dollars for the US and will prompt companies to relocate their manufacturing capacity to the US. "THE BUSINESSMEN WHO CRITICIZE TARIFFS ARE BAD AT BUSINESS, BUT REALLY BAD AT POLITICS. THEY DON'T UNDERSTAND OR REALIZE THAT I AM THE GREATEST FRIEND THAT AMERICAN CAPITALISM HAS EVER HAD!" Trump wrote on social media on 20 April. The next day, major stock markets indexes declined by more than 2pc, continuing their crash from when Trump began announcing his tariff policies. Trump on 21 April escalated his attacks against US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell for failing to lower interest rates as Trump has demanded. There could be a "SLOWING of the economy unless Mr. Too Late" — his nickname for Powell — "a major loser, lowers interest rates, NOW," Trump wrote. The IMF also ratcheted down its expectations for the Chinese economy. China's economy is expected to grow by 4pc/yr in 2025-26, down from the 4.6 and 4.5pc, respectively, the IMF was anticipating in January. The euro area is forecast to grow by 0.8pc in 2025 and 1.2pc in 2026, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the IMF's previous forecast. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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IMO incentive to shape bio-bunker choices: Correction


21/04/25
News
21/04/25

IMO incentive to shape bio-bunker choices: Correction

Corrects B30 pricing in paragraph 5. New York, 21 April (Argus) — An International Maritime Organization (IMO) proposal for ship owners who exceed emissions reduction targets to earn surplus credits will play a key role in biofuel bunkering options going forward. The price of these credits will help determine whether B30 or B100 becomes the preferred bio-bunker fuel for vessels not powered by LNG or methanol. It will also influence whether biofuel adoption is accelerated or delayed beyond 2032. At the conclusion of its meeting earlier this month the IMO proposed a dual-incentive mechanism to curb marine GHG emissions starting in 2028. The system combines penalties for non-compliance with financial incentives for over-compliance, aiming to shift ship owner behavior through both "stick" and "carrot" measures. As the "carrot", ship owners whose emissions fall below the IMO's stricter compliance target will receive surplus credits, which can be traded on the open market. The "stick" will introduce a two-tier penalty system. If emissions fall between the base and direct GHG emissions tiers, vessel operators will pay a fixed penalty of $100/t CO2-equivalent. Ship owners whose emissions exceed the looser, tier 2, base target will incur a penalty of $380/t CO2e. Both tiers tighten annually through 2035. The overcompliance credits will be traded on the open market. It is unlikely that they will exceed the cost of the tier 2 penalty of $380/t CO2e. Argus modeled two surplus credit price scenarios — $70/t and $250/t CO2e — to assess their impact on bunker fuel economics. Assessments from 10-17 April showed Singapore very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) at $481/t, Singapore B30 at $740/t, and Chinese used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome), or B100, at $1,143/t (see charts). If the outright prices remain flat, in both scenarios, VLSFO would incur tier 1 and tier 2 penalties, raising its effective cost to around $563/t in 2028. B30 in both scenarios would receive credits putting its price at $653/t and $715/t respectively. In the high surplus credit scenario, B100 would earn roughly $580/t in credits, bringing its net cost to about $563/t, on par with VLSFO, and more competitive than B30. In the low surplus credit scenario, B100 would earn just $162/t in credits, lowering its cost to approximately $980/t, well above VLSFO. At these spot prices, and $250/t CO2e surplus credit, B100 would remain the cheapest fuel option through 2035. At $70/t CO2e surplus credit, B30 becomes cost-competitive with VLSFO only after 2032. Ultimately, the market value of IMO over-compliance credits will be a major factor in determining the timing and extent of global biofuel adoption in the marine sector. By Stefka Wechsler Scenario 1, $70/t surplus credit $/t Scenario 2, $250/t surplus credit $/t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Calif. refinery resupply rule vote postponed


21/04/25
News
21/04/25

Calif. refinery resupply rule vote postponed

Houston, 21 April (Argus) — California regulators delayed a vote this week on new refinery resupply rules meant to mitigate retail gasoline price spikes, but refiners are still wary that the state is moving to make the most regulated market in the US even tougher. The California Energy Commission (CEC) had scheduled a vote on refinery resupply rules at its 24 April business meeting but said the meeting is now postponed to allow for additional feedback and consultation with stakeholders. The draft rules under consideration would require refiners to submit resupply plans to the state at least 120 days before any planned maintenance in September and October that would cause California specification gasoline production to decline by 20,000 b/d for at least 21 days or a total of more than 450,000 bl. Large spikes in California prices occurred in the fall of 2022 and 2023. The commission is also planning rulemaking this year on minimum inventory requirements to avoid price spikes in the event of unplanned events, as well as possible rules on setting a refiner margin cap. The timing of the new regulations is precarious, as two major refineries in the state are planning to shut operations within a year. Independent refiner Valero said on 16 April it is planning to shut or re-purpose its 145,000 b/d refinery in Benicia, California and continues to evaluate strategic alternatives for its other refinery in the state – the 85,000 b/d Wilmington facility. In addition, Phillips 66 is planning to shut its 139,000 b/d Los Angeles refinery later this year. Effort to stop gasoline price spikes The California rules stem from two pieces of legislation signed by California governor Gavin Newsom known as AB X2-1 and SB X1-2, part of a multi-year effort to mitigate price volatility in the state, after some of the highest gasoline prices ever recorded in the fall of 2022. US refiners have long opposed the new regulations seeing them as a political attack on the industry, conflicting with other laws and the latest example of an increasingly difficult regulatory environment in the state. The CEC has conducted workshops to help draft the rules with the participation of labor groups, the refining industry, environmental justice groups, community advocates, and the public. The industry was largely represented by the Western States Petroleum Association (WSPA). WSPA told the commission that the resupply rule could conflict with existing statutory requirements for refiners not to withhold fuel from the market and could result in market distortions and undesirable price impacts. The rules could also make it hard for Arizona and Nevada to secure needed supplies in the face of regulations expressly favoring Californians' access to fuel, WSPA said. The rules could also force refiners to use "uneconomic strategies" to secure non-spot market resupplies and additional capital to guarantee inventories that could potentially lead to higher gasoline prices, the group said. AB X2-1 forbids the CEC from adopting any regulation "unless it finds that the likely benefits to consumers from avoiding price volatility outweigh the potential costs to consumers." WSPA said it is concerned that the CEC does not "have the facts in front of it to legitimately support such a finding" with respect to imposing the resupply requirement. Under the draft resupply rules, refiners must show they can secure sufficient supply to ensure that lost gasoline production anticipated during the maintenance does not adversely affect the California transportation fuels market. The plan must show a resupply volume of at least 85pc of the anticipated lost gasoline production during the maintenance and the resupply volumes must match the seasonal specification of the lost production. The resupply plans could include imports and each barrel of resupply obtained by imports will count as 1.3 barrels of resupply. In addition, a plan that includes resupply through the purchase or storage of gasoline blendstocks or gasoline blending components must explain how such materials will result in an equivalent amount of California specification gasoline. Non-compliance could carry a civil penalty of $100,000-$1mn per day. Refineries with capacity under 30,000 b/d are exempt from the resupply regulation. The rules would apply to five major refiners operating in the state — Chevron, PBF Energy, Phillips 66, Valero and Marathon. Phillips 66, however, will be closing its Los Angeles refinery by October and converted a refinery in Rodeo, California, to renewable fuels in 2024. Since the 1980s, 29 refineries in California have been shut or integrated with other refineries that eventually closed or converted to renewable fuels production, according to CEC data. About half of the shut refineries were smaller operations, producing less than 20,000 b/d. Looking at options The CEC caused a stir in August 2024 when it released its Transportation Fuels Assessment, which examined policy options to mitigate price spikes and transition away from fossil fuels including the state of California buying and owning refineries. The assessment said this could range from one refinery to all refineries in the state. But the document also highlighted problems with such a plan, including the high cost of buying refineries, significant legal issues, and the fact that the state has no experience managing complex industrial processes. California is not currently pursuing this option, state officials said. Another idea in the Transportation Fuels Assessment involved state-owned product reserves in the north and south of California to allow rapid deployment of fuel when needed. This could include "up to several hundred thousand barrels." The CEC and the California Air Resources Board are drafting a formal Transportation Fuels Transition Plan which will serve as a road map to move away from fossil fuels. A draft of the report will be released later this year. The Transportation Fuels Assessment and the Transportation Fuels Transition Plan were mandated under SB X1-2. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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